Traditional credit data has long been the end-all-be-all ruling the financial services space. Like the staple black suit or that little black dress in your closet, it’s been the quintessential go-to for decades. Sure, the financial industry has some seasonality, but traditional credit data has reigned supreme as the reliable pillar. It’s dependable. And for a long time, it’s all there was to the equation. But as with finance, fashion and all things – evolution has occurred. Specifically, how consumers are managing their money has evolved, which calls for deeper insights that are still defensible and disputable. Alternative credit data is the new black. It's increasingly integrated in credit talks for lenders across the country. Much like that LBD, it's become a lending staple – that closet (or portfolio) must-have – to leverage for better decisioning when determining creditworthiness. What is alternative data? In our data-driven industry, “alternative” data as a whole may best be summed up as FCRA-compliant credit data that isn't typically included in traditional credit reports. For traditional data, think loan and inquiry data on bankcards, auto, mortgage and personal loans; typically trades with a term of 12 months or greater. Some examples of alternative credit data include alternative financial services data, rental data, full-file public records and account aggregation. These insights can ultimately improve credit access and decisioning for millions of consumers who may otherwise be overlooked. Alternative or not, every bit of information counts FCRA-compliant, user permissioned data allows lenders to easily verify assets and income electronically, thereby giving lenders more confidence in their decision and allowing consumers to gain access to lower-cost financing. From a risk management perspective, alternative credit data can also help identify riskier consumers by identifying information like the number of payday loans acquired within a year or number of first-payment defaults. Alternative credit data can give supplemental insight into a consumer’s stability, ability and willingness to repay that is not available on a traditional credit report that can help lenders avoid risk or price accordingly. From closet finds that refresh your look to that LBD, alternative credit data gives lenders more transparency into their consumers, and gives consumers seeking credit a greater foundation to help their case for creditworthiness. It really is this season’s – and every season’s – must-have. Learn more
Machine learning (ML), the newest buzzword, has swept into the lexicon and captured the interest of us all. Its recent, widespread popularity has stemmed mainly from the consumer perspective. Whether it’s virtual assistants, self-driving cars or romantic matchmaking, ML has rapidly positioned itself into the mainstream. Though ML may appear to be a new technology, its use in commercial applications has been around for some time. In fact, many of the data scientists and statisticians at Experian are considered pioneers in the field of ML, going back decades. Our team has developed numerous products and processes leveraging ML, from our world-class consumer fraud and ID protection to producing credit data products like our Trended 3DTM attributes. In fact, we were just highlighted in the Wall Street Journal for how we’re using machine learning to improve our internal IT performance. ML’s ability to consume vast amounts of data to uncover patterns and deliver results that are not humanly possible otherwise is what makes it unique and applicable to so many fields. This predictive power has now sparked interest in the credit risk industry. Unlike fraud detection, where ML is well-established and used extensively, credit risk modeling has until recently taken a cautionary approach to adopting newer ML algorithms. Because of regulatory scrutiny and perceived lack of transparency, ML hasn’t experienced the broad acceptance as some of credit risk modeling’s more utilized applications. When it comes to credit risk models, delivering the most predictive score is not the only consideration for a model’s viability. Modelers must be able to explain and detail the model’s logic, or its “thought process,” for calculating the final score. This means taking steps to ensure the model’s compliance with the Equal Credit Opportunity Act, which forbids discriminatory lending practices. Federal laws also require adverse action responses to be sent by the lender if a consumer’s credit application has been declined. This requires the model must be able to highlight the top reasons for a less than optimal score. And so, while ML may be able to deliver the best predictive accuracy, its ability to explain how the results are generated has always been a concern. ML has been stigmatized as a “black box,” where data mysteriously gets transformed into the final predictions without a clear explanation of how. However, this is changing. Depending on the ML algorithm applied to credit risk modeling, we’ve found risk models can offer the same transparency as more traditional methods such as logistic regression. For example, gradient boosting machines (GBMs) are designed as a predictive model built from a sequence of several decision tree submodels. The very nature of GBMs’ decision tree design allows statisticians to explain the logic behind the model’s predictive behavior. We believe model governance teams and regulators in the United States may become comfortable with this approach more quickly than with deep learning or neural network algorithms. Since GBMs are represented as sets of decision trees that can be explained, while neural networks are represented as long sets of cryptic numbers that are much harder to document, manage and understand. In future blog posts, we’ll discuss the GBM algorithm in more detail and how we’re using its predictability and transparency to maximize credit risk decisioning for our clients.
The August 2018 LinkedIn Workforce Report states some interesting facts about data science and the current workforce in the United States. Demand for data scientists is off the charts, but there is a data science skills shortage in almost every U.S. city — particularly in the New York, San Francisco and Los Angeles areas. Nationally, there is a shortage of more than 150,000 people with data science skills. One way companies in financial services and other industries have coped with the skills gap in analytics is by using outside vendors. A 2017 Dun & Bradstreet and Forbes survey reported that 27 percent of respondents cited a skills gap as a major obstacle to their data and analytics efforts. Outsourcing data science work makes it easier to scale up and scale down as needs arise. But surprisingly, more than half of respondents said the third-party work was superior to their in-house analytics. At Experian, we have participated in quite a few outsourced analytics projects. Here are a few of the lessons we’ve learned along the way: Manage expectations: Everyone has their own management style, but to be successful, you must be proactively involved in managing the partnership with your provider. Doing so will keep them aligned with your objectives and prevent quality degradation or cost increases as you become more tied to them. Communication: Creating open and honest communication between executive management and your resource partner is key. You need to be able to discuss what is working well and what isn’t. This will help to ensure your partner has a thorough understanding of your goals and objectives and will properly manage any bumps in the road. Help external resources feel like a part of the team: When you’re working with external resources, either offshore or onshore, they are typically in an alternate location. This can make them feel like they aren’t a part of the team and therefore not directly tied to the business goals of the project. To help bridge the gap, performing regular status meetings via video conference can help everyone feel like a part of the team. Within these meetings, providing information on the goals and objectives of the project is key. This way, they can hear the message directly from you, which will make them feel more involved and provide a clear understanding of what they need to do to be successful. Being able to put faces to names, as well as having direct communication with you, will help external employees feel included. Drive engagement through recognition programs: Research has shown that employees are more engaged in their work when they receive recognition for their efforts. While you may not be able to provide a monetary award, recognition is still a big driver for engagement. It can be as simple as recognizing a job well done during your video conference meetings, providing certificates of excellence or sending a simple thank-you card to those who are performing well. Either way, taking the extra time to make your external workforce feel appreciated will produce engaged resources that will help drive your business goals forward. Industry training: Your external resources may have the necessary skills needed to perform the job successfully, but they may not have specific industry knowledge geared towards your business. Work with your partner to determine where they have expertise and where you can work together to providing training. Ensure your external workforce will have a solid understanding of the business line they will be supporting. If you’ve decided to augment your staff for your next big project, Experian® can help. Our Analytics on DemandTM service provides senior-level analysts, either onshore or offshore, who can help with analytical data science and modeling work for your organization.
Federal legislation makes verifying an individual’s identity by scanning identity documents during onboarding legal in all 50 states Originally posted on Mitek blog The Making Online Banking Initiation Legal and Easy (MOBILE) Act officially became law on May 24, 2018, authorizing a national standard for banks to scan and retain information from driver’s licenses and identity cards as part of a customer online onboarding process, via smartphone or website. This bill, which was proposed in 2017 with bipartisan support, allows financial institutions to fully deploy mobile technology that can make digital account openings across all states seamless and cost efficient. The MOBILE Act also stipulates that the digital image would be destroyed after account opening to further ensure customer data security. As an additional security measure, section 213 of the act mandates an update to the system to confirm matches of names to social security numbers. “The additional security this process could add for online account origination was a key selling point with the Equifax data breach fresh on everyone’s minds,” Scott Sargent, of counsel in the law firm Baker Donelson’s financial service practice, recently commented on AmericanBanker.com. Read the full article here. Though digital banking and an online onboarding process has already been a best practice for financial institutions in recent years, the MOBILE Act officially overrules any potential state legislation that, up to this point, has not recognized digital images of identity documents as valid. The MOBILE Act states: “This bill authorizes a financial institution to record personal information from a scan, copy, or image of an individual’s driver’s license or personal identification card and store the information electronically when an individual initiates an online request to open an account or obtain a financial product. The financial institution may use the information for the purpose of verifying the authenticity of the driver’s license or identification card, verifying the identity of the individual, or complying with legal requirements.” Why adopt online banking? The recently passed MOBILE Act is a boon for both financial institutions and end users. The legislation: Enables and encourages financial institutions to meet their digital transformation goals Makes the process safe with digital ID verification capabilities and other security measures Reduces time, manual Know Your Customer (KYC) duties and costs to financial institutions for onboarding new customers Provides the convenient, on-demand experience that customers want and expect The facts: 61% of people use their mobile phone to carry out banking activity.1 77% of Americans have smartphones.2 50 million consumers who are unbanked or underbanked use smartphones.3 The MOBILE Act doesn’t require any regulatory implementation. Banks can access this real-time electronic process directly or through vendors. Read all you need to know about the MOBILE Act here. Find out more about a better way to manage fraud and identity services. References 1Mobile Ecosystem Forum, MEF Mobile Money Report (https://mobileecosystemforum.com/mobile-money-report/), Feb. 5, 2018. 2Pew Research Center, Mobile Fact Sheet (http://www.pewinternet.org/fact-sheet/mobile/), Jan. 30, 2017. 3The Federal Reserve System, Consumers and Mobile Financial Services 2015 (https://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/consumers-and-mobile-financial-services-report-201503.pdf), March 2015.
With credit card openings and usage increasing, now is the time to make sure your financial institution is optimizing its credit card portfolio. Here are some insights on credit card trends: 51% of consumers obtained a credit card application via a digital channel. 42% of credit card applications were completed on a mobile device. The top incentives when selecting a rewards card are cash back (81%), gas rewards (74%) and retail gift cards (71%). Understanding and having a full view of your customers’ activity, behaviors and preferences can help maximize your wallet share. More credit card insight>
Millennials have been accused of “killing” a lot of things. From napkins and fabric softener to cable and golf, the generation which makes up the largest population of the United States (aka Gen Y) is cutting a lot of cords. Despite homeowning being listed as one of the notorious generational group’s casualties, it’s one area that millennials want to keep alive, according to recent statistics. In fact, a new Experian study revealed 86% of millennials believe that buying a house is a good financial investment. However, only 15% have a mortgage today. One explanation for this gap may be that they appear too risky. Younger millennials (age 22-28) have an average near prime score of 652 and older millennials (age 29-35) have a prime score of 665. Both subsets fall below the average VantageScore® credit score* of U.S. consumers – 677. Yes, with the majority of millennials having near prime or worse credit scores, we can agree that they will need need to improve their financial hygiene to improve their overall credit rankings. But their dreams of homeownership have not yet been dashed. Seemingly high aspirations (of homeownership), disrupted by a reality of limited assets, low scores, and thin credit files, create a disconnect that suggests a lack of resources to get into their first homes – rather than a lack of interest. Or, maybe not. Maybe, after surviving a few first-time credit benders that followed soon after opening the floodgates to credit, millennials feel like the combination of low scores and the inability to get any credit is only salt in their wounds from their lending growing pains. Or maybe it’s all the student loans. Or maybe it’s the fact that so many of them are underemployed. But maybe there’s still more to the story. This emerging generation is known for having high expectations for change and better frictionless experiences in all areas of their life. It turns out, their borrowing behavior is no different. Recent research by Experian reveals consumers who use alternative financial services (AFS) are 11 years younger on average than those that do not. What’s the attraction? Financial technology companies have contributed to the explosive growth of AFS lenders and millennials are attracted to those online interactions. The problem is many of these trades are alternative finance products and are not reported to traditional credit bureaus. This means they do nothing to build credit experience in the eyes of traditional lenders and millennials with good credit history find it difficult to get access to credit well into their 20s. Alternative credit data provides a deeper dive into consumers, revealing their transactions and ability to pay as evidenced by alternative finance data, rental, utility and telecom payments. Alt data may make some millennials more favorable to lenders by revealing that their three-digit credit score (or lack there of) may not be indicative of their financial stability. By incorporating alternative financial services data (think convenient, tech-forward lenders that check all the boxes for bank removed millennials, not just payday loan recipients), credit-challenged millennials have a chance at earning recognition for their experience with alternative financial services that may help them get their first mortgage. Society may have preconceived notions about millennials, but lenders may want to consider giving them a second look when it comes to determining creditworthiness. In a national Experian survey, 53% of consumers said they believe some of these alternative sources would have a positive effect on their credit score. We all grow up sometime and as our needs change, there may come a day when millennials need more traditional financial services. Lenders who take a traditional view of risk may miss out on opportunities that alternative credit data brings to light. As lending continues to evolve, combining both traditional credit scores and alternative credit data appears to offer a potentially sweet (or rather, home sweet home) solution for you and your customers. *Calculated on the VantageScore® credit score model. Your VantageScore® credit score from Experian indicates your credit risk level and is not used by all lenders, so don't be surprised if your lender uses a score that's different from your VantageScore® credit score.
First-party fraud is an identity-centric risk that changes over time. And the fact that no one knows the true size of first-party fraud is not the problem. It’s a symptom. First-party fraud involves a person making financial commitments or defaulting on existing commitments using their own identity, a manipulated version of their own identity or a synthetic identity they control. With the identity owner involved, a critical piece of the puzzle is lost. Because fraud “treatments” tend to be all-or-nothing and rely on a victim, the consequences of applying traditional fraud strategies when first-party fraud is suspected can be too harsh and significantly damage the customer relationship. Without feedback from a victim, first-party fraud hides in plain sight — in credit losses. As a collective, we’ve created lots of subsets of losses that nibble around the edges of first-party fraud, and we focus on reducing those. But I can’t help thinking if we were really trying to solve first-party fraud, we would collectively be doing a better job of measuring it. As the saying goes, “If you can’t measure it, you can’t improve it.” Because behaviors exhibited during first-party fraud are difficult to distinguish from those of legitimate consumers who’ve encountered catastrophic life events, such as illness and unemployment, individual account performance isn’t typically a good measurement. First-party fraud is a person-level event rather than an account-level event and needs to be viewed as such. So why does first-party fraud slip through the cracks? Existing, third-party fraud prevention tools aren’t trained to detect it. Underwriting relies on a point-in-time assessment, leaving lenders blind to intentions that may change after booking. When first-party fraud occurs, the different organizations that suffer losses attach different names to it based on their account-level view. It’s hidden in credit losses, preventing you from identifying it for future analysis. As an industry, we aren’t going to be able to solve the problem of first-party fraud as long as three different organizations can look at an individual and declare, “Never pay!” “No. Bust-out!” “No! Charge-off!” So, what do we need to stop doing? Stop thinking that it’s a different problem based on when you enter the picture. Whether you opened an account five years ago or 5 minutes ago doesn’t change the problem. It’s still first-party fraud if the person who owns the identity is the one misusing it. Stop thinking that the financial performance of an account you maintain is the only relevant data. And what do we need to start doing? See and treat first-party fraud as a continuous Leverage machine learning techniques and robust data (including your own observations) to monitor for emerging risk over Apply multiple levels of treatments to respond and tighten controls/reduce exposure as risk Define first-party fraud using a broader set of elements beyond your individual observations.
Identity-related fraud exposure and losses are increasing, and the underlying schemes are becoming more complex. To make better decisions on the need for step-up authentication in this dynamic environment, you should take a layered approach to the services you need. Some of these services include: Identity verification and reverification checks for ongoing reaffirmation of your customer identity data quality and accuracy. Targeted identity risk scores and underlying attributes designed to isolate identity theft, first-party fraud and synthetic identity. Layered, passive or more active authentication, such as document verification, biometrics, knowledge-based authentication and alternate data sources. Bad guys are more motivated, and they’re getting better at identity theft and synthetic identity attacks. Fraud prevention needs to advance as well. Future-proof your investments. More fraud prevention strategies to consider>
Consumer confidence is nearing an 18-year high. Unemployment figures are at record lows. Retail spend is healthy, and expected to stay that way through the back-to-school and holiday shopping booms. Translation for credit card issuers? The swiping and spending continue. In fact, credit card openings were up 4% in the first quarter of 2018 compared to the same time last year, and card utilization is hovering around 20.5%. Even with the Fed’s gradual 2018 rate hikes, consumers are shopping. In a new Mintel report, outstanding credit card debt is now $1.03 trillion (as of the end of Q1, 2018), and the number of consumers with credit cards is growing fastest among people aged 18 to 34. In the retail card arena specifically, boomers and Gen X’ers are leading the charge, opening 45% and 27% of new retails cards, respectively. “A stronger economy always bodes well for credit cards,” said Kelley Motley, director of analytics for Experian. “Now is the time for card issuers to zero in on their most loyal consumers and ensure they are treating them with the right offers, rewards and premium benefits.” Consumer data reveals the top incentives when selecting a rewards-based card includes cash back, gas rewards and retail cards (including travel rewards and airfare). In fact, for younger consumers, offering rewards has proven to be the most effective way to get them to switch from debit to credit cards. Cash back was the most preferred reward for consumers aged 18 to 44 when asked about their motivation to apply for a new card. For individuals 45 and older, 0% interest was the top motivator. Of course, beyond credit card opens, the ideal is to engage with the consumers who are utilizing the card the most. From a segmentation standpoint, the loyal retail cardholder has an average VantageScore® credit score of 671 with an average total balance of $1,633. They use the card regularly and consistently make payments. Finding more loyalists is the goal and can be achieved with informed segmentation insights and targeted prescreen campaigns. On the flip side, insights can inform card issuers with data, helping them to avoid wasting marketing dollars on consumers who merely want to game a quick credit card offer and then close an account. A batch and blast marketing approach no longer works in the credit card marketing game. “Consumers expect you to know them and their financial needs,” said Paul DeSaulniers, senior director of Experian’s segmentation solutions. “The data exists and tells you exactly who to target and how to structure the offer – you just need to execute.”
Consumer credit scores A recent survey* released by the Consumer Federation of America and VantageScore Solutions, LLC, shows that potential borrowers are more likely to have obtained their credit score than nonborrowers. 70% of those intending to take out a consumer or mortgage loan in the next year received their credit score in the past year, compared with 57% of those not planning to borrow. Consumers who obtained at least one credit score in the past year were more likely to say their knowledge of scores is good or excellent compared with those who haven’t (68% versus 45%). While progress is being made, there’s still a lot of room for improvement. By educating consumers, lenders can strengthen consumer relationships and reduce loss rates. It’s a win-win for consumers and financial institutions. Credit education for your customers>
Keeping your customers happy is critical to success. And while reducing fraud is imperative, it shouldn’t detract from a positive customer experience. Here are 3 fraud detection and prevention strategies that can help you reduce fraud and protect (and retain) customers. Use customer-centric strategies — Recognizing legitimate customers online is more important than ever, particularly since the web’s built-in anonymity makes it a breeding ground for scammers and fraudsters. Balance fraud prevention and the customer experience — When implementing security protocols, consider consumers’ fluctuating and potentially diminishing tolerance levels for security protocols. Embrace new fraud protection technologies — Multilayered approaches should include data-driven, artificial intelligence–powered systems that will recognize customers while keeping their transactions stress-free. Fraud prevention shouldn’t discourage honest customers from buying, but it should instill confidence and strengthen the customer relationship. Learn more>
Believe it or not, 66% of consumers want to see some visible signs of security and barriers when accessing their accounts so they can be sure that a transaction is more secure. Other takeaways from our 2018 Global Fraud and Identity Report: Nearly 3/4 of surveyed businesses cite fraud as growing over the past 12 months. 30% of surveyed businesses are experiencing more fraud losses year-over-year. While 83% of businesses believe that their fraud solutions are scalable, cost is the biggest obstacle to adopting new tactics. There’s a delicate balance in delivering a digital experience that instills confidence while allowing for easy and convenient account access. It’s not easy to deliver both — but it is possible.
Business guide to new markets Competition is fierce. Expectations are high. Navigating a new market can be profitable — if managed strategically. Consider these actionable insights when entering a new market: Use historical data to identify the right target population. Identify, access and leverage the right data to gain the insights you need to make sound decisions. Consider insights from a seasoned professional for a bigger, more accurate picture of the market. Entering a new market isn’t without some risk. But with the right data, strategies and expertise, you can navigate new markets, reduce risk and start making profitable decisions. Learn more>
Customer Identification Program (CIP) solution through CrossCore® Every day, I work closely with clients to reduce the negative side effects of fraud prevention. I hear the need for lower false-positive rates; maximum fraud detection in populations; and simple, streamlined verification processes. Lately, more conversations have turned toward ID verification needs for Customer Information Program (CIP) administration. As it turns out, barriers to growth, high customer friction and high costs dominate the CIP landscape. While the marketplace struggles to manage the impact of fraud prevention, CIP routinely disrupts more than 10 percent of new customer acquisitions. Internally at Experian, we talk about this as the biggest ID problem our customers aren’t solving. Think about this: The fight for business in the CIP space quickly turned to price, and price was defined by unit cost. But what’s the real cost? One of the dominant CIP solutions uses a series of hyperlinks to connect identity data. Every click is a new charge. Their website invites users to dig into the data — manually. Users keep digging, and they keep paying. And the challenges don’t stop there. Consider the data sources used for these solutions. The winners of the price fight built CIP solutions around credit bureau header data. What does that do for growth? If the identity wasn’t sufficiently verified when a credit report was pulled, does it make sense to go back to the same data source? Keep digging. Cha-ching, cha-ching. Right about now, you might be feeling like there’s some sleight of hand going on. The true cost of CIP administration is much more than a single unit price. It’s many units, manual effort, recycled data and frustrated customers — and it impacts far more clients than fraud prevention. CIP needs have moved far beyond the demand for a low-cost solution. We’re thrilled to be leading the move toward more robust data and decision capabilities to CIP through CrossCore®. With its open architecture and flexible decision structure, our CrossCore platform enables access to a diverse and robust set of data sources to meet these needs. CrossCore unites Experian data, client data and a growing list of available partner data to deliver an intelligent and cost-conscious approach to managing fraud and identity challenges. The next step will unify CIP administration, fraud analytics and a range of verification treatment options together on the CrossCore platform as well. Spoiler alert. We’ve already taken that step.
Trivia question: Millennials don’t purchase new vehicles. True or False?