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Published August 12, 2025
Credit & Economic Trends Economic & Market Insights
The latest Jobs Report casts doubt on the Fed’s (and many economists’) narrative that the labor market is on solid footing. New data now show that job creation is near stall speed and other areas of the economy are slowing as well. This data, combined with a growing view that the impact of tariffs on inflation will neither be as significant as first anticipated (though still meaningful) nor as persistent, is likely to lead the Fed to cut rates at their September meeting. Get the latest on these trends, plus our new Fed rate cut forecast in Joseph Mayans' latest Macro Moment, "Rate Cuts Incoming."
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Read our first-annual 2026 Public Sector Trends & Impact Report to understand the forces reshaping agency operations and trust:
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Read our first-ever State of Energy and Utilities Report examining the forces shaping the industry this year.
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After outperforming expectations in 2025, the U.S. economy heads into 2026 with momentum - and meaningful risks. This Macro Moment explores the forces shaping the year ahead, from AI-driven growth and consumer resilience to evolving credit conditions and labor market uncertainty, helping leaders prepare for what’s next. Key takeaways include:
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As the credit card landscape evolves, understanding how consumers and businesses are adapting has never been more important.
Our second annual State of Credit Cards Report provides a timely update on key market dynamics and dives into an often-overlooked segment within credit card portfolios: business accounts.
Key takeaways: