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  • Q4 2018 Experian/Moody's Analytics Main Street Report
    Document Published Date: Feb 6, 2019

    The fourth quarter capped a second year of solid performance and growth for small-business credit, but there are signs that the period of moderation experienced during the past two years is over. Since the government shutdown has the potential to throw small-business lending a curveball in the first half of 2019, the outlook for small-business credit is neutral. Conditions were positive in the fourth quarter, but this may not last long. Delinquency rates remained mostly stable, with pockets of weakness spread out among regions and industries, notably construction in the Plains. In addition to the 35-day shutdown, rising interest rates, destabilizing trade policy and slowing home-price growth are potential trouble sources that are already starting to impact some regions.

  • Webinar: Q3 2018 Quarterly Business Credit Review
    Webinar Published Date: Dec 11, 2018

    Experian and Moody's Analytics experts present insights from the most recent Experian/Moody's Analytics Main Street Report for Q3 2018.

  • Q2 2018 Experian/Moody's Analytics Main Street Report
    Document Published Date: Nov 12, 2018

    The overall outlook for small-business credit is positive. Outstanding balances rose in the second quarter, as did the average balance per business. Delinquency rates continued the downward trend they have maintained through the expansion, and default rates stabilized at the level they reached last quarter. Continuing strength in the economy will keep small-business credit performance strong through the end of the current expansion, if not longer. Rising rates and destabilizing trade policy are potential sources of trouble, but thus far they haven’t slowed down small-business credit growth.

  • Q3 2018 Experian/Moody's Analytics Main Street Report
    Document Published Date: Nov 7, 2018

    The overall outlook for small-business credit is positive, but some industries such as construction have a negative outlook. Outstanding balances rose in the third quarter, as did the average balance per business. Delinquency rates are stable around their current levels, but this could change quickly if risks mount for certain industries. Continuing strength in the economy should keep small business credit performance in check through the fourth quarter and early next year. Rising interest rates, destabilizing trade policy, and slowing home price growth are potential sources of trouble that are already starting to impact some regions.

  • Webinar: Q2 2018 Quarterly Business Credit Review
    Webinar Published Date: Sep 11, 2018

    Experian and Moody's Analytics experts present insights from the most recent Experian/Moody's Analytics Main Street Report for Q2 2018.

  • Webinar: Q1 2018 Quarterly Business Credit Review
    Video Uploaded Date: Jun 14, 2018

    Experian and Moody's Analytics experts present insights from the most recent Experian/Moody's Analytics Main Street Report for Q1 2018.

  • Q1 2018 Experian/Moody's Analytics Main Street Report
    Document Published Date: May 8, 2018

    The overall outlook for small-business credit is positive. Outstanding balances rose in the first quarter, as did the average balance outstanding per business. Delinquencies were down and default rates rose slightly, suggesting that credit conditions have peaked as the economy is in a late-cycle expansion. Continuing strength in the macroeconomy will keep small-business credit moving in the near term, along with higher profits from the recently passed tax legislation. Small-business credit will be less certain in the medium to long term as rising wages, interest rates and changes to the tax code take a toll.

  • Webinar: Q4 2017 Quarterly Business Credit Review
    Video Uploaded Date: Mar 26, 2018

    Experian and Moody's Analytics experts present insights from the most recent Experian/Moody's Analytics Main Street Report for Q4 2017.

  • Q4 2017 Experian/Moody's Analytics Main Street Report
    Document Published Date: Feb 6, 2018

    The overall outlook for small-business credit is positive. Outstanding balances rose in the fourth quarter, as did the average balance outstanding per business. Delinquency and default rates rose slightly, suggesting that credit conditions have loosened. Continuing strength in the macroeconomy will keep small business moving in the near term, along with higher profits from the recently passed tax legislation. Small-business credit will be less certain in the medium to long term as rising wages and tax code changes take a toll.

  • Webinar: Q3 2017 Quarterly Business Credit Review
    Webinar Published Date: Dec 13, 2017

    Experian and Moody's Analytics experts present insights from the most recent Experian/Moody's Analytics Main Street Report for Q3 2017.

  • Q3 2017 Experian/Moody's Analytics Main Street Report
    Document Published Date: Nov 30, 2017

    The overall outlook for small-business credit is stable. Outstanding balances on small-business credit declined slightly in the third quarter, continuing a two-year trend. Delinquency and default rates were steady to declining, and business balance sheets continue to improve. Continued improvement in the labor market and economic growth bodes well for credit performance in the short term. Despite the overall optimism, pockets of localized weakness are developing and will warrant observation over the next few quarters.

  • Webinar: Q2 2017 Quarterly Business Credit Review
    Video Uploaded Date: Sep 15, 2017

    Experian and Moody's Analytics experts present insights from the most recent Experian/Moody's Analytics Main Street Report for Q2 2017.

  • Experian/Moody's Analytics Q2 2017 Main Street Report
    Document Published Date: Aug 8, 2017

    Small-business delinquency rates experienced broad-based improvement in the second quarter. With job growth expected to continue, putting more money in consumers’ pockets, small businesses will continue to outperform in the short term. As performance on small-business loans and lines of credit improves, credit is expected to flow more freely as banks and other lenders compete for business. Although tax reform and infrastructure investment could provide an additional boost to small-business activity, consumer spending will be the driving force for small-business credit over the next quarter — and throughout the rest of the year. Read our blog post for more details.

  • Experian/Moody's Analytics Q1 2017 Main Street Report
    Document Published Date: Aug 7, 2017

    Credit utilization rates expanded briskly in the first quarter of 2017. Taken with upside risk, which at the moment outweighs downside risk, credit conditions for small businesses are looking up. Rates of severe delinquency are declining broadly, and credit constraints should ease as a result. However, balance growth is threatened by the lack of clarity regarding fiscal policies. Small-business credit will be defined this year by what happens with the potential revisions to government policies and how full or nearly full employment translates into activity for small firms.

  • Experian/Moody's Analytics Q4 2016 Main Street Report
    Document Published Date: Feb 27, 2017

    Small business credit balances expanded broadly in the fourth quarter driving delinquency rates down. Taken with upside risk, which at the moment outweighs downside risk, credit conditions for small businesses are looking up. Balances are growing in the Southeast and West, and delinquency rates are low throughout the country. The theme for 2017 will be robust balance growth and falling delinquencies. Combined with the prospect of tax reform, small businesses look set to thrive in the near future.

  • Experian/Moody's Analytics Q3 2016 Main Street Report
    Document Published Date: Nov 15, 2016

    Small-business credit declined slightly in the third quarter, led by the mining and transportation/utility industries. Businesses have access to plenty of credit, and utilization rates remain low. The low delinquency/bankruptcy environment combined with low utilization rates leads to an overall positive outlook over the next several quarters. However, this optimism could change rapidly if interest rates rise or slow economic growth persists. Agriculture and construction credit remain bright points in the small-business credit outlook. Despite some downside risks, the sectors remain stable and well-positioned for growth.

  • Experian/Moody's Analytics Q2 2016 Main Street Report
    Document Published Date: Aug 25, 2016

    The Experian/Moody’s Analytics Main Street Report brings deep insight into the overall financial well-being of the small-business landscape. Small-business credit conditions improved in the second quarter. With the exception of some specific segments, delinquency and bankruptcy rates declined. Sentiment among small businesses is positive, with 11 percent planning to increase employment and 26 percent considering additional capital investment. Despite some downside risks, the sectors remain stable and well-positioned for growth.

  • Experian/Moody's Analytics Q1 2016 Main Street Report
    Document Published Date: Jul 1, 2016

    Experian®, the leading global information services company, and Moody’s Analytics have teamed up to develop the new Experian/Moody’s Analytics Main Street Report. Unlike previous quarterly analyses, the new report brings deeper insight into the overall financial well-being of the small-business landscape, as well as providing commentary around what certain trends mean for credit grantors and the small-business community as a whole. Key factors of the Main Street Report include a combination of business credit data (credit balances, delinquency rates, utilization rates, etc.) and macroeconomic information (employment rates, income, retail sales, investments, etc.).