Credit Lending

Mid-sized banks should take a data-driven approach to implementing credit risk strategies if they want to expand their loan portfolios.

Download our infographic to learn how cashflow underwriting is reshaping lending — and how you can lead the change.

As financial behavior becomes more dynamic, real-time data is emerging as a powerful tool in reshaping how lenders assess risk.

Experian and Plaid are teaming up to power smarter, faster, and more inclusive lending — fueled by real-time cashflow insights.

Proactive credit limit increases can be a game-changer for financial institutions, improve financial health and stability.

By adopting a proactive approach to credit limit management, financial institutions can improve customer satisfaction and increase revenue.

By leveraging loan loss analysis, lenders can create more profitable business opportunities throughout the entire customer lifecycle.

Loan loss analysis helps financial institutions identify the characteristics and performance of loans that have been lost to competitors.

While federal funding is being scaled back for community-based financial institutions, we are scaling up to support CDFIs and credit unions.

The days of managing credit risk, fraud prevention, and compliance in silos are over. As fraud threats evolve, regulatory scrutiny increases, and economic uncertainty persists, businesses need a more unified risk strategy to stay ahead. Our latest e-book, Navigating the intersection of credit, fraud, and compliance, explores why 94% of forward-looking companies expect credit, fraud, and compliance to converge within the next three years — and what that means for your business.1 Key insights include: The line between fraud and credit risk is blurring. Many organizations classify first-party fraud losses as credit losses, distorting the true risk picture. Fear of fraud is costing businesses growth. 68% of organizations say they’re denying too many good customers due to fraud concerns. A unified approach is the future. Integrating risk decisioning across credit, fraud, and compliance leads to stronger fraud detection, smarter credit risk assessments, and improved compliance. Read the full e-book to explore how an integrated risk approach can protect your business and fuel growth. Download e-book 1Research conducted by InsightAvenue on behalf of Experian

Our new report provides a snapshot of the current credit card landscape and strategy considerations to inform your business decisions.

We are squarely in the holiday shopping season. From the flurry of promotional emails to the endless shopping lists, there are many to-dos and even more opportunities for financial institutions at this time of year. The holiday shopping season is not just a peak period for consumer spending; it’s also a critical time for financial institutions to strategize, innovate, and drive value. According to the National Retail Federation, U.S. holiday retail sales are projected to approach $1 trillion in 2024, , and with an ever-evolving consumer behavior landscape, financial institutions need actionable strategies to stand out, secure loyalty, and drive growth during this period of heightened spending. Download our playbook: "How to prepare for the Holiday Shopping Season" Here’s how financial institutions can capitalize on the holiday shopping season, including key insights, actionable strategies, and data-backed trends. 1. Understand the holiday shopping landscape Key stats to consider: U.S. consumers spent $210 billion online during the 2022 holiday season, according to Adobe Analytics, marking a 3.5% increase from 2021. Experian data reveals that 31% of all holiday purchases in 2022 occurred in October, highlighting the extended shopping season. Cyber Week accounted for just 8% of total holiday spending, according to Experian’s Holiday Spending Trends and Insights Report, emphasizing the importance of a broad, season-long strategy. What this means for financial institutions: Timing is crucial. Your campaigns are already underway if you get an early start, and it’s critical to sustain them through December. Focus beyond Cyber Week. Develop long-term engagement strategies to capture spending throughout the season. 2. Leverage Gen Z’s growing spending power With an estimated $360 billion in disposable income, according to Bloomberg, Gen Z is a powerful force in the holiday market​. This generation values personalized, seamless experiences and is highly active online. Strategies to capture Gen Z: Offer digital-first solutions that enhance the holiday shopping journey, such as interactive portals or AI-powered customer support. Provide loyalty incentives tailored to this demographic, like cash-back rewards or exclusive access to services. Learn more about Gen Z in our State of Gen Z Report. To learn more about all generations' projected consumer spending, read new insights from Experian here, including 45% of Gen X and 52% of Boomers expect their spending to remain consistent with last year. 3. Optimize pre-holiday strategies Portfolio Review: Assess consumer behavior trends and adjust risk models to align with changing economic conditions. Identify opportunities to engage dormant accounts or offer tailored credit lines to existing customers. Actionable tactics: Expand offerings. Position your products and services with promotional campaigns targeting high-value segments. Personalize experiences. Use advanced analytics to segment clients and craft offers that resonate with their holiday needs or anticipate their possible post-holiday needs. 4. Ensure top-of-mind awareness During the holiday shopping season, competition to be the “top of wallet” is fierce. Experian’s data shows that 58% of high spenders shop evenly across the season, while 31% of average spenders do most of their shopping in December​. Strategies for success: Early engagement: Launch educational campaigns to empower credit education and identity protection during this period of increased transactions. Loyalty programs: Offer incentives, such as discounts or rewards, that encourage repeat engagement during the season. Omnichannel presence: Utilize digital, email, and event marketing to maintain visibility across platforms. 5. Combat fraud with multi-layered strategies The holiday shopping season sees an increase in fraud, with card testing being the number one attack vector in the U.S. according to Experian’s 2024 Identity and Fraud Study. Fraudulent activity such as identity theft and synthetic IDs can also escalate​. Fight tomorrow’s fraud today: Identity verification: Use advanced fraud detection tools, like Experian’s Ascend Fraud Sandbox, to validate accounts in real-time. Monitor dormant accounts: Watch these accounts with caution and assess for potential fraud risk. Strengthen cybersecurity: Implement multi-layered strategies, including behavioral analytics and artificial intelligence (AI), to reduce vulnerabilities. 6. Post-holiday follow-up: retain and manage risk Once the holiday rush is over, the focus shifts to managing potential payment stress and fostering long-term relationships. Post-holiday strategies: Debt monitoring: Keep an eye on debt-to-income and debt-to-limit ratios to identify clients at risk of defaulting. Customer support: Offer tailored assistance programs for clients showing signs of financial stress, preserving goodwill and loyalty. Fraud checks: Watch for first-party fraud and unusual return patterns, which can spike in January. 7. Anticipate consumer trends in the New Year The aftermath of the holidays often reveals deeper insights into consumer health: Rising credit balances: January often sees an uptick in outstanding balances, highlighting the need for proactive credit management. Shifts in spending behavior: According to McKinsey, consumers are increasingly cautious post-holiday, favoring savings and value-based spending. What this means for financial institutions: Align with clients’ needs for financial flexibility. The holiday shopping season is a time that demands precise planning and execution. Financial institutions can maximize their impact during this critical period by starting early, leveraging advanced analytics, and maintaining a strong focus on fraud prevention. And remember, success in the holiday season extends beyond December. Building strong relationships and managing risk ensures a smooth transition into the new year, setting the stage for continued growth. Ready to optimize your strategy? Contact us for tailored recommendations during the holiday season and beyond. Download the Holiday Shopping Season Playbook

Check out August's report for a deep dive into the latest market trends, including those around originations and the new housing market.

In this article...Recent trends in credit card debtThe rising tide of delinquenciesWhat is credit limit optimization?Benefits of credit limit optimizationEconomic indicators and CLO ImpactEnhanced profitability and risk mitigation This post was originally published on our Global Insights Blog. As credit card issuers grow, the size of their customer base expands, bringing both opportunities and challenges. One of the most critical challenges is managing growth while controlling default rates. Credit limit optimization (CLO) has emerged as a vital tool for banks and credit lenders to achieve this balance. By leveraging machine learning models and mathematical optimization, CLO enables lenders to tailor credit limits to individual customers, enhancing profitability while mitigating risk. Recent trends in credit card debt To understand the significance of CLO, it is essential to consider the current economic landscape. The first quarter of 2024 saw total household debt in the U.S. rise by $184 billion, reaching $17.69 trillion. While credit card balances declined slightly (a reflection of seasonal factors and consumer spending patterns), they remain a substantial component of household liabilities, with total credit card debt standing at approximately $1.26 trillion in early 2024. On average, American households hold around $10,479 in credit card debt, which is down from previous years but still significant. The average APR for credit cards in the first quarter of 2024 was 21.59%.* The rising tide of delinquencies In the first quarter of 2024, about 8.9% (annualized) of credit card balances transitioned into delinquency. This trend underscores the need for credit card issuers to adopt more sophisticated methods to assess credit risk and adjust credit limits accordingly. The rising rate of credit card delinquencies is a key driver behind the adoption of CLO strategies. What is credit limit optimization? Credit limit optimization uses advanced analytics to assess individual customers’ creditworthiness. By analyzing various data points, including payment history, income levels, spending patterns, and economic indicators, these tools can recommend optimal credit limits that maximize customer spending potential while minimizing the risk of default, all within the constraints set by the business in terms of its appetite for risk and capacity. For instance, a customer with a strong payment history and stable income might receive a higher credit limit, encouraging more spending and enhancing the lender’s revenue through interest and interchange fees. Conversely, customers showing signs of financial stress might see their credit limit reduced to prevent them from accumulating unmanageable debt. Benefits of credit limit optimization Improved profitability – By setting credit limits reflecting customers’ credit risk and spending potential, lenders can increase their revenue through higher interest and fee income. Reduced default rates – Lenders can significantly reduce the incidence of bad debt by identifying customers at risk of default and adjusting their credit limits accordingly. Improved customer satisfaction – Personalized credit limits can improve customer satisfaction, as customers are more likely to receive credit that matches their needs and financial situation. Regulatory compliance – CLO can help lenders comply with regulatory requirements by ensuring that credit limits are set based on objective, data-driven criteria. Economic indicators and CLO Impact Several economic indicators provide context for the importance of CLO in the current market. For instance, the Federal Reserve reported that in 2023, fewer than half of adult credit cardholders carried a balance on their cards, down from previous years. This indicates a more cautious approach to credit use among consumers, likely influenced by economic uncertainty and rising interest rates. Moreover, the disparity in credit card debt across different states highlights the varying economic conditions and the need for tailored credit strategies. States like New Jersey have some of the highest average credit card debts, while states like Mississippi have the lowest. This regional variation underscores lenders’ need to adopt flexible, data-driven approaches to credit limit setting. Enhanced profitability and risk mitigation Credit limit optimization is critical for credit card issuers aiming to balance growth and risk management. As economic conditions evolve and consumer behaviors shift, the ability to set personalized credit limits will become increasingly important. By leveraging advanced analytics and machine learning, CLO enhances profitability and contributes to a more stable and resilient financial system. One such solution is Experian’s Ascend Intelligence Services™ Limit, which provides an optimized strategy designed to enhance the precision and effectiveness of credit limit assignments. Ascend Intelligence Services™ Limit combines best-in-class bureau data with machine learning to simulate the impact of different credit limits in real time. This capability allows lenders to quickly test and refine their credit limit strategies without the lengthy trial-and-error period traditionally required. Ascend Intelligence Services Limit enables lenders to set credit limits that align with their business objectives and risk tolerance. By providing insights into the likelihood of default and potential revenue for each credit limit scenario, Ascend Intelligence Services Limit helps design optimal limit strategies. This not only maximizes revenue but also minimizes the risk of defaults by ensuring credit limits are appropriate for each customer’s financial situation. In a landscape marked by rising delinquencies and varying regional debt levels, the strategic use of CLO like Ascend Intelligence Services Limit represents a forward-thinking approach to credit management, benefiting both lenders and consumers. Learn More * HOUSEHOLD DEBT AND CREDIT REPORT (Q1 2024) – Federal Reserve Bank of New York

In this article...What is credit card fraud?Types of credit card fraudWhat is credit card fraud prevention and detection?How Experian® can help with card fraud prevention and detection With debit and credit card transactions becoming more prevalent than cash payments in today’s digital-first world, card fraud has become a significant concern for organizations. Widespread usage has created ample opportunities for cybercriminals to engage in credit card fraud. As a result, millions of Americans fall victim to credit card fraud annually, with 52 million cases reported last year alone.1 Preventing and detecting credit card fraud can save organizations from costly losses and protect their customers and reputations. This article provides an overview of credit card fraud detection, focusing on the current trends, types of fraud, and detection and prevention solutions. What is credit card fraud? Credit card fraud involves the unauthorized use of a credit card to obtain goods, services or funds. It's a crime that affects individuals and businesses alike, leading to financial losses and compromised personal information. Understanding the various forms of credit card fraud is essential for developing effective prevention strategies. Types of credit card fraud Understanding the different types of credit card fraud can help in developing targeted prevention strategies. Common types of credit card fraud include: Card not present fraud occurs when the physical card is not present during the transaction, commonly seen in online or over-the-phone purchases. In 2023, card not present fraud was estimated to account for $9.49 billion in losses.2 Account takeover fraud involves fraudsters gaining access to a victim's account to make unauthorized transactions. In 2023, account takeover attacks increased 354% year-over-year, resulting in almost $13 billion in losses.3,4 Card skimming, which is estimated to cost consumers and financial institutions over $1 billion per year, occurs when fraudsters use devices to capture card information from ATMs or point-of-sale terminals.5 Phishing scams trick victims into providing their card information through fake emails, texts or websites. What is credit card fraud prevention and detection? To combat the rise in credit card fraud effectively, organizations must implement credit card fraud prevention strategies that involve a combination of solutions and technologies designed to identify and stop fraudulent activities. Effective fraud prevention solutions can help businesses minimize losses and protect their customers' information. Common credit card fraud prevention and detection methods include: Fraud monitoring systems: Banks and financial institutions employ sophisticated algorithms and artificial intelligence to monitor transactions in real time. These systems analyze spending patterns, locations, transaction amounts, and other variables to detect suspicious activity. EMV chip technology: EMV (Europay, Mastercard, and Visa) chip cards contain embedded microchips that generate unique transaction codes for each purchase. This makes it more difficult for fraudsters to create counterfeit cards. Tokenization: Tokenization replaces sensitive card information with a unique identifier or token. This token can be used for transactions without exposing actual card details, reducing the risk of fraud if data is intercepted. Multifactor authentication (MFA): Adding an extra layer of security beyond the card number and PIN, MFA requires additional verification such as a one-time code sent to a mobile device, knowledge-based authentication or biometric/document confirmation. Transaction alerts: Many banks offer alerts via SMS or email for every credit card transaction. This allows cardholders to spot unauthorized transactions quickly and report them to their bank. Card verification value (CVV): CVV codes, typically three-digit numbers printed on the back of cards (four digits for American Express), are used to verify that the person making an online or telephone purchase physically possesses the card. Machine learning and AI: Advanced algorithms can analyze large datasets to detect unusual patterns that may indicate fraud, such as sudden large transactions or purchases made in different geographic locations within a short time frame. Advanced algorithms can analyze large datasets to detect unusual patterns that may indicate fraud, such as sudden large transactions or purchases made in different geographic locations within a short time frame. Behavioral analytics: Monitoring user behavior to detect anomalies that may indicate fraud. Education and awareness: Educating consumers about phishing scams, identity theft, and safe online shopping practices can help reduce the likelihood of falling victim to credit card fraud. Fraud investigation units: Financial institutions have teams dedicated to investigating suspicious transactions reported by customers. These units work to confirm fraud, mitigate losses, and prevent future incidents. How Experian® can help with card fraud prevention and detection Credit card fraud detection is essential for protecting businesses and customers. By implementing advanced detection technologies, businesses can create a robust defense against fraudsters. Experian® offers advanced fraud management solutions that leverage identity protection, machine learning, and advanced analytics. Partnering with Experian can provide your business with: Comprehensive fraud management solutions: Experian’s fraud management solutions provide a robust suite of tools to prevent, detect and manage fraud risk and identity verification effectively.  Account takeover prevention: Experian uses sophisticated analytics and enhanced decision-making capabilities to help businesses drive successful transactions by monitoring identity and flagging unusual activities. Identifying card not present fraud: Experian offers tools specifically designed to detect and prevent card not present fraud, ensuring secure online transactions.  Take your fraud prevention strategies to the next level with Experian's comprehensive solutions. Explore more about how Experian can help. Learn More Sources 1 https://www.security.org/digital-safety/credit-card-fraud-report/ 2 https://www.emarketer.com/chart/258923/us-total-card-not-present-cnp-fraud-loss-2019-2024-billions-change-of-total-card-payment-fraud-loss 3 https://pages.sift.com/rs/526-PCC-974/images/Sift-2023-Q3-Index-Report_ATO.pdf 4 https://www.aarp.org/money/scams-fraud/info-2024/identity-fraud-report.html 5 https://www.fbi.gov/how-we-can-help-you/scams-and-safety/common-scams-and-crimes/skimming This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information.