Report
Published August 29, 2023
Commercial Commercial Insights Economic & Market InsightsLenders are tightening underwriting criteria due to high delinquencies among consumers and small businesses amid inflation. People are revising their spending and investment plans. While technology companies thrive, sectors like logistics, Utilities, and Healthcare face challenges. Supply chain issues are easing, but reduced demand affects inventory orders, impacting trucking and logistics with lower tonnage and mileage. Consumers show resilience, bolstered by a strong job market, wage growth, and lower energy and food costs. However, dwindling savings and increased reliance on unsecured debt, along with the resumption of debt obligations like student loans, and ongoing inflation, put pressure on consumers. Recession fears are easing, but concerns for 2024 remain.
Complete the form to access the report
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Thank you for your interest
Your free Experian resource is now available. Enjoy!
Video
Industry-specific risk models
The latest Experian Commercial Pulse Report provides a sharp look at how recent economic shifts are impacting small businesses across the U.S., with a special focus on supply chains, specifically the transportation industry, which is experiencing fallout from changing trade policies. Are industry-specific models effective in mitigating risk?
Check out the full report to see how these trends could impact your strategy!
Report
Uncertainty, AI, and White-Collar Hiring
While the US labor market remains on decent footing, it has become increasingly challenging to land a job. For lenders, current dynamics suggest there could be greater-than-expected stress in higher-income households and in the Prime credit segments of the market if layoffs increase and job opportunities for these workers remain scarce. Insights include:
- Businesses are scaling back on hiring due to economic uncertainty and AI uptake
- Employment in both tech-centric and broader professional and business services has been stagnant
- Higher-educated/white-collar workers feeling the strain of a challenging job market
Webinar
Macroeconomic forecasting and regional trends - May 2025
As we progress through 2025, economic conditions continue to shift as uncertainty climbs. Discover our experts' insights on how they anticipate the economic landscape to evolve throughout 2025, as they delve into the latest trends and forecasts.
Report
Small Business Resilience Amid Economic Divergence
The latest Experian Commercial Pulse Report reveals a complex but fascinating picture of the U.S. economy and the small business landscape. According to Javier Rodriquez-Paiva’s research, while headline indicators suggest moderation, like slowing inflation and a steady unemployment rate, beneath the surface, disparities in recovery and credit performance continue to deepen.
Check out the full report to see how these trends could impact your strategy!