Report
Published November 21, 2025
Economic & Market Insights
The longest U.S. government shutdown has paused official labor data, but private-sector insights reveal key trends shaping the job market. Alternative sources show slowing job creation, modestly higher unemployment, and signs of resilience consistent with the Fed’s outlook.
- Job growth weakened in late 2025 across major indicators
- Layoff announcements rose, but claims remain low
- Unemployment edged up in line with Fed projections
- Labor market stress remains relatively contained
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