Year-Over-Year Increases for Vehicle Loan Amounts Stabilize in Q4 2022

by Melinda Zabritski 2 min read March 15, 2023

In recent years, the automotive industry has witnessed average loan amounts spike due to ongoing inventory challenges. Though, in the fourth quarter of 2022, we are beginning to see numbers level out—a positive sign that the market is bouncing back.

Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q4 2022 found that the year-over-year (YOY) average new loan amount increased 4.04%, a smaller growth rate compared to 12.46% YOY in Q4 2021, while the average used loan amount dropped from a 20.96% YOY increase last year to only a 1.38% YOY increase this quarter.

The average loan amount financed for a new vehicle increased to $41,445 in Q4 2022, from $39,834 in Q4 2021 and $35,420 in Q4 2020. On the used side, the loan amount increased to $27,768 this quarter, from $27,390 the previous year and $22,643 in Q4 2020.

While the loan amount increases weren’t as drastic compared to previous years, we are still witnessing considerable growth in average monthly payments due to increased interest rates.

In Q4 2022, captives offered a 5.45% interest rate for new vehicles, from 3.14% in Q4 2021 and credit unions increased from 3.61% to 5.49% year-over-year. Banks were considerably higher, with a 7% interest rate, a jump from 4.34% this time last year.

For used vehicles, credit unions had the lowest rate, coming in at 7.03% in Q4 2022, from 5.08% in Q4 2021—while captives and banks offered similar rates, with captives at 9.25% this quarter, up from 7.11% last year and banks having a 9.34% rate, from 6.47% in Q4 2021.

The increased rates resulted in the average monthly payment for a new vehicle hitting $716 this quarter, from $646 in Q4 2021, while the average monthly payment for a used vehicle was $526 in Q4 2022, up from $490 the previous year.

Staying up to date on the latest trends and data will enable automotive professionals to properly assist consumers who are currently in the market for a vehicle and ensure they find a monthly payment that fits their budget.

To learn more about automotive finance trends, view the full State of the Automotive Finance Market: Q4 2022 presentation on demand.

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Consumer visibility is changing Roughly 45 million Americans, or 1 in 5 consumers, are considered credit invisible or unscoreable.[1] They’re working, paying bills and participating in the economy, yet many are not fully visible during the lending process. That creates both a visibility challenge and a growth opportunity for lenders. In this Ask the Expert session, Corliss Hill, Senior Director, Inclusion and Belonging at Experian, joins Dr. Vaneesha Dutra, Endowed Professor of Finance at Morehouse College, to discuss how evolving consumer behaviors are reshaping conversations around financial inclusion and lending decisions. For lenders, visibility matters because confident decisions depend on reliable context and insight. Broader consumer signals can help institutions better understand repayment behaviors, financial stability and consumer capacity. “The benefit of banks using alternative data is that they capture a very significant and new consumer base. That's 20% of the population, 45 million Americans.”Dr. Vaneesha Dutra, Endowed Professor of Finance A more complete understanding of today’s consumers Today’s consumers often manage obligations across a wide range of payment types and financial channels, creating additional signals through cash flow activity, recurring payments and consumer-permissioned financial data. Rent, utilities, subscriptions and mobile phone payments can all provide meaningful insight into how consumers manage their financial lives. What’s changing isn’t the need for risk assessment. It’s the amount of consumer behavior lenders can now evaluate. For example, a consumer experiencing temporary financial disruption may fall behind on certain obligations while continuing to consistently pay rent, utilities and phone bills. 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Responsible lending starts with better context For lenders, the path forward is practical and actionable. As lenders evaluate broader consumer behaviors, three priorities become increasingly important: Modernize data strategies Incorporate broader consumer signals alongside existing credit data to create a more holistic view of repayment behavior and financial stability. Engage consumers earlier Earlier intervention may help lenders better support consumers before financial challenges become more severe. Create pathways to financial access Smaller lending opportunities can help consumers establish stronger financial profiles and demonstrate positive repayment behaviors over time. The institutions that lead will be the ones that can combine strong risk practices with a broader understanding of consumer behavior. Whitepaper: Bridging the credit divide: income, risk and inclusion in consumer finance Building on the themes discussed in this Ask the Expert session, Dr. Dutra explores how demographic shifts, evolving borrower behaviors and broader consumer visibility are reshaping lending strategies and what they mean for lenders seeking to balance growth, risk management and financial inclusion. Download whitepaper Explore alternative data with Experian Experian can help lenders combine broader consumer insights with trusted credit data to strengthen decisioning, improve risk assessment and support more-informed lending strategies. With solutions spanning identity, cash flow and advanced analytics, lenders can gain a more complete view of consumer behavior and expand access to credit with greater confidence. Learn more Watch episode 1 About our experts Corliss Hill Senior Director, Belonging Business Partner, Experian Corliss Hill is a collaborative leader well-versed in working with executive stakeholders, crossfunctional teams, external partners and community organizations to design and deliver initiatives and programs that create sustainable impact. With over 25 years of extensive experience in multicultural marketing, communications, PR and inclusion and belonging initiatives, she is dedicated to advancing equitable access to financial. Her mission is to drive impactful marketing initiatives that foster meaningful change and address systemic barriers to inclusion and the communities they serve.Hill has been a part of the Experian family since 2021, and resides in Atlanta with her daughter who is a rising 11-year-old entrepreneur. 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