Tag: delinquencies

Rising balances and delinquency rates are causing lenders to proactively minimize credit risk through pre-delinquency treatments. However, the success of these types of account management strategies depends on timely and predictive data. Credit attributes summarize credit data into specific characteristics or variables to provide a more granular view of a consumer’s behavior. Credit attributes give context about a consumer’s behavior at a specific point in time, such as their current revolving credit utilization ratio or their total available credit. Trended credit attributes analyze credit history data for consumer behavior patterns over time, including changes in utilization rates or how often a balance exceeded an account’s credit limit during the previous 12 months. In a recent analysis, we found that credit attributes related to utilization were highly predictive of future delinquencies in bankcard accounts, with many lenders better managing their credit risk when incorporating these attributes into their account management processes. READ: Find out how custom attributes and models can help you stay ahead of your competitors in the "Build a profitable portfolio with credit attributes" e-book. Using attributes to manage credit risk An enhanced understanding of credit attributes can be leveraged to manage risk throughout the customer lifecycle. They can be important when you want to: Improve credit strategies and efficiencies: Overlay attributes and incorporate them into credit policy rules, such as knockout criteria, to expand your lending population and increase automation without taking on more credit risk. Better understand customers' credit trends: Experian’s wide range of credit data, including trended credit attributes, can help you quickly understand how consumers are faring off-book for visibility into other lending relationships and if they’ll likely experience financial stress in the future. Credit attributes can also help precisely segment populations. For example, attributes can help you distinguish between two people who have similar credit risk scores — but very different trajectories — and will better determine who's the least risky customer. Predicting 60+ day delinquencies with credit attributes To evaluate the effectiveness of credit attributes during account review, we looked at 2.9 million open and active bankcard accounts to see which attributes best predicted the likelihood of an account reaching 60 days past due. For this analysis, we used snapshots of bankcard accounts that were reported in October 2022 and April 2023. Additionally, we analyzed the predictive power of over 4,000 attributes from Experian Premier AttributesSM and Trended 3DTM. Key findings Nine of the top 20 most predictive credit attributes were related to credit utilization rates. Delinquency-related attributes were predictive but weren’t part of the top 10. Three of the top 10 attributes were related to available credit. Turning insight into action While we analyzed credit attributes for account review, determining attribute effectiveness for other use cases will depend on your own portfolio and goals. However, you can use a similar approach to finding the predictive power of attributes. Once you identify the most predictive credit attributes for your population, you can also create an account review program to track these metrics, such as changes in utilization rates or available credit balances. Using Experian’s Risk and Retention Triggers℠ can immediately notify you of customers' daily credit activity to monitor those changes. Ongoing monitoring of attributes and triggers can help you identify customers who are facing financial stress and are headed toward delinquency. You can then proactively take steps to reduce your risk exposure, prioritize accounts, and modify pre-collections strategy based on triggering events. Experian offers credit attributes and the tools to use them Creating and managing credit attributes can be a complex and never-ending task. You need to regularly monitor attributes for performance drift and to address changing regulatory requirements. You may also want to develop new attributes based on expanding data sources and industry trends. Many organizations don’t have the resources to create, manage, and update credit attributes on their own. That’s where Experian’s 4,500+ attributes and tools can help to save time and money. Premier Attributes includes our core attributes and subsets for over 50 industries. Trended 3D attributes can help you better understand changes in consumer behavior and creditworthiness. Clear View AttributesTM offers insights from expanded FCRA data* that generally isn’t reported to consumer credit bureaus. You can easily review and manage your portfolios with Experian’s Ascend Quest™ platform. The always-on access allows you to request thousands of data elements, including credit attributes, risk scores, income models, segmentation data, and payment history, at any time. Use insights from the data and leverage Ascend Quest to quickly identify accounts that may be experiencing financial stress to limit your credit risk — and target others with retention and up-selling opportunities. Watch the Ascend Quest demo to see it in action, or contact us to learn more about Experian’s credit attributes and account review solutions. Watch demo Contact us

Student loan forbearance, part of the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES Act) economic stimulus bill that paused student loan repayment, interest accrual, and collections, is set to expire on May 1, 2022.  Borrowers who carry  federal student loans in the United States need to anticipate the resumption of repayment and interest accrual. In this article, we’ll answer questions your borrowers will be asking about the end of the student loan pause and how they can better prepare.   Lenders and servicers should anticipate an influx of requests for modification and for private student loan lenders, a potential significant push for refinancing.   When do student loans resume and when does student loan interest start again?  Student loan repayments and resumption of interest accruals are set to resume on May 1, 2022. This means that student loans will start accruing interest again, and payments will need to resume on the existing payment date. In other words, if the due date prior to the pause was the fifth of every month, the first repayment date will be May 5, 2022.  In the weeks preceding this, borrowers can expect a billing statement from their student loan servicer outlining their debt and terms or they can reach out to their servicers directly to get more information.  Will student loan forbearance be extended again? Will the CARES Act be extended?  There is no indication that the federal government will extend student loan forbearance beyond May 1, 2022, which was already extended beyond the original deadline in February 2022. Your borrower’s best strategy is to prepare now for the resumption of repayments, interest accrual and collections. Will Biden forgive student loans?  Free community college tuition and federal student loan forgiveness up to $10,000 were a centerpiece of the Biden platform during his candidacy for president and were included in early iterations of the government's Build Back Better agenda. In February 2022, during bargaining, the administration removed the free tuition provision from the bill. The Build Back Better bill has yet to pass.  Although there remains a student loan relief provision in the draft Build Back Better agenda, there is no guarantee that it will make it into the final iteration.  What should borrowers do if they paid student loans using auto-debit?  Most borrowers will need to restart auto-debit after the student loan pause. If auto-debit or ACH was used prior to the student loan pause went into effect on March 13, 2020, borrowers can expect to receive a communication from their servicer confirming they wish to continue with auto-debit. If the borrower doesn’t respond to this notice, the servicer may cancel auto-debit. If the borrower signed up for auto-debit after the beginning of forbearance, payments should automatically begin.  How much interest will borrowers have to pay?  Unless terms have changed, such as consolidating loans, the interest rate will be the same as it was before the student loan pause went into effect.  Will balances be the same as they were before the student loan pause? Will it take the same amount of time to pay off the student loan?  For those on a traditional repayment plan, a student loan servicer might recalculate the amount based on the principal and interest and the amount of time left in the repayment period. Borrowers will still make payments for the same number of months in total, but the end date for repayment will be pushed forward to accommodate the payment pause.   In other words, if the loan terms originally stated that it would be repaid in full on January 1, 2030, the new terms will accommodate the pause and show full repayment on January 1, 2032.  For those on an Income-Driven Repayment Plan (IDRP) – such as Revised Pay as You Earn Repayment (REPAYE), Pay As You Earn Repayment (PAYE), Income-Based Repayment (IBR), or Income-Contingent Repayment (ICR) – the payment amount will resume at the same rate as before the payment pause. Student loan forbearance will not delay progress towards repayment.  What are borrower options if the student loan payment is too high?  Enroll in an IDRP program: Available plans include REPAYE, PAYE, IBR or ICR.  Student loan refinancing: When a borrower refinances, he or she can group federal and private loans and possibly negotiate a lower repayment amount. However, they will not be eligible to access federal loans protections or programs.  Loan consolidation: This process allows borrowers to combine multiple federal loans into a single loan with a single payment, which can reduce monthly payments by extending the repayment period. Note this will result in more interest being charged, as the time to repay will be extended. Will this change affect those with private student loans?  Private lenders are not covered by the CARES Act, so student loan forbearance did not apply to them. Most private lenders have continued collecting repayments throughout the COVID-19 pandemic.   Borrowers having trouble making payments to a private lender, can discuss options such as deferment, forbearance, consolidation and modified repayment terms.  What happens if a student loan payment is missed or the borrower can’t pay at all?   If a payment is missed, the account will be considered delinquent. The account becomes delinquent the first day after a missed payment and remains that way until the past-due amount is paid or other arrangements are made.   If the account remains delinquent, the loan may go into default. The amount of time between delinquency and default depends on the student loan servicer. If the loan goes into default, borrowers could face consequences including:  Immediate collections on the entire loan and interest owed Ineligibility for benefits such as deferment and forbearance,   Inability to choose a different payment plan or obtain additional federal student aid  Damage to credit score  Inability to buy or sell assets  Withholding of tax refunds or other federal benefits Wage garnishment A lawsuit Do student loans affect credit scores?  Yes, for delinquent student loans, the servicer will report the delinquency to the three major credit bureaus and the borrower’s credit score will drop.2 A poor credit score can affect a consumer’s ability to obtain credit cards or loans and may make it difficult to sign up with utilities providers, cell phone providers and insurance agencies. It can also be challenging to rent an apartment.  What are the options for those who can’t pay? Can student loans be deferred?  For those with federal student loans, now is the time to prepare for the end of student loan forbearance. Revisit budgets, make sure records are up to date and communicate with student loan servicers to make sure payments can be made in full and on time.  For those unable to pay back loans, they can consider requesting a deferment. A deferment is a temporary pause on student loan payments. Depending on the type of loan, interest may or may not continue to accrue during the deferment.  If they wish to apply for a deferment, they must meet eligibility requirements. Some common grounds for deferment are:  Economic hardship  Schooling  Military service  Cancer treatment  Loan servicers and private lenders should arm themselves for the large volume of questions  from borrowers who are not prepared to begin resuming payment. Now may the time to increase customer service or consider adding student loan consolidation products to serve the increase in demand.  For information on mitigating risk and effectively managing your portfolio, click here.  

Consumer credit trends are continuously changing, making it imperative to keep up with the latest developments in originations, delinquencies on mortgages, credit cards and auto loans. By monitoring consumer behavior and market trends over time, you can predict and prepare for potential issues within each market. In this 30-minute webinar, our featured speakers, Gavin Harding, Experian Senior Business Consultant, and Alan Ikemura, Experian Data Analytics Senior Product Manager, reveal Q1 2019 market intelligence data and explore recent advances in consumer credit trends. Watch our on-demand webinar

The universe has been used as a metaphor for many things – vast, wide, intangible – much like the credit universe. However, while the man on the moon, a trip outside the ozone layer, and all things space from that perspective may seem out of touch, there is a new line of access to consumers. In Experian's latest 2019 State of Alternative Credit Data report, consumers and lenders alike weigh in on the growing data set and how they are leveraging the data in use cases across the lending lifecycle. While the topic of alternative credit data is no longer as unfamiliar as it may have been a year or two ago, the capabilities and benefits that can be experienced by financial institutions, small businesses and consumers are still not widely known. Did you know?: -  65% of lenders say they are using information beyond the traditional credit report to make a lending decision. -  58% of consumers agree that having the ability to contribute payment history to their credit file make them feel empowered. -  83% of lenders agree that digitally connecting financial account data will create efficiencies in the lending process. These and other consumer and lender perceptions of alternative credit data are now launched with the latest edition of the State of Alternative Credit Data whitepaper. This year’s report rounds up the different types of alternative credit data (from alternative financial services data to consumer-permissioned account data, think Experian BoostTM), as well as an overview of the regulatory landscape, and a number of use cases across consumer and small business lending.     In addition, consumers also have a lot to say about alternative credit data:   With the rise of machine learning and big data, lenders can collect more data than ever, facilitating smarter and more precise decisions. Unlock your portfolio’s growth potential by tapping into alternative credit data to expand your consumer universe. Learn more in the 2019 State of Alternative Credit Data Whitepaper. Read Full Report View our 2020 State of Alternative Credit Data Report for an updated look at how consumers and lenders are leveraging alternative credit data. 

Consumer credit trends and markets are constantly evolving, particularly when it comes to originations and delinquencies on mortgages, credit cards and auto loans. According to Experian research, over 2.7 million out of 89 million active automotive loans and leases are either 30 or 60 days delinquent. Triggers that signal a greater likelihood of consumers falling delinquent on loans, mortgages and credit card payments, include high-interest rates, a high utilization rate and recent derogatory trades. By tracking and forecasting consumer trends over time, you can more easily predict consumer behavior and better prepare for potential issues within each market. Join Gavin Harding, Experian Senior Business Consultant, and Alan Ikemura, Experian Data Analytics Senior Product Manager, during our live Quarterly Credit Trends webinar on May 30 at 2:00 p.m. ET. Our expert speakers will provide a view of the real estate market and share insights on the latest consumer credit trends. Highlights include: 2019 economic drivers Q1 2019 origination and delinquency trends Mortgage Home equity Bankcard Auto Register now

Mortgage delinquencies continued to reach multi-year lows with the delinquency rate for those 60 plus days past due falling to 4.68 percent in Q2 2012 compared to 5.04 percent for the same quarter last year. The decline may be the result of lenders further tightening their criteria, as the average VantageScore® credit score for consumers who opened a new mortgage trade in Q1 2012 was seven points higher when compared to the same quarter in 2011 - 878 versus 871. Sign up now for a detailed overview of consumer credit trends from the Q2 2012 Experian-Oliver Wyman Market Intelligence Reports and an in-depth look at the current state of the U.S. real estate market. Source: Experian-Oliver Wyman Market Intelligence Reports. VantageScore® is owned by VantageScore Solutions, LLC.