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Earlier this year, I explored the potential impact of the end of the current Public Health Emergency (PHE). The U.S. federal government has been operating under a PHE for COVID-19 for more than 30 consecutive months since it was initially announced in January 2020. On July 15, 2022, this PHE was renewed for a tenth time. Following this latest extension, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) has released a roadmap for the end of the COVID-19 PHE. In a related blog, they reiterate the commitment to provide a 60-day notice prior to the end of the PHE, but urge states and healthcare providers to prepare for the end “as soon as possible.” With these upcoming changes in mind, I wanted to review key areas for providers to consider as they prepare for the end of the PHE. Enrollments continue to increase, putting state budgets at risk From the start of the PHE in February 2020 through April 2022, Medicaid/Children’s Health Insurance Plan (CHIP) enrollment has increased by more than 17M people and this is affecting every state. Nearly half of all states have experienced an increase of more than 25% during this time period, with some experiencing increases of more than 40%. Given an average Medicaid cost to states of more than $8.4K per capita, that translates to an increase of billions of dollars. Once the PHE expires, states will have 12 months to redetermine eligibility for continued enrollment in the program, or risk bearing 100% of the associated cost. Preparing for the end of the PHE To avoid unnecessary expenditures and ensure that citizens are receiving access to the correct services, states will have to conduct a holistic review of their Medicaid rolls to confirm eligibility. In CMS’s guidance for states to prepare for the end of the PHE, they recommend creating an automated process to handle this unprecedented review. With the right partner, agencies can perform redeterminations of their existing registration rolls, and prepare for future services requests. The right solution can allow citizens to easily apply for benefits, triggering the automatic, real-time pull of income and employment information so that the agency can verify eligibility. Experian is a trusted government partner that is ready to assist states with preparing and automating the process for redetermination of benefits. To learn more about how Experian can assist with citizen benefit redetermination and registration efforts, visit us or request a call. Learn more
To help your marketing dollars go further in 2022, developing multichannel strategies that more efficiently incorporate both traditional and online consumer audiences is key to more effective campaigns. Doing this well requires marketers to understand your consumers and how they best respond to marketing, including what channel (direct mail, email, OTT banner ads) or what message (vehicle reliability, value for dollar, celebrity endorsement) works best. Working with the right partner for audience insights enables you to segment audiences and filter for automotive criteria that drive more targeted, segmented marketing. What are traditional audiences? In most cases, traditional (sometimes referred to as offline) audiences include consumers reached through radio, standard TV, billboards, text, direct mail, or phone calls. To fulfill any traditional audience strategy, a dealer or agency requires consumer Personally Identifiable Information (PII) such as name, email address, mailing address, or phone number. Traditional marketing has also been called direct marketing when the marketing is sent specifically to a home address, email address, or phone number. For instance, when utilizing direct mail, automotive marketers require the most up-to-date consumer information to ensure they reach the correct mailbox. To reduce cost and personalize the marketing experience, the best marketers utilize audience sources based on strong data sets unique to the automotive world. For example, targeting consumers driving a particular vehicle or nearing the end of their lease is more effective than just sending a generic message to an entire geographic area. Even with the explosive growth of digital marketing, direct marketing remains relevant. Consumers still respond and use offers sent to their mailboxes, and personalized mailers still result in vehicle sales or service appointments. While there is a higher cost per thousand than digital marketing, direct marketing still earns an essential place in the automotive retail media mix. What are online audiences? Online audiences are typically consumers reached through 0ver-The-Top (OTT) advertising, banner ads, or addressable TV. When using these marketing channels, PII is not needed. Online marketing can encompass many different methods to reach customers, including social media, email, websites, blogs, and search engine traffic. Nearly every business will benefit from online marketing because it's a great way to reach people where they already are—online. Online marketing has grown in a digital world where so many people rely on their cell phones to organize their day, conduct research, and communicate with the world. According to Tech At Last, “most households now have between 5 and 10 screens. Those numbers include tablets, PCs, notebooks, smartphones, and televisions. These devices include any screen that enables users to watch or read content.1 Audience modeling can help simplify the chaos of digital channel segmentation Utilizing digital channels allows marketers to reach consumers where they increasingly spend their time. Whether it is their Inbox, streaming service, social media, or other digital platforms, knowing consumer preferences makes the marketing experience more meaningful. In other words, capitalizing on audience modeling to determine the best channel and how the consumer engages with the channel can make all the difference. For example, to showcase your new Hybrid, you may not want your video advertising shown on a YouTube channel about construction! The same commercial would resonate far better on a channel with DIY or gardening shows. To best capitalize on addressable TV, 0ver-The-Top advertising, or banner ads, marketers should work with an audience provider who can identify targeted segments based on psychographic, demographic, and geographic data allowing for more effective marketing. Look for a provider like Experian Automotive that can deliver a robust database, extensive consumer insights, and deeply established partnerships for audience activation (social media or TV), allowing your marketing dollars to work harder with extended reach. Whether you are looking to reach consumers online or traditionally, reaching the right consumers with the right message on the right channel is always the goal. To achieve this, working with a third party for audiences built on clean data is necessary. If you can segment the audiences or filter for automotive criteria, your marketing dollars and messaging will go farther! 1TechAtLast (2014) The Average Number of Screens in a Home Has Increased
I love the random “National” holidays that are popping up. Did you know we recently celebrated National Chocolate Chip Cookie Day? It’s no 4th of July or Labor Day, but I love cookies, so I’m gonna roll with it. Today, we will chat about Identity Resolution in relation to strategic marketing. So, believe it or not, I’m going to tie in Identity Resolution to chocolate chip cookies! (By the way, if you haven’t read my last two blogs, this is a trend! Check it out:) Use Data Insights for an Eagle’s Eye Approach to Marketing (National American Eagle Day) Building the Perfect Audience is Like Building the Perfect Burger (National Hamburger Month) What is identity resolution? Identifying who you want to target as part of a strategic marketing campaign is critical as a marketer in the auto industry. Experian defines this process as identity resolution or “the ability to stitch together and unify the names, addresses, emails, device IDs, cookies (not the yummy kind), and other identifiers associated with customers.” Today’s marketers risk working with outdated, fragmented, or incomplete data without proper identity resolution, which correlates to inefficient campaign targeting and wasted marketing dollars. So, let’s use baking a chocolate cookie as an example. For the perfect cookie, you need flour, white sugar, brown sugar, salt, baking soda, butter, vanilla, eggs, and chocolate chips. There are a lot of ingredients, and you need all of them to make a complete cookie. When it comes to targeting consumers, let’s say you only have fragmented pieces of customer information for a woman who bought a car from you (partial ingredients). You have her name, the address where she lived when she purchased the car, and what looks like a work email address (that has bounced). So, it’s like having the flour, eggs, and sugar for your cookie! But you need the rest of the ingredients for the recipe, and you need to confirm whether any key ingredients have expired or “gone bad.” Or you may have customers you know through analytics who have visited a dealer or OEM website, but you can’t track them down further. You have an electronic footprint but no other identifying data. So, you have the critical ingredient like flour, but it’s not necessarily super helpful unless you have other pieces to complete the recipe. Find the missing ingredients with identity resolution solutions Marketers need to utilize solutions like data hygiene, database management, additional data append, digital identity resolution (to link anonymous online IDs to data assets), and identity graphs to help create a complete view of their customers and prospects. In other words, some solutions can help bring all the ingredients together to make a “whole” cookie or a “whole” customer. You’re ready—add the chocolate chips and bake! I realize that identity resolution can be complicated, so we’ve written a resource with examples/scenarios and the corresponding solutions that can help resolve typical challenges. Download a complimentary copy of Identity Resolution: Helping marketers deliver personalized communication for life. At Experian Automotive, we are experienced in unifying fragmented data points across offline and online touchpoints to create a complete view of your best auto customers and prospects. Feel free to reach out to discuss our solutions or to share your favorite chocolate chip cookie recipe.
With Consumers Focusing on Used Vehicles in Q2 2022, Credit Unions Grab Market Share
Apply Automotive TagConsumers are shifting to used vehicles over new, with a higher percentage of consumers financing used. The move comes as the industry continues to grapple with inventory shortages, driving vehicle values higher.
Reports of romance scams have spiked in the past two years, partly due to the rise in popularity of online dating and social apps while Americans were isolated at home. With more consumers looking for love online, fraudsters have jumped on the chance to build intimate, trusted relationships without the immediate pressure to meet in person. And these shams seemingly paid off: from January 1 to July 31, 2021, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) Internet Crime Complaint Center received over 1,800 complaints related to an online romance scam, resulting in losses of approximately $133 million. These romance scams carry financial and security risks that impact both the targets of the fraud and the businesses with which they interact. Experian predicts that romance scams will continue to rise in 2022, leaving consumers and businesses vulnerable to attacks and theft. What is a romance scam? According to the FBI, a romance scam occurs when “a criminal adopts a fake online identity to gain a victim's affection and trust." Typically, fraudsters seek out their marks in dating or socializing settings, such as online apps, and strive to build intimacy and trust as quickly as possible. To avoid suspicion, they may claim that they travel frequently for work or give other excuses about why they can't meet in person. Their attentions are in the context of love and dating, so it's not uncommon for romance scammers to offer marriage proposals or other commitments to intensify the relationship, but the whole point of this fraud is to get their targets to send money. Sometimes fraudsters simply ask for a “loan" to cover medical expenses, an unforeseen shortfall or even travel costs to see the victim in person. Other times, they might ask for gifts or gift cards. Requests for money – whether through direct deposit, gift cards or credit card payments – are all red flags. Increasingly, romance scammers have tried to lure people into investment deals, including cryptocurrency. Romance scams predate the internet by centuries, but the emergence of digital technologies has made them easier to accomplish – and easier to get away with, too. Romance scams are increasing In 2020, there were around 44 million users of online dating services in the United States and this increased to 49 million users in 2021, according to Statista Research Department. By 2022, two years into the COVID-19 pandemic, that number jumped to more than 50 million, and it's projected to rise to 53.3 million by 2025. More users mean more potential targets. According to the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), romance scams hit a record high in 2021, with consumers reporting $547 million in losses that year – up 80 percent from 2020. The median individual loss reported to the FTC from romance scams was $2,400. With the help of modern technologies, romance scammers have added new tactics to their grift. For example, in addition to usual requests for money, a target might be asked to participate in bogus investment schemes involving cryptocurrency. In these cases, the median loss was $10,000. According to the FTC, romance scammers have conned Americans out of an estimated $1.3 billion over the past five years. Worryingly, romance scams also present a serious data risk. Damage could spread beyond financial losses into even more hazardous territory if the scammer can gain access to a target's personally identifiable information (PII) or financial data. In these cases, fraudsters might engage in identity theft to create new accounts or take over existing ones. Breaking up with romance scammers Businesses may not be susceptible to the lure of love, but they're still vulnerable when it comes to the fallout from romance scams. Companies must ensure they have a layered solution that seamlessly recognizes returning customers, while monitoring for indicators that the user presenting an identity is not actually the owner of that identity. Some warning signs include logins from a new IP address nowhere near the user's registered physical address; unusual types or frequencies of transactions; and the addition of a suspicious new authorized user to a credit card account. Businesses also have access to fraud prevention help. Using vast data resources, decades of identity and credit risk management, consumer-permissioned data and industry-leading analytics, Experian enables businesses to detect and prevent fraud by identifying credible customers. This empowers businesses to apply the appropriate amount of friction to each interaction to protect their customers, their data and themselves. To learn more about how Experian is assisting businesses with their fraud prevention efforts, visit us or request a call. And keep an eye out for additional in-depth explorations of our Future of Fraud Forecast. Future of Fraud Forecast Fraud Prevention
Income and employment verification processes must be able to meet the demands of today's digital consumer. Learn how you can get it right.
People-based marketing connects businesses with real people, helping them understand who their customers are and how to engage them in more meaningful ways.
Economic Challenges Result in Overall Vehicle Registration Volume Declining Through Q1 2022
Apply Automotive TagAccording to Experian’s Automotive Market Trends Report: Q1 2022, new vehicle registrations were down 19% from the prior year—declining to 3.4 million. Used registrations went from 11.4 million to 9.9 million year-over-year, decreasing 13.2%.
With the pandemic waning, now is the time for financial institutions to take action on financial inclusion. Read on to learn more!
Experian’s identity, verification, and fraud solutions can help government agencies of all sizes on their journey to digital modernization.
Whether a consumer has a brand-new or used vehicle, it’s inevitably going to need regular maintenance and require repairs. Fortunately for aftermarket professionals, the aftermarket “sweet spot” is continuously growing—a trend that should be watched closely. Vehicles in the sweet spot are typically between six- to 12-model-years-old and have aged out of general OEM manufacturer warranties for any repairs. Knowing the model year and type of vehicles that are in operation will be important for aftermarket professionals to determine what parts may be needed, and anticipate potential consumer needs. According to Experian’s Automotive Market Trends Report: Q1 2022, 35.8% of vehicles in operation (VIO) now fall within the aftermarket sweet spot, a 6.5% year-over-year increase. It is important to note that the aftermarket sweet spot max volume record of 104 million is expected to be broken over the next 12-18 months, considering the sweet spot volume was 100.3 million through Q1 2022 and the last time it exceeded that number was nine years ago. The increase will create more opportunities for aftermarket professionals as more vehicles will potentially need maintenance. Aftermarket “sweet spot” will continue to grow Right now, the aftermarket sweet spot consists of model years between 2011 and 2017. There were 10.5 million 2011 model year vehicles on the road through Q1 2022, this low volume will transition into the post-sweet spot next year. At the same time, there will be 16.5 million 2018 model year vehicles entering the sweet spot. Furthermore, an estimated 16.7 million vehicles in operation with a 2019 model year and almost 14.3 million vehicles in operation with a 2020 model year will be transitioning into the sweet spot in the next two years. When these model year vehicles enter the sweet spot, the current 12 million vehicles with a 2012 model year and an estimated 13.7 million 2013 model year vehicles will transition into the post-sweet spot, resulting in a notable increase. Watching this data closely will allow aftermarket professionals to continue assisting with maintenance and repairs for these vehicles that are currently on the road, as well as prepare for what’s to come to the aftermarket industry in approaching years. To learn more about other vehicle registration trends, watch the full Automotive Market Trends Report: Q1 2022 presentation on demand.
Online transactions face a higher chance of being declined because face-to-face transactions come with a higher degree of confidence. Businesses who fail to address this problem run the risk of losing the customer permanently, damaging their reputation and bottom line. What can e-commerce marketplace merchants do to increase the approval rate of online payments without making fraud worse? Here are three tips: 1. Broaden access to data beyond what’s in the authorization stream. Merchants use a variety of solutions to prevent fraud and verify identities, but typically use very limited data to approve a transaction through the authorization stream between a merchant and issuer. The issuing bank often only compares the purchase data to the address listed on the card owner’s account, which can create discrepancies when a customer is trying to send an order to an alternate address from their primary home. That’s why it’s important for merchants to augment their decisioning with additional data sources to help inform the true customer risk profile. 2. Leverage capabilities that can assess risk for both the transaction and the individual behind it. Today, merchants leverage limited data including email address data, device information and other technologies in silos to augment their address verification capabilities. The challenge with these tools is that each judge the risk of a specific component of the transaction or the individual. Where integration is lacking, false positives are amplified. 3. Collaborate and share expertise and data across merchants and issuers. How can Experian help? Leveraging our multidimensional data, technical expertise and advanced analytics capabilities, we can help businesses frictionlessly authenticate valid customers, thus increasing revenue by increased approval rates, without increasing fraud or operating expenses. Only Experian Link™, our frictionless credit card owner verification solution can associate payment card with its owner. This solution combines Experian’s vast data assets – including over 500 million credit card account numbers on file in the U.S. across 250 million consumers – with our advanced analytics capabilities to match and assess the risk of the identity attributes presented to the merchant to the identity attributes contributed by the credit card’s issuer and to Experian’s network of credit and identity inquiries. The result: Experian Link’s patent-pending REST API simply and frictionlessly improves a merchant’s customer experience and helps increase revenue while reducing their fraud and operating expenses. Get started with Experian Link™ now. Experian Link
Experian Link helps businesses remove unnecessary friction from card-not-present transactions by authentication consumer identities.
A false decline is a legitimate transaction that is not completed due to suspected fraud or the friction that occurs during verification. Read more.
Learn four best practices for improving consumer engagement while furthering your financial inclusion efforts. Read more!