The AutoCheck FREE Flood Risk Check site has been updated with data from Kentucky, Colorado, Texas, and Missouri floods New cars continue to be in short supply due to the microchip shortage, so consumers quickly turned their attention to used cars. Unfortunately, dealers continue to struggle with obtaining enough used car inventory to meet demand. To add to an already challenging time, Mother Nature has brought record flooding in multiple areas of the United States. It’s more important than ever that dealers be careful about obtaining pre-owned cars that could potentially have flood damage. The best way to mitigate the risk of purchasing a flood damaged vehicle is to start by running an AutoCheck Free Flood Risk Check. Visitors simply enter any vehicle's 17-digit VIN and the tool will check for flood brands and provide information if the vehicle was registered in a region impacted by a FEMA disaster declaration. Two levels of reporting available The first level of reporting determines whether the vehicle has been titled/registered 12 months prior in a county that has been identified as requiring public and individual assistance (FEMA categories A and B) for a FEMA-declared major disaster. This would yield a “Yes” result. For instance, you would get a “Yes” result if the vehicle was registered in an impacted area during the time of a FEMA-declared major Hurricane disaster. The “Yes” result should not be interpreted as confirmation of flood damage or even possible flood damage. The data is provided merely as information regarding the location of the vehicle’s registration/title history so users can be aware of risk exposure. For example, the Hurricane Ida region had thousands of damaged cars, but some cars in the region may not have been damaged by the hurricane — the owner could have driven the car when they evacuated, or a child or other family member may have been out of town with the car when the hurricane hit. The second level of reporting is based on search results from Experian data such as flood title and problem records, including flood State title brands, auction flood announcements, salvage auction flood designations, and other vehicle records determined by Experian to relate to or suggest an increased likelihood of flood damage or risk exposure. It takes time for claims and updates to vehicle title information to appear on a vehicle’s history and although the DMV requires that title brands be issued for vehicles damaged by floods, not every vehicle flood event is reported by car owners. Unreported flood events may not appear on an AutoCheck Flood Risk Check or AutoCheck Vehicle History Report. Although Experian provides flood related records from available data sources, we cannot provide assurance that an AutoCheck Flood Risk Check that does not produce any records means that the subject vehicle has not experienced flood damage. That’s why it’s important to review a full AutoCheck Vehicle History Report, which—in addition to potential flood damage—includes reported accidents, branded titles, recalls, number of owners and more. Once you run the full Vehicle History Report we recommend an independent evaluation and inspection of the vehicle to determine and confirm a vehicle’s condition prior to purchase. Try the AutoCheck Flood Risk Check today to help mitigate the risk of purchasing flood damaged vehicles. Not an AutoCheck subscriber?  Contact us to become an AutoCheck client.

According to Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q2 2022, the average new vehicle interest loan rate for consumers with a credit score between 501 and 600, also referred to as subprime, was 9.75%—compared to prime consumers with a credit score between 661 and 780, who had an average new vehicle interest loan rate of 4.03% this quarter.

Fraud mitigation is an ongoing process to identify suspected fraud quickly and manage any fallout without increasing risk.

Financial elder abuse fraud occurs when someone illegally uses a senior’s money or other property. Previngting it requires a robust fraud solution.

Between social unrest across the globe, the lingering pandemic, and the digital transformation brought on by the health crisis, the fraud landscape has expanded dramatically for businesses and consumers alike. According to Experian’s latest global identity and fraud report, 93% of U.S. companies have mid-to-high concern for fraud, and 81% say that their worries about fraud have increased over the past 12 months. Monitoring unused or dormant accounts for fraud is often a warning directed at consumers. However, it’s now advice an increasing number of businesses are wishing they’d followed, as growing synthetic identity (SID) fraud is fueling a dramatic increase in losses—SID related charge-offs ballooned to $20 billion in 2021 alone, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. The threat of SIDs SIDs are made to look like an actual consumer, combining both real and fake data to form a new composite identity. They typically evolve using a combination of tactics that include: Identifying and creating relationships with businesses that have a high tolerance for identity discrepancies. These include businesses whose products expose the business to low fraud risk and/or products offered to market segments where identity verification is expected to be challenging. Either of these enable an SID to be planted among consumer data sources. Attaching the SID to existing accounts and relationships that belong to other consumers. Often these existing accounts were established by collusive criminals or by using other SIDs, but there are also ways for legitimate consumers to collect ‘rent’ in exchange for adding other consumers to existing accounts. Either approach improves the SID’s appearance of credit worthiness. Progressively building the SID’s independent ability to access larger and larger amounts of credit until they spend quickly and default on all obligations, leaving no one for the victimized businesses to pursue. “They’re difficult to identify because of the combination of real and fake data and because there’s no actual victim reporting an identity theft. As a result, businesses typically have trouble separating SID losses from credit losses,” said Chris Ryan, Experian’s go-to-market lead for fraud and identity. “SID fraud isn’t committed haphazardly.  It’s carefully planned and executed—and it adapts to policy changes. Some businesses change their underwriting policy or focus on early-lifecycle account activity like purchases, payments, and requests for additional credit to reduce SID losses that occur immediately after an account is opened. SIDs can adapt to this. If six months of responsible account behavior earns a credit line increase or the ability to spend large amounts in a single billing cycle, the perpetrators are willing to wait,” Ryan said. “It’s something businesses and lenders need to be on guard for, especially with the fast-paced holiday shopping season ahead,” he said. Addressing SIDs Solving the increasingly complex problem of SID fraud requires a thoughtful approach. The institutions seeing success at preventing multi-faceted fraud are using a layered approach to identifying and mitigating fraud. Here are three steps lenders can take today to prevent SID fraud across your portfolio: Use data and analytics that extend beyond credit to evaluate identities and their histories more completely. Apply those analytics across the lifecycle from marketing and origination to portfolio management recognizing that SID risk is not restricted to a single lifecycle stage. Have a rigorous verification process that escalates to document verification or the Social Security Administrations Electronic Consent Based SSN Verification (eCBSV) process For more information on how you can leverage a multi-layered approach to fraud in your business, visit our fraud and identity solutions hub or request a call to discuss customizing a solution for your company.

Leasing has long been a popular choice among consumers who want to enjoy the latest vehicle models, but at a lower monthly payment. In fact, the average monthly lease payment was $127 less than a loan payment in Q2 2022. However, in recent quarters, we’ve seen leasing availability decline due to current market conditions. According to Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q2 2022, leasing declined from 27.82% to 19.65% year-over-year, marking the lowest drop in quite some time. When analyzing previous data, leasing comprised 30.41% of all new vehicles in Q2 2018, decreasing to 30.04% in Q2 2019 and 26.58% in Q2 2020. There are likely a number of factors contributing to the decline of leasing over recent years, including the ongoing inventory shortages and OEMs not offering as many incentives, which may result in leasing opportunities becoming less common. Other scenarios can be consumers choosing to extend their lease, or purchase the vehicle once their lease has expired. In Q2 2022, the average monthly lease payment increased to $540, from $475 in Q2 2021. Though, the average monthly loan payment for a new vehicle surpassed $600 this quarter—coming in at $667, an $85 year-over-year increase. As automotive professionals continue to navigate through the inventory shortages and subsequent vehicle price increases, understanding the landscape and what options are available for consumers will be critical. One way to keep on top of the trends is analyzing the pricing options for the most popular leased models, which will enable more informed decisions in the months to come. Average monthly payment for top leased models As previously mentioned, there was an average payment difference of $127 between a lease and a loan in Q2 2022. However, that’s just an average, and these numbers can vary based on the vehicle type. For example, the average monthly lease payment for a Honda Civic was $363 in Q2 2022, as opposed to the average monthly loan payment of $476. In comparison, the average monthly lease payment for a Ford F-150 came in at $516 this quarter, compared to the average monthly loan payment of $832. While a pickup truck may typically have a higher average monthly lease payment than a sedan, consumers are continuing to choose larger vehicles, overall. In Q2 2022, there was only one sedan that made up the top leased vehicles—with the Ford F-150 having the highest leasing registration volume, comprising 2.3% this quarter. Rounding out the top five were Chevrolet Equinox (2.27%), Honda CR-V (2.16%), Honda Civic (2.09%), and Ram 1500 (1.81%). Despite the overall decline in leasing over the past year, it continues to be a financing option that consumers can consider amid vehicle prices increasing. Knowing what vehicles are most prevalent as well as their price points will allow professionals to create strategies that cater to the most current consumer financing preferences during their search for a vehicle that fits their needs. To learn more about leasing and other automotive finance trends, watch the entire State of the Automotive Finance Market: Q2 2022 presentation on demand.

Earlier this year, I explored the potential impact of the end of the current Public Health Emergency (PHE). The U.S. federal government has been operating under a PHE for COVID-19 for more than 30 consecutive months since it was initially announced in January 2020. On July 15, 2022, this PHE was renewed for a tenth time. Following this latest extension, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) has released a roadmap for the end of the COVID-19 PHE. In a related blog, they reiterate the commitment to provide a 60-day notice prior to the end of the PHE, but urge states and healthcare providers to prepare for the end “as soon as possible.” With these upcoming changes in mind, I wanted to review key areas for providers to consider as they prepare for the end of the PHE. Enrollments continue to increase, putting state budgets at risk From the start of the PHE in February 2020 through April 2022, Medicaid/Children’s Health Insurance Plan (CHIP) enrollment has increased by more than 17M people and this is affecting every state. Nearly half of all states have experienced an increase of more than 25% during this time period, with some experiencing increases of more than 40%. Given an average Medicaid cost to states of more than $8.4K per capita, that translates to an increase of billions of dollars. Once the PHE expires, states will have 12 months to redetermine eligibility for continued enrollment in the program, or risk bearing 100% of the associated cost. Preparing for the end of the PHE To avoid unnecessary expenditures and ensure that citizens are receiving access to the correct services, states will have to conduct a holistic review of their Medicaid rolls to confirm eligibility. In CMS’s guidance for states to prepare for the end of the PHE, they recommend creating an automated process to handle this unprecedented review. With the right partner, agencies can perform redeterminations of their existing registration rolls, and prepare for future services requests. The right solution can allow citizens to easily apply for benefits, triggering the automatic, real-time pull of income and employment information so that the agency can verify eligibility. Experian is a trusted government partner that is ready to assist states with preparing and automating the process for redetermination of benefits. To learn more about how Experian can assist with citizen benefit redetermination and registration efforts, visit us or request a call. Learn more

To help your marketing dollars go further in 2022, developing multichannel strategies that more efficiently incorporate both traditional and online consumer audiences is key to more effective campaigns. Doing this well requires marketers to understand your consumers and how they best respond to marketing, including what channel (direct mail, email, OTT banner ads) or what message (vehicle reliability, value for dollar, celebrity endorsement) works best. Working with the right partner for audience insights enables you to segment audiences and filter for automotive criteria that drive more targeted, segmented marketing. What are traditional audiences? In most cases, traditional (sometimes referred to as offline) audiences include consumers reached through radio, standard TV, billboards, text, direct mail, or phone calls. To fulfill any traditional audience strategy, a dealer or agency requires consumer Personally Identifiable Information (PII) such as name, email address, mailing address, or phone number. Traditional marketing has also been called direct marketing when the marketing is sent specifically to a home address, email address, or phone number. For instance, when utilizing direct mail, automotive marketers require the most up-to-date consumer information to ensure they reach the correct mailbox. To reduce cost and personalize the marketing experience, the best marketers utilize audience sources based on strong data sets unique to the automotive world. For example, targeting consumers driving a particular vehicle or nearing the end of their lease is more effective than just sending a generic message to an entire geographic area. Even with the explosive growth of digital marketing, direct marketing remains relevant. Consumers still respond and use offers sent to their mailboxes, and personalized mailers still result in vehicle sales or service appointments. While there is a higher cost per thousand than digital marketing, direct marketing still earns an essential place in the automotive retail media mix. What are online audiences? Online audiences are typically consumers reached through 0ver-The-Top (OTT) advertising, banner ads, or addressable TV. When using these marketing channels, PII is not needed. Online marketing can encompass many different methods to reach customers, including social media, email, websites, blogs, and search engine traffic. Nearly every business will benefit from online marketing because it's a great way to reach people where they already are—online. Online marketing has grown in a digital world where so many people rely on their cell phones to organize their day, conduct research, and communicate with the world. According to Tech At Last, “most households now have between 5 and 10 screens. Those numbers include tablets, PCs, notebooks, smartphones, and televisions. These devices include any screen that enables users to watch or read content.1 Audience modeling can help simplify the chaos of digital channel segmentation Utilizing digital channels allows marketers to reach consumers where they increasingly spend their time. Whether it is their Inbox, streaming service, social media, or other digital platforms, knowing consumer preferences makes the marketing experience more meaningful. In other words, capitalizing on audience modeling to determine the best channel and how the consumer engages with the channel can make all the difference. For example, to showcase your new Hybrid, you may not want your video advertising shown on a YouTube channel about construction! The same commercial would resonate far better on a channel with DIY or gardening shows. To best capitalize on addressable TV, 0ver-The-Top advertising, or banner ads, marketers should work with an audience provider who can identify targeted segments based on psychographic, demographic, and geographic data allowing for more effective marketing. Look for a provider like Experian Automotive that can deliver a robust database, extensive consumer insights, and deeply established partnerships for audience activation (social media or TV), allowing your marketing dollars to work harder with extended reach. Whether you are looking to reach consumers online or traditionally, reaching the right consumers with the right message on the right channel is always the goal. To achieve this, working with a third party for audiences built on clean data is necessary. If you can segment the audiences or filter for automotive criteria, your marketing dollars and messaging will go farther! 1TechAtLast (2014) The Average Number of Screens in a Home Has Increased 

I love the random “National” holidays that are popping up. Did you know we recently celebrated National Chocolate Chip Cookie Day? It’s no 4th of July or Labor Day, but I love cookies, so I’m gonna roll with it. Today, we will chat about Identity Resolution in relation to strategic marketing. So, believe it or not, I’m going to tie in Identity Resolution to chocolate chip cookies! (By the way, if you haven’t read my last two blogs, this is a trend! Check it out:) Use Data Insights for an Eagle’s Eye Approach to Marketing (National American Eagle Day) Building the Perfect Audience is Like Building the Perfect Burger (National Hamburger Month) What is identity resolution? Identifying who you want to target as part of a strategic marketing campaign is critical as a marketer in the auto industry. Experian defines this process as identity resolution or “the ability to stitch together and unify the names, addresses, emails, device IDs, cookies (not the yummy kind), and other identifiers associated with customers.” Today’s marketers risk working with outdated, fragmented, or incomplete data without proper identity resolution, which correlates to inefficient campaign targeting and wasted marketing dollars. So, let’s use baking a chocolate cookie as an example. For the perfect cookie, you need flour, white sugar, brown sugar, salt, baking soda, butter, vanilla, eggs, and chocolate chips. There are a lot of ingredients, and you need all of them to make a complete cookie. When it comes to targeting consumers, let’s say you only have fragmented pieces of customer information for a woman who bought a car from you (partial ingredients). You have her name, the address where she lived when she purchased the car, and what looks like a work email address (that has bounced). So, it’s like having the flour, eggs, and sugar for your cookie! But you need the rest of the ingredients for the recipe, and you need to confirm whether any key ingredients have expired or “gone bad.” Or you may have customers you know through analytics who have visited a dealer or OEM website, but you can’t track them down further. You have an electronic footprint but no other identifying data. So, you have the critical ingredient like flour, but it’s not necessarily super helpful unless you have other pieces to complete the recipe. Find the missing ingredients with identity resolution solutions Marketers need to utilize solutions like data hygiene, database management, additional data append, digital identity resolution (to link anonymous online IDs to data assets), and identity graphs to help create a complete view of their customers and prospects. In other words, some solutions can help bring all the ingredients together to make a “whole” cookie or a “whole” customer. You’re ready—add the chocolate chips and bake! I realize that identity resolution can be complicated, so we’ve written a resource with examples/scenarios and the corresponding solutions that can help resolve typical challenges. Download a complimentary copy of Identity Resolution: Helping marketers deliver personalized communication for life. At Experian Automotive, we are experienced in unifying fragmented data points across offline and online touchpoints to create a complete view of your best auto customers and prospects. Feel free to reach out to discuss our solutions or to share your favorite chocolate chip cookie recipe.

Consumers are shifting to used vehicles over new, with a higher percentage of consumers financing used. The move comes as the industry continues to grapple with inventory shortages, driving vehicle values higher.

Reports of romance scams have spiked in the past two years, partly due to the rise in popularity of online dating and social apps while Americans were isolated at home. With more consumers looking for love online, fraudsters have jumped on the chance to build intimate, trusted relationships without the immediate pressure to meet in person. And these shams seemingly paid off: from January 1 to July 31, 2021, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) Internet Crime Complaint Center received over 1,800 complaints related to an online romance scam, resulting in losses of approximately $133 million. These romance scams carry financial and security risks that impact both the targets of the fraud and the businesses with which they interact. Experian predicts that romance scams will continue to rise in 2022, leaving consumers and businesses vulnerable to attacks and theft. What is a romance scam? According to the FBI, a romance scam occurs when “a criminal adopts a fake online identity to gain a victim's affection and trust." Typically, fraudsters seek out their marks in dating or socializing settings, such as online apps, and strive to build intimacy and trust as quickly as possible. To avoid suspicion, they may claim that they travel frequently for work or give other excuses about why they can't meet in person. Their attentions are in the context of love and dating, so it's not uncommon for romance scammers to offer marriage proposals or other commitments to intensify the relationship, but the whole point of this fraud is to get their targets to send money. Sometimes fraudsters simply ask for a “loan" to cover medical expenses, an unforeseen shortfall or even travel costs to see the victim in person. Other times, they might ask for gifts or gift cards. Requests for money ­– whether through direct deposit, gift cards or credit card payments – are all red flags. Increasingly, romance scammers have tried to lure people into investment deals, including cryptocurrency. Romance scams predate the internet by centuries, but the emergence of digital technologies has made them easier to accomplish – and easier to get away with, too. Romance scams are increasing In 2020, there were around 44 million users of online dating services in the United States and this increased to 49 million users in 2021, according to Statista Research Department. By 2022, two years into the COVID-19 pandemic, that number jumped to more than 50 million, and it's projected to rise to 53.3 million by 2025. More users mean more potential targets. According to the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), romance scams hit a record high in 2021, with consumers reporting $547 million in losses that year ­– up 80 percent from 2020. The median individual loss reported to the FTC from romance scams was $2,400. With the help of modern technologies, romance scammers have added new tactics to their grift. For example, in addition to usual requests for money, a target might be asked to participate in bogus investment schemes involving cryptocurrency. In these cases, the median loss was $10,000. According to the FTC, romance scammers have conned Americans out of an estimated $1.3 billion over the past five years. Worryingly, romance scams also present a serious data risk. Damage could spread beyond financial losses into even more hazardous territory if the scammer can gain access to a target's personally identifiable information (PII) or financial data. In these cases, fraudsters might engage in identity theft to create new accounts or take over existing ones. Breaking up with romance scammers Businesses may not be susceptible to the lure of love, but they're still vulnerable when it comes to the fallout from romance scams. Companies must ensure they have a layered solution that seamlessly recognizes returning customers, while monitoring for indicators that the user presenting an identity is not actually the owner of that identity. Some warning signs include logins from a new IP address nowhere near the user's registered physical address; unusual types or frequencies of transactions; and the addition of a suspicious new authorized user to a credit card account. Businesses also have access to fraud prevention help. Using vast data resources, decades of identity and credit risk management, consumer-permissioned data and industry-leading analytics, Experian enables businesses to detect and prevent fraud by identifying credible customers. This empowers businesses to apply the appropriate amount of friction to each interaction to protect their customers, their data and themselves. To learn more about how Experian is assisting businesses with their fraud prevention efforts, visit us or request a call. And keep an eye out for additional in-depth explorations of our Future of Fraud Forecast. Future of Fraud Forecast Fraud Prevention

Income and employment verification processes must be able to meet the demands of today's digital consumer. Learn how you can get it right.

People-based marketing connects businesses with real people, helping them understand who their customers are and how to engage them in more meaningful ways.

According to Experian’s Automotive Market Trends Report: Q1 2022, new vehicle registrations were down 19% from the prior year—declining to 3.4 million. Used registrations went from 11.4 million to 9.9 million year-over-year, decreasing 13.2%.

With the pandemic waning, now is the time for financial institutions to take action on financial inclusion. Read on to learn more!