Housing

As a mortgage lender, understanding the intricacies of the New York housing market is crucial, especially when dealing with first-time homebuyers (FTHBs). While the housing market fluctuates nationwide, New York presents unique challenges and opportunities that require a nuanced approach. Distinguishing NYC from the rest of New York New York City's housing market, along with its suburbs, stands distinct from the rest of the state. With a high cost of living and unique lifestyle, NYC demands a tailored mortgage marketing strategy. This article will highlight key factors affecting affordability in New York, providing valuable insights for mortgage lenders working in this market. Overview of the New York FTHB market According to Experian Housing’s recent report on first-time homebuyers, the state of New York accounts for nearly 4.9% of all first-time homebuyers nationwide.1 More than half of first-time homebuyers are from Generation Y. When combined with Gen Z, these younger buyers make up just over 67% of the state's FTHBs, a figure slightly below the national average of 69%. Affordability metrics: The rent-to-mortgage ratio For many Americans, homeownership represents stability, security, and the future for family, community, and life. However, the decision to buy versus rent often hinges on affordability. Mortgage lenders must understand this dynamic to better assist their clients. Affordability can be defined in various ways. For the purposes of this study, Experian Housing defined affordability by comparing rental and mortgage payments, known as the rent-to-mortgage ratio (RTM ratio). A higher ratio indicates that buying a home is more economically attractive. Again, this metric does not consider incomes and debt levels, but simply housing rental prices and mortgage costs. Based solely on the RTM ratio, the transition from renting to homeownership may be more attractive in New York City, Syracuse, and Oyster Bay, while the transition may be more difficult in Cheektowaga, Amherst, and Hempstead. For mortgage lenders, understanding local markets and buyer profiles is essential. Building trust through personalized service, such as educating buyers on relevant loan programs and showcasing geographic expertise, can set you apart. With this knowledge, you can help buyers make informed decisions about affordability, whether they prefer living in the city or the suburbs. In some areas, the suburbs may offer more affordable options, while in others, the city center might be more cost-effective. Additional factors: Income, debt, and down payments Affordability extends beyond just rent and mortgage payments. Prospective homebuyers must consider their income, monthly expenses, and access to funds for a down payment. Mortgage lenders need to account for these factors when advising first-time homebuyers. Debt-to-income Average DTI across the 14 cities observed was 25.6%. The chart below highlights those at the higher and lower end of the spectrum. Down payments Down payments varied greatly, but the median across the cities observed was 16.5%. The chart below highlights an example at the high, mid, and low point. Sale prices and income Experian Housing analyzed median sales prices and incomes across the U.S., with New York serving as a prime example of the importance of this comparison in assessing affordability. This correlation is crucial; while sales prices may be high, understanding how they align with local incomes helps lenders accurately gauge market dynamics and guide buyers more effectively. In conclusion, having a deep understanding of the New York housing market is invaluable for mortgage lenders aiming to support first-time homebuyers. By leveraging insights into market dynamics, affordability metrics, and borrower profiles, lenders can offer tailored advice that meets the specific needs of their clients. This not only helps buyers navigate the complexities of homeownership but also builds lasting trust and loyalty. Equipped with these insights, you, as a lender, can play a pivotal role in making the dream of homeownership a reality for first-time buyers in New York. Let's continue to empower our clients with the knowledge and guidance they need to make informed and confident decisions in their homebuying journey. For more insights, check out our recent studies on the Florida and Texas markets and download our first-time homebuyer whitepaper. Download white paper Learn more

At Experian, we believe in fostering innovation and collaboration to solve complex challenges. Recently, Ivan Ahmed, one of our talented product management leaders at Experian Housing, had the opportunity to participate in the FHFA 2024 TechSprint, where his team won the award for the best Risk Management and Compliance idea. In this article, we share Ivan's experience as he reflects on the TechSprint, the inspiration behind his team's project, and the valuable lessons learned. Can you share your experience participating in the FHFA 2024 TechSprint? What was the atmosphere like, and how did it feel to be recognized for the best Risk Management and Compliance idea? Let me start by explaining what a TechSprint is. It is a fast-paced, high-energy collaborative workshop where diverse experts and stakeholders come together to design technological solutions to complex problems. Each team is given a high-level problem and use case. From there, stakeholders and domain experts must develop a proof of concept within 3 days to best address the problem. On the last and final day, called the “Demo Day,” teams must showcase their solution in front of a panel of judges. It’s a fun, high-energy, challenging, and rewarding experience. A TechSprint is a convergence of everything I love – technology, business, and design and I think FHFA did a wonderful job orchestrating the event. Each team consisted of representatives from different functions in the housing ecosystem, including lenders, technologists, product managers, and regulators. We were given access to a room, whiteboards, and, most importantly, delicious snacks. We were also given access to industry subject matter experts outside our teams, including representatives from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, FHFA, and leaders from top companies. What I found the most impactful was the ability to pressure test our ideas and solutions against these industry subject matter experts. Ideating in a vacuum can be challenging, so being able to stress test things rapidly with these experts allowed us to change course quickly as new information was introduced. Winning the best Risk Management and Compliance idea award was rewarding, especially as we were able to ideate a solution to such a critical accessibility issue. Ultimately, our goal was to help create a fairer, more equitable, and inclusive housing finance system. A big shoutout to my teammates, Wemimo Abbey, Joseph Karbowski, Will Regenauer, and Eddy Atkins. What inspired Team Arsenal to focus on identifying potential gaps in ADA compliance within multifamily buildings, and what were some of the key challenges your team faced during the process? My mother has suffered from several disabilities most of her life. With age, she has become more wheelchair-dependent, and traveling has become a major challenge. On a recent family trip, the entry to our hotel building wasn’t ADA-compliant, and I had to carry her up a flight of stairs. It was frustrating to deal with. I later went down a rabbit hole around ADA compliance and, much to my surprise, learned that only 0.15% of all homes in the U.S. are wheelchair accessible! As we explored the problem space further as a team, we learned how difficult it is to ensure that new and existing rental homes are ADA-compliant. We hypothesized that a solution is needed to establish incentives for borrowers, lenders, and GSEs to meet compliance. A technological solution could more easily enable multi-family lenders and builders to identify rental units that are non-ADA compliant and could provide ways to address the gaps. We noticed two primary challenges: an enforcement gap and an incentive gap. We learned that agency loans (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) account for most multi-family home loan originations. If we could tackle the enforcement challenge at the GSE level, we could set up the proper incentives for all players in the multi-family lending process. By providing tools to both the borrower and the GSE’s, we could help foster a more inclusive and accessible rental housing market. How do you envision your AI-driven solution impacting the rental housing market and improving ADA compliance for multifamily buildings? We wanted to ensure that we leveraged the true power of Generative AI, which meant that our solution could take multimodal inputs and produce multimodal outputs. For example, we could train the Generative AI model on photos of interior multi-family rental units and structured or unstructured text like building sketches, site layouts, and local building codes. We could then incorporate ADA design requirements and analyze discrepancies. The result would be a compliance report or tool outlining the adherence level to ADA design requirements and providing tips and recommendations on remediation. The solution could be delivered as a free tool by the GSEs, who could incentivize its usage by offering price concessions to borrowers. Developers could also use the tool to evaluate whether new or existing builds were ADA-compliant. How did your background and experience with Experian contribute to developing your team's winning idea at the FHFA TechSprint? Much of my role at Experian has involved exploring ways to leverage proprietary and public record property data for marketing, account review, and analytical use cases. I work very closely with property data at Experian, so I was very familiar with the types of input fields of property data that would be the most relevant to improving a generative AI model output. Specifically, in our use case, we wanted to train the model to better identify homes and features that were non-compliant with ADA and provide clear remediation steps. We knew that public record property information was available from various sources and could be leveraged as additional third-party input data to improve our model accuracy. What advice would you give to other teams or individuals looking to participate in future TechSprint events, especially those aiming to tackle complex issues like risk management and compliance? It’s important to remember that an ideal solution is both impactful and practical. Practicality is achieved when the solution has both business and technical viability. Therefore, it’s crucial to carefully vet problems and solutions by understanding their viability. Working as a team to solve the problem means leveraging the expertise of subject matter experts around you. Each team member should draw on their strengths, making the collective effort stronger than individual contribution. Most importantly, fairness, inclusivity, and accessibility matter. An effective solution should strive to have a positive social impact in addition to other considerations. Winning with purpose Ivan’s journey through the FHFA 2024 TechSprint exemplifies the innovative and collaborative spirit that drives our team at Experian. His reflections highlight the impact of well-designed technological solutions on critical issues like ADA-compliance in multifamily housing. We hope Ivan’s experience inspires others to explore their potential in solving complex problems and to participate in future TechSprints, where innovative thinking and a commitment to social good can lead to meaningful change.

Housing affordability is a pressing concern across the United States, and Florida is no exception. The affordability issue can be particularly crucial for renters looking to become first-time homebuyers (FTHBs). The desire to live in a sunny location must be measured against the cost of living, particularly housing costs. Experts at Experian Housing carefully examined data from the top 15 Florida cities (by population) to gain insights into the state of housing affordability in Florida.1 Experian examined factors such as mortgage payments, rent prices, income levels, and sales prices to assess affordability. Overview of the Florida FTHB market Experian Housing’s recent report on first-time homebuyers ranked Florida the state with the third highest percentage of FTHBs nationwide, at nearly 7.7% of FTHBs.2 It outranked New York, falling behind Texas and California. In Florida, the younger populations of Generation Y and Z account for 60% of all first-time homebuyers. Nationwide, roughly 70% of FTHBs belong to these populations. Among younger buyers, affordability is often the deciding factor in whether they continue to rent or become homeowners as they balance housing costs with student loan debt and other expenses. Let’s look at some key metrics Comparative monthly mortgage payments and rent prices How this affects affordability: The bottom line for prospective homebuyers often comes down to whether it's more affordable to continue to rent or purchase a home. While the metrics discussed all contribute to the picture of affordability, for this study, Experian Housing defined affordability by calculating the rent-to-mortgage ratio, a comparison of monthly rental payments to monthly mortgage payments. Homebuying becomes more attractive to renters when the rent-to-mortgage ratio is higher because mortgage payments are more economically practical. What we observed: Experian Housing found that Pembroke Pines, Palm Bay, and Cape Coral have the highest rent-to-mortgage ratio in Florida, at nearly 80%. In other words, for example, if the average mortgage payment is $1,000, the average rental payment is ~$800. Compare this to Tallahassee, Hialeah, and Hollywood, where the rent-to-mortgage ratio is <60%. These numbers illustrate the varying home purchase and rental market trends across the state. Debt-to-income How this affects affordability: This metric compares monthly debt responsibilities, including mortgages, car loans, student loans, and minimum credit card payments, to monthly income. A high debt-to-income ratio indicates a significant portion of income is dedicated to paying debt, leaving little room for other essential living costs and discretionary spending. What we observed: Down payments How this affects affordability: A higher down payment can also assist buyers, especially first-time buyers, by increasing attractive financing options. Importantly, a down payment of 20% avoids the need for private mortgage insurance (PMI), which is insurance for the lender, protecting the lender against loss should a foreclosure occur. PMI typically costs between 0.5% and 2% of the loan amount, annually. What we observed: Sale prices and financial hurdles How this affects affordability: In comparing home affordability across Florida, first-time homebuyers should consider home prices in relation to income. While other considerations, including an individual’s debt level and other expenses, contribute to the bottom line, this gives an indication of how much income will be consumed by the home purchase. What we observed: Experian Housing examined the median sales prices and median. Comparison is essential because sales prices may be higher in a given area, but correlation with income helps determine affordability. A Florida housing opportunity, up close: Miami metropolitan area The Miami metropolitan area is an example of an area where mortgage lenders who understand their clients and the area they seek to live may well attract first-time homebuyers, loyal clients, and more word-of-mouth business. The Miami suburb of Pembroke Pines, roughly 20 miles from Miami, offers a more affordable housing market. With Florida sunshine, nearby beaches, and access to three main highways, mortgage lenders whose knowledge base is not limited to the Miami city center may have an opportunity to turn a renter into a homeowner. Florida residents navigate the cost of living in the Sunshine State Analysis from Experian Housing highlights the diversity in housing markets and the opportunities to enhance financial well-being for residents in Florida. These insights are crucial for lenders to identify affordable opportunities for all residents. Experian’s data system offers unique value to lenders given the ability to take a more comprehensive look at a borrower’s financial behavior. Experian uses credit, property, rental, and other alternative data sources to capture the borrower profile. Access to such data also gives Experian a unique ability to conduct research for reports like this one and the recent Texas affordability study. For more information about the lending possibilities for first-time homebuyers, download our white paper and visit us online. Download white paper Learn more 1 The analysis is based on the trade and rental data reported to Experian and considered first-time homebuyers during the period between November 2022 and January 2024. 2 Based on those getting a mortgage.

This series will dive into our monthly State of the Economy report, providing a snapshot of the top monthly economic and credit data for those in financial services to proactively shape their business strategies. The labor market has been a source of strength for the U.S. economy coming out of the pandemic, providing workers with stable employment and solid wages. However, the labor market has slowed in recent months, with lower-than-expected job creation and rising unemployment, causing weakening sentiment in the broader market. This has resulted in increased pressure on the Federal Reserve to begin cutting rates and places more importance on the incoming data between now and the September FOMC meeting. Data highlights from this month’s report include: Job creation declined in July, falling short of economists’ expectations. Unemployment increased from 4.1% to 4.3%. Inflation cooled again in July, with annual headline inflation easing from 3.0% to 2.9%. GDP picked up in Q2 to 2.8%, primarily driven by strong consumer spending. Check out our report for a deep dive into the rest of this month’s data, including the latest trends in originations, retail sales, and the new housing market. Download August's report To have a holistic view of our current environment, it’s important to view the economy from different angles and through different lenses. Download our latest macroeconomic forecasting report for our views on what's to come in the U.S. economy and listen to our latest Econ to Action podcast. For more economic trends and market insights, visit Experian Edge.

Alternative lending is continuing to revolutionize the financial services landscape. From full-file public records to cash flow transactions, alternative credit data empowers financial institutions to make more informed lending decisions.  This article focuses on cash flow insights and how they help financial institutions drive profitable and inclusive growth.  Challenges with traditional credit underwriting  Traditional underwriting often limits access to credit for marginalized communities, including young adults, immigrants, and those from low-income backgrounds. Because the process relies heavily on credit history and credit scores to determine an applicant’s ability to pay, those with less-than-ideal credit profiles could be overlooked. This then creates a cycle — those who are already disadvantaged face further barriers to accessing credit, limiting their abilities to invest in opportunities that can improve their financial situations, such as education or homeownership.  Additionally, traditional underwriting models can be rigid. Consumers with stable incomes or significant assets may be denied credit if their financial profiles don’t fit the narrow criteria established by traditional models. As the financial landscape evolves, it’s important for lenders to adopt more inclusive and adaptive approaches to credit underwriting.  What is cash flow underwriting?  Cash flow underwriting is a modern approach to evaluating a borrower’s creditworthiness. It uses fresh, consumer-permissioned bank account transaction (balance, income and expense) data, giving lenders greater visibility into loan applicants’ financial situation. This process is made possible through open banking, an established, secure framework that enables consumers to quickly and easily share their bank account information with third-party financial service providers.  READ: Learn more about the open banking landscape.  Let’s look at a few quick examples:   A prospective tenant is filling out a rental application. Instead of manually submitting paystubs to verify their income, open banking facilitates the digital sharing of full cashflow data in seconds, enabling property managers to quickly access the applicant’s full cash flow information.  A consumer was previously denied credit due to insufficient credit history. With cash flow underwriting, the consumer is offered a second chance to qualify for the loan by including cash flow data in the lender’s decisioning model. The additional information gathered on the consumer’s ability to pay can transform the initial decline decision into an approval.   Cashflow underwriting can also be used for credit line management. By assessing a borrower’s income and expense transactions, lenders can recommend optimal credit limits that cater to their spending potential while minimizing risk.  Benefits of cash flow underwriting  There are many benefits to integrating cash flow data into the credit underwriting process, including:  Enhanced risk assessment. Going off credit scores and repayment behaviors alone won’t provide lenders with a complete or current picture of applicants. Through open banking, lenders can gain access to cashflow data in real-time, allowing them to more accurately assess consumers, increase approvals, and reduce credit risk.  Inclusive lending. Over 100 million adult Americans are considered unscoreable, invisible, or subprime.1 However, 71% of consumers are willing to share their banking information if it could improve their chances of getting approved for credit.2 With deeper insights into consumers’ income and expenses, lenders can increase credit access in underserved communities.  Improved customer experiences. Gaining a more comprehensive view of a consumer’s financial situation enables lenders to determine what loan products they’re eligible for and craft personalized options.  READ: Learn more about the benefits of leveraging alternative data for credit underwriting.  Get started  Cash flow underwriting represents a significant step forward in the world of lending. It offers a more comprehensive approach to assessing creditworthiness, helping financial institutions drive growth and profitability.   Experian’s Cashflow Attributes are an open banking enabled solution that provides lenders with consumer-permissioned insights into borrowers’ financial behaviors. With 940+ attributes derived from transaction data across 133 categories, financial institutions can make smarter, more inclusive lending decisions. Learn more about Cashflow Attributes Learn more about open banking 1 2023 State of Alternative Credit Data Report, Experian, 2023.  2 Atomik Research survey of 2,005 U.S. adults online, matching national demographics, 2024.  This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information. 

This series will dive into our monthly State of the Economy report, providing a snapshot of the top monthly economic and credit data for those in financial services to proactively shape their business strategies. While much of the economic data released this month remained steady, including continued downward progress in inflation and resilience in inflation-adjusted spending, June was a pivotal month for the labor market. With downward revisions to job creation over the past few months to an up-tick in unemployment, the potential for a sooner-than-expected rate cut increased. Data highlights from this month’s report include: While above economists’ expectations in June, job creation was 111,000 jobs shy of what was recorded in April and May, signaling some slowdown in the labor market. Inflation-adjusted spending and incomes increased in May, by 0.3% and 0.5%, respectively. Inflation eased more than economists expected, with annual headline inflation cooling from 3.3% to 3.0%. Check out our report for a deep dive into the rest of this month’s data, including the latest trends in job openings, new business survival rates, and bankcard delinquency rates. Download July's report  To have a holistic view of our current environment, it’s important to view the economy from different angles and through different lenses. Watch our experts discuss the latest economic and credit trends in the next macroeconomic forecasting webinar and listen to our latest Econ to Action podcast. For more economic trends and market insights, visit Experian Edge.

First-time homebuyers (FTHBs) represent a significant portion of the homebuying market across the United States, particularly in Texas where we see the largest proportion. While an overall diverse market segment, affordability is paramount to all. Experian Housing recently examined the mortgage landscape, looking at who is buying, where, and why, uncovering both expected and surprising insights. Texas at a glance Eight of the top ten fastest-growing US cities are in Texas. Lately, Texas business growth has included large employers, such as Amazon, Oracle, Caterpillar, Chevron, and Schwab, moving or expanding to the state. Looking for a more affordable life, consumers have also made the move. No state income tax, no corporate taxes, overall lower business taxes, business incentives, and a generally favorable cost of living make it very attractive to individuals and businesses. Recent research by Experian Housing revealed Texas accounts for the largest percentage of FTHBs in the US at nearly 10.5%, based on those getting a mortgage. Among these buyers, ~72% are Generation Y (Gen Y) and Generation Z (Gen Z), meaning they are in their early 40s and younger. Defining and measuring affordability Affordability often tips the scale for prospective first-time homebuyers, particularly younger buyers, deciding to rent or buy. Texas mortgage lenders familiar with the geography of their local markets will likely have an advantage with these consumers if they understand affordability from a citywide perspective and at a hyper-focused neighborhood or zip code level. What determines affordability? Affordability can be assessed through various metrics. For the purposes of this study, Experian Housing defined affordability by calculating the rent-to-mortgage ratio. This involves comparing monthly rent payments to monthly mortgage payments. A higher rent-to-mortgage ratio suggests renters may find mortgage payments more feasible, potentially making home buying a more appealing option. According to Experian’s latest 2023 rental market report, Gen Z and Gen Y made up nearly 70% of the U.S. rental sector. When considered with their first-time homebuyer numbers in Texas and across the U.S., their importance in defining the market trend stands out. The rent-to-mortgage analysis provides important insights into whether these buyers may look to buy now or continue renting. Texas by the numbers Experian Housing examined affordability at the city and more granular, localized levels. Among those analyzed for affordability, Experian findings included: Lubbock is the most affordable city with a rent-to-mortgage ratio of 67%. Following Lubbock were Fort Worth (64%), San Antonio (63%), andEl Paso (62%) are the next cities. Among metro areas, Houston (58%), Arlington (56%), Dallas (52%) and Austin (49%). In these cities, the low to high average current home sales price rankings tracked the rent-to-mortgage ratios except for El Paso, with the 2nd lowest average sales price, but coming in 4th in the affordability metric. Lubbock had the lowest average home sales price at $212,812. El Paso had the next lowest average sales price ($216,424), then San Antonio ($269,232) and Fort Worth ($312,579). Next came Houston ($317,882), Arlington ($345,077), Dallas ($402,830), and Austin ($598,431). Is the city center or are the suburbs more affordable? A look at the city level only tells part of the story. Examining the area by zip code reveals more insights into where loan officers might direct first-time buyer prospects. In general, based on the median rent-to-mortgage payment ratio, the farther away from the city center (outer suburbs), the more affordable buying is for first-time buyers. San Antonio proved to be the notable exception where prices trended higher in the suburbs. Mortgage lenders who are savvy about these inner-market differences, set themselves up for a greater likelihood of attracting first-time homebuyers and keeping them as loyal customers. For more information about the lending possibilities for first-time homebuyers, download our white paper and visit us online. Download white paper Learn more

This series will dive into our monthly State of the Economy report, providing a snapshot of the top monthly economic and credit data for those in financial services to proactively shape their business strategies. During their June meeting, the Federal Reserve continued to hold rates steady and released an updated Summary of Economic Projections. In this update, the committee reduced 2024 rate cut projections from three to one and increased their year-end inflation expectations. Both of these updates were likely driven by a lack of downward progress in inflation in Q1. But as the Federal Reserve extends the period of restrictive rates, it places more weight on each monthly economic data release to inform the Fed’s next move. Data highlights from this month’s report include: Job creation exceeded economists’ expectations with 272,000 jobs added in May. Inflation cooled in May, with annual headline inflation down from 3.4% to 3.3% and annual core inflation down from 3.6% to 3.4%. Auto loan amounts decreased in Q1 as inventories continue to stabilize. Check out our report for a deep dive into the rest of this month’s data, including the latest trends in delinquencies, spending, and the new housing market. Download June's report  To have a holistic view of our current environment, it’s important to view the economy from different angles and through different lenses. Watch our experts discuss the latest economic and credit trends in the recording of our latest macroeconomic forecasting webinar and listen to our latest Econ to Action podcast. For more economic trends and market insights, visit Experian Edge.

The Experian Vision conference is an annual event hosted by the leader in global information services. Vision 2024, held in Scottsdale, Arizona, from May 20-23, gathered industry leaders, data experts, and business professionals to discuss the latest trends and innovations in data and analytics. Aligned with the theme of “Powering Opportunities,” Vision 2024 featured breakout sessions offering attendees valuable insights and strategies for using data to drive business growth and success. Here are the highlights from three of the sessions focused on housing topics. Two industry experts, Sam Khater, Chief Economist at Freddie Mac and Susan Allen, SVP of Product, Experian Housing, engaged in a lively and thought-provoking discussion. The program covered the current state of the mortgage market. Susan and Sam took turns presenting their findings, exchanging ideas, and sharing their perspectives about where lenders could see opportunity in the current challenging mortgage market. They identified these current challenges and opportunities for lenders and borrowers. The economy continues to expand at a solid growth rate. Consumer spending remains firm, and the labor market is tight. The healthy economy is causing inflation and interest rates to remain higher for longer. Home purchase demand is coming off cyclical lows, but home sales remain low with mortgage rates remain above 7%. Inventory is improving modestly, but it remains very low due to chronic undersupply. The dynamic of low home sales, and even lower supply will continue to pressure home prices to increase, especially given many borrowers are moving to more affordable markets more frequently than in the past. There are 46 million likely qualified non-homeowner consumers, of which 7 million appear ready for first time homeownership. Although affordability remains a significant challenge, there are geographic regions where aspiring first-time homeowners are finding better success. Lenders are pursuing data-driven, nuanced approaches to identify and successfully reach these consumers. Three recognized industry professionals headlined this panel discussion. Eric Czajka, VP of Governance and Oversight at Rocket Companies, Experian Housing’s Susan Allen, and Product Manager for Experian Housing, Angad Paintal, shared their insights with a review of recent innovations from Rocket, including specific Experian solutions that are supporting Rocket’s consumer engagement strategy. Lenders in attendance also learned the next steps they can take to win borrowers that ready to consider a refinance. Experian showcased what’s possible with the combination of multiple data sources in a user-friendly interface to help lenders prepare for a rate reduction, including the potential triggers for conventional refinance, VA refinance and FHA refinances. Each segment needs to move 50 basis points to make the possibility of a refinance reasonable for the borrower. Vision 2024 continued with a casual conversation between Newrez COO Joshua Bishop and Chris Travis, Software Sales Expert at Experian. Participants experienced a glimpse into recent developments in mortgage technology from the Newrez leader and how these advancements reflect the industry. The program featured an exchange of questions and answers centered around three crucial topics that have significant implications for housing industry growth and development. These include economic uncertainty (interest rates, refinances, and delinquency trends), government regulations and policies (Basel III, CFPB) and technology (big data and generative AI). The key takeaway from this session was that the mortgage industry is undergoing a tech revolution. Lenders and servicers are utilizing predictive models to assess risk and personalize communication, while generative AI streamlines document processing and provides a cleaner experience for internal and external users alike. Deep analytical tools provide a clearer picture of borrower finances and hardship resolutions. This technological embrace is transforming the mortgage process, making it faster, more efficient, and more accessible. Be part of the future at Vision 2025 Vision 2024 was a resounding success, bringing together our valued clients to share innovative ideas and forge new connections. We were thrilled by the thought-provoking discussions and the collaborative spirit that permeated the event. As we look ahead to next year's conference, we eagerly anticipate even more groundbreaking conversations and opportunities for growth. Don't miss out - secure your spot now and be part of the future at Vision 2025. Register now

Mortgage lenders looking to attract first-time homebuyers must understand their needs, wants, and finances, especially as the economic environment and evolving generational trends shift. Understanding who this buyer segment is and what they buy unlocks growth potential for today’s attentive mortgage lenders. Financial diversity defines first-time homebuyers First-time homebuyers are searching for the attainable, which is not easy today. High interest rates, low housing inventory, and individual financial circumstances contribute to the hardships the housing market presents. Even with ups and downs and difficulties in the marketplace, first-time homebuyers continue to show their grit. Over two-thirds of first-time homebuyers have an annual household income over $90k, with 27% having household income over $180k. Additionally, Experian Housing research shows that 85% of first-time homebuyers have prime or super-prime credit scores. While credit and income play critical roles in evaluating borrower risk, they're not the only factors. The mortgage lending market is slowly leaning into the use of alternative credit data, such as rental payment information, to determine a borrower's creditworthiness. These changes are crucial in our industry's effort to support consumers on their journey towards homeownership. Financial realities impact property choices Experian Housing’s recent white paper looking at first-time purchasers shows over 85% buying single-family homes, with roughly 70% of these buyers belonging to Generation Y (Gen Y) and Generation Z (Gen Z). While starter homes suggest impermanence, Gen Y and Gen Z buying habits reflect their values and overall desire for stability. These motivated buyers that understand the economic woes, are adjusting and looking for options. More than three-fourths of first-time purchases are older homes, built before 2000. However, Experian’s same research showed sales of new construction homes (2021-2023) increased over the prior two years, particularly among first-time buyers. Builder credits and other incentives make new builds more appealing, and lenders leveraging their mortgage market expertise will be able to discuss options customized to the borrower, helping them make the decision best fitting their needs. Especially among younger generations, first-time homebuyers are considering different housing options in their path to homeownership. From multigenerational housing and co-owning a home with friends and family to smaller homes and moving further away for affordability reasons, options are on the table.1 Untapped potential for savvy lenders The modern mortgage landscape offers thoughtful lenders opportunities to drive growth. Diversity in the first-time homebuyer profiles means that lenders who distinguish themselves by tailoring their services to the borrower’s needs. This may include, but is certainly not limited to: Drawing on their knowledge of first-time homebuyer programs, grants and loans appropriate to the borrower. Improving their overall financial well-being with financial literacy education. Expertly guiding them through the complex lending process. Ensuring as swift and smooth a transaction as possible with timely and responsive communications. For more information about the lending possibilities for first-time homebuyers, download our white paper and visit us online. Download white paper Learn more 1 “Several Generations Under One Roof,” census.gov; “What to Know About Co-Buying A House,” myhome.freddiemac.com

In the previous episode of “The Chrisman Commentary” podcast, Joy Mina, Director of Product Commercialization at Experian, talked about the misconceptions associated with verifications and what organizations can do to enhance their strategies. In the latest episode, Experian's Ken Tromer and Jamie Norris discuss ways mortgage companies can optimize their business expenses and protect prospects. "The market has been asking for solutions to help with cost mitigation and lead protection for quite some time," said Jamie. "We've listened to the market and Power Profile Plus™ does just that." Listen to the full episode for all the details and learn more about Power Profile Plus™ for Mortgage. Listen to podcast Learn more

This series will dive into our monthly State of the Economy report, providing a snapshot of the top monthly economic and credit data for those in financial services to proactively shape their business strategies. After again announcing no change in the target fed funds rate during their May meeting, the Federal Reserve continues to face the decision of when to begin cutting rates. The economic data released this month only complicated this decision, as growth came in well-below expectations and the labor market seemed to ease on several fronts. However, there was only minimal downward progress in inflation, especially considering the high prices seen over the past few months. In this month’s report, we dive into the data developments that comprise this economic story. Data highlights from this month’s report include: Economic growth in Q1 came in at 1.6%, under economists’ expectations. Underlying components of consumer spending and business investment remained solid. Inflation cooled in April, with annual headline inflation down from 3.5% to 3.4% and annual core inflation down from 3.8% to 3.6%. Consumer sentiment fell 13% in May, due to stubborn inflation, low growth, and easing in the labor market. Check out our report for a deep dive into the rest of this month’s data, including the latest trends in job creation, spending, and the fed funds rate. Download May's State of the Economy report  To have a holistic view of our current environment, it’s important to view the economy from different angles and through different lenses. Watch our team of experts discuss the latest economic and credit trends in the recording of our latest macroeconomic forecasting webinar, download our latest forecast scenario report, or listen to our latest Econ to Action podcast for views on the economic environment in different market segments. For more economic trends and market insights, visit Experian Edge.

“Learn how to learn.” One of Zack Kass’, AI futurist and one of the keynote speakers at Vision 2024, takeaways readily embodies a sentiment most of us share — particularly here at Vision. Jennifer Schulz, CEO of Experian, North America, talked about AI and transformative technologies of past and present as she kicked off Vision 2024, the 40th Vision. Keynote speaker: Dr. Mohamed El-Erian Dr. Mohamed El-Erian, President of Queens’ College, Cambridge and Chief Economic Advisor at Allianz, returned to the Vision stage to discuss the labor market, “sticky” inflation and the health of consumers. He emphasized the need to embrace and learn how to talk to AI engines and that AI can facilitate content, creation, collaboration and community Keynote speaker: Zack Kass Zack Kass, AI futurist and former Head of Go-To-Market at OpenAI, spoke about the future of work and life and artificial general intelligence. He said AI is aiding in our entering of a superlinear trajectory and compared the thresholds of technology versus those of society. Sessions – Day 1 highlights The conference hall was buzzing with conversations, discussions and thought leadership. Some themes definitely rose to the top — the increasing proliferation of fraud and how to combat it without diminishing the customer experience, leveraging AI and transformative technology in decisioning and how Experian is pioneering the GenAI era in finance and technology. Transformative technologiesAI and emerging technologies are reshaping the finance sector and it's the responsibility of today's industry leaders to equip themselves with cutting-edge strategies and a comprehensive understanding to master the rapidly evolving landscape. That said, transformation is a journey and aligning with a partner that's agile and innovative is critical. Holistic fraud decisioningGenerative AI, a resurgence of bank branch transactions, synthetic identity and pig butchering are all fraud trends that today's organizations must be acutely aware of and armed to protect their businesses and customers against. Leveraging a holistic fraud decisioning strategy is important in finding the balance between customer experience and mitigating fraud. Unlocking cashflow to grow, protect and reduce riskCash flow data can be used not only across the lending lifecycle, but also as part of assessing existing portfolio opportunities. Incorporating consumer-permissioned data into models and processes powers predicatbility and can further assess risk and help score more consumers. Navigating the economyAmid a slowing economy, consumers and businesses continue to struggle with higher interest rates, tighter credit conditions and rising delinquencies, creating a challenging environment for lenders. Experian's experts outlined their latest economic forecasts and provided actionable insights into key consumer and commercial credit trends. More insights from Vision to come. Follow @ExperianVision and @ExperianInsights to see more of the action.

Where in the U.S. would you guess first-time homebuyers are having the most success securing a mortgage? The answer may surprise you. While over one-third of first-time homebuyers reside in our most populous states, California, Texas, Florida, and New York, research from Experian Mortgage reveals they are having greater success securing a mortgage in more affordable locations, such as Minnesota, Iowa, and Indiana. Understanding who is buying properties around the nation and what drives their decision provides insight into where they are buying and why. This knowledge paves the way for mortgage lenders to create more targeted and effective marketing strategies to gain trust and win loyal borrowers. As discussed in a recent blog post on generational behaviors, Generation Z (Gen Z) and Generation Y (Gen Y) account for a sizeable majority of first-time homebuyers and nearly half of repeat buyers. Mortgage lenders who understand what motivates these young buyers and meet them where they are will be better positioned to win. Why understanding buyer traits and their motivations matters Nearly 70% of all renters are in their early 40s or younger. With rents up more than 30% since before the COVID-19 pandemic, many Americans yearn for the stability that homeownership brings to their financial well-being. Younger buyers are increasingly focusing on their overall financial health. Experian's survey of more than 2,000 millennial and Gen Z consumers across the United States revealed: ‘Better understanding personal finance’ is a goal for most consumers within both groups. Nearly 70% are actively searching for a trusted source for personal finance information. Over 30% of first-time homebuyers have a household income under $90,000 annually. They want to make decisions that align with their financial goals and position themselves well for the future, which is likely why we are seeing a higher concentration of first-time homebuyers converting in lower cost of living areas, such as the mid-west. Even for a mortgage lender outside of the geographically preferred states, those who understand their areas with minute specificity and know where opportunity and affordability meet will be best positioned for these buyers. Why strategically positioned lenders will win the day Affordability remains the operative word. The housing supply shortage heavily impacts affordability.  A lack of new housing construction and limited existing home sale inventory contributed largely to the limited for sale stock. Lower interest rates can influence the affordability outlook, but rising inflation and the Federal Reserve not yet moving to lower rates has resulted in mortgage interest rates creeping upward this year.1 Additionally, overall economic indicators influence the housing market. While the Federal Reserve does not directly dictate mortgage interest rates, mortgage rates are influenced by the actions they take. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s recent remarks that the Fed will not likely lower rates until much later in the year due to inflation signals mortgage rates are unlikely to decrease soon.2 Mortgage lenders who dive into buyer behaviors, geographical nuances, and truly service these potential buyers will benefit. By employing market and buyer savvy strategies that resonate, you can drive both short and longer-term business growth. For more information about the lending possibilities for first-time homebuyers, read our latest white paper and visit us online. Download white paper Learn more 1 “Mortgage Rates Move Toward Seven Percent as Markets Digest Incoming Data,” freddiemac.com 2 “Federal Reserve Issues FOMC Statement,” March 20, 2024, federalreserve.gov

This series will dive into our monthly State of the Economy report, providing a snapshot of the top monthly economic and credit data for those in financial services to proactively shape their business strategies. During their March meeting, the Federal Reserve announced no change in the federal funds rate and released their updated Summary of Economic Projects for the remainder of 2024 and 2025. In response to slow but steady cooling inflation, they maintained projections for three rate cuts by the end of 2024. Additionally, they upgraded their growth projections and lowered their unemployment projections, signaling more optimism toward the U.S. economic trajectory. In this month's report, we dive into the data developments that are contributing to this economic story. Data highlights from this month's report include: The Federal Reserve held rates steady and maintained projections for three rate cuts by the end of the year. Inflation progress slowed, with annual headline inflation flat and annual core inflation ticking up from 3.2% to 3.5%. The median rent-to-income ratio increased 4.1% year-over-year to 37.9% nationally. Check out our report for a deep dive into the rest of April's data, including the latest trends in income, originations, and job creation. To have a holistic view of our current environment, we must understand our economic past, present, and future. Check out our annual chartbook for a comprehensive view of the past year and register for our upcoming macroeconomic forecasting webinar for a look at the year ahead. Download April's State of the Economy report  Register for webinar For more economic trends and market insights, visit Experian Edge.