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Commercial Pulse Report 3-25-2025
Published March 25, 2025
Commercial Economic & Market Insights Fraud Management Commercial InsightsThis week’s Commercial Pulse Report from Experian reveals critical shifts in the economy for small businesses. Inflation eased slightly to 2.8%, and the Small Business Index ticked up to 41.5—signs of stabilization. But rising financial fraud remains a major concern. Also:
🔒 70% increase in fraud since the pandemic
🧠 $40B in projected losses from AI-driven scams by 2027
📊 46% of SMB loan applications showed signs of first-party fraud
Lenders are responding with AI-powered analytics and cross-industry collaboration to stay ahead of these threats.
Check out the full report to see how these trends could impact your strategy!
Commercial Pulse Update
Watch our summary of commercial highlights from the latest report.
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Used Cars Surge as Credit Tightens: The Auto Industry’s Balancing Act
As the automotive sector adapts to rising vehicle prices, shifting consumer behavior, and persistent inflation, the ripple effects are clearly visible in commercial credit activity. Experian’s latest Commercial Pulse Report (July 22, 2025) dives deep into the evolving credit dynamics within the auto industry—and one trend is clear: credit access is contracting across nearly every segment.
Check out the full report to see how these trends could impact your strategy!
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E-commerce is booming but fewer businesses seek credit
This week the Experian Commercial Pulse report focuses in on a fascinating paradox in the e-commerce industry that credit and risk management professionals should closely monitor. While online retail revenues continue their upward trajectory—now representing over 16% of total U.S. retail sales and generating quarterly revenues exceeding $300 billion—commercial credit inquiries from e-commerce businesses have declined by nearly 25% in the past year alone.
Check out the full report to see how these trends could impact your strategy!
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Q2 2025 Lending Conditions Chartbook
While the US economy has so far avoided the worst-feared outcomes of higher tariffs, there remains significant uncertainty and concern over outlook, which is driving caution among lenders. In our just-released Q2 2025 Lending Conditions Chartbook, we break down the latest economic developments and do a deep dive into credit conditions across product segments, regions, and lender types. Key insights include:
- Unemployment remains low, but there are ongoing signs of softening in the labor market.
- Real incomes have improved somewhat after softening for most of 2024, which may continue to support consumer spending.
- The housing market continues to be constrained by high prices and interest rates, which are impacting affordability.
Webinar
The 2025 State of U.S. Rental Housing Market Webinar
Join Experian for an exclusive look into the forces reshaping the rental housing landscape. This webinar reveals how shifting renter demographics, rising affordability pressures, and evolving credit behaviors are impacting the market. Discover actionable insights on rent trends, payment risk, and the power of rent reporting—plus, get ahead of macroeconomic shifts influencing housing demand in 2025.