Tag: trended attributes

Today’s changing economy is directly impacting consumers’ financial behaviors, with some individuals doing well and some showing signs of payment stress. And while these trends may pose challenges to financial institutions, such as how to expand their customer base without taking on additional risk, the right credit attributes can help them drive smarter and more profitable lending decisions. With Experian’s industry-leading credit attributes, organizations can develop precise and explainable acquisition models and strategies. As a result, they can: Expand into new segments: By gaining deeper insights into consumer trends and behaviors, organizations can better assess an individual’s creditworthiness and approve populations who might have been overlooked due to limited or no credit history. Improve the customer experience: Having a wider view of consumer credit behavior and patterns allows organizations to apply the best treatment at the right time based on each consumer’s specific needs. Save time and resources: With an ongoing managed set of base attributes, organizations don’t have to invest significant resources to develop the attributes themselves. Additionally, existing attributes are regularly updated and new attributes are added to keep pace with industry and regulatory changes. Case study: Enhance decision-making and segmentation strategies A large retail credit card issuer was looking to grow their portfolio by identifying and engaging more consumers who met their credit criteria. To do this, they needed to replace their existing custom acquisition model with one that provided a granular view of consumer behavior. By partnering with Experian, the company was able to implement an advanced custom acquisition model powered by our proprietary Trended 3DTM and Premier AttributesSM. Trended 3D analyzes consumers’ behavior patterns over time, while Premier Attributes aggregates and summarizes findings from credit report data, enabling the company to make faster and more strategic lending decisions. Validations of the new model showed up to 10 percent improvement in performance across all segments, helping the company design more effective segmentation strategies, lower their risk exposure and approve more accounts. To learn how Experian can help your organization make the best data-driven decisions, read the full case study or visit us. Download case study Visit us

As industry experts are still unsure when the economy will fully recover, re-entry into marketing preapproved credit offers seems like a far-off proposal. However, several of the top credit card issuers are already mailing prescreen offers, with many other lenders following suit. When the time comes for organizations to resume, or even expand this type of targeting, odds are that the marketing budget will be tighter than in the past. To make the most of the limited available marketing spend, lenders will need to be more prescriptive with their selection process to increase response rates on fewer delivered offers. Choosing the best candidates to receive these offers, from a credit risk perspective, will be critical. With delinquencies being suppressed due to CARES Act reporting guidelines, identifying consumers with the ability to repay will require additional assessment of recent credit behavior metrics, such as actual payment amounts and balance migration. Along with the presence of explicit indicators of accommodated trades (trades affected by natural disaster, trades with a balance but no scheduled payment amount) on a prospect’s credit file, their recent trends in payments and balance shifts can be integral in determining whether a prospect has been adversely impacted by today’s economic environment. Once risk criteria have been developed using a mix of bureau scores (like the VantageScore® credit score), traditional credit attributes and trended attributes measuring recent activity, additional targeting will be critical for selecting a population that’s most likely to open the relevant trade type. For credit cards and personal installment loans, response performance can be greatly improved by aligning product offers with prospects based on their propensity to revolve, pay in full each month or consolidate balances. Additionally, the process to select final prospects should integrate a propensity to open/respond assessment for the specific offering. While many lenders have custom models developed on previous internal response performance, off-the-shelf propensity to open models are also available to provide an assessment of a prospect’s likelihood to open a particular type of trade in the coming months. These models can act as a fast-start for lenders that intend to develop internal custom models, but don’t have the response performance within a particular product/geography/risk profile. They are also commonly used as a long-term solution for lenders without an internal model development team or budget for an outsourced model. Prescreen selection best practices Identify geography and traditional credit risk assessment of the prospect universe. Overlay attributes measuring accommodated trades and recent payment/balance trends to identify prospects with indications of ability to pay. Segment the prospect universe by recent credit usage to determine products that would resonate. Make final selections using propensity to open model scores to increase response rates by only making offers to consumers who are likely looking for new credit offers. While the best practices listed above don’t represent a risk-free approach in these uncertain times, they do provide a framework for identifying prospects with mitigated repayment risk and insights into the appropriate credit offer to make and when to make it. Learn about in the market models Learn about trended attributes VantageScore® is a registered trademark of VantageScore Solutions, LLC.

Changing consumer behaviors caused by the COVID-19 pandemic have made it difficult for businesses to make good lending decisions. Maintaining a consistent lending portfolio and differentiating good customers who are facing financial struggles from bad actors with criminal intent is getting more difficult, highlighting the need for effective decisioning tools. As part of our ongoing Q&A perspective series, Jim Bander, Experian’s Market Lead, Analytics and Optimization, discusses the importance of automated decisions in today’s uncertain lending environment. Check out what he had to say: Q: What trends and challenges have emerged in the decisioning space since March? JB: In the age of COVID-19, many businesses are facing several challenges simultaneously. First, customers have moved online, and there is a critical need to provide a seamless digital-first experience. Second, there are operational challenges as employees have moved to work from home; IT departments in particular have to place increase priority on agility, security, and cost-control. Note that all of these priorities are well-served by a cloud-first approach to decisioning. Third, the pandemic has led to changes in customer behavior and credit reporting practices. Q: Are automated decisioning tools still effective, given the changes in consumer behaviors and spending? JB: Many businesses are finding automated decisioning tools more important than ever. For example, there are up-sell and cross-sell opportunities when an at-home bank employee speaks with a customer over the phone that simply were not happening in the branch environment. Automated prequalification and instant credit decisions empower these employees to meet consumer needs. Some financial institutions are ready to attract new customers but they have tight marketing budgets. They can make the most of their budget by combining predictive models with automated prescreen decisioning to provide the right customers with the right offers. And, of course, decisioning is a key part of a debt management strategy. As consumers show signs of distress and become delinquent on some of their accounts, lenders need data-driven decisioning systems to treat those customers fairly and effectively. Q: How does automated decisioning differentiate customers who may have missed a payment due to COVID-19 from those with a history of missed payments? JB: Using a variety of credit attributes in an automated decision is the key to understanding a consumer’s financial situation. We have been helping businesses understand that during a downturn, it is important for a decisioning system to look at a consumer through several different lenses to identify financially stressed consumers with early-warning indicators, respond quickly to change, predict future customer behavior, and deliver the best treatment at the right time based on customer specific situations or behaviors.  In addition to traditional credit attributes that reflect a consumer’s credit behavior at a single point in time, trended attributes can highlight changes in a consumer’s behavior. Furthermore, Experian was the first lender to release new attributes specifically created to address new challenges that have arisen since the onset of COVID. These attributes help lenders gain a broader view of each consumer in the current environment to better support them. For example, lenders can use decisioning to proactively identify consumers who may need assistance. Q: What should financial institutions do next? JB: Financial institutions have rarely faced so much uncertainty, but they are generally rising to the occasion. Some had already adopted the CECL accounting standard, and all financial institutions were planning for it. That regulation has encouraged them to set aside loss reserves so they will be in better financial shape during and after the COVID-19 Recession than they were during the Great Recession. The best lenders are making smart investments now—in cloud technology, automated decisioning, and even Ethical and Explainable Artificial Intelligence—that will allow them to survive the COVID Recession and to be even more competitive during an eventual recovery. Financial institutions should also look for tools like Experian’s In the Market Model and Trended 3D Attributes to maximize efficiency and decisioning tactics – helping good customers remain that way while protecting the bottom line. In the Market Models Trended 3D Attributes  About our Expert: [avatar user="jim.bander" /] Jim Bander, PhD, Market Lead, Analytics and Optimization, Experian Decision Analytics Jim joined Experian in April 2018 and is responsible for solutions and value propositions applying analytics for financial institutions and other Experian business-to-business clients throughout North America. He has over 20 years of analytics, software, engineering and risk management experience across a variety of industries and disciplines. Jim has applied decision science to many industries, including banking, transportation and the public sector.

Achieving collection results within the subprime population was challenging enough before the current COVID-19 pandemic and will likely become more difficult now that the protections of the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act have expired. To improve results within the subprime space, lenders need to have a well-established pre-delinquent contact optimization approach. While debt collection often elicits mixed feelings in consumers, it’s important to remember that lenders share the same goal of settling owed debts as quickly as possible, or better yet, avoiding collections altogether. The subprime lending population requires a distinct and nuanced approach. Often, this group includes consumers that are either new to credit as well as consumers that have fallen delinquent in the past suggesting more credit education, communication and support would be beneficial. Communication with subprime consumers should take place before their account is in arrears and be viewed as a “friendly reminder” rather than collection communication. This approach has several benefits, including: The communication is perceived as non-threatening, as it’s a simple notice of an upcoming payment. Subprime consumers often appreciate the reminder, as they have likely had difficulty qualifying for financing in the past and want to improve their credit score. It allows for confirmation of a consumer’s contact information (mainly their mobile number), so lenders can collect faster while reducing expenses and mitigating risk. When executed correctly, it would facilitate the resolution of any issues associated with the delivery of product or billing by offering a communication touchpoint. Additionally, touchpoints offer an opportunity to educate consumers on the importance of maintaining their credit. Customer segmentation is critical, as the way lenders approach the subprime population may not be perceived as positively with other borrowers. To enhance targeting efforts, lenders should leverage both internal and external attributes. Internal payment patterns can provide a more comprehensive view of how a customer manages their account. External bureau scores, like the VantageScore® credit score, and attribute sets that provide valuable insights into credit usage patterns, can significantly improve targeting. Additionally, the execution of the strategy in a test vs. control design, with progression to successive champion vs. challenger designs is critical to success and improved performance. Execution of the strategy should also be tested using various communication channels, including digital. From an efficiency standpoint, text and phone calls leveraging pre-recorded messages work well. If a consumer wishes to participate in settling their debt, they should be presented with self-service options. Another alternative is to leverage live operators, who can help with an uptick in collection activity. Testing different tranches of accounts based on segmentation criteria with the type of channel leveraged can significantly improve results, lower costs and increase customer retention. Learn About Trended Attributes Learn About Premier Attributes

Many companies rely on attributes for decisioning but lack the resources needed to invest in developing, managing, and updating the attributes themselves. Experian is there to guide you every step of the way with our Attribute Toolbox – our source independent solution that provides maximum flexibility and multiple data sources you can use in the calculation and management of attributes. To create and manage our attributes, Experian has established development principles and created a set methodology to ensure that our attribute management system works across the attribute life cycle. Here’s how it works: Develop Attributes The attribute development process includes: discovery, exploratory data analysis, filter leveling, and the development of attributes. When we create attributes, Experian takes great care to ensure that we: Analyze the available data elements and how they are populated (the frequencies of fields). Determine a “sensible” definition of the attribute. Evaluate attribute frequencies. Review consumer credit reports, where possible. Refine the definition and assess more frequencies and examples. Test Attributes Before implementing, Experian performs an internal audit of filters and attributes. Defining, coding and auditing filters is 80% of the attribute development process. The main objective of the auditing process is to ensure both programming and logical accuracy. This involves electronic and manual auditing and requires a thorough review of all data elements used in development. Deploy Attributes Deployment is very similar to attribute testing. However, in this case, the primary objective of the deployment audit is to ensure both the programming and logical accuracy of the output is executing correctly on various platforms. We aim to maintain consistency among various business lines and products, between batch and online environments across the life cycle, and wherever your models are deployed: on premises, in the cloud, and off-site in your partners’ systems. Govern Attributes Experian places a robust attribute governance process in place to ensure that our attributes remains up-to-date and on track with internal and external compliance regulations and audits. New learnings, industry and regulatory changes can lead to updated attributes or new attributes over time. Because attributes are ever-changing, we take great care to expand, update and add new attributes over time based on three types of external changes: economic, bureau, and reporting changes.   Fetch Data While we gather the data, we ensure that you can integrate a variety of external data sources, including: consumer bureau, business, fraud, and other data sources. Attributes need to be: Highly accurate. Suitable for use across the Customer Life Cycle. Suitable for use in credit decisioning and model development. Available and consistent across multiple platforms. Supportive and adaptable to ever-evolving regulatory considerations. Thoroughly documented and monitored. Monitor Performance We generate attribute distribution reports and can perform custom validations using data from credit reporting agencies (CRAs) and other data providers. This is based on monthly monitoring to ensure continued integrity and stability to stand up to regulatory scrutiny and compliance regulations. Variations that exceed predetermined thresholds are identified, quantified, and explained. If new fields or data values within existing fields are announced, we assess the impact and important of these values on attributes – to determine if revisions are needed. Maintain Attributes Credit bureau data updates, new attributes in response to market needs, compliance requirements, corrections in logic where errors are identified or improvements to logic often lead to new version releases of attributes. With each new version release, Experian takes care to conduct thorough analyses comparing the previous and current set of attributes. We also make sure to create detailed documentation on what’s changed between versions, the rationale for changes and the impact on existing attributes.   Experian Attributes are the key to unlocking consistent, enhanced and more profitable decisions. Our data analysts and statisticians have helped hundreds of clients build custom attributes and custom models to solve their business problems. Our Attribute Toolbox makes it easier to deploy and manage attributes across the customer lifecycle. We give companies the power to code, manage, test, and deploy all types of attributes, including: Premier AttributesSM, Trended 3DTM, and custom attributes – without relying on a third-party. We do the heavy lifting so that you don’t have to. Learn More    

Alternative credit data and trended data each have advantages to lenders and financial institutions. Is there such a thing as the MVD (Most Valuable Data)? Get Started Today When it comes to the big game, we can all agree the score is the last thing standing; however, how the two teams arrived at that score is arguably the more important part of the story. The same goes for consumers’ credit scores. The teams’ past records and highlight reels give insight into their actual past performance, while game day factors beyond the stat sheets – think weather, injury rehab and personal lives – also play a part. Similarly, consumers’ credit scores according to the traditional credit file may be the dependable source for determining credit worthiness. But, while the traditional credit file is extensive, there is a playbook of other, additional information you can arm yourself with for easier, faster and better lending decisions. We’ve outlined what you need to create a win-win data strategy: Alternative credit data and trended data each have unique advantages over traditional credit data for both lenders and consumers alike. How do you formulate a winning strategy? By making sure you have both powerhouses on your roster. The results? Better than that game-winning touchdown and hoisting the trophy above your head – universe expansion and the ability to lend deeper. Get Started Today

Are You #TeamTrended or #TeamAlternative? There’s no such thing as too much data, but when put head to head, differences between the data sets are apparent. Which team are you on? Here’s what we know: With the entry and incorporation of alternative credit data into the data arena, traditional credit data is no longer the sole determinant for credit worthiness, granting more people credit access. Built for the factors influencing financial health today, alternative credit data essentially fills the gaps of the traditional credit file, including alternative financial services data, rental payments, asset ownership, utility payments, full file public records, and consumer-permissioned data – all FCRA-regulated data. Watch this video to see more:    Trended data, on the other hand shows actual, historical credit data. It provides key balance and payment data for the previous 24 months to allow lenders to leverage behavior trends to determine how individuals are utilizing their credit. Different splices of that information reveal particular behavior patterns, empowering lenders to then act on that behavior. Insights include a consumer’s spend on all general purpose credit and charge cards and predictive metrics that identify consumers who will be in the market for a specific type of credit product. In the head-to-head between alternative credit data and trended data, both have clear advantages. You need both on your roster to supplement traditional credit data and elevate your game to the next level when it comes to your data universe. Compared to the traditional credit file, alternative credit data can reveal information differentiating two consumers. In the examples below, both consumers have moderate limits and have making timely credit card payments according to their traditional credit reports. However, alternative data gives insight into their alternative financial services information. In Example 1, Robert Smith is currently past due on his personal loan, whereas Michelle Lee in Example 2 is current on her personal loan, indicating she may be the consumer with stronger creditworthiness.   Similarly, trended data reveals that all credit scores are not created equal. Here is an example of how trended data can differentiate two consumers with the same score. Different historical trends can show completely different trajectories between seemingly similar consumers.   While the traditional credit score is a reliable indication of a consumer’s creditworthiness, it does not offer the full picture. What insights are you missing out on? Go to Infographic Get Started Today

Ben Franklin was wrong. Death and taxes are not the only two constants in life. For many, debt makes a third. And where there is past-due debt, collections is not far from the conversation, if not included in the same breath. While the turn of the new year may mark some arduous work to be done – losing those holiday pounds, spring cleaning, balance transfers and tax filings – there’s also opportunity for lenders, collectors and consumers alike. Just as the spikes in retail trends are analogous with the holiday months, there’s an evident uptick in collections during tax season year after year. As such, successful lenders, financial institutions and collections agencies know that January, February and March are critical months to engage with past-due customers, specifically as they relate to the tax season. The average tax refund for 2016 and 2017 was $2,860 and $2,769 respectively, according to the IRS. And while some may assume that all consumers look at this money as an opportunity for a “treat yourself” splurge, 35% of consumers expecting a refund said they would use it to pay down debt, according to the National Retail Federation. Additionally, during the 2017 tax season, 45 million consumers paid at least $500 and 10% or more of a tradeline balance(s), according to Experian data. So, if past-due consumers want to pay down debt, and the ultimate goal of collections is to recoup over-due funds, and first quarter collections growth appears to be driven by tax refunds, how do we make the connection? Think of the scene from Jerry Maguire – “Help me, help you!” Help consumers help themselves. Experian’s new Tax Season Payment IndicatorTM examines payment behavior over the past two years to determine whether a consumer has made a large payment to a tradeline balance – or balances – during tax season. “Millions of consumers used their tax refunds to pay down debt and many plan to do it again,” said Denise McKendall, Product Manager. “Collectors that leverage previous tax season payment behavior to identify and strategically engage with this group will benefit the most from the tax refund season.” Engaging this information can be like having a collections crystal ball. Targeting consumers that are likely to use their refund to pay down debt can influence messaging, campaign refinement and the timeliness of your touchpoints, resulting in greater collections ROI. This means as the year closes out and planning begins for 2019, collections prioritization strategy is key. And those conversations should be taking place now. Are you tax season ready? Learn More About Tax Season Payment Indicator

Traditional credit attributes provide immense value for lenders when making decisions, but when used alone, they are limited to capturing credit behavior during a single moment of time. To add a deeper layer of insight, Experian® today unveiled new trended attributes, aimed at giving lenders a wider view into consumer credit behavior and patterns over time. Ultimately, this helps them expand into new risk segments and better tailor credit offers to meet consumer needs. An Experian analysis shows that custom models developed using Trended 3DTM attributes provide up to a 7 percent lift in predictive performance when compared with models developed using traditional attributes only. “While trended data has been shown to provide additional insight into a consumer’s credit behavior, lack of standardization across different providers has made it a challenge to gain those insights,” said Steve Platt, Experian’s Group President of Decision Analytics and Data Quality. “Trended 3D makes it easy for our clients to get value from trended data in a consistent manner, so they can make more informed decisions across the credit life cycle and, more importantly, give consumers better access to lending options.” Experian’s Trended 3D attributes help lenders unlock valuable insights hidden within credit reports. For example, two people may have similar balances, utilization and risk scores, but their paths to that point may be substantially different. The solution synthesizes a 24-month history of five key credit report fields — balance, credit limit or original loan amount, scheduled payment amount, actual payment amount and last payment date. Lenders can gain insight into: Changes in balances over time Migration patterns from one tradeline or multiple tradelines to another Variations in utilization and credit limits Changes in payment activity and collections Balance transfer and debt consolidation behavior Behavior patterns of revolving trades versus transactional trades Additionally, Trended 3D leverages machine learning techniques to evaluate behavioral data and recognize patterns that previously may have gone undetected. To learn more information about Experian’s Trended 3D attributes, click here.