The Summer 2023 report contains several insights on the economic landscape impacting small businesses, among them — rising delinquencies being a significant concern. The latest report emphasizes the need for strategic planning and careful management of debt, along with an understanding of broader economic factors that may impact small business performance.
Subscribe to this quarterly report here or follow our full suite of quarterly insights on our Commercial Insights Hub.
Are you a small business owner navigating the process of establishing your business credit profile?
Experian is here with a helpful guide about business credit and how it works to help you on your journey. From understanding how business credit scores and reports are originated, to employing best practices for building up a strong business credit report, the Experian Blueprint is here to assist you every step of the way.
The 2022 Experian Edge Economic Chartbook is a look back at the hottest economic and credit trends our team covered over the last twelve months. From the reopening of the economy and the return of travel to the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the reemergence of decades-high inflation, 2022 was a year of ups and downs and hope and doubt. And all along the way our economists, credit experts, and analytics professionals consistently showed up to bring deep insight and our unique, credit-focused view to the market. By distilling the key themes from our industry-leading webinars, client conversations, and special reports from the past year, we hope to provide you with a stage-setting resource that you will turn to again and again in the months ahead.
How to deploy a multi-layered approach with a holistic consumer view to stay ahead of evolving fraud.
Learn how credit unions can optimize their credit limit strategies to grow card use, increase member loyalty and manage risk.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
This report explores key rental market trends, including shifts in demographics, economic impacts, and tenant behaviors, providing insights into the evolving rental landscape.
Based on a survey of more than 2,000 U.S. consumers and 200 U.S. businesses, Experian’s 2024 U.S. Identity and Fraud Report provides a snapshot of the current fraud landscape, shifting consumer expectations and actionable insights into how you can prioritize future fraud prevention technology investments.
Key insights for identifying and leveraging growth opportunities in the Alternative Finance Services market.
Read the latest regional consumer spending and economic growth trends, as well as our in-house macroeconomic forecasts for the year ahead.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Maximizing portfolio performance in the current debt management and collections landscape demands adapting to dynamic markets and implementing optimized, customer-centric strategies. This e-book explores the current landscape of debt and delinquency, offering solutions to increase recoveries, streamline operations, and enhance the consumer experience.
Experian’s data scientists and analysts equip fintechs with consumer credit trends to help make strategic lending decisions as well as a profitable growth roadmap for the second half of 2024 and beyond. Impactful callouts from the report include:
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Discover invaluable insights with Experian Clarity Services’ 2024 Alternative Financial Services Lending Trends report. This exclusive report reveals trends and consumer behaviors, from market size to loan performance. Equip yourself with the essential information to plan effectively and stay ahead.
Spending during the first quarter exceeded expectations, providing much-needed cash flow for small businesses. This influx of capital has enabled small firms to reduce debt and consider future growth and capital expenditures. Despite inflationary pressures and tighter lending conditions, the outlook remains cautiously optimistic. The Federal Reserve’s anticipated rate cuts, expected to begin late in 2024, could further stimulate economic activity and provide a boost to small businesses.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Discover key insights to understand and capitalize on growth opportunities for the Alternative Finance Services market.
Read the latest regional consumer spending and economic growth trends, as well as our in-house macroeconomic forecasts for the year ahead.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
This report delves deeper into these fintech credit trends and analyzes their potential impact on the fintech lending landscape. Inside, you'll find:
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
A proactive credit limit management process can help improve profitability, reduce potential risk and create a better customer experience. Explore four key strategies that credit card issuers can implement to optimize their portfolios.
Leverage the right insights to learn how you can effectively grow in this environment.
North American economic strength is riding on the backs of the resilient U.S. Consumer. For the past two years, the fear of an imminent recession rang in the ears of economists and consumers alike, radiating declining confidence in growth and the ability to prolong spending behaviors consumers grew accustomed to during pandemic recovery. Those fears have been pushed aside as consumers beat holiday spending expectations, upending retailers' anxiety entering the season.
Read the latest regional consumer spending and economic growth trends, as well as our in-house macroeconomic forecasts for the year ahead.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
As we prepare for the year ahead, it’s crucial to understand the trends of 2023 that shaped our current economic environment. Download the 2023 Experian Edge Economic Chartbook, where you can find critical insights into the labor market, inflation, banking stress, delinquencies and more.
In today’s economic conditions, consumers’ financial, mental, and physical health worries are on the rise. 42% of people claim money concerns have had a negative impact on their mental health.1
Consumers want to engage with companies that value them as a whole person, not a number. Traditional financial institutions and technology companies must fill in the financial literacy gap to establish and maintain strong consumer relationships.
Find new opportunities by offering actionable products that ease financial stress and guide consumers on their financial wellness journey.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Discover five business intelligence reports that can help drive your strategies across the customer lifecycle.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Acquire valuable perspectives to drive decision making with our Q3 insights report.
Outstanding performance in the third quarter is a great headline focused on the resiliency of the American consumer. Business confidence and financials benefited from a consumer confidence boost as market conditions appeared to improve as inflation receded. Consumer spending remained elevated, supporting small business cashflow health, but a rising percentage of that consumer spend originated from leveraged consumer credit products. Creditors have been monitoring the rise in unsecured debt utilization and putting into action exposure limiting underwriting criteria.
It’s that time of year; the industry’s annual checkup, and we’re excited to share insights that will provide a better view of the consumers you serve.
For five years in a row, Clarity’s Alternative Financial Services Lending Trends Report has been the go-to resource for those seeking insights into non-prime borrower behavior, alternative credit data, industry trends in the alternative financial services market, and more.
In this report, we analyzed:
Access our 2018 trends report, which dives into the latest findings attached to the industry and the consumers utilizing Alternative Financial Services products. Uncover new data on payment behavior, credit utilization and quality, and consumer stability for those individuals using products like short-term loans, pawn shops, payday loans, rent-to-own and beyond.
Discover how traditional lenders can benefit from these data insights, as well as what it reveals about subprime consumers.
This report offers granular data on a vast number of different consumer insights that will allow you to build the foundation for a successful lending strategy and create benchmarks needed to improve your financial inclusion efforts, prospecting, risk management and more.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Gain insight into the latest in alternative data and how it can be leveraged across the lending lifecycle.
Read the latest regional consumer spending and economic growth trends, as well as our in-house macroeconomic forecasts for the year ahead.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
This report evaluates solution providers in the financial sector in the areas of compliance and fraud prevention for account opening, and recognizes Experian as a market leader.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Lenders are tightening underwriting criteria due to high delinquencies among consumers and small businesses amid inflation. People are revising their spending and investment plans. While technology companies thrive, sectors like logistics, utilities, and healthcare face challenges. Supply chain issues are easing, but reduced demand affects inventory orders, impacting trucking and logistics with lower tonnage and mileage. Consumers show resilience, bolstered by a strong job market, wage growth, and lower energy and food costs. However, dwindling savings and increased reliance on unsecured debt, along with the resumption of debt obligations like student loans, and ongoing inflation, put pressure on consumers. Recession fears are easing, but concerns for 2024 remain.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Unpack AFS Q2 Trends: Inquiry volumes slow and delinquency rates drop.
Read the latest regional consumer spending and economic growth trends, as well as our in-house macroeconomic forecasts for the year ahead.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
In our eighth annual report we explore the current fraud landscape, shifting consumer expectations, and how businesses can prioritize investment in future fraud prevention.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Gain insight into the state of the economy and consumer finances and how to leverage data and advanced analytics to manage uncertainty.
In this report, we share key insights into the U.S. housing market’s impact on renters, including the latest trends and how they reflect the current state of residents, their rent obligations and the rental market economic climate.
Experian’s Clarity Services holds the largest repository of expanded-FCRA data, providing deeper insights into millions of consumers that traditional data alone can’t provide. Each year, we study this ever-changing industry and compile the findings into a robust report that lenders can’t find anywhere else — the Alternative Financial Services Lending Trends report.
Q1 GDP grew by 1.1% annualized, following a 2.6% gain in Q4 2022. However, recent data's accuracy is affected by weather-induced consumer spending and unusual seasonal adjustments. Notably, Q1 GDP doesn't reflect the impact of tightened lending standards yet. The core of the economy, measured by real final sales to domestic purchasers, rose by a solid 2.9% annualized, driven by strong consumer spending concentrated in early Q1 and aided by significant cost-of-living payments. Inventory reduction subtracted 2.3ppts from Q1 GDP growth, and this trend is expected to persist as businesses draw from existing stockpiles to meet demand. The Oxford Economics US Business Cycle Indicator declined for two consecutive months, indicating weak Q1 performance. The indicator suggests feeble Q2 growth and a possible H2 2023 recession.
Explore state- level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Read the latest regional consumer spending and economic growth trends, as well as our in-house macroeconomic forecasts for the year ahead.
In this report, Experian® data scientists and analysts take a deep look at one of the most popular lending products in the industry, the unsecured personal loan. Our team offers key insights into the consumer credit landscape and analyze trends on this emerging and important industry segment using historical data from August 2018 to December 2022.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Discover actionable insights for risk management and benchmarking and make more informed decisions.
The Spring report contains several insights on small business performance including - delinquencies are rising for small businesses across regions and products, and businesses are making decisions about how they repay debt. The economy will slow in 2023, and consumer and small business credit health and spending behavior will adjust to the new reality. Cashflows will be tested in industry segments focused on home-based work/life as the labor force returns to the office, but some businesses require hybrid work schedules to encourage collaboration and a more connected work environment.
Subscribe to this quarterly report here or follow our full suite of quarterly insights on our Commercial Insights Hub.
Explosive growth for digital marketplaces means fraudsters and bad actors with malicious intent threaten their reputation, operation and foundation for long-term success. Our experts share why fraud prevention strategy is critical for building trust with customers.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Debt collectors looking to enhance their performance while reducing costs, maximizing recovery rates and improving overall engagement, can follow these simple steps.
The fourth quarter boasted open commercial lending markets, inclusive of all tiers of credit risk, even as measured commercial delinquencies returned to pre-pandemic levels. An increasing number of commercial lenders are developing product and underwriting strategies to limit the expected exposure in a near term recession. The Fed is unlikely to cut rates in the near term as hietened inflation lingers. Higher costs of goods and services will pressure spending behavior as affordability tightens and personal cashflows thin.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Read the latest regional consumer spending and economic growth trends, as well as our in-house macroeconomic forecasts for the year ahead.
Small businesses are struggling to access inventory, components, and staff due to the pandemic's impact on the supply chain. However, emerging small business growth has been explosive during the pandemic, with businesses adapting to the high demand, low supply market by focusing on digital experiences. Small businesses are also focusing on diversity, equity, and inclusion initiatives to create a more inclusive small business ecosystem. Subscribe to this quarterly report here or follow our full suite of quarterly insights on our Commercial Insights Hub.
Download the 2022 Experian Edge Economic Chartbook to look back at this year’s critical economic and credit trends and to prepare yourself for the months ahead.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
The US economy grew a buoyant 2.6% annualized in Q3, confirming Experian and Oxford Economics’ view that the economy was not in recession. Indeed, the economy created a robust 261k jobs in October, while the unemployment rate came in near a historically low of 3.7%. Higher borrowing costs will weigh on corporate profits, hiring, and business investment. The consumer will feel the effects of an increase in unemployment and a reduction in excess savings. Download the full report to learn more.
In August 2022, the CFPB provided new guidance into their requirements for data protection and information security. Experian experts provided five insights into that guidance and the ramifications for financial institutions.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Read the latest regional consumer spending and economic growth trends, as well as our in-house macroeconomic forecasts for the year ahead.
As inflation puts pressure on the economy, consumers are looking to businesses to protect them and make their life online easier. Our latest research, gathered in May and June of 2022, dives into how U.S. consumers and businesses are navigating the economic shift and the increasing need to balance data security with a personalized experience.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
The Fall 2022 Beyond The Trends report focuses on the retail industry and small business strategies. Key points include: 1) Lenders tightening credit criteria, affecting small business loan availability. 2) With declining consumer demand, businesses must prioritize repayments, and lenders need to plan for delinquent accounts. 3) Retailers can attract consumers during the 2022 holiday season by providing personalized experiences, utilizing social media, and optimizing their online presence. Subscribe to this quarterly report here or follow our full suite of quarterly insights on our Commercial Insights Hub.
Explore state-level and industry level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
After a strong economic rebound in the wake of COVID-19, a more challenging environment and heightened recession worries are forcing small businesses to “hit the reset button”. Small business anxiety about elevated inflation and labor shortages persisted in Q2 2022, as small businesses held debt balances longer, while seeking additional credit in anticipation of a tighter lending environment.
This joint report by Aite-Novarica and Experian dives into key benefits of an enterprise-wide identity management program, including a holistic understanding of the customer, enhanced ability to optimize risk and reward, and increased collaboration and efficiency.
In this recently updated tip sheet, we review recent market trends that led to an uptick in fraud and how to mitigate the associated risk.
Explore state-level and industry-level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
A study conducted in May 2022 by Aite-Novarica Group surveyed 207 large and midsized U.S. e-commerce firms. The research quantifies the impact of online transaction fraud prevention efforts and false declines for U.S. e-commerce and digital marketplace merchants. Download for a snapshot of the study along with key findings.
Aite-Novarica Group’s The E-Commerce Fraud Enigma: The Quest to Maximize Revenue While Minimizing Fraud Report found the average false decline rate is 1.16%. With over $960 billion in U.S. online sales in 2021, lost sales due to false declines total more than $11 billion, a substantial impact for merchants and their customers.
Gain insight into the latest in alternative data and how you can seize new opportunities.
Explore state-level and industry-level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Business owners continue to struggle to access quality labor, strengthen operations, and create backup supplier networks as supply chain disruption and inflation hamper delivery. Diesel prices are up 71% YOY according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration and the higher cost of energy is resulting in lower margins and impacting delivery of goods and services. These costs have been rising sharply since February 2022 and exacerbated challenges already being addressed by business owners in the 1st quarter of 2022 commodity, component, and inventory shortages. Small businesses are adjusting to a high-demand low supply market through 2022. Subscribe to this quarterly report here or follow our full suite of quarterly insights on our Commercial Insights Hub.
Explore state-level and industry-level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Experian begins a new chapter with the release of the Q1 2022 Main Street Report through our collaboration with the leading economists at Oxford Economics. During Q1, small businesses kept average commercial loan balances healthy and stable. At the same time, moderate delinquency inched up but remained low overall as business and consumer travel returned to form, offering major tourist destinations a boost.
In our new report, we analyze more than 17 million consumer mortgage, auto, student, personal loan and bankcard accounts that were once in an accommodation status and provide predictive insights into these consumers, including those who will be exiting these programs. Learn more about key findings and get recommendations and strategies that you can implement now.
Explore state-level and industry-level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
This report provides insights into the current state of the small business economy in the US. Despite challenges such as inflation and supply chain disruptions, small businesses remain a vital part of the economy and are showing resilience. Lenders and creditors are adapting to engage with new small businesses and differentiate risk earlier in the life of a business. Non-traditional data overlays are becoming critical in assessing and pricing risk. The report also highlights the importance of innovation and entrepreneurship in the US, with new business applications trending at almost 425k a month. Subscribe to this quarterly report here or follow our full suite of quarterly insights on our Commercial Insights Hub.
Explore state-level and industry-level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
The fourth quarter of 2021 enhanced the pressure felt by small businesses as the largest wave of COVID-19 hit the US. In addition to the effects of pandemic outbreak of labor and consumer engagement, an inflationary surge, largest increase since 1982, coupled with pandemic-related supply-and-demand imbalances, weighed heavily on US small businesses along with a notable impact to consumer sentiment.
Although workers were getting raises in the currently tight job market, rapid price increases are eroding consumers’ earning power. Average wage earnings went up by 4.0% in Q4 ’21 vs. the previous year, yet a 7.5% increase in inflation results in a net decline in real earnings. Workers’ money is not going as far as it used to. Rising wages, however, put pressure on businesses’ payrolls who may be forced to pass those costs to consumers.
Explore state-level and industry-level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this report.
Explore state-level and industry-level data that banks, credit unions and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Small business credit performance was mixed in the third quarter as businesses dealt with the COVID-19 Delta variant. Early stage delinquency rates rose modestly while late state delinquency and bankruptcy rates fell decisively. With daily COVID cases falling, demand for goods and services should rise in coming quarters. Downside risks are concentrated on the supply side with businesses struggling to hire workers and dealing with supply chain stress.
Dive into this report for an in-depth analysis on COVID-19 economic scenarios as of October 2021 and what they mean for potential trajectories of the economy.
The report, featuring key insights from Mohammed Chaudhri, Experian Chief Economist, provides a deep dive on recent GDP data, trends, and forecast scenarios.
Mortgage lenders are preparing now for the end of CARES Act forbearances and are focused on assessing the impact on their portfolios as borrowers exit accommodation. In our latest Experian analysis, we explore how mortgage lenders can more accurately gauge this impact and strategies to help navigate the current mortgage landscape.
Explore state-level and industry-level data that banks, credit unions, and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
The acceleration to digital platforms created a perfect storm of new opportunities for fraudsters. Synthetic identity fraud, stimulus-related fraud, and other types of cybercrime have seen huge upticks within the past year and a half. In fact, the Federal Trade Commission revealed that consumers reported over 360,000 complaints, resulting in more than $545 million in COVID-19-related fraud losses as of September 2021. To protect both themselves and consumers, businesses — especially lenders — will have to find and incorporate new strategies to identify customers, deter fraudsters and mitigate cybercrime.
Small businesses increased hiring for the holidays funded by credit while servicing their outstanding debts. The moderately delinquent balances for small businesses declined to 1.21 percent in the fourth quarter from 1.60 percent at the same time last year. Taxes are a rising issue for small businesses, but increasing concerns here did not dampen borrowing or hiring in the fourth quarter. The availability of credit has cushioned the blow of the pandemic for now and a third stimulus will help insulate small businesses from altered consumer spending patterns.
As some industries struggle to contain price increases and to survive in a post-pandemic world, others are thriving on the back of economic reopenings driving consumption. Reopenings and the release of pent-up demand for services is pushing up economic growth and powering an economic recovery that will be among the fastest in modern times.
In this Economic Scenarios report, Experian’s Chief Economist, Mohammed Chaudhri, lays out his mid-year forecasts for the path of the U.S. economy. The report delivers in-depth analysis on economic scenarios and how COVID-19 and other trends could impact our growth trajectory.
Download now to get the latest insight as of Q2 2021 on:
Explore state-level and industry-level data that banks, credit unions, and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
At the end of March 2020, Congress enacted the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act (CARES Act), and provided accommodations – payment assistance or relief – to consumers affected by the pandemic. Now that the accommodations period is ending, how can lenders better predict the future payment performance of each account and identify consumers that still need additional assistance?
In our new report, we analyze more than 8 million consumer mortgage, auto, personal loan, and bankcard accounts that were once in an accommodation status and provide predictive insights into these consumers, including those who will be exiting these programs. Learn more about key findings and get recommendations and strategies that you can implement now.
Explore state-level and industry-level data that banks, credit unions, and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
The coronavirus pandemic has dramatically impacted consumers and businesses alike, but the beginning of the end is here. After over a year fraught with caution and closures, the U.S. economy is embarking on the journey to recovery and the post-pandemic world is emerging.
In this report, we track key economic indicators to examine the pace of recovery from the COVID-19 recession and analyze the impacts on the credit market in both the immediate and short-term future. We also examine the aggregate impact of payment assistance programs, describe five key types of fraud we’re watching and advise how to protect against them, and evaluate the growing value of tools, including AI/ML, alternative data, and employment verification.
Explore state-level and industry-level data that banks, credit unions, and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
IDC describes how new market entrants are offering employment and income verification alternatives to address some of the key challenges facing lenders today.
Learn how real time customer verifications accelerate loan origination, lower costs, and improve risk assessment to help you gain a competitive advantage.
Explore state-level and industry-level data that banks, credit unions, and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Dive into this report for an in-depth analysis on COVID-19 economic scenarios as of March 2021 and what they mean for potential trajectories of the economy – with all-new data for Q1.
The report, featuring key insights from Mohammed Chaudhri, Experian Chief Economist, provides a deep dive on:
Click the button below to download the report.
Explore state-level and industry-level data that banks, credit unions, and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Small businesses increased hiring for the holidays funded by credit while servicing their outstanding debts. The moderately delinquent balances for small businesses declined to 1.21 percent in the fourth quarter from 1.60 percent at the same time last year. Taxes are a rising issue for small businesses, but increasing concerns here did not dampen borrowing or hiring in the fourth quarter. The availability of credit has cushioned the blow of the pandemic for now and a third stimulus will help insulate small businesses from altered consumer spending patterns.
Explore state-level and industry-level data that banks, credit unions, and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Explore state-level and industry-level data that banks, credit unions, and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Explore state-level and industry-level data that banks, credit unions, and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
In a fight for survival small businesses have turned to layoffs and borrowing as they attempt to reach the other side of COVID-19. Increasing borrowing is helping to mask rising late-stage delinquencies and bankruptcy. Layoffs and borrowing can only mask weakness for so long until a reckoning will arrive. A new round of government stimulus could mitigate this reckoning but doesn’t appear likely to arrive before year’s end. This will push more small businesses to again borrow for survival. When new borrowing is no longer a necessity delinquency and bankruptcies will rise.
Explore state-level and industry-level data that banks, credit unions, and fintechs can leverage to track the downturn and be correctly positioned for the recovery in this monthly report.
Read our new report delivering in-depth analysis on COVID-19 economic scenarios as of October 2020 and what they mean for potential trajectories of the economy – with all-new data for Q4.
The report, featuring key insights from Mohammed Chaudhri, Experian Chief Economist, provides a deep dive on:
Small businesses have turned to borrowing to survive periods of prolonged slumping sales, in many cases from government programs offering loan forgiveness. This increased borrowing has masked rising delinquent balances, but such a solution is a short-term fix. Small businesses will need to find ways to generate revenue to keep their credit current. Defaults are expected to rise in coming quarters as forbearance programs expire and as customers are likely to change their priorities in the wake of COVID-19.
After only one quarter there is no doubt the theme of 2020 is the pandemic, Covid-19. Unrelated to the pandemic and subsequent shuttering of a swath of economies across the world, delinquencies rose in the first quarter. This was as businesses reduced their borrowing. Lower borrowing will not have lasted long as government efforts to aid small businesses have taken the form of SBA lending. Nevertheless, 2020 will be a year of deteriorating performance and rising bankruptcies for small enterprises.
Clarity Services, a part of Experian, provides valuable alternative credit data to alternative financial service providers. Clarity’s alternative data gives lenders a more complete picture of nonprime applicants, so they can make better and more informed decisions.
This report is packed with five years of Clarity data and enhanced with additional insights from Experian’s national credit bureau. From market trends to changes in loan characteristics, the data inside will leave you more informed of the nonprime market than you’ve ever been before.
Download our latest white paper to learn more.
Confidence in a US-China trade deal helped to cushion business borrowing in the fourth quarter. Delinquent balances were up over the quarter due mainly to seasonal trends but were down from last year thanks to the continuation of the economy’s expansion. Weakness continued in agriculture and manufacturing businesses, but a trade deal could help these firms next year. All things considered, 2019 was a good year for small-business borrowing, and 2020 should bring more of the same.
Talk of a trade deal helped to shape the narrative for the third quarter, but there is more at play for small businesses than trade. Delinquency rates fell across most industries, but agriculture-related industries like construction and transportation had a rough quarter. A rising number of small businesses seeking credit should help to keep performance around current levels.
Fintech is now synonymous with constant innovation, agile technology structures, and being on the cusp of the future of finance—fintech challengers; companies who are disrupting existing financial models by leveraging data, advanced analytics, and technology. These challengers have since inspired traditional financial institutions to either emulate or collaborate. Learn how fintechs are faring against traditional FIs with this must-have eBook.
In spite of business confidence in the second quarter being shaken by talk of trade war escalation, businesses got a helping hand from seasonal factors which combined to push delinquency rates down. New businesses continue to form, providing an opportunity for credit expansion, if these businesses can access credit. Delinquency rates fell across most industries, but agriculture’s problems continued as weather and trade conditions continued to weigh on small farms. These factors won’t be as helpful in the third quarter so fundamentals or confidence will need to improve to propel performance and growth forward.
GOVERNING Institute surveyed 150 State and Local government leaders and discuss the growing need for eligibility verification and the prevalence of fraud across government agencies.
Download the study to learn more.
Small businesses brushed off a government shutdown as stock markets recovered and income gains remained steady in the first quarter of 2019. Delinquency rates remained mostly stable, with pockets of weakness spread out among regions and industries, notably agriculture in the Great Lakes and manufacturing in the Southwest. Small firms seem to have simply shrugged off the first-quarter headwinds and continued with business as usual.
The fourth quarter capped a second year of solid performance and growth for small-business credit, but there are signs that the period of moderation experienced during the past two years is over. Since the government shutdown has the potential to throw small-business lending a curveball in the first half of 2019, the outlook for small-business credit is neutral. Conditions were positive in the fourth quarter, but this may not last long. Delinquency rates remained mostly stable, with pockets of weakness spread out among regions and industries, notably construction in the Plains. In addition to the 35-day shutdown, rising interest rates, destabilizing trade policy and slowing home-price growth are potential trouble sources that are already starting to impact some regions.
The overall outlook for small-business credit is positive. Outstanding balances rose in the second quarter, as did the average balance per business. Delinquency rates continued the downward trend they have maintained through the expansion, and default rates stabilized at the level they reached last quarter. Continuing strength in the economy will keep small-business credit performance strong through the end of the current expansion, if not longer. Rising rates and destabilizing trade policy are potential sources of trouble, but thus far they haven’t slowed down small-business credit growth.
The overall outlook for small-business credit is positive, but some industries such as construction have a negative outlook. Outstanding balances rose in the third quarter, as did the average balance per business. Delinquency rates are stable around their current levels, but this could change quickly if risks mount for certain industries. Continuing strength in the economy should keep small business credit performance in check through the fourth quarter and early next year. Rising interest rates, destabilizing trade policy, and slowing home price growth are potential sources of trouble that are already starting to impact some regions.
Business leaders today recognize a myriad of benefits the digital economy has to offer, such as improved customer experience and better insight for decision-making. Despite these advantages, organizations struggle to deliver the experience they would like, and data isn’t always in a suitable state to be used for this purpose.
This study provides a unique perspective on customer experience as it relates to digital transformation priorities and challenges. Check out the full report for our in-depth analysis and key findings, such as:
The overall outlook for small-business credit is positive. Outstanding balances rose in the first quarter, as did the average balance outstanding per business. Delinquencies were down and default rates rose slightly, suggesting that credit conditions have peaked as the economy is in a late-cycle expansion. Continuing strength in the macroeconomy will keep small-business credit moving in the near term, along with higher profits from the recently passed tax legislation. Small-business credit will be less certain in the medium to long term as rising wages, interest rates and changes to the tax code take a toll.
Data has never been more plentiful - or more important - to how the government operates. Agencies in the public sector are mobilizing and modernizing legacy systems and processes in order to improve citizen experience. This means that data, technology, and the people to optimize the two are more critical than ever to success in these areas.
We surveyed 200 public sector professionals from federal, state, and local government, health and human services, motor vehicles, labor and unemployment, and law enforcement with visibility into their agency's data management practices. Read this research study to learn:
Digital business demands trustworthy data. Today's businesses are sophisticated and are powered by the vast amounts of data collected. As the volume, type of, and reliance on data grows, so does the need for better people, processes, and tools to make the most of those data assets.
That's why we have been following and analyzing trends in data management around the world for the past several years. We're excited to introduce this year's, 2018 global data benchmark report, which takes a deep dive into the latest advancements, challenges, and focuses within the data management industry.
In this report, you'll find:
The overall outlook for small-business credit is positive. Outstanding balances rose in the fourth quarter, as did the average balance outstanding per business. Delinquency and default rates rose slightly, suggesting that credit conditions have loosened. Continuing strength in the macroeconomy will keep small business moving in the near term, along with higher profits from the recently passed tax legislation. Small-business credit will be less certain in the medium to long term as rising wages and tax code changes take a toll.
The overall outlook for small-business credit is stable. Outstanding balances on small-business credit declined slightly in the third quarter, continuing a two-year trend. Delinquency and default rates were steady to declining, and business balance sheets continue to improve. Continued improvement in the labor market and economic growth bodes well for credit performance in the short term. Despite the overall optimism, pockets of localized weakness are developing and will warrant observation over the next few quarters.
Most companies are likely to undergo a data migration project at some point. Our 2017 global data benchmark report revealed that 83% of data migrations fail or exceed their budgets and schedules. Given all this business investment, doesn't it make sense to invest in the quality of data being migrated before it costs your organization?
This white paper takes a look at the biggest obstacles in data migrations, how to complete a migration project in time and on budget, and provides a pre-migration impact assessment checklist to ensure your data migration success.
Small-business delinquency rates experienced broad-based improvement in the second quarter. With job growth expected to continue, putting more money in consumers’ pockets, small businesses will continue to outperform in the short term. As performance on small-business loans and lines of credit improves, credit is expected to flow more freely as banks and other lenders compete for business. Although tax reform and infrastructure investment could provide an additional boost to small-business activity, consumer spending will be the driving force for small-business credit over the next quarter — and throughout the rest of the year. Read our blog post for more details.
Credit utilization rates expanded briskly in the first quarter of 2017. Taken with upside risk, which at the moment outweighs downside risk, credit conditions for small businesses are looking up. Rates of severe delinquency are declining broadly, and credit constraints should ease as a result. However, balance growth is threatened by the lack of clarity regarding fiscal policies. Small-business credit will be defined this year by what happens with the potential revisions to government policies and how full or nearly full employment translates into activity for small firms.
As organizations today look to their data to power business opportunities, the role of the chief data officer (CDO) is becoming increasingly mission-critical. While the value a CDO brings to businesses is widely acknowledged by C-level executives, not all CDOs are set up for success. In our latest research report, Experian Data Quality spoke with over 50 CDOs to understand how their roles have changed in recent years, and how the realities of the position may differ from CDOs' expectations.
Small business credit balances expanded broadly in the fourth quarter driving delinquency rates down. Taken with upside risk, which at the moment outweighs downside risk, credit conditions for small businesses are looking up. Balances are growing in the Southeast and West, and delinquency rates are low throughout the country. The theme for 2017 will be robust balance growth and falling delinquencies. Combined with the prospect of tax reform, small businesses look set to thrive in the near future.
Organizations today recognize the importance of the data they hold, but a general lack of trust in the quality of their data prevents them from achieving strategic business objectives. For 2017, Experian Data Quality's global data management benchmark report looks at responses from more than 1,400 data management professionals across the globe to understand how data is being used within organizations and how perceived trust in that data impacts business priorities.
Small-business credit declined slightly in the third quarter, led by the mining and transportation/utility industries. Businesses have access to plenty of credit, and utilization rates remain low. The low delinquency/bankruptcy environment combined with low utilization rates leads to an overall positive outlook over the next several quarters. However, this optimism could change rapidly if interest rates rise or slow economic growth persists. Agriculture and construction credit remain bright points in the small-business credit outlook. Despite some downside risks, the sectors remain stable and well-positioned for growth.
At Experian Data Quality, we believe data is at the heart of every organization, and the quality of that data is fundamental to future business success. If you're looking to implement a data quality program at your organization, it's likely that you'll need to present a case to your business's leadership. We surveyed more than 400 professionals around the globe who have direct experience with developing proposals for data quality to learn about the challenges they faced and how they achieved success. In this report, we discuss our findings from this unique study and provide proven best practices to help you expedite the process of putting forward a proposal for data quality. At the end of the report, you'll find a business impact worksheet that will help you to identify and quantify data quality needs at your organization.
Telephone Consumer Protection Act (TCPA) litigation continues to be a risk for companies that communicate with consumers. In this Q&A, Expert Michael Goodman will help you understand the latest happenings with the TCPA so you can minimize your exposure.
The Experian/Moody’s Analytics Main Street Report brings deep insight into the overall financial well-being of the small-business landscape. Small-business credit conditions improved in the second quarter. With the exception of some specific segments, delinquency and bankruptcy rates declined. Sentiment among small businesses is positive, with 11 percent planning to increase employment and 26 percent considering additional capital investment. Despite some downside risks, the sectors remain stable and well-positioned for growth.
As marketers apply a more customer-centric, cross-channel approach to their marketing efforts, mobile has become one the most critical channels and tools for marketers to effectively acquire, engage and convert customers.
The guide includes:
This guide contains data from our quarterly email benchmark series. To download the latest email benchmark report, click here.
Key findings include:
In this report's spotlight on section, we examine mobile text message campaigns and their performance over the past 5 months. Download the report to learn more about how consumers are interacting with mobile.
Experian®, the leading global information services company, and Moody’s Analytics have teamed up to develop the new Experian/Moody’s Analytics Main Street Report. Unlike previous quarterly analyses, the new report brings deeper insight into the overall financial well-being of the small-business landscape, as well as providing commentary around what certain trends mean for credit grantors and the small-business community as a whole. Key factors of the Main Street Report include a combination of business credit data (credit balances, delinquency rates, utilization rates, etc.) and macroeconomic information (employment rates, income, retail sales, investments, etc.).
The Relevancy Group’s annual assessment of email marketing service providers has been released for 2016, and Experian Marketing Services took the top spot in the report among all vendors, coming out as both the largest ESP and #1 in the Leader’s Ring.
Our top placement can be attributed to a number of positives, including:
The 2016 Digital Marketer Report covers the top challenges and priorities of marketers today, with a special focus on what we heard from executive-level marketers at enterprise companies. The research includes insights from more than 1,100 marketers around the world, plus Experian Marketing Services’ expert analysts.
Insights from more than 1,000 marketers worldwide
The 2015 Digital Marketer Report provides trends, benchmarks, best practice examples and insights from our expert analysts on topics such as:
Every year, Experian Data Quality conducts a study to look at the global trends in data quality. This year, research findings reveal how data practitioners are leveraging and managing data to generate actionable insight, and how proper data management is becoming an organization-wide imperative. Our annual global benchmark report takes a close look at the data quality and data management initiatives driving today's businesses. See where you line up and where you can improve.
In 2008, a short two years after the first online marketplace lenders opened for business, the Great Recession began to wreak havoc on worldwide financial markets. Small businesses struggled to survive, banks failed and access to capital was limited. More online lenders saw an opportunity and opend for business. These technology-driven newcomers hired an army of data scientists, coders and digital marketers. In the fall of 2015 the innovation, industry disruption and regulatory uncertainty that characterize this dynamic sector led Experian to produce a series of articles focusing on different aspects of online marketplace lending. This report contains those articles.
Whether you are a federal, state or local government professional, we have the comprehensive data and integrated analytics you need to prevent fraud, waste and abuse, verify eligibility requirements, protect against cyber-security threats and improve collection outcomes. Please complete this short survey for us to best identify your area of need. You will then receive resources to help your agency succeed.
As companies across the globe realize the transformative effects of better harnessing their data, a new role is growing in popularity: the chief data officer (CDO). To better understand this trend, Experian Data Quality conducted a study of CIOs and CDOs to understand typical data challenges within organizations, the changing data management landscape and the growing need for the CDO (and consequences for CIOs). Key findings and CDO-related statistics are detailed in our comprehensive report. Download our CDO Research report to learn more.
In this update we provide an overview of Commercial Risk Database Plus along with data quality improvement statistics.
In this update we report on improvements in our data coverage and provide a progress report on alternate data sources.
According to a recent data breach preparedness study by the Ponemon Institute, much has changed in the world of data breaches in the past year; some are positive, others a bit more challenging. It's no secret that, according to the study, more companies suffered a data breach in 2013 versus the year before.
The more organizations can do to prepare themselves, by developing and maintaining a comprehensive data breach response plan, the better off they will be in the months and years to come.
Turning the page from recovery to growth, small businesses continue to have access to a wider availability of credit, as credit conditions reached the highest level on record, improving for the third consecutive quarter. Outstanding credit balances grew by 2.2 percent from a year ago, while delinquency rates declined to a cyclical low of 8.5 percent, both of which contributed to the improvement in the index.
Over $1 billion paid out in fraudulent benefit claims & social housing provision could be eradicated if simple fraud-prevention techniques were implemented more widely across the public sector.
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