Discover how Experian’s Mortgage Loan Performance dataset reveals current second lien balances that materially impact MBS prepayment speeds, CLTV accuracy, and call protection. Learn why this new loan-level data meets the New, Material, and Significant criteria to move agency MBS markets and improve investor modeling precision.

  As vehicle prices and interest rates continue to evolve, both consumers and lenders are recalibrating their approaches to affordability and long-term sustainability. This shift has resulted in the subprime segment growing to its largest share of total finance market for subprime in the fourth quarter since 2021. According to Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q4 2025, subprime borrowers accounted for 15.31% of total vehicle financing, an increase from 14.54% in Q4 2024. To understand why the subprime space is evolving, we took a deeper dive into the affordability picture and how changes in pricing and interest rates are influencing both consumer decisions and lender strategies. In Q4 2025, the average loan amount for a new vehicle increased $1,882 from the prior year to $43,582, and the average interest rate for a new vehicle went from 6.34% last year to 6.37% this quarter. As a result, the average monthly payment increased from $746 to $767 in the same time frame. On the used side, the average loan amount increased $872 year-over-year, reaching $27,528 in Q4 2025. However, despite the average interest rate declining from 11.63% to 11.26% during the same time, the average monthly payment grew $9 from last year to $537 this quarter. These changes are prompting thoughtful adjustments across the automotive ecosystem. Consumers are comparing financing options more carefully and adjusting loan terms when necessary to prioritize the cost of ownership. Lenders are also focusing more on payment flexibility and how long-term borrowers are performing as they leverage it for central pillars of strategies to stay ahead of the ever-evolving market. To learn more about automotive finance trends, view the full State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q4 2025 presentation on demand.

The mortgage industry is adapting to a structural shift. Experian’s 2026 State of the U.S. Housing Market Report shows a market in transition. Conventional loans account for 72% of originations, FHA 17.5% and VA 10.8% with VA showing the strongest growth from 2023 to 2025. But origination mix only tells part of the story. Beneath it lies an arguably more consequential shift: borrower expectations, affordability pressures and regulatory changes are converging. On the regulatory front, the Homebuyers Privacy Protection Act (HPPA) may reduce mortgage trigger leads and limit broad competitive outreach. As competitive visibility narrows, the lender relationship becomes more central and important beyond the closing transaction. In this environment, lenders must provide value to win, and that increasingly means financial wellness. A growing trust gap Only 34% of first mortgage hard inquiries of first mortgage hard inquiries convert into funded originations, according to Experian. That means two-thirds of borrowers who initiate the process never close. External data confirms the trend as Mortgage Bankers Association reported retail mortgage pull-through rates declined to roughly 69% in early 2025 – the lowest in over a decade – and as low as 55% among depository lenders. While pull-through can be impacted by a number of factors not influenced by the lender, when borrowers abandon applications, it can be a biproduct of uncertainty – something that the lender can influence. This is where financial wellness becomes strategic and lenders can close the trust gap by providing proactive credit visibility and guidance before underwriting friction occurs. Read more in our white paper, “The New Unlock for Mortgage.” Affordability stress While rates have eased from their 2023 highs, they remain above 6%, sustaining the lock-in effect and limiting housing supply, according to Experian’s 2026 State of the U.S. Housing Market Report. Approximately 70% of homeowners are locked into sub-6% mortgages, according to Freddie Mac. Beyond mortgage rates, increases in property taxes and non-tax escrow amounts (i.e. insurance) increase affordability pressures for consumers. Financial wellness solutions that incorporate credit monitoring, budgeting insights and cashflow visibility help borrowers understand whether they are prepared. Opportunity among millennials and Gen Z Nearly 47% of U.S. renters expect to purchase a home within four years, rising to 67% within eight years, according to Experian. This signals the time to invest in financial wellness as a differentiator, and both a growth and retention driver, is now. Financial wellness as the new unlock for mortgage Financial wellness is not an ancillary service but the foundation upon which borrower confidence, long-term engagement, conversion and risk management connect. Lenders who embed solutions like credit education, score visibility, alerts, and identity protection directly into the consumer experience can differentiate themselves from the competition above and beyond rates alone. Read more in our white paper, “The New Unlock for Mortgage.” Learn more about Experian Mortgage