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Amid interest rates leveling out and some lenders reassessing go-to-market strategies, the automotive finance landscape is experiencing notable shifts in market share. According to Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q1 2025, banks recouped some of their total finance market share for the first time in several years, reaching 26.6% during the quarter, up from 24.8% a year ago. On the other hand, captives’ total market share declined from 31.3% to 29.8% year-over-year and credit unions experienced a modest increase from 20.2% to 20.6%. Despite the overall market share shifts, captives continue to lead in new vehicle financing at 57.1% in Q1 2025, although down from 62.1% the year prior. Meanwhile, banks increased to 24.1% this quarter, from 20.4% in Q1 2024 and credit unions went from 9.6% to 10.9% during the same period. On the used side, banks and credit unions were grouped much closer together. Banks led the way with 28.4% of the used finance market in Q1 2025, up from 27.9% last year, while credit unions went from 27.7% to 28.2% year-over-year and captives declined from 8.5% to 7.4%. As market share movement continues to be a valuable indicator of shifting strategies and consumer behavior, it’s important for automotive professionals to keep a close eye on these shifts to uncover new opportunities while looking for ways to stay ahead of the rapidly evolving industry. Breaking down the latest finance trends Data in the first quarter of 2025 shows the automotive finance market continues to stabilize as automotive professionals gain clearer visibility into lender behavior and consumer demand. For example, the average loan amount for a new vehicle increased $1,110 year-over-year to $41,720 in Q1 2025. However, the average interest rate dropped from 6.9% to 6.7%, and the average monthly payment went from $737 last year to $745 this quarter. For used vehicles, the average loan amount saw a slight uptick of $90 year-over-year, reaching $26,144 this quarter. Meanwhile, the average interest rate declined from 12.4% last year to 11.9% this quarter and the average monthly payment trended lower at $521, from $524 in Q1 2024. Monitoring and leveraging market share shifts and financing trends can support strategic planning while empowering automotive professionals to anticipate consumer purchasing patterns and tailor conversations more effectively to meet buyers where they are during their car buying journey. To learn more about automotive finance trends, view the full State of the Automotive Finance Market: Q1 2025 presentation on demand.
The automotive industry is constantly changing. Shifting consumer demands and preferences, as well as dynamic economic factors, make the need for data-driven insights more important than ever. As we head into the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show this week, we wanted to explore some of the trends in the used vehicle market in our Special Report: State of the Automotive Finance Market Report. Packed with valuable insights and the latest trends, we’ll take a deep dive into the multi-faceted used vehicle market and better understand how consumers are financing used vehicles. 9+ model years grow Although late-model vehicles tend to represent much of the used vehicle finance market, we were surprised by the gradual growth of 9+ model year (MY) vehicles. In 2019, 9+MY vehicles accounted for 26.6% of the used vehicle sales. Since then, we’ve seen year-over-year growth, culminating with 9+MY vehicles making up a little more than 30% of used vehicle sales in 2024. Perhaps more interesting though, is who is financing these vehicles. Five years ago, prime and super prime borrowers represented 42.5% of 9+MY vehicles, however, in 2024, those consumers accounted for nearly 54% of 9+MY originations. Among the more popular 9+MY segments, CUVs and SUVs comprised 36.9% of sales in 2024, up from 35.2% in 2023, while cars went from 44.3% to 42.9% year-over-year and pickup trucks decreased from 15.9% to 15.6%. 2024 highlights by used vehicle age group To get a better sense of the overall used market, the segments were broken down into three age groups—9+MY, 4-8MY, and current +3MY—and to no surprise, the finance attributes vary widely. While we’ve seen the return of new vehicle inventory drive used vehicle values lower, it could be a sign that consumers are continuing to seek out affordable options that fit their lifestyle. In fact, the average loan amount for a 9+MY vehicle was $19,376 in 2024, compared to $24,198 for a vehicle between 4-8 years old and $32,381 for +3MY vehicle. Plus, more than 55% of 9+MY vehicles have monthly payments under $400. That’s not an insignificant number for people shopping with the monthly payment in mind. In 2024, the average monthly payment for a used vehicle that falls under current+3MY was $608. Meanwhile, 4-8MY vehicles came in at an average monthly payment of $498, and 9+MY vehicles had a $431 monthly payment. Taking a deeper dive into average loan amounts based on specific vehicle types—as of 2024, current +3MY cars came in at $28,721, followed by CUVs/SUVs ($31,589) and pickup trucks ($40,618). As for 4-8MY vehicles, cars came in with a loan amount of $22,013, CUVs/SUVs were at $23,133, and pickup trucks at $31,114. Used 9+MY cars had a loan amount of $19,506, CUVs/SUVs came in at $17,350, and pickup trucks at $22,369. With interest rates remaining top of mind for most consumers as we’ve seen them increase in recent years, understanding the growth from 2019-2024 can give a holistic picture of how the market has shifted over time. For instance, the average interest rate for a used current+3MY vehicle was 8.0% in 2019 and grew to 10.2% in 2024, the average rate for a 4-8MY vehicle went from 10.3% to 12.9%, and the average rate for a 9+MY vehicle increased from 11.4% to 13.8% in the same time frame. Looking ahead to the used vehicle market It’s important for automotive professionals to understand and leverage the data of the used market as it can provide valuable insights into trending consumer behavior and pricing patterns. While we don’t exactly know where the market will stand in a few years—adapting strategies based on historical data and anticipating shifts can help professionals better prepare for both challenges and opportunities in the future. As used vehicles remain a staple piece of the automotive industry, making informed decisions and optimizing inventory management will ensure agility as the market continues to shift. For more information, visit us at the Experian booth (#627) during the NADA Show in New Orleans from January 23-26.
Over the past few years, we’ve seen in-market shoppers lean into the used vehicle space; however, with new vehicle inventory continuing to rebound, we’re starting to see a reversal of fortune. Data in the first quarter of 2024 shows how the resurgence of new vehicle inventory is reshaping the automotive landscape.
With nearly seven billion credit card and personal loan acquisition mailers sent out last year, consumers are persistently targeted with pre-approved offers, making it critical for credit unions to deliver the right offer to the right person, at the right time. How WSECU is enhancing the lending experience As the second-largest credit union in the state of Washington, Washington State Employees Credit Union (WSECU) wanted to digitalize their credit decisioning and prequalification process through their new online banking platform, while also providing members with their individual, real-time credit score. WSECU implemented an instant credit decisioning solution delivered via Experian’s Decisioning as a ServiceSM environment, an integrated decisioning system that provides clients with access to data, attributes, scores and analytics to improve decisioning across the customer life cycle. Streamlined processes lead to upsurge in revenue growth Within three months of leveraging Experian’s solution, WSECU saw more members beginning their lending journey through a digital channel than ever before, leading to a 25% increase in loan and credit applications. Additionally, member satisfaction increased with 90% of members finding the simplified process to be more efficient and requiring “low effort.” Read our case study for more insight on using our digital credit solutions to: Prequalify members in real-time at point of contact Match members to the right loan products Increase qualification, approval and take rates Lower operational and manual review costs Read case study
Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q4 2022 found that the year-over-year (YOY) average new loan amount increased 4.04%, a smaller growth rate compared to 12.46% YOY in Q4 2021
To help the industry better understand the widespread growth, ahead of the show we compiled an Auto Finance Year-in-Review report to break down all things EV—from financing trends to vehicle segments and more.
Article written by Alex Lintner, Experian's Group President of Consumer Information Services and Sandy Anderson, Experian's Senior Vice President of Client and Sales Operations Many consumers are facing financial stress due to unemployment and other hardships related to the COVID-19 pandemic. Not surprisingly, data scientists at Experian are looking into how consumers’ credit scores may be impacted during the COVID-19 national emergency period as financial institutions and credit bureaus follow guidance from financial regulators and law established in Section 4021 of the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act (CARES Act). In a nutshell, Experian finds that if consumers contact their lenders and are granted an accommodation, such as a payment holiday or forbearance, and lenders report the accommodation accordingly, consumer scores will not be materially affected negatively. It’s not just Experian’s findings, but also those of the major credit scoring companies, FICO® and VantageScore®. FICO has reported that if a lender provides an accommodation and payments are reported on time consistent with the CARES Act, consumers will not be negatively impacted by late payments related to COVID-19. VantageScore® has also addressed this issue and stated that its models are designed to mitigate the impact of missed payments from COVID-19. At the same time, if as predicted, lenders tighten underwriting standards following 11 consecutive years of economic growth, access to credit for some consumers may be curtailed notwithstanding their score because their ability to repay the loan may be diminished. Regulatory guidance and law provide a robust response Recently, the Federal Reserve, along with the federal and state banking regulators, issued a statement encouraging mortgage servicers to work with struggling homeowners affected by the COVID-19 national emergency by allowing borrowers to defer mortgage payments up to 180-days or longer. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation stated that financial institutions should “take prudent steps to assist customers and communities affected by COVID-19.” The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, which regulates nationally chartered banks, encouraged banks to offer consumers payment accommodations to avoid delinquencies and negative credit bureau reporting. This regulatory guidance was backed by Congress in passing the CARES Act, which requires any payment accommodations to be reported to a credit bureau as “current.” The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, which has oversight of all financial service providers, reinforced the regulatory obligation in the CARES Act. In a statement, the Bureau said “the continuation of reporting such accurate payment information produces substantial benefits for consumers, users of consumer reports and the economy as a whole.” Moreover, the consumer reporting industry has a history of successful coordination during emergency circumstances, like COVID-19, and we’ve provided the support necessary for lenders to report accurately and consistent with regulatory guidance. For example, when a consumer faces hardship, a lender can add a code that indicates a customer or borrower has been “affected by natural or declared disaster.” If a lender uses this or a similar code, a notification about the disaster or other event will appear in the credit report with the trade line for the customer’s account and will remain on the trade line until the lender removes it. As a result, the presence of the code will not negatively impact the consumer credit score. However, other factors may impact a consumer’s score, such as an increase in a consumer’s utilization of their credit lines, which is a likely scenario during a period of financial stress. Suppression or Deletion of late payments will hurt, not help, credit scores In response to the nationwide impact of COVID-19, some lawmakers have suggested that lenders should not report missed payments or that credit bureaus should delete them. The presumption is that these actions would hold consumers harmless during the crisis caused by this pandemic. However, these good intentions end up having a detrimental impact on the whole credit ecosystem as consumer credit information is no longer accurately reflecting consumers’ specific situation. This makes it difficult for lenders to assess risk and for consumers to obtain appropriately priced credit. Ultimately, the best way to help is a consumer-specific solution, meaning one in which a lender reaches an accommodation with each affected individual, and accurately reflects that person’s unique situation when reporting to credit bureaus. When a consumer misses a payment, the information doesn’t end up on a credit report immediately. Most payments are monthly, so a consumer’s payment history with a financial institution is updated on a similar timeline. If, for example, a lender was required to suppress reporting for three months during the COVID-19 national emergency, the result would be no data flowing onto a credit report for three months. A credit report would therefore show monthly payments and then three months of no updates. The same would be true if a credit reporting agency were required to suppress or delete payment information. The lack of data, due to suppression or deletion, means that lenders would be blinded when making credit decisions, for example to increase a credit limit to an existing customer or to grant a new line of credit to a prospective customer. When faced with a blind spot, and unable to assess the real risk of a consumer’s credit history, the prudential tendency would be to raise the cost of credit, or to decrease the availability of credit, to cover the risk that cannot be measured. This could effectively end granting of credit to new customers, further stifling economic recovery and consumer financial health at a time when it’s needed most. Beyond the direct impact on consumers, suppression or deletion of credit information could directly affect the safety and soundness of the nation’s consumer and small business lending system. With missing data, lenders and their regulators would be flying blind as to the accurate information about a consumer’s risk and could result in unknowingly holding loan portfolios with heightened risk for loss. Too many unexpected losses threaten the balance of the financial system and could further seize credit markets. Experian is committed to helping consumers manage their credit and working with lenders on how best to report consumer-specific solutions. To learn more about what consumers can do to manage credit during the COVID-19 national emergency, we’ve provided resources on our website. For individuals looking to explore options their lenders may offer, we’ve included links to many of the companies and update them continuously. With good public policy and consumer-specific solutions, consumers can continue to build credit and help our economy grow.
Time – it’s the only resource we can’t get more of, which is why we tend to obsess over saving it. Despite this obsession, it can be hard for us to identify time-wasting activities. From morning habits to credit decisioning, processes and routines that seem, well, routine, can get in the way of maximizing how we use our time. Identifying the Problem Every morning, I used to turn on my coffee maker, walk to the bathroom to take my multivitamin, then walk back into the kitchen to finish making my coffee. This required maybe twenty steps to the bathroom and twenty steps back, and while this isn’t a huge amount of time—half a minute at best—it’s not insignificant, especially in the morning when time feels particularly precious. One day, I realized I could eliminate the waste by moving my multivitamin to the cabinet above my coffeemaker. What if we could all make minor changes to enhance our efficiency both at home and at work? Imagine how much time we could save by cutting out unnecessary steps. And how saving that time could help drive significant revenue increases. Time Equals Money When businesses waste time with unnecessary steps, that’s money from their bottom line, and out of the pockets of people who are connected to them. Over the last several years, a new time saver has emerged – Application Programming Interface (API). APIs allow application programs to communicate with other operating systems or control programs through a series of server requests or API calls, enabling seamless interaction, data sharing and decisioning. Experian’s partners utilize our ever-growing suite of APIs to quickly access better data, making existing processes more effective and routines more efficient. In the past, banks and other partners had to send files back and forth to Experian when they needed decisioning on a customer’s credit-worthiness prior to approving a new loan or extending a credit limit increase. Now, partners can have their origination system call an Experian API and send their data through that. Our system processes it and sends it back in milliseconds, giving the lenders real-time decisioning rather than shuttling information back and forth unnecessarily. Instead of effectively walking away from one process (assisting the customer/making coffee) to start another (retrieving credit info/walking down the hall to take the multivitamin), our partners are able to link these processes up and save time, allowing them to capitalize on the presence and interest of their customer. The Proof When Washington State Employees Credit Union, the second-largest credit union in the state, realized they needed to make a change to keep pace with increasing competition, they turned to Experian. With our solution, the credit union is now able to provide its members with instant credit decisioning through their online banking platform. This real-time decisioning at the point of member-initiated contact increased the credit union’s loan and credit applications by 25%. Additionally, member satisfaction increased, with 90% of members finding the simplified prequalification process to be more efficient. By accessing Experian’s decisioning services through your existing connection, lenders can to save time and match consumers with the products that match their credit profile before they apply – increasing approval rates once the application is submitted. Best of all, the entire process with the consumers is completed within seconds. Find out how Experian’s solutions can help you improve your existing processes and cut out unnecessary steps. Get started