Report
Published June 23, 2025
Credit & Economic Trends Economic & Market Insights
While the US economy has so far avoided the worst-feared outcomes of higher tariffs, there remains significant uncertainty and concern over outlook, which is driving caution among lenders. In our just-released Q2 2025 Lending Conditions Chartbook, we break down the latest economic developments and do a deep dive into credit conditions across product segments, regions, and lender types. Key insights include:
- Unemployment remains low, but there are ongoing signs of softening in the labor market.
- Real incomes have improved somewhat after softening for most of 2024, which may continue to support consumer spending.
- The housing market continues to be constrained by high prices and interest rates, which are impacting affordability.
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Global Insights 2026: Predictions for Credit and Fraud Risk
Global Insights 2026 explores how financial institutions are shifting from rapid AI adoption to accountable, connected intelligence. As fraud grows more sophisticated and risk functions converge, success depends on governed data, orchestrated ecosystems, and explainable decisions at scale.
- Accountable AI with measurable ROI and governance
- Layered fraud and continuous identity verification
- Unified credit, fraud, and compliance intelligence
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2026 Public Sector Trends and Impact Report
Read our first-annual 2026 Public Sector Trends & Impact Report to understand the forces reshaping agency operations and trust:
- Rising fraud and program integrity risks
- Modernization challenges across legacy and digital systems
- Workforce strain and responsible automation
- Securing citizen access without increasing friction
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2026 State of Energy and Utilities Report
Read our first-ever State of Energy and Utilities Report examining the forces shaping the industry this year.
- Rising arrearages and affordability pressures
- Expanding digital channels and identity-related fraud exposure
- AI-driven demand, data center growth and grid resiliency challenges
- Data-driven strategies to reduce risk and strengthen customer trust
Report
3 Key Trends to Watch in 2026
After outperforming expectations in 2025, the U.S. economy heads into 2026 with momentum - and meaningful risks. This Macro Moment explores the forces shaping the year ahead, from AI-driven growth and consumer resilience to evolving credit conditions and labor market uncertainty, helping leaders prepare for what’s next. Key takeaways include:
- The economic signals that mattered most in 2025 - and why they still matter
- How AI, consumers, and credit conditions are shaping 2026
- Where risks remain and what to watch in the labor market