Data & Analytics

As 2023 unfolds, rental housing owners and operators find themselves faced with a slightly different market than in the recent past. While rents are still high, rent growth has slowed somewhat, and the prospect of a cooler U.S. economy means more renters could be facing economic hardships in the months ahead. So, who is today's renter? In The State of the U.S. Rental Housing Market, a new report from Experian, we uncover that today’s renters are typically younger. According to our data derived from Experian RentBureau® and our analysis, 68.8% of today’s renters are either millennials (41.8%) or Gen Z (27%). Meanwhile, 17.3% are Gen X, 11.9% are baby boomers and only 2.2% are from the Silent Generation. Similarly, when you look at the renters who have a higher propensity to move — and thus need a new apartment or home to rent — they tend to skew younger. Our analysis shows that, of the renters who made two or more moves during the last two years, 43.2% were Gen Y (millennials). The younger Gen Y segment accounts for 25.2% of the frequent movers. As the population of renters has increased over the past decade, the concentration of growth appears to be among households earning $75,000 or more in annual income. About 7.6 million of these households were renters in 2009; by 10 years later, that figure had increased to 11.2 million. What is their financial status? Also, by some measurements, U.S. consumers — and, by extension, renters — improved their financial standing during the pandemic era. Credit scores rose as consumers used stimulus payments to pay down debt and save, but this trend is starting to normalize. The median conventional credit score rose above 700 in 2022, up from just above 680 in 2019. Still, according to Experian RentBureau, 63% of all renter households are low- to moderate-income earners, meaning they make less than 80% of the area median income. Furthermore, the average renter spends 38.6% of their income on rent. Households that spend more than 30% of their income on housing costs — including rent or mortgage payments, utilities and other fees — are considered “housing cost burdened” by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. For more insight and analysis of today’s rental-housing market, click here to download your free copy of The State of the U.S. Rental Housing Market report.

After a period of historic, double-digit rent growth and razor-thin vacancy rates, the rental housing market has shown some signs of softening in recent months. And economic uncertainty still looms. The potential of a downturn this year and the existing economic strains faced by large swaths of renters may impact many rental-housing owners and managers nervous about their ability to find renters who can fulfill their lease terms. In The State of the U.S. Rental Housing Market, a new report from Experian, our data scientists and analysts offer key insights into the U.S. housing market and its impact on renters. The analysis in this report is derived from synthesizing various data samples and sources, including Experian credit attributes and models as well as data from the U.S. Census Bureau and Experian RentBureau®. Experian RentBureau is the largest rental payment database and contains over 4.4 million transactions and more than 25 million renter profiles. This report yields three major takeaways: Soaring interest rates and a slowing mortgage sector over the last year have taken heat out of the homebuying market, leading to more renters remaining in the renter pool. Inflation and other economic strains continue to squeeze renters’ finances. As rent prices increase and negative payment activity becomes more frequent, rental-housing owners and operators are striving to grow without expanding default risk and need to find renters with the best chances of fulfilling the terms of their leases. Among the report’s other notable findings: The average renter spends 38.6% of their income on rent. Households that spend more than 30% of their income on housing costs — including rent or mortgage payments, utilities and other fees — are considered “housing cost burdened” by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. Experian data shows 28% of renters with negative payment activity in 2022 (negative payment activity is defined as having late charges, insufficient funds, write-offs or outstanding balances). The figure represented an increase of 5.7 percentage points from 2021 and 3.8 percentage points from 2020. Also of note, low-to-moderate income renters are twice as likely to have a negative payment activity compared to other renters. Rent-to-income ratios are highest in the West and the Northeast. Among all 50 states, the leaders are Washington D.C. (40.9%), California (39.7%), Washington state (35.6%), Utah (35.6%) and New York (35.3%). Keep pace with trends in future blog posts that will dive deeper into the current conditions affecting the rental housing market and renters. In the meantime, click here to download your free copy of The State of the U.S. Rental Housing Market Report in full.

More than half of U.S. businesses say they discuss fraud management often, making fraud detection in banking top-of-mind. Banking fraud prevention can seem daunting, but with the proper tools, banks, credit unions, fintechs, and other financial institutions can frustrate and root out fraudsters while maintaining a positive experience for good customers. What is banking fraud? Banking fraud is a type of financial crime that uses illegal means to obtain money, assets, or other property owned or held by a bank, other financial institution, or customers of the bank. This type of fraud can be difficult to detect when misclassified as credit risk or written off as a loss rather than investigated and prevented in the future. Fraud that impacts financial institutions consists of small-scale one-off events or larger efforts perpetrated by fraud rings. Not long ago, many of the techniques utilized by fraudsters required in-person or phone-based activities. Now, many of these activities are online, making it easier for fraudsters to disguise their intent and perpetrate multiple attacks at once or in sequence. Banking fraud can include: Identity theft: When a bad actor steals a consumer’s personal information and uses it to take money, open credit accounts, make purchases, and more. Check fraud: This type of fraud occurs when a fraudster writes a bad check, forges information, or steals and alters someone else’s check. Credit card fraud: A form of identity theft where a bad actor makes purchases or gets a cash advance in the name of an unsuspecting consumer. The fraudster may takeover an existing account by gaining access to account numbers online, steal a physical card, or open a new account in someone else’s name.  Phishing: These malicious efforts allow scammers to steal personal and account information through use of email, or in the case of smishing, through text messages. The fraudster often sends a link to the consumer that looks legitimate but is designed to steal login information, personally identifiable information, and more. Direct deposit account fraud: Also known as DDA fraud, criminals monetize stolen information to open new accounts and divert funds from payroll, assistance programs, and more. Unfortunately, this type of fraud doesn’t just lead to lost funds – it also exposes consumer data, impacts banks’ reputations, and has larger implications for the financial system. Today, top concerns for banks include generative AI (GenAI) fraud, peer-to-peer (P2P) payment scams, identity theft and transaction fraud. Without the proper detection and prevention techniques, it’s difficult for banks to keep fraudsters perpetrating these schemes out. What is banking fraud prevention? Detecting and preventing banking fraud consists of a set of techniques and tasks that help protect customers, assets and systems from those with malicious intent. Risk management solutions for banks identify fraudulent access attempts, suspicious transfer requests, signs of false identities, and more. The financial industry is constantly evolving, and so are fraudsters. As a result, it’s important for organizations to stay ahead of the curve by investing in new fraud prevention technologies. Depending on the size and sophistication of your institution, the tools and techniques that comprise your banking fraud prevention solutions may look different. However, every strategy should include multiple layers of friction designed to trip up fraudsters enough to abandon their efforts, and include flags for suspicious activity and other indicators that a user or transaction requires further scrutiny.   Some of the emerging trends in banking fraud prevention include: Use of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML). While these technologies aren’t new, they are finding footing across industries as they can be used to identify patterns consistent with fraudulent activity – some of which are difficult or time-consuming to detect with traditional methods. Behavioral analytics and biometrics. By noting standard customer behaviors — e.g., which devices they use and when — and how they use those devices — looking for markers of human behavior vs. bot or fraud ring activity — organizations can flag riskier users for additional authentication and verification. Leveraging additional data sources. By looking beyond standard credit reports when opening credit accounts, organizations can better detect signs of identity theft, synthetic identities, and even potential first-party fraud.     With real-time fraud detection tools in place, financial institutions can more easily identify good consumers and allow them to complete their requests while applying the right amount and type of friction to detect and prevent fraud.   How to prevent and detect banking fraud In order to be successful in the fight against fraud and keep yourself and your customers safe, financial institutions of all sizes and types must: Balance risk mitigation with the customer experience Ensure seamless interactions across platforms for known consumers who present little to no risk Leverage proper identity resolution and verification tools Recognize good consumers and apply the proper fraud mitigation techniques to riskier scenarios With Experian’s interconnected approach to fraud detection in banking, incorporating data, analytics, fraud risk scores, device intelligence, and more, you can track and assess various activities and determine where additional authentication, friction, or human intervention is required. 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‘Big data’ might not be the buzzword du jour, but it's here to stay. Whether trying to improve your customer experience, portfolio performance, automation, or new AI capabilities, access to quality data from varying data sources can create growth opportunities. 85 percent of organizations believe that poor-quality customer contact data negatively affects their operations and efficiencies, which leads to wasted resources and damages their brand. And 77 percent said that inaccurate data hurt their response to market changes during the pandemic.1 If you want to use data to drive your business forward, consider where the data comes from and how you can glean useful insights. What is a data source? A data source is a location where you can access information. It's a broad description because data sources can come in different formats — the definition depends on how the data is being used rather than a specific storage type. For example, you can get data from a spreadsheet, sensors on an internet of things device or scrape it from websites. You might store the data you gather using different types of databases. And in turn, those databases can be data sources for other programs or organizations. Types of data sources Many organizations have chief data officers, along with data engineers, scientists and analysts who gather, clean, organize and manage data. This important work relies on understanding the technical aspects of varying data sources and connections. And it can turn a disorganized pool of data into structured databases that business leaders can easily access and analyze. From a non-technical point of view, it’s important to consider where the data comes from and the pros and cons of these data sources. For instance, marketers might define data sources as: First-party data: The data collected about customers and prospects, such as account details, transaction history and interactions with your website or app. The data can be especially valuable and insightful when you can connect the dots between previously siloed data sources within your organization.Zero-party data: Some organizations have a separate classification for information that customers voluntarily share, such as their communication preferences and survey results. It can be helpful to view this data separately because it reflects customers' desires and interests, which can be used to further customize your messaging and recommendations.Second-party data: Another organization's first-party data can be your second-party data if you purchase it or have a partnership that involves data sharing or data collaboration. Second-party data can be helpful because you know exactly where the information comes from and it can complement information you already have about customers or prospects.Third-party data: Third-party data comes from aggregators that collect and organize information from multiple sources. It can further enrich your customer view to improve marketing, underwriting, customer service and collection efforts. READ: The Realizing a Single Customer View white paper explores how organizations can use high-quality data to better understand their customers. How can a data-driven approach benefit your business? Organizations use data science to make sense of the increasingly large flow of information from varying data sources. A clear view can be important for driving growth and responding to changing consumer preferences and economic uncertainty. A 2022 survey of U.S. organizations found high-quality data can help:2 Grow your business: 91 percent said investing in data quality helped business growth.Improve customer experience: 90 percent said better data quality led to better customer experiences.Increase agility: 89 percent said best practices for data quality improved business agility. You can see these benefits play out in different areas. For example, you can more precisely segment customers based on reliable geographic, demographic, behavioral and psychographic data. Or combine data sources to get a more accurate view of consumer risk and increase your AI-powered credit risk decisioning capabilities. But building and scaling data systems while maintaining good quality isn't easy. Many organizations have to manage multiple internal and external data sources, and these can feed into databases that don't always communicate with one another. Most organizations (85 percent) are looking toward automation to improve efficiency and make up for skill shortages. Most are also investing in technology to help them monitor, report and visualize data — making it easier to understand and use.3 WATCH: See how you can go from data to information to insight and foresight in the Using Business Intelligence to Unlock Better Lending Decisions webinar. Access high-quality data from Experian Digital acceleration has made accessing quality data more important than ever. This includes learning how to collect and manage your zero- and first-party data. Experian's data quality management solutions can help you aggregate, cleanse and monitor your data. And the business intelligence tools and platform democratize access, allowing non-technical business leaders to find meaningful insights. You can also enhance your data sets with second- and third-party data. Our industry-leading data sources have information on over 245 million consumers and 32 million businesses, including proprietary data assets. These include traditional credit bureau data, alternative credit data, automotive data, commercial credit data, buy now pay later data, fraud data and residential property data. And you can use our API developer portal to access additional third-party data sources within the same interface. Learn more about Experian's data sources. 1. Experian (2022). 2022 Global Data Management Research Report2. Experian (2022). The Data Quality Imperative3. Ibid.

After being in place for more than three years, the student loan payment pause is scheduled to end 60 days after June 30, with payments resuming soon after. As borrowers brace for this return, there are many things that loan servicers and lenders should take note of, including: Potential risk factors demonstrated by borrowers. About one in five student loan borrowers show risk factors that suggest they could struggle when scheduled payments resume.1 These include pre-pandemic delinquencies on student loans and new non-medical collections during the pandemic. The impact of pre-pandemic delinquencies. A delinquent status dating prior to the pandemic is a statistically significant indicator of subsequent risk. An increase in non-student loan delinquencies. As of March 2023, around 2.5 million student loan borrowers had a delinquency on a non-student loan, an increase of approximately 200,000 borrowers since September 2022.2 Transfers to new servicers. More than four in ten borrowers will return to repayment with a new student loan servicer.3 Feelings of anxiety for younger borrowers. Roughly 70% of Gen Z and millennials believe the current economic environment is hurting their ability to be financially independent adults. However, 77% are striving to be more financially literate.4 How loan servicers and lenders can prepare and navigate Considering these factors, lenders and servicers know that borrowers may face new challenges and fears once student loan payments resume. Here are a few implications and what servicers and lenders can do in response: Non-student loan delinquencies can potentially soar further. Increased delinquencies on non-student loans and larger monthly payments on all credit products can make the transition to repayment extremely challenging for borrowers. Combined with high balances and interest rates, this can lead to a sharp increase in delinquencies and heightened probability of default. By leveraging alternative data and attributes, you can gain deeper insights into your customers' financial behaviors before and during the payment holidays. This way, you can mitigate risk and improve your lending and servicing decisions. Note: While many student loan borrowers have halted their payments during forbearance, some have continued to pay anyway, demonstrating strong financial ability and willingness to pay in the future. Trended data and advanced modeling provide a clearer, up-to-date view of these payment behaviors, enabling you to identify low-risk, high-value customers. Streamlining your processes can benefit you and your customers. With some student loan borrowers switching to different servicers, creating new accounts, enrolling in autopay, and confirming payment information can be a huge hassle. For servicers that will have new loans transferred to them, the number of queries and requests from borrowers can be overwhelming, especially if resources are limited. To make transitions as smooth as possible, consider streamlining your administrative tasks and processes with automation. This way, you can provide fast and frictionless service for borrowers while focusing more of your resources on those who need one-on-one assistance. Providing credit education can help borrowers take control of their financial lives. Already troubled by higher costs and monthly payments on other credit products, student loan payments are yet another financial obligation for borrowers to worry about. Some borrowers have even stated that student loan debt has delayed or prevented them from achieving major life milestones, such as getting married, buying a home, or having children.5 By arming borrowers with credit education, tools, and resources, they can better navigate the return of student loan payments, make more informed financial decisions, and potentially turn into lifelong customers. For more information on effective portfolio management, click here. 1Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. (June 2023). Office of Research blog: Update on student loan borrowers as payment suspension set to expire. 2Ibid. 3Ibid. 4Experian. (May 2023). Take a Look: Millennial and Gen Z Personal Finance Trends 5AP News. (June 2023). The pause on student loan payment is ending. Can borrowers find room in their budgets?

Credit portfolio management has often involved navigating uncertainty, but some periods are more extreme than others. With the right data and analytics you can gain deeper insight into financial behaviors and risk to make better decisions and drive profitable growth. Along with access to an increasing amount of data, advanced analytics can help lenders more accurately: Forecast losses under different economic scenarios to estimate liquidity requirements. Identify fraud by detecting behaviors that could indicate identity theft, account takeover fraud, first-party or synthetic identity fraud. Incorporate real-time and alternative data,1 such as cash flow transaction data and specialty bureau data, in decisioning and scoring to accurately assess creditworthiness and expand your lending pool without taking on undue risk. Precisely segment consumers using internal and external data to increase automation during underwriting and identify cross-sell opportunities. Improve collections using AI-driven strategies and automated debt collection software to enhance operations and increase recovery rates. It’s imperative to take a proactive approach to portfolio monitoring. Monthly portfolio reviews with bureau scores, credit attributes and specialized scores — and using the results to manage credit lines and loan terms — are critical during volatile times. View our interactive e-book for the latest economic and consumer trends and learn how to set your portfolio up to succeed in any economic cycle. Download e-book 1"Alternative credit data" refers to the use of alternative data and its appropriate use in consumer credit lending decisions, as regulated by the Fair Credit Reporting Act. Hence, the term “expanded FCRA data" may also apply in this instance, and both can be used interchangeably.

Banking uncertainty creates opportunity for fraud The recent regional bank collapses left anxious consumers scrambling to withdraw their funds or open new accounts at other institutions. Unfortunately, this situation has also created an opportunity for fraudsters to take advantage of the chaos. Criminals are exploiting the situation and posing as legitimate customers looking to flee their current bank to open new accounts elsewhere. Financial institutions looking to bring on these consumers as new clients must remain vigilant against fraudulent activity. Fraudsters also prey on vulnerable individuals who may be financially stressed and uncertain about the future. This creates a breeding ground for scams as fear and uncertainty cloud judgment and make people more susceptible to manipulation. Beware of fraudulent tactics Now, it is more important than ever for financial institutions to be vigilant in their due diligence processes. As they navigate this period of financial turbulence, they must take extra precautions to ensure that new customers are who they say they are by verifying customer identities, conducting thorough background checks where necessary, and monitoring transactions for any signs of suspicious activity. Consumers should also maintain vigilance — fraudulent schemes come in many forms, from phishing scams to fake investment opportunities promising unrealistic returns. To protect yourself against these risks, it is important to remain vigilant and take precautions such as verifying the legitimacy of any offers or investments before investing, monitoring your bank and credit card statements regularly for suspicious activity, and being skeptical of unsolicited phone calls, emails, or text messages. Security researcher Johannes Ulrich reported that threat actors are jumping at the opportunity, registering suspicious domains related to Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) that are likely to be used in attacks. Ulrich warned that the scammers might try to contact former clients of SVB to offer them a support package, legal services, loans, or other fake services relating to the bank's collapse. Meanwhile, on the day of the SVB closure, synthetic identity fraud began to climb from an attack rate of .57 to a first peak of 1.24% on the Sunday following the closure, or an increase of 80%. After the first spike reduced on March 14, we only saw a return of an even higher spike on March 21 to 1.35%, with bumps continuing since then. As the economy slows and fraud rises, don’t let your guard down The recent surge in third-party attack rates on small business and investment platforms is a cause for concern. There was a staggering nearly 500% increase in these attacks between March 7th and 11th, which coincided with the release of negative news about SVB. Bad actors had evidently been preparing for this moment and were quick to exploit vulnerabilities they had identified across our financial system. They used sophisticated bots to create multiple accounts within minutes of the news dropping and stole identities to perpetrate fraudulent activities. This underscores the need for increased vigilance and proactive measures to protect against cyber threats impacting financial institutions. Adopting stronger security measures like multi-factor authentication, real-time monitoring, and collaboration with law enforcement agencies for timely identification of attackers is of paramount importance to prevent similar fraud events in the future. From frictionless to friction-right As businesses seek to stabilize their operations in the face of market turbulence, they must also remain vigilant against the threat of fraud. Illicit activities can permeate a company's ecosystem and disrupt its operations, potentially leading to financial losses and reputational damage. Safeguarding against fraud is not a simple task. Striking a balance between ensuring a smooth customer experience and implementing effective fraud prevention measures can be a challenging endeavor. For financial institutions in particular, being too stringent in fraud prevention efforts may drive customers away, while being too lenient can expose them to additional fraud risks. This is where a waterfall approach, such as that offered by Experian CrossCore®, can prove invaluable. By leveraging an array of fraud detection tools and technologies, businesses can tailor their fraud prevention strategies to suit the specific needs and journeys of different customer segments. This layered, customized approach can help protect businesses from fraud while ensuring a seamless customer experience. Learn more

With an ever-present need for efficiency, security, and seamless citizen services, many agencies are looking at the benefits of a data-driven government. Last year, the federal government kicked off a unified effort to enable data-driven decision making. The goal at that level – and across all agencies – is to serve citizens more efficiently and effectively. By embracing the power of data and analytics, agencies of all sizes can set themselves up to better serve their citizens. What is a data-driven government? Agencies collect citizen data from a variety of service-based sources, including the Postal Service, Census Bureau, social welfare departments, and agencies that issue government IDs. When properly leveraged, this data holds many possibilities. However, many agencies face challenges when it comes to efficient collection, sharing, usage, integrity, and accessibility. Due to the amount of data collected and the potential lack of consistency in the collection and storage techniques, the data may not be usable. Without proper management and analysis, there’s little government agencies can do with their data to improve their processes. A data-driven government has well-managed data and uses that data to drive their decisions as they relate to citizen requests for benefits, tax collection, elections, and more. What are the benefits of data-driven decision making? Data management and government data analytics enable agencies to react quickly to citizen demands and concerns and proactively anticipate an issue before it becomes a crisis. With the right tools, agencies can gain a holistic view of their citizens, communicate effectively internally, provide digitally-driven services and improve overall efficiency through government-wide data integration and management. These changes have a wide range of benefits, including reduction of cost, fraud, waste and abuse, the automation of manual processes, and better service delivery. Why is a data-driven strategy required? In addition to the benefits listed above, a data-driven strategy also helps agencies align with published NIST guidelines and the need to monitor, evaluate, and maintain digital identity systems. Proper use of data-driven digital identity strategies will enhance equity and the usability of the solutions agencies provide to their citizens. Building an effective data-driven strategy The right strategy starts with ensuring that all departments about the need for proper data management and analytics and the guidelines that will govern it, such as maintaining up-to-date data, removing silos, and leveraging the right tools. The next step is finding the right partner. An effective partner can help agencies develop and maintain data management systems and implement the right tools and analytics – things like machine learning in government – to help each agency function efficiently and safeguard the data of its citizens. To learn how Experian can help your agency improve its use of data, visit us or request a call. Visit us

Every data-driven organization needs to turn raw data into insights and, potentially, foresight. There was a time when lack of data was a hindrance, but that's often no longer the case. Many organizations are overwhelmed with too much data and lack clarity on how to best organize or use it. Modern business intelligence platforms can help. And financial institutions can use business intelligence analytics to optimize their decisioning and uncover safe growth opportunities. What is business intelligence? Business intelligence is an overarching term for the platforms and processes that organizations use to collect, store, analyze and display data and information. The ability to go from raw data to useful insights and foresight presents organizations with a powerful advantage, and can help them greatly improve their operations and efficiencies. Let’s pause and break down the below terms before expanding on business intelligence. Data: The raw information, such as customers' credit scores. Many organizations collect so much data that keeping it all can be an expensive challenge. Access to new types of data, such as alternative credit data, can assist with decisioning — but additional data points are only helpful if you have the resources or expertise to process and analyze them.Information: Once you process and organize data points, you can display the resulting information in reports, dashboards, and other visualizations that are easier to understand. Therefore, turning raw data into information. For example, the information you acquire might dictate that customers with credit scores over 720 prefer one of your products twice as much as your other products.Insight: The information tells you what happened, but you must analyze it to find useful and actionable insights. There could be several reasons customers within a specific score band prefer one product over another, and insights offer context and help you decide what to do next. In addition, you could also see what happened to the customers who were not approved.Foresight: You can also use information and insights to make predictions about what can happen or how to act in the future given different scenarios. For example, how your customers' preferences will likely change if you offer new terms, introduce a new product or there's a large economic shift. Business intelligence isn't new — but it is changing. Traditionally, business intelligence heavily relied on IT teams to sift through the data and generate reports, dashboards and other visualizations. Business leaders could ask questions and wait for the IT team to answer the queries and present the results. Modern business intelligence platforms make that process much easier and offer analytical insights. Now even non-technical business leaders can quickly answer questions with cloud-based and self-service tools. Business intelligence vs. business intelligence analytics Business intelligence can refer to the overall systems in place that collect, store, organize and visualize your data. Business intelligence tends to focus on turning data into presentable information and descriptive analytics — telling you what happened and how it happened. Business intelligence analytics is a subset of business intelligence that focuses on diagnostics, predictive and prescriptive analytics. In other words, why something happened, what could happen in the future, and what you should do. Essentially, the insights and foresight that are listed above. How can modern business intelligence benefit lenders? A business intelligence strategy and advanced analytics and modeling can help lenders precisely target customers, improve product offerings, streamline originations, manage portfolios and increase recovery rates. More specifically, business intelligence can help lenders uncover various trends and insights, such as: Changes in consumers' financial health and credit behavior.How customers' credit scores migrate over time.The risk performance of various portfolios.How product offerings and terms compare to competitors.Which loans are they losing to peers?Which credit attributes are most predictive for their target market? Understanding what's working well today is imperative. But your competitors aren't standing still. You also need to monitor trends and forecast the impact — good or bad — of various changes. WATCH: Webinar: Using Business Intelligence to Unlock Better Lending Decisions Using business intelligence to safely grow your portfolio Let's take a deeper dive into how business intelligence could help you grow your portfolio without taking on additional risk. It's an appealing goal that could be addressed in different ways depending on the underlying issue and business objective. For example, you might be losing loans to peers because of an acquisition strategy that's resulting in declining good customers. Or, perhaps your competitors' products are more appealing to your target customers. Business intelligence can show you how many applications you received, approved, and booked — and how many approved or declined applicants accepted a competitor's offer. You can segment and analyze the results based on the applicant’s credit scores, income, debt-to-income, loan amounts, loan terms, loan performance and other metrics. An in-depth analysis might highlight meaningful insights. For example, you might find that you disproportionately lost longer-term loans to competitors. Perhaps matching your competitors' long-term loan offerings could help you book more loans. READ: White paper: Getting AI-driven decisioning right in financial services Experian's business intelligence analytics solutions Lenders can use modern business intelligence platforms to better understand their customers, products, competitors, trends, and the potential impact of shifting economic circumstances or consumer behavior. Experian's Ascend Intelligence Services™ suite of solutions can help you turn data points into actionable insights. Ascend Intelligence Services™ Acquire Model: Create custom machine learning models that can incorporate internal, bureau and alternative credit data to more accurately assess risk and increase your lending universe.Ascend Intelligence Services™ Acquire Strategy: Get a more granular view of applicants that can help you improve segmentation and increase automation.Ascend Intelligence Services™ Pulse: A model and strategy health dashboard that can help you proactively identify and remediate issues and nimbly react to market changes.Ascend Intelligence Services™ Limit: Set and manage credit limits during account opening and when managing accounts to increase revenue and mitigate risk.Ascend Intelligence Services™ Foresight: A modern business intelligence platform that offers easy-to-use tools that help business leaders make better-informed decisions. Businesses can also leverage Experian's industry-leading data assets and expertise with various types of project-based and ongoing engagements. Learn more about how you can implement or benefit from business intelligence analytics.

On average, the typical global consumer owns three or more connected devices.1 80% of consumers bounce between devices, while 31% who turned to digital channels for their last purchase used multiple devices along the way.2 Considering these trends, many lenders are leveraging multiple channels in addition to direct mail, including email and mobile applications, to maximize their credit marketing efforts. The challenge, however, is effectively engaging consumers without becoming overbearing or inconsistent. In this article, we explore what identity resolution for credit marketing is and how the right identity tools can enable financial institutions to create more cohesive and personalized customer interactions. What is identity resolution? Identity resolution connects unique identifiers across touchpoints to build a unified identity for an individual, household, or business. This requires an identity graph, a proprietary database that collects, stitches, and stores identifiers from digital and offline sources. As a result, organizations can create a persistent, high-definition customer view, allowing for more consistent and meaningful brand experiences. What are the types of identity resolution? There are two common approaches to identity resolution: probabilistic ID matching and deterministic ID matching. Probabilistic ID matching uses multiple algorithms and data sets to match identity profiles that are most likely the same customer. Data points used in probabilistic models include IP addresses and device types. Deterministic ID matching uses first-party data that customers have produced, enabling you to merge new data with customer records and identify matches among existing identifiers. Examples of this type of data include phone numbers and email addresses. What role does identity resolution play in credit marketing? Maintaining a comprehensive customer view is crucial to credit marketing — the insights gained allow lenders to determine who they should engage and the type of offer or messaging that would resonate most. But there are many factors that can prevent financial institutions from doing this effectively: poor data quality, consumers bouncing between multiple devices, and so on. Seven out of 10 consumers find it important that companies they interact with online identify them across visits. Identity resolution for credit marketing solves these issues by matching and linking customer data from disparate sources back to a single profile. This enables lenders to: Create highly targeted campaigns. If your data is incomplete or inaccurate, you may waste your marketing spend by engaging the wrong audience or sending out irrelevant credit offers. An identity resolution solution that leverages expansive, regularly updated data gives you access to high-definition views of individuals, resulting in more personalization and greater campaign engagement. Deliver seamless, omnichannel experiences. To further improve your credit marketing efforts, you’ll need to keep up with consumers not only as their needs or preferences change, but also as they move across channels and devices. Instead of creating multiple identity profiles for the same person, identity resolution can recognize an individual across touchpoints, allowing you to create consistent offers and cohesive experiences. Picking the right marketing identity resolution solution While the type of identity resolution for marketing solution can vary depending on your business’s goals and challenges, Experian can help you get started. To learn more, visit us today. 1 Global number of devices and connections per capita 2018-2023, Statista. 2 Cross Device Marketing - Statistics and Trends, Go-Globe.

Jennifer Schulz, CEO of Experian, North America kicked off Experian’s annual Vision conference Tuesday morning pointing to data, analytics, technology and collective curiosity as the drivers for change and a more impactful tomorrow to more than 700 attendees. Keynote speaker: Jennifer Bailey Jennifer Bailey, Vice President of Apple Pay and Apple Wallet, spoke about the customer experience “ethos.” She explained how Apple takes a long-term view and values the single most important performance metric as customer experience. She said creating a seamless customer experience comes down to making things simple and understandable, and asking, “Are we solving a customer problem?” and “How are we making it easier for customers to enjoy and liver their lives. Bailey, who said of all apps she uses the weather app the most, also talked about innovation, and that both intent and making mistakes are important parts of the process. Apple’s products are known for their user-friendliness, and design is part of that. She encouraged the audience to give design teams room to create without bottom line pressures and not to be afraid to take well-considered risks. Keynote Speaker: Gary Cohn Gary Cohn, Vice Chairman of IBM, talked about the current economic climate, and while it’s a natural viewpoint to look to the past for guidance, the current environment is unlike any before. Cohn discussed regulatory compliance in the banking industry and prioritizing safety and soundness. While AI is topical and in numerous headlines recently, Cohn reminded the conference goers that AI isn’t new. He said what is new and important is that you can now teach models to find the information needed rather than having to feed all the information yourself. He believes AI is not the end of employment, but rather helps boost productivity, efficiency, and job satisfaction and provides organizations more data. As for advice for the audience, Cohn shared opportunities are in the uncomfortable zones and you have to be willing to fail in order to succeed. Session highlights – Day 1 The conference hall was buzzing with conversations, discussions and thought leadership. Overall themes that were frequently part of the conversation included seamless customer experiences, agility in face of economic changes and leveraging AI/ML into strategies. Fraud automation and preventing commercial fraud More businesses are opening than ever before and lenders and service providers need a way to determine risk from businesses who are less than a year old. There is no one-size-fits-all approach to fraud. A layered solution assesses risk and applies the correct friction to resolve the risk and pass or refer the applicant. Identity Today’s consumer wants a personalized experience and is privacy conscious. Additionally, regulators are also pushing for greater privacy. Clean rooms allow you and a partner to add data to a safe space and learn more about consumers without exposing data. The right data improves acquisition rates, identity verification and allows you to anticipate customer needs. Advanced scoring Data, models and strategy are the levers institutions are using to leverage responsible analytics to meet their objectives like safely growing existing portfolios, managing the “right” level of risk, and providing a seamless digital experience. However, the total value of a decisioning system is almost always constrained by its most rudimentary component. The panel of experts discussed their uses and goals for leveraging models and customer experience was at the top of their priorities. Recession preparedness Delinquency is on the rise and lending offers made continue to drop. Changes in the economic climate require frequent monitoring of portfolio and decisions, benchmarking against peers, updating credit models and decision strategies, and stress testing portfolio and models. Trends in credit risk management While AI at the hands of everyone is topical today, it ranked lowest on the list of trends attendees believed were impacting their business. At the top of the list? The growing demand for simpler, faster and seamless experiences. More insights from Vision to come. Follow @ExperianVision and @ExperianInsights to see more of the action.

To reach customers in our modern, diverse communications landscape, it's not enough to send out one-size-fits-all marketing messages. Today's consumers value and continue to do business with organizations that put them first. For financial institutions, this means providing personalized experiences that enable your customers to feel seen and your marketing dollars to go further. How can you achieve this? The answer is simple: a customer-driven credit marketing strategy. What is customer-driven marketing? Customer-driven marketing is a strategy that focuses on putting consumers first, rather than products. It means thinking about the needs, wants and motivations of the prospects you're trying to reach and centering your marketing campaigns and messages around that audience. When done well, this comprehensive approach extends beyond the marketing team to all members of a company. The benefits of customer-driven credit marketing One benefit of this type of personalized credit marketing is that you can target customers with a potentially higher lifetime value. By focusing your marketing efforts on the right prospects, you'll ensure that budgets are being spent wisely and that you're not wasting valuable marketing dollars communicating with consumers who either won't respond or aren't a fit for your business. Customer-driven marketing enables you to identify and reach the most profitable, highly responsive prospects in the most efficient way, while also engaging with current customers to optimize retention rates. When you create marketing programs that are customer-driven, you're not just selling; you're building relationships. Rather than being simply a service provider, you become a trusted financial partner and advisor. This kind of data-driven customer experience can help you onboard more customers and retain them for longer, translating to better results when it comes to your bottom line. Customer-driven marketing: How to get started Customer-driven marketing is less funnel, more spiral. You research, test, refine and repeat, all while taking into account customer feedback and campaign results. It starts with defining your target audience and creating customer personas. As you do this, think about all the factors that are involved in your target customers’ path to purchase, from general awareness and growing need to the final motivation that pushes them to commit. You'll also want to consider what their pain points may be and the barriers that may prevent them from buying. Next, develop a marketing strategy that aligns with your target customers' needs and outlines how and where you'll reach them. It may also be helpful to gather and respond to customer feedback to ensure the value propositions in your campaigns are aligned with customer expectations. These insights can help you refine your messaging, resulting in increased response and retention rates. Use the right data to extend relevant credit offers When you send credit offers, you want to ensure they're reaching the right prospects at the right time. You also want to make sure these credit offers are relevant to the consumers that receive them. That's where quality data comes in. By optimizing your data-driven customer segmentation, you can develop timely and personalized credit offers to boost response rates. For example, you might have a target audience of consumers who are both creditworthy and looking for a new vehicle. Segmenting this audience into smaller groups by demographic, life stage, financial and other factors helps you create credit marketing campaigns that speak to each type of customer as an individual, not just a number. Meet consumers on their preferred channels Nowadays, consumer behavior is more fragmented than ever. This is relevant not just from a demographic point of view, but from the perspective of purchasing behavior. Customer-driven marketing helps you interact with prospects as individuals so that the value propositions they encounter are a true fit for their life situation. For instance, different age groups tend to spend time on different platforms. But why they're on those channels at any particular time matters too. Messaging aimed at prospects in their leisure time should be different from messaging they'll encounter when actively researching potential purchases. Keep up with your customers This is one answer to the question of how to improve customer retention as well. Research demonstrates that it's more cost-effective to keep a customer than to acquire a new one. When you tailor retention efforts with a well-thought-out customer-driven marketing strategy, you're likely to boost retention rates, which in many cases lead to better profits over time. Importance of a customer-driven marketing strategy Putting consumers at the center of credit marketing strategies — and at the center of your business as a whole — is the foundation for personalized experiences that can ultimately increase response rates and customer satisfaction. For more on how your organization can develop an effective customer-driven marketing strategy, learn about our credit marketing solutions.

In previous posts, I’ve explored the potential ramifications of the end of the Public Health Emergency (PHE) and how it will impact agency plans such as Medicaid eligibility redeterminations. Many states may have already prepared a risk-based approach to address the unwinding process. States need to balance these plans with onboarding new applicants and maintaining the service levels required by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS). Regardless of the approach, states should look for efficiency in all aspects of the redeterminations process, including aligning pending work with other program recertifications and maximizing the use of available information and tools. What does the end of the PHE mean for state agencies? From the end of the PHE, state agencies will have 12 months to initiate all citizen eligibility renewals and a total of 14 months to complete them. States may begin the unwinding process 60 days prior to the month in which the PHE ends. Many states have already begun Medicaid eligibility redeterminations in an effort to meet this deadline. CMS has provided extensive guidance in their Planning for Resumption document, which state agencies can refer to for full details. Building a proper redeterminations plan Redeterminations plans should verify citizen information with all available information, including residency, age, income, and deceased status. These plans should also support the assessment of identity risk and have the ability to ensure continuous outreach with accurate mailing addresses, phone numbers for calls and texts, email addresses, and assessments of returned mail. CMS guidance encourages states to verify eligibility requirements by mail, email, and other communications channels while minimizing the amount of time and documentation required of beneficiaries. The benefit of standing up this structure? More effective day-forward solutions that can help agencies assess any new and ongoing benefits requests and maintain accurate eligibility lists.   How can Experian help? Experian® has a range of products designed to help organizations verify contact information, such as phone numbers and mailing addresses, as well as income and employment. Our exclusive income and employment data can be leveraged incrementally in non-automated verification methods so that individuals not found by other services can be processed quickly via batch processing — minimizing any impact to beneficiaries while improving overall program performance. Our address verification tools provide improved outreach to beneficiaries with the best and most accurate mailing addresses, leveraging the National Change of Address (NCOA) database, as well as phone number information. The phone number information includes a mobile phone indicator, enabling text message outreach. Additionally, Experian can provide email address provisioning to verify or provide email addresses, which creates another path for contact. All of this helps agencies develop better redeterminations plans to manage the end of the PHE, and better process future benefits requests. To learn more about how we can help, visit us or request a call.  

The science of turning historical data into actionable insights is far from magic. And while organizations have successfully used predictive analytics for years, we're in the midst of a transformation. New tools, vast amounts of data, enhanced computing power and decreasing implementation costs are making predictive analytics increasingly accessible. And business leaders from varying industries and functions can now use the outcomes to make strategic decisions and manage risk. What is predictive analytics? Predictive analytics is a type of data analytics that uses statistical modeling and machine learning techniques to make predictions based on historical data. Organizations can use predictive analytics to predict risks, needs and outcomes. You might use predictive analytics to make an immediate decision. For example, whether or not to approve a new credit application based on a credit score — the output from a predictive credit risk model. But organizations can also use predictive analytics to make long-term decisions, such as how much inventory to order or staff to hire based on expected demand. How can predictive business analytics help a business succeed? Businesses can use predictive analytics in different parts of their organizations to answer common and critical questions. These include forecasting market trends, inventory and staffing needs, sales and risk. With a wide range of potential applications, it’s no surprise that organizations across industries and functions are using predictive analytics to inform their decisions. Here are a few examples of how predictive analytics can be helpful: Financial services: Financial institutions can use predictive analytics to assess credit risk, detect fraudulent applicants or transactions, cross-sell customers and limit losses during recovery. Healthcare: Using data from health records and medical devices, predictive models can predict patient outcomes or identify patients who need critical care. Manufacturing: An organization can use models to predict when machines need to be turned off or repaired to improve their longevity and avoid accidents. Retail: Brick-and-mortar retailers might use predictive analytics when deciding where to expand, what to cross-sell loyalty program members and how to improve pricing. Hospitality: A large hospitality group might predict future reservations to help determine how much staff they need to hire or schedule. Advanced techniques in predictive modeling for financial services Emerging technologies, particularly AI and machine learning (ML), are revolutionizing predictive modeling in the financial sector by providing more accurate, faster and more nuanced insights. Taking a closer look at financial services, consider how an organization might use predictive credit analytics and credit risk scores across the customer lifecycle. Marketing: Segment consumers to run targeted marketing campaigns and send prescreened credit offers to the people who are most likely to respond. AI models can analyze customer data to offer personalized offers and product recommendations. Underwriting: AI technologies enable real-time data analysis, which is critical for underwriting. The outputs from credit risk models can help you to quickly approve, deny or send applications for manual review. Explainable machine learning models may be able to expand automation and outperform predictive models built with older techniques by 10 to 15 percent.1 Fraud detection models can also raise red flags based on suspicious information or behaviors. Account management: Manage portfolios and improve customer retention, experience and lifetime value. The outputs can help you determine when you should adjust credit lines and interest rates or extend offers to existing customers. AI can automate complex decision-making processes by learning from historical data, reducing the need for human intervention and minimizing human error. Collections: Optimize and automate collections based on models' predictions about consumers' propensity to pay and expected recovery amounts. ML models, which are capable of processing vast amounts of unstructured data, can uncover complex patterns that traditional models might miss. Although some businesses can use unsupervised or “black box" models, regulations may limit how financial institutions can use predictive analytics to make lending decisions. Fortunately, there are ways to use advanced analytics, including AI and ML, to improve performance with fully compliant and explainable credit risk models and scores. WHITE PAPER: Getting AI-driven decisioning right in financial services Developing predictive analytics models Going from historical data to actionable analytics insights can be a long journey. And if you're making major decisions based on a model's predictions, you need to be confident that there aren’t any missteps along the way. Internal and external data scientists can oversee the process of developing, testing and implementing predictive analytics models: Define your goal: Determine the predictions you want to make or problems you want to solve given the constraints you must act within. Collect data: Identify internal and external data sources that house information that could be potentially relevant to your goal. Prepare the data: Clean the data to prepare it for analysis by removing errors or outliers and determining if more data will be helpful. Develop and validate models: Create predictive models based on your data, desired outcomes and regulatory requirements. Deciding which tools and techniques to use during model development is part of the art that goes into the science of predictive analytics. You can then validate models to confirm that they accurately predict outcomes. Deploy the models: Once a model is validated, deploy it into a live environment to start making predictions. Depending on your IT environment, business leaders may be able to easily access the outputs using a dashboard, app or website. Monitor results: Test and monitor the model to ensure it's continually meeting performance expectations. You may need to regularly retrain or redevelop models using training data that better reflects current conditions. Depending on your goals and resources, you may want to start with off-the-shelf predictive models that can offer immediate insights. But if your resources and experience allow, custom models may offer more insights. CASE STUDY: Experian worked with one of the largest retail credit card issuers to develop a custom acquisition model. The client's goal was to quickly replace their outdated custom model while complying with their model governance requirements. By using proprietary attribute sets and a patented advanced model development process, Experian built a model that offered 10 percent performance improvements across segments. Predictive modeling techniques Data scientists can use different modeling techniques when building predictive models, including: Regression analysis: A traditional approach that identifies the most important relationships between two or more variables. Decision trees: Tree-like diagrams  show potential choices and their outcomes. Gradient-boosted trees: Builds on the output from individual decision trees to train more predictive trees by identifying and correcting errors. Random forest: Uses multiple decision trees that are built in parallel on slightly different subsets of the training data. Each tree will give an output, and the forest can analyze all of these outputs to determine the most likely result. Neural networks: Designed to mimic how the brain works to find underlying relationships between data points through repeated tests and pattern recognition. Support vector machines: A type of machine learning algorithm that can classify data into different groups and make predictions based on shared characteristics. Experienced data scientists may know which techniques will work well for specific business needs. However, developing and comparing several models using different techniques can help determine the best fit. Implementation challenges and solutions in predictive analytics Integrating predictive analytics into existing systems presents several challenges that range from technical hurdles to external scrutiny. Here are some common obstacles and practical solutions: Data integration and quality: Existing systems often comprise disparate data sources, including legacy systems that do not easily interact. Extracting high-quality data from these varied sources is a challenge due to inconsistent data formats and quality. Implementing robust data management practices, such as data warehousing and data governance frameworks, ensure data quality and consistency. The use  of APIs can facilitate seamless data integration. Scalability: Predictive business analytics models that perform well in a controlled test environment may not scale effectively across the entire organization. They can suffer from performance issues when deployed on a larger scale due to increased data volumes and transaction rates. Invest in scalable infrastructure, such as cloud-based platforms that can dynamically adjust resources based on demand. Regulatory compliance: Financial institutions are heavily regulated, and any analytics tool must comply with existing laws — such as the Fair Credit Reporting Act in the U.S. — which govern data privacy and model transparency. Including explainable AI capabilities helps to ensure transparency and compliance in your predictive models. Compliance protocols should be regularly reviewed to align with both internal audits and external regulations. Expertise: Predictive analytics requires specialized knowledge in data science, machine learning and analytics. Develop in-house expertise through training and development programs or consider partnerships with analytics firms to bridge the gap. By addressing these challenges with thoughtful strategies, organizations can effectively integrate predictive analytics into their systems to enhance decision-making and gain a competitive advantage. From prediction to prescription While prediction analytics focuses on predicting what may happen, prescription analytics focuses on what you should do next. When combined, you can use the results to optimize decisions throughout your organization. But it all starts with good data and prediction models. Learn more about Experian's predictive modeling solutions. 1Experian (2020). Machine Learning Decisions in Milliseconds *This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information.

 With nearly seven billion credit card and personal loan acquisition mailers sent out last year, consumers are persistently targeted with pre-approved offers, making it critical for credit unions to deliver the right offer to the right person, at the right time. How WSECU is enhancing the lending experience As the second-largest credit union in the state of Washington, Washington State Employees Credit Union (WSECU) wanted to digitalize their credit decisioning and prequalification process through their new online banking platform, while also providing members with their individual, real-time credit score. WSECU implemented an instant credit decisioning solution delivered via Experian’s Decisioning as a ServiceSM environment, an integrated decisioning system that provides clients with access to data, attributes, scores and analytics to improve decisioning across the customer life cycle. Streamlined processes lead to upsurge in revenue growth   Within three months of leveraging Experian’s solution, WSECU saw more members beginning their lending journey through a digital channel than ever before, leading to a 25% increase in loan and credit applications. Additionally, member satisfaction increased with 90% of members finding the simplified process to be more efficient and requiring “low effort.” Read our case study for more insight on using our digital credit solutions to: Prequalify members in real-time at point of contact Match members to the right loan products Increase qualification, approval and take rates Lower operational and manual review costs Read case study