2025 Data Breach Industry Forecast

If we go into a recession, what does it mean for lending activity? What does it mean for delinquency? As banks, credit unions and fintechs grapple with these questions, sometimes it helps to look to the past for guidance.

In this latest Macro Moment, take a quick look back at prior recessions and their impact on unemployment, delinquency, and loan growth. Key insights include:

• In the last five downturns, unemployment peaked an average of three quarters after the recession ended.
  
• In the last four recessions, 30+ DPD delinquency on all loans increased by an average 1.6 percentage points.
  
• In the prior five recessions, quarterly credit growth slowed from 1.9% in the two years in the lead up to recession to -0.1% in the year following a recession.

Lending institutions can gain an edge on the competition by determining what happens when a loan gets booked elsewhere. With loan loss analysis, lenders can learn more about where these lost loans are booked, the average loan amount, the interest rate, the loan term length, and the average risk score.

Analyzing this information can help lenders:

• Improve lead quality
  
• Target the right consumers
  
• Acquire more high-quality loans
  
• Increase cross-sell opportunities

Standard credit scores overlook crucial financial behaviors, leaving 62 million U.S. consumers that are thin file or credit invisible without a score.

With alternative data, lenders can:

• Expand reach with precision
  
• Effectively mitigate risk
  
• Maximize ROI

Download our report for insights into the major financial milestones your consumers are facing including:

• Gen Z’s journey to independently acquire their first credit products
  
• Millennials’ quest to become first-time homebuyers
  
• Baby Boomers and older Gen X reaching retirement