Tag: EVs

Electric vehicle (EV) registrations are re-gaining momentum as a wave of more affordable models hit the market, pushing more consumers than ever to make the transition. According to Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q3 2024, EVs made up 10.1% of new vehicle financing this quarter, increasing more than 30% from last year. Furthermore, 45% of EV consumers leased their vehicle in Q3 2024—resulting in EVs accounting for 17.3% of all new vehicle leasing. Of the top five transacted EV models this quarter, Tesla accounted for three—with the Tesla Model Y leading at 31.8%, followed by the Tesla Model 3 (14.3%) and Tesla Cybertruck (4.9%). Rounding out the top five were the Ford Mustang Mach-E (3.9%) and Hyundai IONIQ 5 (3.7%). Interestingly, data in the third quarter of 2024 found that consumers’ financing decisions vary based on the EV model they’re looking at. For example, 76.5% of consumers purchased the Tesla Model Y with a loan and 13.1% opted for a lease; on the other hand, only 8.5% of consumers bought the Hyundai IONIQ 5 with a loan and 78.7% chose to lease. Despite the rising interest in leasing as more incentives and rebate programs roll out, some consumers still prefer to purchase their EV with a loan. Understanding financing patterns based on different models is key for professionals as they cater to the diverse preferences and determine the long-term viability of certain EVs and their potential for leasing renewals. Snapshot of the overall vehicle finance market As the finance market continues to stabilize, it’s notable that the average interest rate for a new vehicle fell year-over-year, going from 7.1% to 6.6%, respectively. However, average new vehicle loan amounts increased $736 from last year, reaching $41,068 in Q3 2024, and average monthly payments went from $732 to $737 in the same time frame. On the used side, average interest rates saw a slight uptick to 11.7% in Q3 2024, from 11.6% last year. Meanwhile, the average loan amount dropped from $1,195 over the last year to $26,091 this quarter and the average monthly payment declined from $538 to $520 year-over-year. With the overall market shifting and EVs re-sparking interest, automotive professionals should leverage how consumers are purchasing their vehicles based on average payments and the fuel type as more incentives are being offered. Monitoring these insights can unlock opportunities for tailored financing solutions that meet the needs of consumers as preferences continue to evolve. To learn more about automotive finance trends, view the full State of the Automotive Finance Market: Q3 2024 presentation on demand.

As the desire for flexibility and affordability continues to grow across the overall vehicle market, it seems the trend is carrying over into the electric vehicle (EV) space—resulting in more manufacturers rolling out new models as the number of consumers opting for the electric fuel type rises. According to Experian’s Automotive Consumer Trends Report: Q2 2024, non-luxury EV registrations grew to 26.6%, from 22.7% last year, while exotic and luxury declined from 77.3% to 73.4% year-over-year. Furthermore, of the 291.1 million vehicles on the road in Q2 2024, EVs accounted for over 3.5 million, an increase from more than 2.7 million last year. Historically, EVs were often viewed as luxury vehicles that offered limited model availability to choose from. Though, it’s notable that as more non-luxury models are introduced, the EV market share is witnessing a shift in consumer preference. For instance, Ford led the new retail non-luxury EV market at 21.9% in Q2 2024, from 24.0% last year. Hyundai increased from 15.2% to 19.3% year-over-year, Chevrolet decreased from 24.2% to 13.2%, Kia went from 9.2% to 12.5%, and Volkswagen declined to 11.2% this quarter, from 15.8% in Q2 2023. Consumers continue to embrace EVs While understanding the current EV market share allows automotive professionals to assist in-market shoppers more effectively, leveraging multiple data points allows for a more nuanced perspective while helping them prepare for the future as the market continues to evolve. It’s notable that 77.4% of EV owners replaced their current EV with another one in the last 12 months. Meanwhile, 16.2% transitioned to a gasoline fuel type and 3.2% switched to a hybrid. With the EV model lineup expanding, consumers are potentially intrigued by the new options or holding steadfast to a manufacturer. Regardless, the majority of current EV owners are remaining loyal to the fuel type. However, data found that 81% of households with at least one EV also own a gasoline-powered vehicle, 14% also own a hybrid, and 12% own an additional EV. There are a number of factors that can play a role in owning another vehicle alongside an EV—such as range anxiety or tasks that require a larger and more versatile vehicle—so having a secondary option allows consumers to maintain the flexibility to meet diverse transportation needs. To learn more about EV insights, view the full Automotive Consumer Trends Report: Q2 2024 presentation.

According to Experian’s Automotive Market Trends Report: Q1 2024, hybrids accounted for 11.8% of new vehicle registrations, an increase from 8.8% last year.

With wider model availability and technology continuing to develop, the electric vehicle (EV) market experienced shifting in 2023, most notably among the top five newly registered models. According to Experian’s Electric Vehicles 2023 Year in Review, Tesla only made up two of the top five newly registered models in 2023, compared to four of the top five a year prior. The Tesla Model Y made up 36.8% of new retail EV registrations in 2023, followed by the Tesla Model 3 (19.6%), Volkswagen ID.4 (3.4%), Ford Mustang Mach-E (2.9%) and Chevrolet Bolt EUV (2.8%). The Volkswagen ID.4 and Chevrolet Bolt EUV were the newest entrants to the top five, replacing the Tesla Model X and Tesla Model S. EV registrations grow We’re also witnessing shoppers gravitate toward EVs more often than in years past. For instance, of the 11.8 million new retail registrations in 2023, more than 8% were EVs. Comparatively, of the 12.3 million new retail registrations in 2022, just over 6% were EVs. It’s notable that EVs continue to be most popular on the West Coast—particularly in California and Washington. According to the data, 33% of new retail EV registrations were in California—Los Angeles (170,000+), San Francisco (90,000+) and San Diego (30,000+) were among the top five DMAs for new retail EV registrations, along with Seattle, Washington (35,000+). While California exhibits robust EV registration growth, other states show the potential to expand, something automotive professionals should keep in mind. For instance, El Paso, Texas, was the fastest growing DMA for new retail EV registrations—with an 89.5% five year, year-over-year growth average, Savannah, Georgia, came in second at 81.8%, followed by Peoria-Bloomington, Illinois (76.7%), and Waco, Texas (73.7%). EV buyer insight Beyond the “what” and “where” of the EV market, the “who” is perhaps most important. Which customers have the highest propensity to buy an EV? According to the data, Gen Xers accounted for 32.0% of new retail registrations in 2023, however they accounted for 37.7% of new EV retail registrations over the same period. Similarly, millennials accounted for 24.5% of new retail registrations, yet made up 30.6% of new EV retail registrations in 2023; the only two generational demographics to over index on EV purchases. As professionals in the automotive industry find ways to stay ahead of the evolving EV landscape, leveraging data will enable them to understand and identify emerging opportunities to tailor their marketing strategies to a consumer’s needs. To learn more about EV trends, view the full Electric Vehicles 2023 Year in Review.

According to Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q4 2023, EVs comprised 8.6% of total new retail transactions, an increase from 7.1% in Q4 2022.

As vehicle inventory continues to restore post-pandemic, data through the third quarter of 2023 showed new vehicle registrations are on the rise again—a positive sign that the market is leveling out. According to Experian’s Automotive Market Trends Report: Q3 2023, new vehicle registrations increased 12.7% year-over-year, reaching 11.5 million. On the used side, registrations declined to 29.3 million through Q3 2023, a 2% decrease from 29.9 million last year. Digging a bit deeper, CUVs/SUVs were the most registered new vehicle segment at 56.9%, up from 56.2% compared to last year. Pickup trucks declined from 18.6% to 17.4% year-over-year and sedans went from 17.1% to 16.8% in the same time frame. While knowing what types of vehicles consumers are interested in is beneficial for automotive professionals, breaking down the most sought-after models will paint a fuller picture as they assist shoppers in finding a vehicle that fits their needs. For instance, despite new pickup truck registrations declining year-over-year, the Ford F-150 made up the highest share of new vehicle registrations through Q3 2023—reaching 3%. The Tesla Model Y and Toyota RAV4 were not far behind, both coming in at 2.5% this quarter. They were followed by the Chevrolet Silverado 1500 and Honda CR-V tying at 2.3%. ICE vehicles continue to grow Taking a deeper dive into the fuel type share, ICE vehicles continue to grow year-over-year, even with electric vehicles (EVs) making headway into the market. Experian Automotive’s Vehicles in Operation (VIO) data as of Q3 2023 shows ICE vehicle registrations grew to 265.7 million, up from 264.5 million last year, while hybrid vehicles increased to 8.0 million, from 6.9 million in the same time frame. Meanwhile, EVs went from 2.0 million last year to 3.0 million this year and diesel saw a slight uptick from 9.6 million to 9.9 million in the same period. Leveraging different data points and staying up to date on vehicle registration trends can better prepare professionals as the market remains ever-changing and consumer preference continues to shift. To learn more about vehicle market trends, view the full Automotive Market Trends Report: Q3 2023 presentation on demand.

To help the industry better understand the widespread growth, ahead of the show we compiled an Auto Finance Year-in-Review report to break down all things EV—from financing trends to vehicle segments and more.

New EV registrations have increased almost 60% since this time last year—and while gasoline vehicles continue to dominate the market, data shows new gasoline registration volumes are dropping year-over-year.

According to Experian’s Automotive Consumer Trends Report: Q2 2022, EVs comprised more than 1.7 million vehicles in operation throughout the US, quite a jump from more than 400,000 EVs just five years ago in Q2 2018.

In Experian’s Automotive Market Trends Review: Q2 2021, we looked at the data to better understand EV and internal combustion engine registration trends.

In late September, California announced a new requirement for the sale of all new passenger vehicles to be zero-emission by 2035. While that’s still 15 years away, the executive order created quite a buzz in the automotive industry, reigniting conversations about electric vehicles (EVs) and the current market penetration of the most common zero-emission vehicles. With that in mind, we wanted to take a closer look at the state of EVs—across the country and more specifically, in California—to better understand the EV market and how it’s grown over the past few years. As of Q2 2020, electric vehicles comprised just 0.312% of vehicles in operation (VIO). While EV market share seems small, there has been significant growth since Q2 2015, when they only held 0.0678% of the VIO market—meaning the growth of EVs has more than tripled (3.6x) in the last five years. But even still, other segments, such as CUVs have seen faster growth in the same time period (10% market share in Q2 2020 compared to 6.2% in Q2 2015). California sees faster EV adoption California has seen growth in EV adoption in the last decade, but it has grown exponentially in the last five years. EVs comprised 1.79% of new vehicle registrations 2015, and the percentage grew to 5.32% as of Q2 2020. Much of the growth occurred between 2017 and 2018, when market share jumped from 2.62% to 5.04% year-over-year, with the introduction of the more cost-effective Tesla Model 3. Even with that growth, California new vehicle purchases have a long way to grow to move up to 100% EV. With the popularity of the Model 3, it’s somewhat unsurprising, Tesla holds the lion’s share of the EV market in California, making up 61.9% of EVs on the road within VIO, and nationally at 64.8% share. That could potentially change down the road though. Over the next two years, numerous manufacturers have plans to introduce electric versions of popular models or introduce new EV models altogether. This not only creates competition but could also help continue to drive down vehicle cost, making EVs a more viable option for consumers. Examining costs and other factors Cost is one of the key considerations that industry experts have routinely brought up over the years as a barrier to EV adoption. While some say that maintenance and fuel are cheaper in the long run, purchasing an EV today is typically a more expensive option at the dealership. The average loan amount for an EV in California in 2019 was $40,964, compared to an average vehicle loan amount of $32,373. That said, as EV adoption has seen exponential growth in the last five years, the average price has reduced. The average loan amount for an EV in 2016 was $78,646, dropping more than $35,000 in just five years as the technology continued to mature and vehicle costs lowered. Additionally, tax incentives, particularly in California, have also helped reduce affordability concerns. Though today’s tax incentives may not be in place through 2035, California will likely need to evaluate if economic incentives are required along the way to achieving the zero-emission vehicle deadline. However, even as costs lower, there are additional challenges to be overcome. For instance, infrastructure continues to be a barrier to adoption. In a 2019 AAA study, concern over being able to find a place to charge is the top reason listed as to why respondents are unlikely to purchase an EV in the future. In addition, according to Statisa, in March 2020, the U.S. had almost 25,000 charging stations for plug-in electric vehicles, and approximately 78,500 charging outlets. Of those charging stations, nearly 30% are in California. But with continued growth of EV sales, there will be a critical need for continued infrastructure nationwide—not just in California. In addition to these considerations, many impacts of the new mandate remain unknown. California will have to navigate increased electricity demand—especially during peak hours—and increases in battery scrappage, as EVs wear out. Gas stations will need to manage a loss of revenue, while changes in fuel taxes are likely, and vehicle technicians will require new training. If increased adoption of zero emission vehicles is California’s long-term goal, this could also impact the popularity of used vehicles, which could leave dealers looking for alternative locations to sell their gasoline-powered inventory. Looking toward the future of EVs Realistically, with 15 years until the mandate takes effect, the California mandate won’t have much of an immediate effect on the industry. But it does highlight key considerations for automakers and the aftermarket moving forward. To achieve better adoption rates, automakers need to understand the barriers to success and how they impact consumer behavior. An example of this is how California has seen higher EV adoption rates as the availability of plug-in stations has increased. Continuing to find ways to lower costs and focusing on savings over the lifetime of the vehicle is will help consumers see the value of an EV. At the end of the day, automakers play a large role in moving the country toward EV adoption, so having a clear understanding of the trends can help refine strategies as we move toward an electrified future.

Where are electric vehicles most popular? During the first half of the year, 3.6 percent of all new registrations in California were EVs.

Electric vehicles are here to stay – and will likely gain market share as costs reduce, travel ranges increase and charging infrastructure grows.