Report
As small businesses prepare for growth - tariffs take center stage
Published December 3, 2024
Commercial Commercial Insights Credit & Economic Trends Economic & Market Insights
The U.S. (United States) has been in a state of suspended animation from a small business perspective. The domestic election cycle was full of promises focused on government spending to resolve consumer and small business perceived challenges for the next four years. As we emerge from the election cycle, with a clean transition expected, what rhetoric will become a reality is creating uncertainty among lenders and small businesses. Macroeconomic indicators are leaning positive, while stubborn inflation increases prices and borrowing costs. Lenders are targeting a looser environment for underwriting as cashflows remain positive and small businesses feel the rush of holiday shopping. Growth is coming in 2025; the question is how quickly companies can prepare and maneuver through the next 6 months of policy and global volatility.
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Leisure and Hospitality Resilience and Recovery
The latest Experian Commercial Pulse Report highlights a remarkable rebound for the Leisure & Hospitality sector:
✈️ TSA screened 903M+ passengers in 2024—a 6.5% increase over pre-pandemic levels.
🏨 Hotel occupancy rates are recovering, though still below pre-pandemic levels, as corporate travel remains reduced.
📊 Credit risk scores across subsectors are steadily improving, reflecting stabilizing financial health.
These trends showcase the sector’s resilience, supported by lower travel inflation and strong consumer demand despite economic pressures.
Credit managers, are you leveraging these insights to adjust your strategies?
Check out the full report to see how these trends could impact your strategy!
Report
2024 Q4 Lending Conditions Chartbook
The economy is heading into the new year on solid footing and the credit environment is showing early signs of stabilizing after two years of rising delinquency, tighter lending standards, and slowing credit growth. In the Q4 Lending Conditions Chartbook, Chief Economist Joseph Mayans breaks down key economic trends and dives deep into the latest developments in credit conditions across products and regions.
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Navigating Industry-Specific Risks
As published on the Business Information blog, Experian's latest Commercial Pulse Report highlights how risk profiles vary significantly by industry and business age.
🔹 New businesses in sectors like Construction and Food Services face higher delinquency rates, signaling elevated credit risks.
🔹 Meanwhile, industries like Retail and Healthcare maintain stable performance, regardless of business maturity—offering balanced opportunities for lenders.
Understanding these dynamics is critical for tailoring lending strategies, mitigating risk, and supporting business growth across industries.
Check out the full report to see how these trends could impact your strategy!