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Commercial Pulse Report | 10/14/2025
Published October 14, 2025
Commercial Commercial Insights Credit & Economic Trends Economic & Market Insights
Experian’s latest Commercial Pulse Report dives into the financial health of the restaurant sector amid rising costs and shifting consumer behavior.
Key insights:
- Menu prices at Full-Service Restaurants rose 4.6% in August — outpacing inflation.
- Limited-Service Restaurants are showing improved credit risk scores, suggesting stronger adaptability.
- Credit access is tightening across the board, with average credit limits falling below $6,000.
- Revolving credit utilization is climbing — an early signal of potential cash flow strain.
What does this mean for lenders and decision makers?
✅ Not all restaurant types face the same risks.
✅ Segmenting credit strategies is more important than ever.
✅ Watch utilization and inquiry trends closely — they may be early indicators of distress.
Check out the full report to see how these trends could impact your strategy!
Commercial Pulse Update
Watch our summary of commercial highlights from the latest report.
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Report
Q4 2025 Lending Conditions Chartbook
Despite tariff headwinds in 2025, the U.S. economy exceeded expectations and is positioned for continued growth. Improving credit dynamics point to a stronger lending environment in 2026.
- Solid economic momentum heading into the new year
- Improving lending standards and rising credit demand
- Stable delinquency trends support healthier credit conditions
White Paper
Closing the credit gap
Read the latest findings about "Closing the credit gap" white paper, and what they mean for financial inclusion and risk management.
Key insights:
- Income and credit trends reveal significant disparities that impact access to financial products.
- Demographic shifts across gender, household structures, ethnicities, and generations are reshaping borrower profiles.
- Lenders who adapt their strategies and product offerings can expand their customer base, reduce default rates, and lead in inclusive finance.
Report
The Alt Labor Story
The longest U.S. government shutdown has paused official labor data, but private-sector insights reveal key trends shaping the job market. Alternative sources show slowing job creation, modestly higher unemployment, and signs of resilience consistent with the Fed’s outlook.
- Job growth weakened in late 2025 across major indicators
- Layoff announcements rose, but claims remain low
- Unemployment edged up in line with Fed projections
- Labor market stress remains relatively contained
Webinar
Macroeconomic forecasting and credit trends - November 2025
As we step closer to 2026, all eyes remain on the economic outlook, the labor market and consumer health. Experian’s Chief Economist Joseph Mayans, Director of Fintech Gavin Harding and Solution Insights Director Amanda Roth, will provide a look into:
- The latest economic and credit trends
- Labor market and consumer health
- Student loan update