Small-business credit conditions are positive, but headwinds are building

Q3 Report findings

The overall outlook for small-business credit is positive, but some industries such as construction have a negative outlook. Outstanding balances rose in the third quarter, as did the average balance per business. Delinquency rates are stable around their current levels, but this could change quickly if risks mount for certain industries. Continuing strength in the economy should keep small-business credit performance in check through the fourth quarter and early next year. Rising interest rates, destabilizing trade policy and slowing home-price growth are potential sources of trouble that are already starting to impact some regions.

About the report

Developed by Experian® the leading global information services company, and Moody’s Analytics, the new Experian/Moody’s Analytics Main Street Report brings deep insight into the overall financial well-being of the small-business landscape, as well as providing commentary around what certain trends mean for credit grantors and the small-business community as a whole. Key factors comprised by the Main Street Report include a combination of business credit data (credit balances, delinquency rates, utilization rates, etc.) and macroeconomic information (employment rates, income, retail sales, investments, etc.).

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