Tag: lending

Consumers are experiencing the highest loan rejection rates in a decade, driven by strict lending standards.1 While crucial for mitigating risk, these measures can also limit growth opportunities for financial institutions. Our latest one pager explores how cashflow data, obtained from consumer-permissioned transaction data, empowers lenders with unique insights into consumers’ financial health, enabling them to expand their portfolios while managing risk effectively. Read the full one pager to learn how cashflow data can help you make smarter, more confident lending decisions. Access one pager 12024 Q4 Lending Conditions Chartbook, Experian.

We are squarely in the holiday shopping season. From the flurry of promotional emails to the endless shopping lists, there are many to-dos and even more opportunities for financial institutions at this time of year. The holiday shopping season is not just a peak period for consumer spending; it’s also a critical time for financial institutions to strategize, innovate, and drive value. According to the National Retail Federation, U.S. holiday retail sales are projected to approach $1 trillion in 2024, , and with an ever-evolving consumer behavior landscape, financial institutions need actionable strategies to stand out, secure loyalty, and drive growth during this period of heightened spending. Download our playbook: "How to prepare for the Holiday Shopping Season" Here’s how financial institutions can capitalize on the holiday shopping season, including key insights, actionable strategies, and data-backed trends. 1. Understand the holiday shopping landscape Key stats to consider: U.S. consumers spent $210 billion online during the 2022 holiday season, according to Adobe Analytics, marking a 3.5% increase from 2021. Experian data reveals that 31% of all holiday purchases in 2022 occurred in October, highlighting the extended shopping season. Cyber Week accounted for just 8% of total holiday spending, according to Experian’s Holiday Spending Trends and Insights Report, emphasizing the importance of a broad, season-long strategy. What this means for financial institutions: Timing is crucial. Your campaigns are already underway if you get an early start, and it’s critical to sustain them through December. Focus beyond Cyber Week. Develop long-term engagement strategies to capture spending throughout the season. 2. Leverage Gen Z’s growing spending power With an estimated $360 billion in disposable income, according to Bloomberg, Gen Z is a powerful force in the holiday market​. This generation values personalized, seamless experiences and is highly active online. Strategies to capture Gen Z: Offer digital-first solutions that enhance the holiday shopping journey, such as interactive portals or AI-powered customer support. Provide loyalty incentives tailored to this demographic, like cash-back rewards or exclusive access to services. Learn more about Gen Z in our State of Gen Z Report. To learn more about all generations' projected consumer spending, read new insights from Experian here, including 45% of Gen X and 52% of Boomers expect their spending to remain consistent with last year. 3. Optimize pre-holiday strategies Portfolio Review: Assess consumer behavior trends and adjust risk models to align with changing economic conditions. Identify opportunities to engage dormant accounts or offer tailored credit lines to existing customers. Actionable tactics: Expand offerings. Position your products and services with promotional campaigns targeting high-value segments. Personalize experiences. Use advanced analytics to segment clients and craft offers that resonate with their holiday needs or anticipate their possible post-holiday needs. 4. Ensure top-of-mind awareness During the holiday shopping season, competition to be the “top of wallet” is fierce. Experian’s data shows that 58% of high spenders shop evenly across the season, while 31% of average spenders do most of their shopping in December​. Strategies for success: Early engagement: Launch educational campaigns to empower credit education and identity protection during this period of increased transactions. Loyalty programs: Offer incentives, such as discounts or rewards, that encourage repeat engagement during the season. Omnichannel presence: Utilize digital, email, and event marketing to maintain visibility across platforms. 5. Combat fraud with multi-layered strategies The holiday shopping season sees an increase in fraud, with card testing being the number one attack vector in the U.S. according to Experian’s 2024 Identity and Fraud Study. Fraudulent activity such as identity theft and synthetic IDs can also escalate​. Fight tomorrow’s fraud today: Identity verification: Use advanced fraud detection tools, like Experian’s Ascend Fraud Sandbox, to validate accounts in real-time. Monitor dormant accounts: Watch these accounts with caution and assess for potential fraud risk. Strengthen cybersecurity: Implement multi-layered strategies, including behavioral analytics and artificial intelligence (AI), to reduce vulnerabilities. 6. Post-holiday follow-up: retain and manage risk Once the holiday rush is over, the focus shifts to managing potential payment stress and fostering long-term relationships. Post-holiday strategies: Debt monitoring: Keep an eye on debt-to-income and debt-to-limit ratios to identify clients at risk of defaulting. Customer support: Offer tailored assistance programs for clients showing signs of financial stress, preserving goodwill and loyalty. Fraud checks: Watch for first-party fraud and unusual return patterns, which can spike in January. 7. Anticipate consumer trends in the New Year The aftermath of the holidays often reveals deeper insights into consumer health: Rising credit balances: January often sees an uptick in outstanding balances, highlighting the need for proactive credit management. Shifts in spending behavior: According to McKinsey, consumers are increasingly cautious post-holiday, favoring savings and value-based spending. What this means for financial institutions: Align with clients’ needs for financial flexibility. The holiday shopping season is a time that demands precise planning and execution. Financial institutions can maximize their impact during this critical period by starting early, leveraging advanced analytics, and maintaining a strong focus on fraud prevention. And remember, success in the holiday season extends beyond December. Building strong relationships and managing risk ensures a smooth transition into the new year, setting the stage for continued growth. Ready to optimize your strategy? Contact us for tailored recommendations during the holiday season and beyond. Download the Holiday Shopping Season Playbook

How can lenders ensure they’re making the most accurate and fair lending decisions? The answer lies in consistent model validations. What are model validations? Model validations are vital for effective lending and risk-based pricing programs. In addition to helping you determine which credit scoring model works best on your portfolio, the performance (odds) charts from validation results are often used to set score cutoffs and risk-based pricing tiers. Validations also provide the information you need to implement a new score into your decisioning process. Factors affecting model validations Understanding how well a score predicts behavior, such as payment delinquency or bankruptcy, enables you to make more confident lending decisions. Model performance and validation results can be impacted by several factors, including: Dynamic economic environment – Shifts in unemployment rates, interest rate hikes and other economic indicators can impact consumer behavior. Regulatory changes affecting consumers – For example, borrowers who benefited from a temporary student loan payment pause may face challenges as they resume payments. Scorecard degradation – A model that performed well several years ago may not perform as well under current conditions. When to perform model validations The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency’s Supervisory Guidance on Model Risk Management states model validations should be performed at least annually to help reduce risk. The validation process should be comprehensive and produce proper documentation. While some organizations perform their own validations, those with fewer resources and access to historical data may not be able to validate and meet the guidance recommendations. Regular validations support compliance and can also give you confidence that your lending strategies are built on solid, current data that drive better outcomes. Good model validation practices are critical if lenders are to continue to make data-driven decisions that promote fairness for consumers and financial soundness for the institution. Make better lending decisions If you’re a credit risk manager responsible for the models driving your lending policies, there are several things you can do to ensure that your organization continues to make fair and sound lending decisions: Assess your model inventory. Ensure you have comprehensive documentation showing when each model was developed and when it was last validated. Validate the scores you are using on your data, along with those you are considering, to compare how well each model performs and determine if you are using the most effective model for your needs. Produce validation documentation, including performance (odds) charts and key performance metrics, which can be shared with regulators. Utilize the performance charts produced from the validation to analyze bad rates/approval rates and adjust cutoff scores as needed. Explore alternative credit scoring models to potentially enhance your scoring process. As market conditions and regulations continue to evolve, model validations will remain an essential tool for staying competitive and making sound lending decisions. Ready to ensure your lending decisions are based on the latest data? Learn more about Experian’s flexible validation services and how we can support your ongoing success. Contact us today to schedule a consultation. Learn more

Getting customers to respond to your credit offers can be difficult. With the advent of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML), optimizing credit prescreen campaigns has never been easier or more efficient. In this post, we'll explore the basics of prescreen and how AI and ML can enhance your strategy.  What is prescreen?  Prescreen involves evaluating potential customers to determine their eligibility for credit offers. This process takes place without the consumer’s knowledge and without any negative impact on their credit score.  Why optimize your prescreen strategy?  In today's financial landscape, having an optimized prescreen strategy is crucial. Some reasons include:  Increased competition: Financial institutions face stiff competition in acquiring new customers. An optimized prescreen strategy helps you stand out by targeting the right individuals with tailored offers, increasing the chances of conversion.  Customer expectations: Modern customers expect personalized and relevant offers. An effective prescreen strategy ensures that your offers resonate with the specific needs and preferences of potential customers.  Strict budgets: Organizations today are faced with a limited marketing budget. By determining the right consumers for your offers, you can minimize prescreen costs and maximize the ROI of your campaigns.  Regulatory compliance: Compliance with regulations such as the Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA) is essential. An optimized prescreen strategy helps you stay compliant by ensuring that only eligible individuals are targeted for credit offers.  Financial inclusion: 49 million American adults don’t have conventional credit scores. An optimized prescreen strategy allows you to send offers to creditworthy consumers who you may have missed due to a lack of traditional credit history.  How AI and ML can enhance your strategy  AI and ML can revolutionize your prescreen strategy by offering advanced analytics and custom response modeling capabilities.  AI-driven data analytics  AI analytics allow financial institutions to analyze vast amounts of data quickly and accurately. This enables you to identify patterns and trends that may not be apparent through traditional analysis. By leveraging data-centric AI, you can gain deeper insights into customer behavior and preferences, allowing for more precise targeting and increased response rates.  LEARN MORE: Explore the benefits of AI for credit unions.  Custom response modeling  Custom response models enable you to better identify individuals who fall within your credit criteria and are more likely to respond to your credit offers. These models consider various factors such as credit history, spending habits, and demographic information to predict future behavior. By incorporating custom response models into your prescreen strategy, you can select the best consumers to engage, including those you may have previously overlooked.  LEARN MORE: AI can be leveraged for numerous business needs. Learn about generative AI fraud detection.   Get started today  Incorporating AI and ML into your prescreen campaigns can significantly enhance their effectiveness and efficiency. By leveraging Experian's Ascend Intelligence Services™ Target, you can better target potential customers and maximize your marketing spend.   Our optimized prescreen solution leverages:  Full-file credit bureau data on over 245 million consumers and over 2,100 industry-leading credit attributes.  Exclusive access to the industry's largest alternative datasets from nontraditional lenders, rental data inputs, full-file public records, and more.  24 months of trended data showing payment patterns over time and over 2,000 attributes that help determine your next best action.  When it comes to compliance, Experian leverages decades of regulatory experience to provide the documentation needed to explain lending practices to regulators. We use patent-pending ML explainability to understand what contributed most to a decision and generate adverse action codes directly from the model.  For more insights into Ascend Intelligence Services Target, view our infographic or contact us at 855 339 3990. View infographic This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information. 

In today’s highly competitive landscape, credit card issuers face the challenge of optimizing portfolio profitability while also effectively managing their overall risk. Financial institutions successfully navigating the current market put more focus on proactively managing their credit limits. By appropriately assigning initial credit limits and actively overseeing current limits, these firms are improving profitability, reducing potential risk, and creating a better customer experience. But how do you get started with this important tool? Let’s explore how and why proactive credit limit management could impact your business. The importance of proactive credit limit management Enhanced profitability: Assigning the optimal credit limit that caters to a customer’s spending behavior while also considering their capacity to repay can stimulate increased credit card usage without taking on additional risk. This will generate higher transaction volumes, increase interest income, promote top-of-wallet use, and improve wallet share, all positively impacting the institution’s profitability. Mitigating risk exposure: A proactive review of the limits assigned within a credit card portfolio helps financial institutions assess their exposure to overextended credit usage or potential defaults. Knowing when to reduce a credit limit and assigning the right amount can help financial institutions mitigate their portfolio risk. Minimizing default rates: Accurately assigning the right credit limit reduces the likelihood of customers defaulting on payments. When an institution aligns their credit limits with a cardholder's financial capability, it reduces the probability of customers exceeding their spending capacity and defaulting on payments. Improving the customer experience: A regular review of a credit card portfolio can help financial institutions find opportunities to proactively increase credit limits. This reduces the need for a customer to call in and request a higher credit limit and can increase wallet share and customer loyalty. Strategies for effective credit limit management Utilizing advanced analytics: Leveraging machine learning models and mathematically optimized decision strategies allows financial institutions to better assess risk and determine the optimal limit assignment. By analyzing spending patterns, credit utilization, and repayment behavior, institutions can dynamically adjust credit limits to match evolving customer financial profiles. Regular review and adjustments: As part of portfolio risk management, implementing a system for a recurring review and adjustment of credit limits is crucial. It ensures that credit limits are still aligned with the customer's financial situation and spending habits, while also reducing the risk of default. Customization and flexibility: Personalized credit limits tailored to individual customer needs improve customer satisfaction and loyalty. Proactively increasing limits based on improved creditworthiness or income reassessment can foster stronger customer relationships. Protect profitability and control risk exposure  Using the right data analytics, processing regular reviews, and customizing limits to individual customer needs helps reduce risk exposure while maximizing profitability. As the economic landscape evolves, institutions that prioritize proactive credit limit management will gain a competitive edge by fostering responsible customer spending behavior, minimizing default rates, and optimizing their bottom line. With Experian, automating your credit limit management process is easy Experian’s Ascend Intelligence ServicesTM Limit provides you with the optimal credit limits at the customer level to generate a higher share of plastic spend, reduce portfolio risk, and proactively meet customer expectations. Let us help automate your credit limit management process to better serve your customers and quickly respond to the volatile market. To find out more, please visit our website. Ready for a demo? Contact us now!

The unsecured personal loan, one of the most popular products in the financial space, has seen ebbs and flows over the last several years due to many factors, including economic volatility, the global pandemic, changing consumer behaviors and expectations, and more. Experian data scientists and analysts took a deep dive into data between 2018 and 2022 to uncover and analyze trends in this important industry segment. Additionally, they recommend fintech lending solutions to help fintechs stay ahead of ever-changing market conditions and discover new opportunities. This analysis shows that digital loans accounted for 45 percent of the market in 2022. While this is down from 52% in 2021, digital loan market share continues to grow. The analysis also provides a detailed look into who the digital borrower is and how they compare to traditional borrowers. As we look to the rest of 2023 and beyond, fintechs must be armed with the best digital lending technology, tools, and data to fuel profitable growth while mitigating as much risk as possible. Download our fintech trends report for a full analysis on origination volume trends, delinquency trends, and consumer behavior insights. Download now

 With nearly seven billion credit card and personal loan acquisition mailers sent out last year, consumers are persistently targeted with pre-approved offers, making it critical for credit unions to deliver the right offer to the right person, at the right time. How WSECU is enhancing the lending experience As the second-largest credit union in the state of Washington, Washington State Employees Credit Union (WSECU) wanted to digitalize their credit decisioning and prequalification process through their new online banking platform, while also providing members with their individual, real-time credit score. WSECU implemented an instant credit decisioning solution delivered via Experian’s Decisioning as a ServiceSM environment, an integrated decisioning system that provides clients with access to data, attributes, scores and analytics to improve decisioning across the customer life cycle. Streamlined processes lead to upsurge in revenue growth   Within three months of leveraging Experian’s solution, WSECU saw more members beginning their lending journey through a digital channel than ever before, leading to a 25% increase in loan and credit applications. Additionally, member satisfaction increased with 90% of members finding the simplified process to be more efficient and requiring “low effort.” Read our case study for more insight on using our digital credit solutions to: Prequalify members in real-time at point of contact Match members to the right loan products Increase qualification, approval and take rates Lower operational and manual review costs Read case study

From chatbots to image generators, artificial intelligence (AI) has captured consumers' attention and spurred joy — and sometimes a little fear. It's not too different in the business world. There are amazing opportunities and lenders are increasingly turning to AI-driven lending decision engines and processes. But there are also open questions about how AI can work within existing regulatory requirements, how new regulations will impact its use and how to implement advanced analytics in a way that increases equitable inclusion rather than further embedding disparities. How are lenders using AI today? Many financial institutions have implemented — or at least tested — AI-driven tools throughout the customer lifecycle to: Target the right consumers: With tools like Ascend Intelligence ServicesTM Target (AIS Target), lenders can better identify consumers who match their credit criteria and send right-sized offers, which enables them to maximize their acceptance rates. Detect and prevent fraud: Fraud detection tools have used AI and machine learning techniques to detect and prevent fraud for years. These systems may be even more important as new fraud risks emerge, from tried-and-true methods to generative AI (GenAI) fraud. Assess creditworthiness: ML-based models can incorporate a range of internal and external data points to more precisely evaluate creditworthiness. When combined with traditional and alternative credit data*, some lenders can even see a Gini uplift of 60 to 70 percent compared to a traditional credit risk model. Manage portfolios: Lenders can also use a more complete picture of their current customers to make better decisions. For example, AI-driven models can help lenders set initial credit limits and suggest when a change could help them increase wallet share or reduce risk. Lenders can also use AI to help determine which up- and cross-selling offers to present and when (and how) to reach out. Improve collections: Models can be built to ease debt collection processes, such as choosing where to assign accounts, which accounts to prioritize and how to contact the consumer. Additionally, businesses can implement AI-powered tools to increase their organizations' productivity and agility. GenAI solutions like Experian Assistant accelerate the modeling lifecycle by providing immediate responses to questions, enhancing model transparency and parsing through multiple model iterations quickly, resulting in streamlined workflows, improved data visibility and reduced expenses. WATCH: Explore best practices for building, fine-tuning and deploying robust machine learning models for credit risk. The benefits of AI in lending Although lenders can use machine learning models in many ways, the primary drivers for adoption in underwriting include: Improving credit risk assessment Faster development and deployment cycles for new or recalibrated models Unlocking the possibilities within large datasets Keeping up with competing lenders Some of the use cases for machine learning solutions have a direct impact on the bottom line — improving credit risk assessment can decrease charge-offs. Others are less direct but still meaningful. For instance, machine learning models might increase efficiency and allow further automation. This takes the pressure off your underwriting team, even when application volume is extremely high, and results in faster decisions for applicants, which can improve your customer experience. Incorporating large data sets into their decisions also allows lenders to expand their lending universe without taking on additional risk. For example, they may now be able to offer risk-appropriate credit lines to consumers that traditional scoring models can't score. And machine learning solutions can increase customer lifetime value when they're incorporated throughout the customer lifecycle by stopping fraud, improving retention, increasing up- or cross-selling and streamlining collections. Hurdles to adoption of machine learning in lending There are clear benefits and interest in machine learning and analytics, but adoption can be difficult, especially within credit underwriting. A recent Forrester Consulting study commissioned by Experian found that the top pain points for technology decision makers in financial services were reported to be automation and availability of data. Explainability comes down to transparency and trust. Financial institutions have to trust that machine learning models will continue to outperform traditional models to make them a worthwhile investment. The models also have to be transparent and explainable for financial institutions to meet regulatory fair lending requirements. A lack of resources and expertise could hinder model development and deployment. It can take a long time to build and deploy a custom model, and there's a lot of overhead to cover during the process. Large lenders might have in-house credit modeling teams that can take on the workload, but they also face barriers when integrating new models into legacy systems. Small- and mid-sized institutions may be more nimble, but they rarely have the in-house expertise to build or deploy models on their own. The models also have to be trained on appropriate data sets. Similar to model building and deployment, organizations might not have the human or financial resources to clean and organize internal data. And although vendors offer access to a lot of external data, sometimes sorting through and using the data requires a large commitment. How Experian is shaping the future of AI in lending Lenders are finding new ways to use AI throughout the customer lifecycle and with varying types of financial products. However, while the cost to create custom machine learning models is dropping, the complexities and unknowns are still too great for some lenders to manage. But that's changing. Experian built the Ascend Intelligence Services™ to help smaller and mid-market lenders access the most advanced analytics tools. The managed service platform can significantly reduce the cost and deployment time for lenders who want to incorporate AI-driven strategies and machine learning models into their lending process. The end-to-end managed analytics service gives lenders access to Experian's vast data sets and can incorporate internal data to build and seamlessly deploy custom machine learning models. The platform can also continually monitor and retrain models to increase lift, and there's no “black box" to obscure how the model works. Everything is fully explainable, and the platform bakes regulatory constraints into the data curation and model development to ensure lenders stay compliant. Learn more * When we refer to “Alternative Credit Data," this refers to the use of alternative data and its appropriate use in consumer credit lending decisions as regulated by the Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA). Hence, the term “Expanded FCRA Data" may also apply in this instance and both can be used interchangeably.

Conventional credit scoring systems are based on models developed over six decades. As consumer behavior evolves, it's important to seek newer, fresher sources of data to assess creditworthiness. Because the data used by conventional credit scoring models does not provide the full picture of a consumer's financial health, a large population segment of the United States is excluded from accessing credit.With changing times and new technology, forward-thinking financial institutions are using alternative data1 to gain a more holistic consumer view. A move toward inclusive finance, including incorporating alternative data in credit scoring models, is a crucial step towards promoting financial inclusion and helping millions of consumers achieve their financial and personal goals. More importantly, it provides the insight needed for lender confidence, which can help fuel business growth. Understanding limitations of the conventional scoring system Credit scores can be obtained from any one of the major credit bureaus based on information found in a consumer's credit report and are incorporated into a lender's credit-decisioning process. While there are various credit scoring models based on lender preference that could yield slightly different scores, all traditional scores are comprised of credit characteristics within these categories: payment history, credit mix, credit history length, amounts owed and new credit account inquires. Lenders use past credit performance to predict whether extending credit is a risk, posing a major challenge for credit invisible and thin-file consumers and leaving millions at a disadvantage. This dilemma also limits business growth for lenders. Consumers who are unable to access mainstream credit often turn to the alternative financial services (AFS) industry, a $140 billion market that continues to grow by 7-10 percent each year.2 The AFS industry offers consumers additional products, like payday loans, cash advances, short-term installment loans, and rent-to-own loans, none of which are included in a traditional credit file. With alternative credit data, lenders can obtain a more holistic view of creditworthiness and risk, helping to enhance inclusive lending by broadening their pool of potential loan candidates. Why conventional scoring models simply aren't enough Because of the criteria used to assess creditworthiness, conventional credit scoring models do not accurately capture an individual's financial behavior or health. Indeed, many people demonstrate financial responsibility in other legitimate ways that are not reported to the major credit bureaus.In contrast, non-traditional data considers a consumer's everyday financial behavior to provide a more accurate score for lenders. It can include a range of indicators, such as: Bill payments: Consistent payment history on typical household bills (which may have been paid from a debit account). Bank account data: Shows average balance and withdrawal activity and recurring payroll deposits (indicating that a consumer is employed and receives a regular income). Rental data: Indicates a consumer's long-term stability in making regular, on-time monthly rent payments. Registered licenses: Registered licenses or membership with a skilled  trade or profession can indicate the likelihood to generate income. Including this type of data can benefit both lenders and applicants. According to an Experian report, by adding alternative credit data to a near-prime population, lenders could see an increase in approvals for consumers historically being left behind. When Clear Early Risk Score™ is paired with the VantageScore® credit score, approvals climb to 16 percent of the population inside the same risk criteria, representing a 60 percent lift in credit approvals for near-prime consumers.2 The pool of people from whom this type of alternative data can reliably be collected is growing, with 70 percent of consumers willing to provide additional financial information to a lender if it increases their chance for approval or improves their interest rate for a mortgage or car loan.3 Plenty of available yet untapped data exists that can add value to a consumer's profile and lead to greater inclusive lending. For example, 95 percent of Americans own a cell phone and about two-thirds of households headed by young adults are being rented. Reporting on this data could potentially "thicken" a credit file and provide deeper insight into a consumer's credit behavior.3Indeed, turning to non-traditional data can expand the credit universe and lead to more inclusive credit scoring models, especially by leveraging existing technology and financial inclusion solutions. Research shows that with Lift Premium™, virtually all of the 21 million conventionally unscorable consumers would become scoreable, and over 1 million of them would have scores in the near-prime range or better. Of these, 1.7 million would be Black American and Hispanic/Latino people.3 For lenders, these numbers reveal potential opportunities to grow their businesses. Of the 255 million adults in the U.S., 19 percent of credit eligible adults are left out of mainstream scoring systems. 28 million are considered credit invisible – meaning they have no credit history (11%). 21 million are considered unscorable – have partial credit history but not enough to generate a score using conventional models (8%). Of the remaining credit eligible adults, 57 million were considered subprime (22%). 106 million U.S. adults can't get mainstream credit rates (42%). Adopting inclusive finance lending practices is not only the right thing to do but also provides financial institutions with the chance to reach untapped markets, grow their business and promote a healthier economy. Financial inclusion is not a destination, but an ever-evolving journey. Don't miss out on this critical opportunity to join the movement. Learn more about our financial inclusion tools to help enhance your inclusive lending approach. 1"Alternative Credit Data,” refers to the use of alternative data and its appropriate use in consumer credit lending decisions, as regulated by the Fair Credit Reporting Act. Hence, the term “Expanded FCRA Data” may also apply in this instance and both can be used interchangeably.2Experian: 2020 State of Alternative Credit Data.3Oliver Wyman white paper, “Financial Inclusion and Access to Credit," January 12, 2022.

There are many facets to promoting a more equitable society. One major driver is financial inclusion or reducing the racial wealth gap for underserved communities. No other tool has impacted generational wealth more than sustainable homeownership. However, the underserved and underbanked home buyers experience more barriers to entry than any other consumer segment. It is important to recognize the well-documented racial and ethnic homeownership gap; doing so will not only benefit the impacted communities, but also elevate the level of support of those lenders who serve them. What are we doing as an industry to reduce this gap? Many organizations are doing their part in removing barriers to homeownership and systemic inequities. In 2021, the FHFA published their Duty to Serve 2021 plans for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to focus on historically underserved markets. A part of this plan includes increasing liquidity of mortgage financing for lower- and moderate-income families. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac each announced individual refinance offerings for lower-income homeowners – Fannie Mae’s RefiNow™ and Freddie Mac’s Refi PossibleSM. Eligible borrowers meet requirements including income at or below 100% area median income (AMI), a minimum credit score of 620, consideration for loans in forbearance and additional newly expanded flexibilities. As part of the plan, lenders will lower a borrower’s monthly payment by at least a half a percentage point reduction in their interest rate, which can translate into hundreds of dollars of savings per month and sustain their homeownership. Experian has the tools to help mortgage lenders take advantage of this offering  As a leader in data, analytics and technology, we have the tools needed to help lenders recognize opportunities to be inclusive and identify borrowers who may be eligible for Fannie Mae’s and Freddie Mac’s lower-income refinance offerings. To illustrate, we performed a data study and identified over 6M eligible mortgages nationwide (impacting over 8M borrowers) for this plan, and some lenders had as much as 30% of mortgages in their portfolio eligible with lower- and moderate-incomes.1 These insights can have a positive impact on the borrowers you serve by promoting more inclusion and benefit lenders through improved customer retention, strengthened customer loyalty and an opportunity to continue to build generational wealth through housing. We are committed to enabling the industry's DEI evolution As the Consumer’s bureau, empowering consumers is at the heart of everything we do. We’re committed to developing products and services that increase credit access, greater inclusion in homeownership and narrowing the racial wealth gap. Below are a few of our recent initiatives, and be sure to check out our financial inclusion resources here: United for Financial Health: Promotes inclusion in underserved communities through partnerships and have committed to investing our time and resources to create a more inclusive tomorrow for our communities. Project REACh (Roundtable for Economic Access and Change): brings together leaders from banking, business, technology, and national civil rights organizations to reduce barriers that prevent equal and fair participation in the nation’s economy, and we are engaged with the Alternative Credit Scoring Utility group as part of this initiative. Operation Hope: Empowers youth and underserved communities to improve their financial health through education, so they can thrive (not just survive) in the credit ecosystem so they can sustain good credit and responsibly use credit. DEI-Centric Solutions: From Experian Boost to our recent launch of Experian Go, we offer a variety of consumer solutions designed to empower consumers to gain access to credit and build a brighter financial future. What does this mean for you? Our passion, knowledge and partnerships in DEI have enabled us to share best practices and can help lenders prescriptively look at their portfolios to create inclusive growth strategies, identify gaps, and track progress towards diversity objectives. The mortgage industry has a unique opportunity to create paths to homeownership for underserved communities. Together, we can drive impact for generations of Americans to come. Let’s drive inclusivity and revive the American dream of homeownership. 1Experian Ascend™ as of November 2021

Shri Santhanam, Executive Vice President and General Manager of Global Analytics and Artificial Intelligence (AI) was recently featured on Lendit’s ‘Fintech One-on-One’ podcast. Shri and podcast creator, Peter Renton, discussed advanced analytics and AI’s role in lending and how Experian is helping lenders during what he calls the ‘digital lending revolution.’ Digital lending revolution “Over the last decade and a half, the notion of digital tools, decisioning, analytics and underwriting has come into play. The COVID-19 pandemic has dramatically accelerated that, and we’re seeing three big trends shake up the financial services industry,” said Shri. A shift in consumer expectations More than ever before, there is a deep focus on the customer experience. Five or six years ago, consumers and businesses were more accepting of waiting several days, sometimes even weeks, for loan approvals and decisions. However, the expectation has dramatically changed. In today’s digital world, consumers expect lending institutions to make quick approvals and real-time decisions. Fintechs being quick to act Fintech lenders have been disrupting the traditional financial services space in ways that positively impacts consumers. They’ve made it easier for borrowers to access credit – particularly those who have been traditional excluded or denied – and are quick to identify, develop and distribute market solutions. An increased adoption of machine learning, advanced analytics and AI Fintechs and financial institutions of all sizes are further exploring using AI-powered solutions to unlock growth and improve operational efficiencies. AI-driven strategies, which were once a ‘nice-to-have,’ have become a necessity. To help organizations reduce the resources and costs associated with building in-house models, Experian has launched Ascend Intelligence Services™, an analytics solution delivered on a modern tech AI platform. Ascend Intelligence Services helps streamline model builds and increases decision automation and approval rates. The future of lending: will all lending be done via AI, and what will it take to get there? According to Shri, lending in AI is inevitable. The biggest challenge the lending industry may face is trust in advanced analytics and AI decisioning to ensure lending is fair and transparent. Can AI-based lending help solve for biases in credit decisioning? We believe so, with the right frameworks and rules in place. Want to learn more? Explore our fintech solutions or click below. Listen to Podcast Learn more about Ascend Intelligence Services

Fintechs have been an enormously disruptive force of change in financial services over the past 10 years. From digital payments, lending, insurance, digital banks, to personal finance and many other subsectors in between, fintechs have rapidly transformed everything from business and operating models to customer expectations. It’s this innovative drive that is celebrated and fostered each year at LendIt Fintech - a conference that brings together the fintech and financial services community to connect and reimagine the future of finance. And there may not be another year on record that called for the reimagining of finance more than 2020. Last year, the financial services industry – from consumers, fintechs and other subdivisions across the globe – endured many changes and challenges due to the COVID-19 pandemic. But it also brought accelerated innovations; and with them, increased customer expectations and a focus on financial equity and inclusion. As consumer credit scores and demand for credit continue to rise, fintechs have an opportunity to re-examine what credit looks like in a post-COVID lending environment, and explore opportunities for growth in 2021. Experian’s Chief Product Officer Greg Wright tackled this topic at the recent Lendit Fintech conference, alongside Ibo Dusi of Happy Money, Myles Reaz of Upgrade and the Garry Reeder with the American Fintech Council. Watch the full panel discussion in the video below and hear more about: How panelists define data, alternative data and how it factors in their lending How alternative data can help drive financial inclusion and get to a ‘yes’ more often with consumers Using data to make the consumer experience more frictionless and seamless For more information about how Experian can help fintech organizations of all sizes reach their business and lending goals, visit our fintech solutions page. Explore Experian's Fintech Solutions

This is the next article in our series about how to handle the economic downturn – this time focusing on how to prevent fraud in the new economic environment. We tapped two new experts—Chris Ryan, Market Lead, Fraud and Identity and Tischa Agnessi, Go-to-Market Lead, Decisioning Software—to share their thoughts on how to keep fraud out of your portfolio while continuing to lend. Q: What new fraud trends do you expect during the economic downturn? CR: Perhaps unsurprisingly, we tend to see high volumes of fraud during economic downturn periods. First, we anticipate an uptick in third-party fraud, specifically account takeover or ATO. It’ll be driven by the need for first-time users to be forced online. In particular, the less tech-savvy crowd is vulnerable to phishing attacks, social engineering schemes, using out-of-date software, or landing on a spoofed page. Resources to investigate these types of fraud are already strained as more and more requests come through the top of the funnel to approve new accounts. In fact, according to Javelin Strategy & Research’s 2020 Identity Fraud Study, account takeover fraud and scams will increase at a time when consumers are feeling financial stress from the global health and economic crisis. It is too early to predict how much higher the fraud rates will go; however, criminals become more active during times of economic hardships. We also expect that first party fraud (including synthetic identity fraud) will trend upwards as a result of the deliberate abuse of credit extensions and additional financing options offered by financial services companies. Forced to rely on credit for everyday expenses, some legitimate borrowers may take out loans without any intention of repaying them – which will impact businesses’ bottom lines. Additionally, some individuals may opportunistically look to escape personal credit issues that arise during an economic downturn. The line between behaviors of stressed consumers and fraudsters will blur, making it more difficult to tell who is a criminal and who is an otherwise good consumer that is dealing with financial pressure. Businesses should anticipate an increase in synthetic identity fraud from opportunistic fraudsters looking to take advantage initial financing offers and the cushions offered to consumers as part of the stimulus package. These criminals will use the economic upset as a way to disguise the fact that they’re building up funds before busting out. Q: With payment stress on the rise for consumers, how can lenders manage credit risk and prevent fraud? TA: Businesses wrestle daily with problems created by the coronavirus pandemic and are proactively reaching out to consumers and other businesses with fresh ideas on initial credit relief, and federal credit aid. These efforts are just a start – now is the time to put your recession readiness plan and digital transformation strategies into place and find solutions that will help your organization and your customers beyond immediate needs. The faceless consumer is no longer a fraction of the volume of how organizations interact with their customers, it is now part of the new normal. Businesses need to seek out top-of-line fraud and identity solutions help protect themselves as they are forced to manage higher digital traffic volumes and address the tough questions around: How to identify and authenticate faceless consumers and their devices How to best prevent an overwhelming number of fraud tactics, including first party fraud, account takeover, synthetic identity, bust out, and more. As time passes and the economic crisis evolves, we will all adapt to yet another new normal. Organizations should be data-driven in their approach to this rapidly changing credit crisis and leverage modern technology to identify financially stressed consumers with early-warning indicators, predict future customer behavior, and respond quickly to change as they deliver the best treatment at the right time based on customer-specific activities. Whether it’s preparing portfolio risk assessment, reviewing debt management, collections, and recovery processes, or ramping up your fraud and identity verification services, Experian can help your organization prepare for another new normal. Experian is continuing to monitor the updates around the coronavirus outbreak and its widespread impact on both consumers and businesses. We will continue to share industry-leading insights to help financial institutions differentiate legitimate consumers from fraudsters and protect their business and customers. Learn more About Our Experts [avatar user="ChrisRyan" /] Chris Ryan, Market Lead, Fraud and Identity Chris has over 20 years of experience in fraud prevention and uses this knowledge to identify the most critical fraud issues facing individuals and businesses in North America, and he guides Experian’s application of technology to mitigate fraud risk. [avatar user="tischa.agnessi" /] Tischa Agnessi, Go-to-Market Lead, Decisioning Software Tischa joined Experian in June of 2018 and is responsible for the go to market strategy for North America’s decisioning software solutions. Her responsibilities include delivering compelling propositions that are unique and aligned to markets, market problems, and buyer and user personas. She is also responsible for use cases that span the PowerCurve® software suite as well as application platforms, such as Decisioning as a ServiceSM and Experian®One.

This is the first to a series of blog posts highlighting optimization, artificial intelligence, predictive analytics, and decisioning for lending operations in times of extreme uncertainty.   Like all businesses, lenders are facing tremendous change and uncertainty in the face of the COVID-19 crisis.  While focusing first on how to keep their employees and customers safe during the new normal, they are asking how to make data-driven decisions in this new environment.  It’s only natural that business people are skeptical about whether analytics will work in a situation like today's – in which the data deviate from all historical precedents.  Certainly, nobody predicted, for example, that the number of loans with forbearance requests would increase by over 1000% during each two-week period in March. Can anyone possibly make an optimized decision when things are changing so quickly and when so many things are unknown?   Prescriptive analytics – also known as mathematical optimization – is the practice of developing a business strategy to achieve a business objective subject to capacity and other constraints, often using a demand forecast. For example, banks use optimization software to develop marketing and debt management strategies to run their lending operations.  But what happens when the demand forecast might be wrong, when the constraints change quickly, and when decision-makers cannot agree on a single objective? The reality is that decisionmakers have to balance multiple competing objectives related to many different stakeholders. And, especially during the COVID-19 crisis and the period of change that will certainly follow, they have to do so in the face of uncertainty.   Let's discuss some of the methods that analysts use to control risk while optimizing lending practices during times like these. These techniques, collectively known as robust optimization and robust statistics, help lenders and other business people deal with the uncomfortable reality that we do not know what the future holds.     Consider a hypothetical bank or other lender servicing a portfolio of consumer loans and forecasting its loss performance in this environment. Management probably has several competing objectives: they want to improve service levels on their digital channel, they want to minimize credit and fraud losses, they're facing a reduced operating budget, and they're not certain how many employees they will have and which vendors will be able to provide adequate service levels. Furthermore, they anticipate new and unpredicted changes, and they need to be able to update their strategies quickly.   The mathematics can be quite technical, but Experian’s Marketswitch Optimization is user-friendly software to help businesspeople--not engineers--design and deploy optimal strategies for practices such as Account Management and Loan Originations while facing such a dynamic and uncertain environment. The bank's business analysts (not computer specialists or mathematicians) will use techniques such as these:   With Sensitivity Analysis, the analysts will explore the performance of their optimized Account Management, Collections, and Loan Originations strategies while considering possible changes in input variables.   Optimization Scenarios with Uncertainty (technically known as Stochastic Optimization) allow the managers and analysts to design operational strategies that control risk, particularly the bank’s exposure to probabilistic and worst-case scenarios.   Using Scenario Performance Analysis, the lender's team will validate and test their optimization scenarios against a variety of different data sets to understand how their strategies would perform in each case.   Model Quality Evaluation techniques help the credit risk managers compare model predictions against actual performance during a quickly changing economy.   Model impact analysis (related to Model Risk Management) helps senior leadership assess when it is time to invest in improving its statistical models.   Robust Model Calibration Analysis removes unjustifiable variations in the lender's predictive models to make their predictions more valid as things change over time.   These six advanced analytics techniques are especially helpful when developing business strategies for a time in which some values are unknown—including future unemployment levels, staffing budgets, data reporting practices, interest rates, and customer demands.  Business decisions can—and arguably must—be optimized during times of uncertainty. But during times like these, it is especially important that the analysts understand how and why to account for the uncertainty in both the data and the models.   Lenders, are you optimizing your servicing and debt management strategies? It has never been more important than now to do so--using the advanced techniques available to manage uncertainty mathematically. Learn more about how Marketswitch can help you solve complex business problems and meet organizational objectives. Learn more

Article written by Alex Lintner, Experian's Group President of Consumer Information Services and Sandy Anderson, Experian's Senior Vice President of Client and Sales Operations Many consumers are facing financial stress due to unemployment and other hardships related to the COVID-19 pandemic. Not surprisingly, data scientists at Experian are looking into how consumers’ credit scores may be impacted during the COVID-19 national emergency period as financial institutions and credit bureaus follow guidance from financial regulators and law established in Section 4021 of the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act (CARES Act). In a nutshell, Experian finds that if consumers contact their lenders and are granted an accommodation, such as a payment holiday or forbearance, and lenders report the accommodation accordingly, consumer scores will not be materially affected negatively. It’s not just Experian’s findings, but also those of the major credit scoring companies, FICO® and VantageScore®. FICO has reported that if a lender provides an accommodation and payments are reported on time consistent with the CARES Act, consumers will not be negatively impacted by late payments related to COVID-19. VantageScore® has also addressed this issue and stated that its models are designed to mitigate the impact of missed payments from COVID-19. At the same time, if as predicted, lenders tighten underwriting standards following 11 consecutive years of economic growth, access to credit for some consumers may be curtailed notwithstanding their score because their ability to repay the loan may be diminished. Regulatory guidance and law provide a robust response Recently, the Federal Reserve, along with the federal and state banking regulators, issued a statement encouraging mortgage servicers to work with struggling homeowners affected by the COVID-19 national emergency by allowing borrowers to defer mortgage payments up to 180-days or longer. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation stated that financial institutions should “take prudent steps to assist customers and communities affected by COVID-19.” The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, which regulates nationally chartered banks, encouraged banks to offer consumers payment accommodations to avoid delinquencies and negative credit bureau reporting. This regulatory guidance was backed by Congress in passing the CARES Act, which requires any payment accommodations to be reported to a credit bureau as “current.” The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, which has oversight of all financial service providers, reinforced the regulatory obligation in the CARES Act. In a statement, the Bureau said “the continuation of reporting such accurate payment information produces substantial benefits for consumers, users of consumer reports and the economy as a whole.” Moreover, the consumer reporting industry has a history of successful coordination during emergency circumstances, like COVID-19, and we’ve provided the support necessary for lenders to report accurately and consistent with regulatory guidance. For example, when a consumer faces hardship, a lender can add a code that indicates a customer or borrower has been “affected by natural or declared disaster.” If a lender uses this or a similar code, a notification about the disaster or other event will appear in the credit report with the trade line for the customer’s account and will remain on the trade line until the lender removes it. As a result, the presence of the code will not negatively impact the consumer credit score. However, other factors may impact a consumer’s score, such as an increase in a consumer’s utilization of their credit lines, which is a likely scenario during a period of financial stress. Suppression or Deletion of late payments will hurt, not help, credit scores In response to the nationwide impact of COVID-19, some lawmakers have suggested that lenders should not report missed payments or that credit bureaus should delete them. The presumption is that these actions would hold consumers harmless during the crisis caused by this pandemic. However, these good intentions end up having a detrimental impact on the whole credit ecosystem as consumer credit information is no longer accurately reflecting consumers’ specific situation. This makes it difficult for lenders to assess risk and for consumers to obtain appropriately priced credit. Ultimately, the best way to help is a consumer-specific solution, meaning one in which a lender reaches an accommodation with each affected individual, and accurately reflects that person’s unique situation when reporting to credit bureaus. When a consumer misses a payment, the information doesn’t end up on a credit report immediately. Most payments are monthly, so a consumer’s payment history with a financial institution is updated on a similar timeline. If, for example, a lender was required to suppress reporting for three months during the COVID-19 national emergency, the result would be no data flowing onto a credit report for three months. A credit report would therefore show monthly payments and then three months of no updates. The same would be true if a credit reporting agency were required to suppress or delete payment information. The lack of data, due to suppression or deletion, means that lenders would be blinded when making credit decisions, for example to increase a credit limit to an existing customer or to grant a new line of credit to a prospective customer. When faced with a blind spot, and unable to assess the real risk of a consumer’s credit history, the prudential tendency would be to raise the cost of credit, or to decrease the availability of credit, to cover the risk that cannot be measured. This could effectively end granting of credit to new customers, further stifling economic recovery and consumer financial health at a time when it’s needed most. Beyond the direct impact on consumers, suppression or deletion of credit information could directly affect the safety and soundness of the nation’s consumer and small business lending system. With missing data, lenders and their regulators would be flying blind as to the accurate information about a consumer’s risk and could result in unknowingly holding loan portfolios with heightened risk for loss. Too many unexpected losses threaten the balance of the financial system and could further seize credit markets. Experian is committed to helping consumers manage their credit and working with lenders on how best to report consumer-specific solutions. To learn more about what consumers can do to manage credit during the COVID-19 national emergency, we’ve provided resources on our website. For individuals looking to explore options their lenders may offer, we’ve included links to many of the companies and update them continuously. With good public policy and consumer-specific solutions, consumers can continue to build credit and help our economy grow.