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Fraud Trends 2024 – Experian’s Future of Fraud Forecast

Published: February 15, 2024 by Stefani Wendel

Spoiler alert: Gen AI is everywhere, including the top of Experian’s list of fraud trends 2024.

“The speed and complexity of fraud attacks due to new technology and sophisticated fraudsters is leaving both businesses and consumers at risk in 2024,” said Kathleen Peters, chief innovation officer at Experian Decision Analytics in North America. “At Experian, we’re constantly innovating to deliver data-driven solutions to help our customers fight fraud and to protect the consumers they serve.”

To deter fraudulent activity in 2024, businesses and consumers must get tactical for their fraud fighting strategies. And for businesses, the need for more sophisticated fraud protection solutions leveraging data and technology is greater than ever before.

Experian suggests consumers and businesses watch out for these big five rounding out our fraud trends 2024.

  • Generative AI: Generative AI accelerates DIY fraud: Experian predicts fraudsters will use generative AI to accelerate “do-it-yourself” fraud ranging from deepfake content – think emails, voice and video – as well as code creation to set up scam websites. A previous blog post of ours highlighted four types of generative AI used for fraud, including fraud automation at scale, text content generation, image and video manipulation and human voice generation. The way around it? Fight AI fraud with AI as part of a multilayered fraud prevention solution.
  • Fraud at bank branches: Bank branches are making a comeback. A growing number of consumers prefer visiting bank branches in person to open new accounts or get financial advice with the intent to conduct safer transactions. However, face-to-face verification is not flawless and is still susceptible to human error or oversight. According to an Experian report, 85% of consumers report physical biometrics as the most trusted and secure authentication method they’ve recently encountered, but the measure is only currently used by 32% of businesses to detect and protect against fraud.
  • Retailers, beware: Not all returns are as they appear. Experian predicts an uptick in cases where customers claim to return their purchases, only for the business to receive an empty box in return. Businesses must be vigilant with their fraud strategy in order to mitigate risk of lost goods and revenue.
  • Synthetic identity fraud will surge: Pandemic-born synthetic identities may have been dormant, but now have a few years of history, making it easier to elude detection leading to fraudsters using those dormant accounts to “bust out” over the next year.
  • Cause-related and investment deception: Fraudsters are employing new methods that strike an emotional response from consumers with cause-related asks to gain access to consumers’ personal information. Experian predicts that these deceptive cause-related methods will surge in 2024 and beyond.

How businesses and consumers feel about fraud in 2024

According to an Experian report, over half of consumers feel they’re more of a fraud target than a year ago and nearly 70% of businesses report that fraud losses have increased in recent years.

Business are facing mounting challenges – from first-party fraud and credit washing to synthetic identity and the yet-to-be-known impacts generative AI may have on fraud schemes. Synthetic identity fraud has been mentioned in multiple Experian Fraud Forecasts and the threat is ever growing. As technology continues to enhance consumers’ connectedness, it also heightens the stakes for various fraud attacks. As highlighted by this list of fraud trends 2024, the ways that fraudsters are looking to deceive is increasing from all angles.

“Now more than ever, businesses need to implement a multilayered approach to their identity verification and fraud prevention strategies that leverages the latest technology available,” said Peters.

Consumers are increasingly at risk from sophisticated fraud schemes. Increases in direct deposit account and check fraud, as well as advanced technologies like deepfakes and AI-generated phishing emails, put consumers in a precarious position. The call to action for consumers is to remain vigilant of seemingly authentic interactions.

Experian can help with your fraud strategy

To learn more about Experian’s fraud prevention solutions, please visit https://www.experian.com/business/solutions/fraud-management.

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Three winners were announced at Experian’s inaugural Vision Awards ceremony held on Tuesday, October 7 in front of more than 800 attendees at Experian’s Vision Conference held in Miami, Fla. Figure, PREMIER Bankcard and Members First Credit Union were recognized for their work in artificial intelligence, innovation and financial empowerment. The four-day gathering provided a dynamic forum for exploring the latest innovations shaping the future of data-driven decisioning. “Our Vision Awards celebrate the unique impact financial industry leaders can have when data, technology and purpose align,” said Jeff Softley, CEO, Experian North America. “We are proud to recognize these three organizations with whom we collaborate to drive opportunities and help create change for society as a whole.” The Vision Awards recognize the achievements of organizations that accelerate action. These forward-thinking institutions leverage artificial intelligence, innovation and financial empowerment to drive opportunities and create actionable change for consumers, businesses and society. Recognizing Leaders in AI, Innovation, and Financial Empowerment A panel of interdisciplinary judges reviewed nominations from across industries across the regions, evaluating submissions based on rigor, originality, and impact. The 2025 winners reflect how organizations are leveraging data and technology to advance innovation and inclusion. Excellence in AI: Figure Figure’s submission showcased how it has redefined consumer lending outreach through an AI-driven targeting engine powered by more than 90 machine learning models and 5,000+ behavioral and financial features. By combining Experian’s prescreen data with proprietary insights, Figure delivers highly precise, cost-efficient firm offers of credit — helping it become one of the top three home equity line of credit lenders in the U.S. “This win reflects more than just a successful application of AI. It represents the broader innovative culture deeply embedded in our company’s DNA,” said Ruben Padron, Chief Data Officer at Figure. “Our work with Experian has been instrumental in helping us assess creditworthiness and predict borrower intent with greater precision.” Excellence in Innovation: PREMIER Bankcard PREMIER Bankcard continues to demonstrate how financial inclusion and innovation go hand in hand. From modernizing its technology to reimagining its product suite, PREMIER has made bold strides to serve the underserved and democratize access to credit. “This award affirms our belief that financial inclusion and innovation must go hand in hand,” said Chris Thornton, Senior Vice President of Credit at PREMIER Bankcard. “We’re committed to reaching those who need it most, and Experian has proven to be an exceptional partner in that mission.” With more than 30 million customers served, PREMIER has become a leader in first-time and second-chance credit, while also giving back more than $4 billion to charitable causes through its partnership with First PREMIER Bank and founder Denny Sanford. “We’re here to change lives,” Thornton added. “That’s how we measure success — and that’s ultimately what we’re investing in.” Excellence in Financial Empowerment: Members First Credit Union Members First Credit Union was honored for its commitment to inclusive lending and community development across Michigan. In 2024 alone, the credit union’s programs helped thousands of members access fair and affordable credit, supported 166 community organizations, and contributed nearly $230,000 in donations — backed by 2,000 volunteer hours from its employees. “Our impact demonstrates how mission-driven financial institutions can meaningfully expand access, strengthen communities, and foster long-term financial health,” said Carrie Iafrate, CEO/President at Members First Credit Union. “We’re honored to receive this recognition and inspired to continue helping individuals thrive financially.” Honoring the Judges Behind the Vision The 2025 Vision Awards were evaluated by a distinguished panel of judges representing both Experian and external associations and partners in the financial inclusion community, including: Lisa Cantu-Parks, Vice President of Resource Development, Unidos Jean Carlos Rosario Mercado, Juntos Avanzamos Program Officer, Inclusiv Ian P. Moloney, Senior Vice President, Head of Policy and Regulatory Affairs, American Fintech Council Marc Morial, President and CEO, National Urban League Kevin O’Connor, Senior Vice President, Membership and Sponsorship, Consumer Bankers Association Their expertise ensured that the winners reflect the industry’s highest standards of innovation, integrity, and impact. Ian P. Moloney, Senior Vice President, Head of Policy and Regulatory Affairs, American Fintech Council, and Rhonda Spears Bell, Senior Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer, National Urban League, were at the recognition session at Vision and shared about their organizations and experience serving as a judge. 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Submissions for the 2026 Vision Awards open on June 1, 2026. To learn more about this year’s winners and how to apply for next year’s program, visit the Vision Awards page.

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