Report
Published August 13, 2024
Commercial Commercial Insights Credit & Economic Trends Economic & Market Insights
The excitement of a U.S. Election cycle in the fall, a cooling economy, rising unemployment, and a turbulent international landscape all play into a fall filled with anxious sentiment but stable cash flows. The economy has been humming at a stable pace over the last two quarters. Consumers have been spending their wage gains while not overleveraging their cards. This stability in the market has led small businesses to operate in the U.S. at pace with expectations. Growth has been slow as credit markets, although open, have tightened underwriting policies that limit both the consumer and small business from gaining access to low-cost funding to enter a season of true growth in the U.S. The economy is cooling, and the market expectations for a Federal Funds Rate cut are rising.
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Uncertainty is fueling entrepreneurial activity
Economic uncertainty is often seen as a deterrent to growth, but for many Americans, it’s become the fuel for a fresh start. As inflation wavers and traditional employment structures shift, more individuals are stepping out of corporate roles to pursue business ownership. In this week’s Commercial Pulse Report, we take a closer look at what’s driving this wave of entrepreneurial activity.
Check out the full report to see how these trends could impact your strategy!
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The State of U.S. Rental Housing Market Report 2025
The 2025 U.S. rental market reflects broader economic conditions, shaped by shifting market forces and ongoing uncertainty. Landlords and property managers are navigating a complex landscape where understanding renter behavior, affordability challenges, and macroeconomic pressures is key to maintaining stable occupancy. By staying informed on these trends, they can better attract and retain long-term tenants.
Key Insights:
- Renter Financial Pressure: Renters across all demographics are facing rising debt and affordability issues, impacting their housing stability.
- Rent-to-Income Imbalance: Rent prices continue to rise faster than incomes, increasing the financial burden on tenants nationwide.
- Macroeconomic Impact: Factors like interest rates, unemployment, and housing development are reshaping rental market dynamics.
- Strategic Adaptation Needed: Landlords must adapt to evolving renter preferences and market conditions to ensure long-term success.
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Industry-specific risk models
The latest Experian Commercial Pulse Report provides a sharp look at how recent economic shifts are impacting small businesses across the U.S., with a special focus on supply chains, specifically the transportation industry, which is experiencing fallout from changing trade policies. Are industry-specific models effective in mitigating risk?
Check out the full report to see how these trends could impact your strategy!
Report
Uncertainty, AI, and White-Collar Hiring
While the US labor market remains on decent footing, it has become increasingly challenging to land a job. For lenders, current dynamics suggest there could be greater-than-expected stress in higher-income households and in the Prime credit segments of the market if layoffs increase and job opportunities for these workers remain scarce. Insights include:
- Businesses are scaling back on hiring due to economic uncertainty and AI uptake
- Employment in both tech-centric and broader professional and business services has been stagnant
- Higher-educated/white-collar workers feeling the strain of a challenging job market