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Commercial Pulse Report 3-25-2025
Published March 25, 2025
Commercial Economic & Market Insights Fraud Management Commercial InsightsThis week’s Commercial Pulse Report from Experian reveals critical shifts in the economy for small businesses. Inflation eased slightly to 2.8%, and the Small Business Index ticked up to 41.5—signs of stabilization. But rising financial fraud remains a major concern. Also:
- 70% increase in fraud since the pandemic
- $40B in projected losses from AI-driven scams by 2027
- 46% of fraudulent SMB loan applications include signs of first-party fraud
Lenders are responding with AI-powered analytics and cross-industry collaboration to stay ahead of these threats.
Check out the full report to see how these trends could impact your strategy!
Commercial Pulse Update
Watch our summary of commercial highlights from the latest report.
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Report
2026 State of fintech report
Read the latest State of Fintech Report to see strategy playbook fintechs are implementing in 2026 and beyond. Key insights include:
- How fintech leaders are balancing growth, fraud risk and portfolio performance
- Why data strategy is becoming a competitive advantage in credit decisioning
- How identity, credit and behavioral signals are enabling smarter lifecycle decisions
- Practical actions fintech organizations can take to grow with confidence in 2026
Webinar
Tracking first-party fraud: Industry benchmarks
Understand how first-party fraud is changing across financial institutions and what it means for your organization. Learn from Experian experts using industry benchmark data.
- Explore year-over-year first-party fraud trends
- Compare fraud rates across banks, credit unions and fintechs
- Learn practical strategies to benchmark and strengthen fraud prevention
White Paper
The State of Decisioning: Competitive Advantage with AI
Discover where leading institutions are taking decisioning:
- Explores why intelligent decisioning is becoming a competitive advantage for financial institutions.
- Examines research on AI, data, governance and decision intelligence.
- Highlights common modernization challenges and practical strategies for improving decision outcomes.
eBook
Uncover Hidden Risk in Prime Credit Portfolios
Discover how lenders can strengthen prime portfolio performance by combining traditional credit risk strategies with first-party fraud analytics to identify hidden risk and improve early payment default detection.
Key insights:
- Traditional credit scores measure ability to repay but may not identify consumers with no intent to repay.
- First-party fraud models can uncover hidden early payment default risk within prime portfolios and improve risk segmentation.
- Research shows measurable lift in early delinquency detection and ROI when fraud analytics complement credit scoring.