In a fight for survival small businesses have turned to layoffs and borrowing as they attempt to reach the other side of COVID-19. Increasing borrowing is helping to mask rising late-stage delinquencies and bankruptcy. Layoffs and borrowing can only mask weakness for so long until a reckoning will arrive. A new round of government stimulus could mitigate this reckoning but doesn’t appear likely to arrive before year’s end. This will push more small businesses to again borrow for survival. When new borrowing is no longer a necessity delinquency and bankruptcies will rise.
The Summer 2023 report contains several insights on the economic landscape impacting small businesses, among them — rising delinquencies being a significant concern. The latest report emphasizes the need for strategic planning and careful management of debt, along with an understanding of broader economic factors that may impact small business performance.
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The Spring report contains several insights on small business performance including - delinquencies are rising for small businesses across regions and products, and businesses are making decisions about how they repay debt. The economy will slow in 2023, and consumer and small business credit health and spending behavior will adjust to the new reality. Cashflows will be tested in industry segments focused on home-based work/life as the labor force returns to the office, but some businesses require hybrid work schedules to encourage collaboration and a more connected work environment.
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Small businesses are struggling to access inventory, components, and staff due to the pandemic's impact on the supply chain. However, emerging small business growth has been explosive during the pandemic, with businesses adapting to the high demand, low supply market by focusing on digital experiences. Small businesses are also focusing on diversity, equity, and inclusion initiatives to create a more inclusive small business ecosystem. Subscribe to this quarterly report here or follow our full suite of quarterly insights on our Commercial Insights Hub.
The Fall 2022 Beyond The Trends report focuses on the retail industry and small business strategies. Key points include: 1) Lenders tightening credit criteria, affecting small business loan availability. 2) With declining consumer demand, businesses must prioritize repayments, and lenders need to plan for delinquent accounts. 3) Retailers can attract consumers during the 2022 holiday season by providing personalized experiences, utilizing social media, and optimizing their online presence. Subscribe to this quarterly report here or follow our full suite of quarterly insights on our Commercial Insights Hub.
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