After only one quarter there is no doubt the theme of 2020 is the pandemic, Covid-19. Unrelated to the pandemic and subsequent shuttering of a swath of economies across the world, delinquencies rose in the first quarter. This was occurring as businesses reduced their borrowing. Lower borrowing will not have lasted long as government efforts to aid small business have taken the form of SBA lending. Nevertheless, 2020 will be a year of deteriorating performance and rising bankruptcies for small enterprises.
The Experian/Moody’s Analytics Main Street Report brings deep insight into the overall financial well-being of the small-business landscape, as well as providing commentary around what certain trends mean for credit grantors and the small-business community. Key factors in the Main Street Report include a combination of business credit data (e.g., credit balances, delinquency rates, utilization rates) and macroeconomic information (e.g., employment rates, income, retail sales, industrial production).