Q3 2018 Experian/Moody's Analytics Main Street Report

Document: Published Nov 7, 2018

The overall outlook for small-business credit is positive, but some industries such as construction have a negative outlook. Outstanding balances rose in the third quarter, as did the average balance per business. Delinquency rates are stable around their current levels, but this could change quickly if risks mount for certain industries. Continuing strength in the economy should keep small business credit performance in check through the fourth quarter and early next year. Rising interest rates, destabilizing trade policy, and slowing home price growth are potential sources of trouble that are already starting to impact some regions.

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