The overall outlook for small-business credit is positive. Outstanding balances rose in the fourth quarter, as did the average balance outstanding per business. Delinquency and default rates rose slightly, suggesting that credit conditions have loosened. Continuing strength in the macroeconomy will keep small business moving in the near term, along with higher profits from the recently passed tax legislation. Small-business credit will be less certain in the medium to long term as rising wages and tax code changes take a toll.
The Summer 2023 report contains several insights on the economic landscape impacting small businesses, among them — rising delinquencies being a significant concern. The latest report emphasizes the need for strategic planning and careful management of debt, along with an understanding of broader economic factors that may impact small business performance.
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The Spring report contains several insights on small business performance including - delinquencies are rising for small businesses across regions and products, and businesses are making decisions about how they repay debt. The economy will slow in 2023, and consumer and small business credit health and spending behavior will adjust to the new reality. Cashflows will be tested in industry segments focused on home-based work/life as the labor force returns to the office, but some businesses require hybrid work schedules to encourage collaboration and a more connected work environment.
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Small businesses are struggling to access inventory, components, and staff due to the pandemic's impact on the supply chain. However, emerging small business growth has been explosive during the pandemic, with businesses adapting to the high demand, low supply market by focusing on digital experiences. Small businesses are also focusing on diversity, equity, and inclusion initiatives to create a more inclusive small business ecosystem. Subscribe to this quarterly report here or follow our full suite of quarterly insights on our Commercial Insights Hub.
The Fall 2022 Beyond The Trends report focuses on the retail industry and small business strategies. Key points include: 1) Lenders tightening credit criteria, affecting small business loan availability. 2) With declining consumer demand, businesses must prioritize repayments, and lenders need to plan for delinquent accounts. 3) Retailers can attract consumers during the 2022 holiday season by providing personalized experiences, utilizing social media, and optimizing their online presence. Subscribe to this quarterly report here or follow our full suite of quarterly insights on our Commercial Insights Hub.
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