This is the final part of a three part series of blog posts highlighting key focus areas for your response to the COVID-19 health crisis: Risk, Operations, Consumer Behavior, and Reporting and Compliance. For more information and the latest resources, please visit Look Ahead 2020, Experian’s COVID-19 resource center with the latest news and tools for our business partners as well as links to consumer resources and a risk simulator. To read the first post, click here. To read the second post, click here.  Consumer Behavior Changes Consumers will be hit hard by the economic fallout from the virus. They’ll need to manage available credit and monthly income to bridge the gap when many people are faced with lost wages, tips and the ability to work. Often, the only way to monitor these short-term risks is with trended credit attributes, from both traditional and alternative data sources. These attributes were developed to provide additional insights into how consumer credit usage is trending over time. Is their debt and spending increasing? Have their credit lines been reduced? Have they historically been a transactor but have now started revolving balances? Could the account be a synthetic identity, set up for intentional misuse of credit? The most predictive attributes available in these times can transform how you can identify and respond to risk.   Reporting and Compliance The regulatory environment is continuing to shift. There are continuous changes to compliance in the digital space for emerging channels and applications. There will be impacts to credit reporting and processes that may echo the response from other major natural disasters. The good news is that the framework developed for Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) stress testing can be used to run scenarios and understand impacts. Although bank capital is very strong, additional regulation, such as the Current Expected Credit Losses (CECL), with all the latest shifts around compliance, may continue to increase the pressure on financial institutions. Having an adaptable process to forecast and stress-test scenarios to adjust capital requirements, especially in light of government fiscal and monetary stimulus measures, will be at the core of managing financial stability during a period of changes.   Conclusion We need to brace for the pending recession after the longest economic expansion in our lifetimes. These are the times where organizations may struggle to survive or thrive in the face of adversity. This is the time to act on your strategic plan, lean on your strategic partners, and leverage industry leading data and capabilities to soften the landing and thrive in the next phase of growth. Let’s prepare and get through this, together.   Learn More

In today’s rapidly changing economic environment, the looming question of how to reduce portfolio volatility while still meeting consumers' needs is on every lender’s mind. So, how can you better asses risk for unbanked consumers and prime borrowers? Look no further than alternative credit data. In the face of severe financial stress, when borrowers are increasingly being shut out of traditional credit offerings, the adoption of alternative credit data allows lenders to more closely evaluate consumer’s creditworthiness and reduce their credit risk exposure without unnecessarily impacting insensitive or more “resilient” consumers. What is alternative credit data? Millions of consumers lack credit history or have difficulty obtaining credit from mainstream financial institutions. To ease access to credit for “invisible” and subprime consumers, financial institutions have sought ways to both extend and improve the methods by which they evaluate borrowers’ risk. This initiative to effectively score more consumers has involved the use of alternative credit data.1 Alternative credit data is FCRA-regulated data that is typically not included in a traditional credit report and helps lenders paint a fuller picture of a consumer, so borrowers can get better access to the financial services they need and deserve. How can it help during a downturn? The economic environment impacts consumers’ financial behavior. And with more than 100 million consumers already restricted by the traditional scoring methods used today, lenders need to look beyond traditional credit information to make more informed decisions. By pulling in alternative credit data, such as consumer-permissioned data, rental payments and full-file public records, lenders can gain a holistic view of current and future customers. These insights help them expand their credit universe, identify potential fraud and determine an applicant’s ability to pay all while mitigating risk. Plus, many consumers are happy to share additional financial information. According to Experian research, 58% say that having the ability to contribute positive payment history to their credit files makes them feel more empowered. Likewise, many lenders are already expanding their sources for insights, with 65% using information beyond traditional credit report data in their current lending processes to make better decisions. By better assessing risk at the onset of the loan decisioning process, lenders can minimize credit losses while driving greater access to credit for consumers. Learn more 1When we refer to “Alternative Credit Data,” this refers to the use of alternative data and its appropriate use in consumer credit lending decisions, as regulated by the Fair Credit Reporting Act. Hence, the term “Expanded FCRA Data” may also apply in this instance and both can be used interchangeably.

For the last several years, as the global economy flourished, the opportunities created by removing friction and driving growth guided business strategies governing identity and fraud. The amount of profitable business available in a low-friction environment simply outweighed the fraud that could be mitigated with more stringent verification methods. Now that we’re facing a global crisis, it’s time to reconsider the approach that drove the economic boom that defined that last decade. Recognizing how economic changes impact fraud At the highest level, we separate fraud into two types; third party fraud and first party fraud. In simple terms, third party fraud involves the misuse of a real customer’s identity or unauthorized access to a real customer’s accounts or assets. First party fraud involves the use of an identity that the fraudster controls—whether it’s their own identity, a manipulated version of their own identity, or a synthetic identity that they have created. The important difference in this case is that the methods of finding and stopping third party fraud remain constant even in the event of an economic downturn – establish contact with the owner of the identity and verify whether the events are legitimate. Fraud tactics will evolve, and volumes increase as perpetrators also face pressure to generate income, but at the end of the day, a real person is being impersonated, and a victim exists that will confirm when fraud is taking place. Changes in first party fraud during an economic downturn are dramatically different and much more problematic. The baseline level of first party fraud using synthetic, manipulated and the perpetrator’s own identity continue, but they are augmented by real people facing desperate circumstances and existing “good” customers who over-extend while awaiting a turn-around. The problem is that there is no “victim” to confirm fraud is occurring, and the line between fraud (which implies intent) and credit default (which does not) becomes very difficult to navigate. With limited resources and pressures of their own, at some point lenders must try to distinguish deliberate theft from good customers facing bad circumstances and manage cases accordingly. The new strategy When times are good, it’s easier to build up a solid book of business with good customers. Employment rates are high, incomes are stable, and the risks are manageable. Now, we’re experiencing rapidly changing conditions, entire industries are disrupted, unemployment claims have skyrocketed and customers will need assistance and support from their lenders to help them weather the storm. This is a reciprocal relationship – it behooves those same lenders to help their customers get through to the other side. Lenders will look to limit losses and strengthen relationships. At the same time, they’ll need to reassess their existing fraud and identity strategies (among others) as every interaction with a customer takes on new meaning. Unexpected losses We’ve all been bracing for a recession for a while. But no one expected it to show up quite like it did. Consumers who have been model customers are suddenly faced with a complete shift in their daily life. A job that seemed secure may be less so, investments are less lucrative in the short term, and small business owners are feeling the pressure of a change in day-to-day commerce. All of this can lead to unexpected losses from formerly low-risk customers. As this occurs, it becomes more critical than ever to identify and help good customers facing grim circumstances and find different ways to handle those that have malicious intent. Shifting priorities When the economy was strong, many businesses were able to accept higher losses because those losses were offset by immense growth. Unfortunately, the current crisis means that some of those policies could have unforeseen consequences. For instance – the loss of the ability to differentiate between a good customer who has fallen on hard times and someone who’s been a bad actor from the start. Additionally, businesses need to revise their risk management strategies to align with shifting customer needs. The demand for emergency loans and will likely rise, while loans for new purchases like cars and homes will fall as consumers look to keep their finances secure. As the need to assist customers in distress rises and internal resources are stressed, it’s critical that companies have the right tools in place to triage and help customers who are truly in need. The good news The tools businesses like yours need to screen first party fraud already exist. In fact, you may already have the necessary framework in place thanks to an existing partnership, and a relatively simple process could prepare your business to properly screen both new and existing customers at every touchpoint. This global crisis is nowhere near over, but with the right tools, your business can protect itself and your customers from increased fraud risks and losses of all sorts – first party, stolen identities, or synthetic identities, and come out on the other side even stronger. Contact Experian for a review of your current fraud strategy to help ensure you’re prepared to face upcoming challenges. Contact us

This is the second of a three part series of blog posts highlighting key focus areas for your response to the COVID-19 health crisis: Risk, Operations, Consumer Behavior, and Reporting and Compliance. For more information and the latest resources, please visit Look Ahead 2020, Experian’s COVID-19 resource center with the latest news and tools for our business partners as well as links to consumer resources and a risk simulator. To read the introductory post, click here.  Strategic Focus on Risk The last recession spurred an industry-wide systemic focus on stressed scenario forecasting. Now’s the time to evaluate the medium- to long-term impacts of the downturn response on portfolio risk measurement. The impact will be wide ranging, requiring recalibration of scorecards and underwriting processes and challenging assumptions related to fees, net interest income, losses, expenses and liquidity. There are critical inputs to understand portfolio monitoring and benchmarking by account types and segments.   Higher unemployment across the country is likely. You need a thorough response to successfully navigate the emerging risks. Expanding credit line management efforts for existing accounts is critical. Proactively responding to the needs of your customers will demand a wide range of data and analytics and more frequent and active processes to take action. Current approaches and tools with increased automation may need to be reevaluated. When sudden economic shocks occur, statistical models may still rank-order effectively, while the odds-to-score relationships deteriorate. This is the time to take full advantage of explainable machine learning techniques to quickly calibrate or rebuild scorecards with refreshed data (traditional and alternative) and continue the learning cycle.   As your risk management tools are evaluated and refreshed, there are many opportunities to target your servicing strategies where they can produce results. This may take the form of identifying segments exhibiting financial stress that can benefit from deferred payments, loan consolidation or refinancing. It might also involve more typical risk mitigation strategies, such as credit line reduction. There are several scenarios that may emerge over the next nine to 12 months that can offer opportunities to deepen relationships with your customers while managing long-term risk exposure. Optimizing Business Operations One of the most significant impacts to your business is the increase in transaction volumes as a result of the economic shock. We expect material increases in collections, refinancing and hardship programs. These increases are arriving at a time when many businesses have streamlined their teams in concert with periods of low delinquency and credit losses. Additional strain from call center shutdowns and limited staffing can easily overwhelm operations and cause business continuity plans to breakdown.   More than ever, the use of digital channels and self-servicing technology are no longer nice-to-haves. Customers expect online access, and efficiency demands automation, including virtual assistants. As more volume migrates to these channels, it’s critical to have the right customer experience and fraud risk controls deployed through flexible, cloud-based systems.   Learn More

This is the introduction to a series of blog posts highlighting key focus areas for your response to the COVID-19 health crisis: Risk, Operations, Consumer Behavior, and Reporting and Compliance. For more information and the latest resources, please visit Look Ahead 2020, Experian's COVID-19 resource center with the latest news and tools for our business partners as well as links to consumer resources and a risk simulator. Responding to COVID-19 The response to COVID-19 is rolling out across the global financial system and here in North America. Together, we’re adapting to working remotely and adjusting to our “new normal.” It seems the long forecasted economic recession is finally and abruptly on our doorstep. Recession planning has been a focus for many organizations, and it’s now time to act on these contingency plans and respond to the downturn. The immediate effects and those that quickly follow the pandemic will widely impact the economy, affecting businesses of all sizes, employment and consumer confidence. We learned from the housing crisis and Great Recession how to identify and adapt to emerging risks. We can apply those skills while rebuilding the economy and focusing on the consumer. How should you respond? What strategies should you deploy? How can you balance emerging risks, changing consumer expectations and regulatory impacts? First, let's draw upon the best knowledge we gained from the last recession and apply those learnings. Second, we need to understand the current environment including the impact of major changes in technology and consumer behavior over the last few years. This approach will allow us to identify key themes to help build-out strategies to focus resources, respond successfully and deliver for stakeholders.   Anticipate the pervasive and highly impactful market dynamics and trends The impact of this downturn on the consumer, on businesses and on financial institutions will be very different to that of the Great Recession. There will be a complete loss of income for many workers and small businesses. In a survey conducted by the Center for Financial Services Innovation (CFSI), more than 112 million Americans said that they don’t have enough savings to cover three months of living expenses*. These volatile market conditions and consumer insecurity will cause changes to your business models. You must prepare to manage increased fraud attacks, continue to push toward digital banking and understand regulatory changes.   Learn More   *U.S. Financial Health Pulse, 2018 Baseline Survey Results. https://s3.amazonaws.com/cfsi-innovation-files-2018/ wp-content/uploads/2018/11/20213012/Pulse-2018- Baseline-Survey-Results-11-16.18.pdf

Originally posted by Experian Global News blog At Experian, we have an unwavering commitment to helping consumers and clients manage through this unprecedented period. We are actively working with consumers, lenders, lawmakers and regulators to help mitigate the potential impact on credit scores during times of financial hardship. In response to the urgent and rapid changes associated with COVID-19, we are accelerating and enhancing our financial education programming to help consumers maintain good credit and gain access to the financial services they need. This is in addition to processes and tools the industry has in place to help lenders accommodate situations where consumers are affected by circumstances beyond their control. These processes will be extended to those experiencing financial hardship as a result of COVID-19. As the Consumer’s Credit Bureau, our commitment at Experian is to inform, guide and protect our consumers and customers during uncertain times. With expected delays in bill payments, unprecedented layoffs, hiring freezes and related hardships, we are here to help consumers in understanding how the credit reporting system and personal finance overall will move forward in this landscape. One way we’re doing this is inviting everyone to join our special eight-week series of #CreditChat conversations surrounding COVID-19 on Wednesdays at 3 p.m. ET on Twitter. Our weekly #CreditChat program started in 2012 to help the community learn about credit and important personal finance topics (e.g. saving money, paying down debt, improving credit scores). The next several #CreditChats will be dedicated to discussing ways to manage finances and credit during the pandemic. Topics of these #CreditChats will include methods and strategies for bill repayment, paying down debt, emergency financial assistance and preparing for retirement during COVID-19. “As the consumer’s credit bureau, we are committed to working with consumers, lenders and the financial community during and following the impacts of COVID-19,” says Craig Boundy, Chief Executive Officer of Experian North America. “As part of our nation’s new reality, we are planning for options to help mitigate the potential impact on credit scores due to financial hardships seen nationwide. Our #CreditChat series and supporting resources serve as one of several informational touchpoints with consumers moving forward.” Being fully committed to helping consumers and lenders during this unprecedented period, we’ve created a dedicated blog page, “COVID-19 and Your Credit Report,” with ongoing and updated information on how COVID-19 may impact consumers’ creditworthiness and – ultimately – what people should do to preserve it. The blog will be updated with relevant news as we announce new solutions and tactics. Additionally, our “Ask Experian” blog invites consumers to explore immediate and evolving resources on our COVID-19 Updates page. In addition to this guidance, and with consumer confidence in the economy expected to decline, we will be listening closely to the expert voices in our Consumer Council, a group of leaders from organizations committed to helping consumers on their financial journey. We established a Consumer Council in 2009 to strengthen our relationships and to initiate a dialogue among Experian and consumer advocacy groups, industry experts, academics and other key stakeholders. This is in addition to ongoing collaboration with our regulators. Additionally, our Experian Education Ambassador program enables hundreds of employee volunteers to serve as ambassadors sharing helpful information with consumers, community groups and others. The goal is to help the communities we serve across North America, providing the knowledge consumers need to better manage their credit, protect themselves from fraud and identity theft and lead more successful, financially healthy lives. COVID-19 has impacted all industries and individuals from all walks of life. We want our community to know we are right there with you. Learn more about our weekly #CreditChat and upcoming schedule here. Learn more

In uncertain times, we need to find ways to adapt to our situation. We want to help you manage through this unprecedented period.

There are more than 100 million people in the United States who don’t have a fair chance at access to credit. These people are forced to rely on high-interest credit cards and loans for things most of us take for granted, like financing a family car or getting an apartment. At Experian, we have a fundamental mission to be a champion for the consumer. Our commitment to increasing financial inclusion and helping consumers gain access to the financial services they need is one of the reasons we have been selected as a Fintech Breakthrough Award winner for the third consecutive year. The Fintech Breakthrough Awards is the premier awards program founded to recognize the fintech innovators, leaders and visionaries from around the world. The 2020 Fintech Breakthrough Award program attracted more than 3,750 nominations from across the globe. Last year, Experian took home the award for Best Overall Analytics Platform for our Ascend Analytical Sandbox™, a first-to-market analytics environment that promised to move companies beyond just business intelligence and data visualization to data insights and answers they could use. The year prior, Experian won the Consumer Lending Innovation Award for our Text for Credit™ solution, a powerful tool for providing consumers the convenience to securely bypass the standard-length ‘pen & paper’ or keystroke intensive credit application process while helping lenders make smart, fraud protected lending decisions. This year, we are excited to announce that Experian has been selected once again as a winner in the Consumer Lending Innovation category for Experian Boost™. Experian Boost – with direct, active consumer consent – scans eligible accounts for ‘boostable’ positive payment data (e.g., utility and telecom payments) and provides the means for consumers to add that data to their Experian credit reports. Now, for the very first time, millions of consumers benefit from payments they’ve been making for years but were never reflected on their credit reports. Since launching in March 2019, cumulatively, more than 18 million points have been added to FICO® Scores via Experian Boost. Two-thirds of consumers who completed the Experian Boost process increased their FICO Score and among these, the average score increase has been more than 13 points, and 12% have moved up in credit score category. “Like many fintechs, our goal is to help more consumers gain access to the financial services they need,” said Alex Lintner, Group President of Experian Consumer Information Services. “Experian Boost is an example of our mission brought to life. It is the first and only service to truly put consumers in control of their credit. We’re proud of this recognition from Fintech Breakthrough and the momentum we’ve seen with Experian Boost to date.” Contributing consumer payment history to an Experian credit file allows fintech lenders to make more informed decisions when examining prospective borrowers. Only positive payment histories are aggregated through the platform and consumers can remove the new data at any time. There is no limit to how many times one can use Experian Boost to contribute new data. For more information, visit Experian.com/Boost.  

If there is one word to describe the automotive finance market in Q4 2019, it’s stable. By nearly every measure, the automotive finance market continued to move along at a good pace.

Last week, artificial intelligence (AI) made waves in the news as the Vatican and tech giants signed a statement with a set of guidelines calling for ethical AI. These ethical concerns arose as the usage of artificial intelligence continues to increase in all industries – with the market for AI technology projected to reach $190.61 billion by 2025, according to a report from MarketsandMarkets™. In the “Rome Call for Ethics,” these new principles require that AI systems must adhere to ethical AI guidelines to protect basic human rights. The doctrine says AI must be developed with a focus on protecting and serving humanity, and that all algorithms should be designed by the principles of transparency, inclusion, responsibility, impartiality, reliability, security and privacy.  In addition, according to the document, organizations must consider the “duty of explanation” and ensure that decisions made as a result of these algorithms are explainable, transparent and fair. As artificial intelligence becomes increasingly used in many applications and ingrained into our everyday lives (facial recognition, lending decisions, virtual assistants, etc.), establishing new guidelines for ethical AI and its usage has become more critical than ever. For lenders and financial institutions, AI is poised to shape the future of banking and credit cards. AI is now being used to generate credit insights, reduce risk and make credit more widely available to more credit-worthy consumers. However, one of the challenges of AI is that these algorithms often can’t explain their reasoning or processes. That’s why AI explainability, or the methods and techniques in AI that make the results of the solution understandable by human experts, remains a large barrier for many institutions when it comes to AI adoption. The concept of ethical AI goes hand-in-hand with Regulation B of the Equal Opportunity Act (ECOA), which protects consumers from discrimination in any aspect of a credit transaction and requires that consumers receive clear explanations when lenders take adverse action. Adverse action letters, which are intended to inform consumers on why their credit applications were denied, must be transparent and incorporate reasons on why the decision was made – in order to promote fair lending. While ethical AI has made recent headlines, it’s not a new concept. Last week’s news highlights the need for explainability best practices for financial institutions as well as other organizations and industries. The time is now to implement these guidelines into algorithms and business processes of the present and future. Join our upcoming webinar as Experian experts dive into fair lending with ethical and explainable AI. Register now

In the past 10 years, consumers begin purchasing convertibles as early as March.

While many companies are interested in implementing technology with advanced analytic capabilities, the concepts behind the technology can often be hard to understand. Demystifying the terminology around artificial intelligence and machine learning is one of the first steps for successful implementation. Discover what they mean for your financial institution in our new infographic: Learn more

Experian’s 7th Annual Data Breach Preparedness Study is available now, and its findings show organizations struggling in a few areas that are sure to see data breach activity increase this year. New to report this year: we surveyed IT and IT security, compliance, and privacy professionals in both the U.S. and the EMEA to compare the regional differences amongst organizations and their outlook around data breach preparedness. A few themes that stuck out in the study this year were: Spear Phishing and Ransomware 69% of respondents had one or more spear phishing attacks in 2019 Since 2017, respondents who say their organizations are very confident or confident in their ability to deal with spear phishing attacks has declined from 31% to 23% 36% of respondents say their organizations had a ransomware attack last year with only 20% feeling confident in their ability to deal with it The average ransom was $6,128, and 68% of respondents say the ransom was paid Confidence in Data Breach Response Plans From a reputation standpoint, only 23% of respondents say their organization is confident in its ability to minimize the financial and reputational consequences of a material data breach Only 38% of respondents believe they are effective at doing what needs to be done following a data breach to prevent the loss of customers’ and business partners’ trust and confidence Global Data Breaches Only 34% of respondents say they are confident their organizations are able to respond to global breaches, as breaches increasingly become international in scope Read the full results of Experian's 7th Annual Data Breach Preparedness Study and see how you compare to other organizations when it comes to data breach preparedness. Download the full study

Security. Convenience. Personalization. Finding the balance between these three priorities is key to creating a safe and low-friction customer experience. We surveyed more than 6,500 consumers and 650 businesses worldwide about these priorities for our 2020 Global Identity and Fraud Report: Most business are focusing on personalization, specifically in relation to upselling and cross-selling. This is frustrating customers who are looking for increases in both security and convenience. It’s possible to have all three. Read Full Report

Update: After closely monitoring updates from the WHO, CDC, and other relevant sources related to COVID-19, we have decided to cancel our 2020 Vision Conference. If you had the chance to experience tomorrow, today, would you take it? What if it meant you could get a glimpse into the future technology and trends that would take your organization to the next level? If you’re looking for a competitive edge – this is it. For more than 38 years, Experian’s premier conference has connected business leaders to data-driven ideas and solutions, fueling them to target new markets, grow existing customer bases, improve response rates, reduce fraud and increase profits. What’s in it for you? Everything to gain and nothing to lose. Are you a marketer? These sessions were made to drive your conversion rates to new heights: Know your customers via omnichannel marketing: Your customers are everywhere, but can you reach them? Learn how to drive business-expansion strategy, brand affinity and customer engagement across multiple channels. Plus, gain insight into connecting with customers via one-to-one messaging. By invitation only, the future of ITA marketing: An evolving landscape means marketers face new challenges in effectively targeting consumers while staying compliant. In this session, we’ll explore how you can leverage fair lending-friendly marketing data for targeting, analysis and measurement. Want the latest in technology trends? Dive into discussions to transform your customer experience: Credit in the age of technology transformation: Machine learning and artificial intelligence are the current darlings of big data, but the platform that drives the success of any big data endeavor is crucial. This session will dive into what happens behind the curtain. Put away your plastic – next-generation identity: An industry panel of experts discusses the newest digital identity and authentication capabilities – those in use today and also exciting solutions on the horizon. How about for the self-proclaimed data geeks? Analyze these: Alternative data: Listen in on an in-depth conversation about creative and impactful examples of using emerging data assets, such as alternative and consumer-permissioned data, for improved consumer inclusion, risk assessment and verification services. The next wave in open data: Experian will share their views on the potential of advanced data and models and how they benefit the global value chain – from consumer scores to business opportunities – regardless of local regulations. And the risk masters? Join us as we kick fraud to the curb: Understanding and tackling synthetic ID fraud: Synthetic IDs present a serious challenge for our entire industry. This expert panel will explore the current landscape – what’s working and what’s not, the expected impact of the next generation SSA eCBSV service, and best practice prevention methods. You are your ID – the new reality of biometrics: Consumers are becoming increasingly comfortable with biometrics. Just as CLEAR has transformed how we use our biometric identity to move through airports, sports venues and more, financial transactions can also be made friction-free. The point is, there’s something for everyone at Vision 2020. It’s not just another conference. Trade in stuffy tradeshow halls and another tri-fold brochure for the insights and connections you need to take your career and organization to the next level. Like technology itself, Vision 2020 promises to connect us, unify us and enable us all to create a better tomorrow. Join us for unique networking opportunities, one-on-one conversations with subject-matter experts and more than 50 breakout sessions with the industry’s most sought-after thought leaders.