Credit & Risk

With rapid growth comes an increased risk of fraud, making "Buy Now, Pay Never" a crucial fraud threat to watch out for in 2024.

Companies depend on quality information to make decisions that move their business objectives forward while minimizing risk exposure. And in today’s modern, tech-driven, innovation-led world, there’s more  information available than ever before. Expansive datasets from sources, both internal and external, allow decision-makers to leverage a wide range of intelligence to fuel how they plan, forecast and set priorities. But how can business leaders be sure that their data is as robust, up-to-date and thorough as they need — and, most importantly, that they’re able to use it to its fullest potential? That’s where the power of advanced analytics comes in. By making use of cutting-edge datasets and analytics insights, businesses can stay on the vanguard of business intelligence and ahead of their competitors. What is advanced analytics? Advanced analytics is a form of business intelligence that takes full advantage of the most modern data sources and analytics tools to create forward-thinking analysis that can help businesses make well-informed, data-driven decisions that are tailored to their needs. Simply put, advanced analytics is an essential component of any proactive business strategy that aims to maximize the future potential of both customers and campaigns. These advanced business intelligence and analytics solutions  help leaders make profitable decisions no matter the state of the current economic climate. They use both traditional and non-traditional data sources to provide businesses with actionable insights in the formats best suited to their needs and goals. One key aspect of advanced analytics is the use of AI analytics solutions. These efficient and effective tools help businesses save time and money by harnessing the power of cutting-edge technologies and deploying them in optimal use-case scenarios. These AI and machine-learning solutions use a wide range of tools, such as neural network methodologies, to help organizations optimize their allocation of resources, expediting and automating some processes while creating valuable insights to help human decision-makers navigate others. Benefits of advanced analytics Traditional business intelligence tends to be limited by the scope and quality of available data and ability of analysts to make use of it in an effective, comprehensive way. Modern business intelligence analytics, on the other hand, integrates machine learning and analytics to maximize the potential of data sets that, in today's technology-driven world, are often overwhelmingly large and complex: think not just databases of customer decisions and actions but behavioral data points tied to online and offline activity and the internet of things. What's more, advanced analytics does this in a way that's accessible to an entire organization — not just those who know their way around data, like IT departments and trained analysts. With the right advanced analytics solution, decision-makers can access convenient cloud-based dashboards designed to give them the information they want and need — with no clutter, noise or confusing terminology. Another key advantage of advanced analytics solutions is that they don't just analyze data — they optimize it, too. Advanced analytics offers the ability to clean up and integrate multiple data sets to remove duplicates, correct errors and inaccuracies and standardize formats, leading to high-quality data that creates clarity, not confusion. The result? By analyzing and identifying relationships across data, businesses can uncover hidden insights and issues. Advanced analytics also automate some aspects of the decision-making process to make workflows quicker and nimbler. For example, a business might choose to automate credit scoring, product recommendations for existing customers or the identification of potential fraud. Reducing manual interventions translates to increased agility and operational efficiency and, ultimately, a better competitive advantage. Use cases in the financial services industry Advanced analytics gives businesses in the financial world the power to go deeper into their data — and to integrate alternative data sources as well. With predictive analytics models, this data can be transformed into highly usable, next-level insights that help decision-makers optimize their business strategies. Credit risk, for instance, is a major concern for financial organizations that want to offer customers the best possible options while ensuring their credit products remain profitable. By utilizing advanced analytics solutions combined with a broad range of datasets, lenders can create highly accurate credit risk scores that forecast future customer behavior and identify and mitigate risk, leading to better lending decisions across the credit lifecycle. Advanced analytics solutions can also help businesses problem-solve. Let's say, for instance, that uptake of a new loan product has been slower than desired. By using business intelligence analytics, companies can determine what factors might be causing the issue and predict the tweaks and changes they can make to improve results. Advanced analytics means better, more detailed segmentation, which allows for more predictive insights. Businesses taking advantage of advanced analytics services are simply better informed: not only do they have access to more and better data, but they're able to convert it into actionable insights that help them lower risk, better predict outcomes, and boost the performance of their business. How we can help Experian offers a wide range of advanced analytics tools aimed at helping businesses in all kinds of industries succeed through better use of data. From custom machine learning models that help financial institutions assess risk more accurately to self-service dashboards designed to facilitate more agile responses to changes in the market, we have a solution that's right for every business. Plus, our advanced analytics offerings include a vast data repository with insights on 245 million credit-active individuals and 25 million businesses, as well as the industry's largest alternative data set from non-traditional lenders. Ready to explore? Click below to learn about our advanced analytics solutions. Learn more

The future of credit underwriting will depend on advanced analytics that can draw conclusions from vast amounts of data.

With automated income verification, lenders can approve more applicants quickly and provide exceptional digital experiences. Learn more!

Dive deeper into model risk management, its importance for organizations, and the key elements of a model risk management framework.

From initial screenings and data entry to determining a final decision or credit limit, loan origination automation provides many benefits.

Automate your credit limit management process to better serve your customers and quickly respond to the volatile market.

Being able to explain how an ML model works and what drives its decisions is important if you want to use ML-powered models for underwriting.

Meeting Know Your Customer (KYC) regulations and staying compliant is paramount to running your business with ensured confidence in who your customers are, the level of risk they pose, and maintained customer trust. What is KYC?KYC is the mandatory process to identify and verify the identity of clients of financial institutions, as required by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). KYC services go beyond simply standing up a customer identification program (CIP), though that is a key component. It involves fraud risk assessments in new and existing customer accounts. Financial institutions are required to incorporate risk-based procedures to monitor customer transactions and detect potential financial crimes or fraud risk. KYC policies help determine when suspicious activity reports (SAR) must be filed with the Department of Treasury’s FinCEN organization. According to the Federal Financial Institutions Examinations Council (FFIEC), a comprehensive KYC program should include:• Customer Identification Program (CIP): Identifies processes for verifying identities and establishing a reasonable belief that the identity is valid.• Customer due diligence: Verifying customer identities and assessing the associated risk of doing business.• Enhanced customer due diligence: Significant and comprehensive review of high-risk or high transactions and implementation of a suspicious activity-monitoring system to reduce risk to the institution. The following organizations have KYC oversight: Federal Financial Institutions Examinations Council (FFIEC), Federal Reserve Board, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), national Credit Union Administration (NCUA), Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB). How to get started on building your Know Your Customer checklist 1. Define your Customer Identification Program (CIP) The CIP outlines the process for gathering necessary information about your customers. To start building your KYC checklist, you need to define your CIP procedure. This may include the documentation you require from customers, the sources of information you may use for verification and the procedures for customer due diligence. Your CIP procedure should align with your organization’s risk appetite and be comply with regulations such as the Patriot Act or Anti-money laundering laws. 2. Identify the customer's information Identifying the information you need to gather on your customer is key in building an effective KYC checklist. Typically, this can include their first and last name, date of birth, address, phone number, email address, Social Security Number or any government-issued identification number. When gathering sensitive information, ensure that you have privacy and security controls such as encryption, and that customer data is not shared with unauthorized personnel. 3. Determine the verification method There are various methods to verify a customer's identity. Some common identity verification methods include document verification, facial recognition, voice recognition, knowledge-based authentication, biometrics or database checks. When selecting an identity verification method, consider the accuracy, speed, cost and reliability. Choose a provider that is highly secure and offers compliance with current regulations. 4. Review your checklist regularly Your KYC checklist is not a one and done process. Instead, it’s an ongoing process that requires periodic review, updates and testing. You need to periodically review your checklist to ensure your processes are up to date with the latest regulations and your business needs. Reviewing your checklist will help your business to identify gaps or outdated practices in your KYC process. Make changes as needed and keep management informed of any changes. 5. Final stage: quality control As a final step, you should perform a quality control assessment of the processes you’ve incorporated to ensure they’ve been carried out effectively. This includes checking if all necessary customer information has been collected, whether the right identity verification method was implemented, if your checklist matches your CIP and whether the results were recorded correctly. KYC is a vital process for your organization in today's digital age. Building an effective KYC checklist is essential to ensure compliance with regulations and mitigate risk factors associated with fraudulent activities. Building a solid checklist requires a clear understanding of your business needs, a comprehensive definition of your CIP, selection of the right verification method, and periodic reviews to ensure that the process is up to date. Remember, your customers' trust and privacy are at stake, so iensuring that your security processes and your KYC checklist are in place is essential. By following these guidelines, you can create a well-designed KYC checklist that reduces risk and satisfies your regulatory needs. Taking the next step Experian offers identity verification solutions as well as fully integrated, digital identity and fraud platforms. Experian’s CrossCore & Precise ID offering enables financial institutions to connect, access and orchestrate decisions that leverage multiple data sources and services. By combining risk-based authentication, identity proofing and fraud detection into a single, cloud-based platform with flexible orchestration and advanced analytics, Precise ID provides flexibility and solves for some of financial institutions’ biggest business challenges, including identity and fraud as it relates to digital onboarding and account take over; transaction monitoring and KYC/AML compliance and more, without adding undue friction. Learn more *This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information.

To stay competitive and engage high-value customers, you’ll need to optimize your customer acquisition process.

Learn how expanded data, AI-driven models, and increased automation can help you enhance your credit risk management strategies.

Learn how a well-designed underwriting strategy can help you drive growth and create more value out of your member relationships.

If you’re a manager at a business that lends to consumers or otherwise extends credit, you certainly are aware that 10-15% of your current customers and prospective future customers are among the approximately 27 million consumers who are now – or will soon be -- fitting another bill into their monthly budgets. Early in the COVID-19 pandemic, the government issued a pause on federal student loan payments and interest. Now that the payment pause has expired, millions of Americans face a new bill averaging more than $200. Will they pay you first? If this is your concern, you aren’t alone: Experian recently held a webinar that discussed how the end of the student loan pause might affect businesses. When we surveyed the webinar attendees,  nearly 3 out of 4 responses included Risk Management as a main concerns now. Another top concern is about credit scores. Lenders and investors use credit scores – bureau scores such FICO® or VantageScore® credit score or custom credit scores proprietary to their institution – to predict credit default risk. The risk managers at those companies want to know to what extent they can continue to rely on those scores as Federal student loan payments come due and consumers experience payment shock. I’ve analyzed a large and statistically meaningful sample (10% of the US consumer population in Experian’s Ascend Sandbox) to shed some light on that question. As background information, the average consumer with student loans had lower scores before the pandemic than the average of the general population. One of my Experian colleagues has explored some of the reasons at https://www.experian.com/blogs/ask-experian/research/average-student-loan-payments). Here are some of the things we can learn from comparing the credit data of the two groups of people. I looked at a period from 2019 and from 2023 to see how things have changed: Average credit scores increased during the pandemic, continuing a long-term trend during which more Americans have been willing and able to meet all their obligations. During the COVID Public Health Emergency, consumers with student loans brought up their scores by an average of 25 points; that was 7 points more than consumers without student loans. Another way to look at it: in 2019, consumers with student loans had credit scores 23 points lower than consumers without. By 2023, that difference had shrunk to 16 points. Experian research shows that there will be little immediate impact on credit scores when the new bills come due. Time will tell whether these increased credit scores accurately reflect a reduction in the risk that consumers will default on other bills such as auto loans or bankcards soon, even as some people fit student loan bills into their budgets. It is well-known that many people saved money during the public health emergency. Since then, the personal savings rate has fallen from a pandemic high of 32% to levels between 3% and 5% this year – lower than at any point since the 2009 recession. In an October 2023 Experian survey, only 36% of borrowers said they either set aside funds or they planned using other financial strategies specifically for the resumption of their student loan payments. Additional findings from that study can be found here. Furthermore, there are changes in the way your customers have used their credit cards over the last four years:   Consumers’ credit card balances have increased over the last four years. Consumers with student loans have balances that are on average $282 (4%) more now than in 2019. That is a significantly smaller increase than for consumers without student loans, whose total credit card debt increased by an average of $1,932 (26%). Although their balances increased, the ratio of consumers’ total revolving debt balances to their credit limits (utilization) changed by less than 1% for both consumers with student loans and consumers without. In 2019, the utilization ratio was 9.8 percentage points lower for consumers with student loans than consumers without. Four years later, the difference is nearly the same (9.6 points). We can conclude that many student loan borrowers have been very responsible with credit during the Public Health Emergency. They may have been more mindful of their credit situation, and some may have planned for the day when their student loan payments will be due. As the student loan pause come to an end, there are a few things that lenders and other businesses should be doing to be ready: Even if you are not a student loan lender, it is important to stay on top of the rapidly evolving student loan environment. It affects many of your customers, and your business with them needs to adapt. Anticipate that fraudsters and abusers of credit will be creative now: periods of change create opportunities for them and you should be one step ahead. Build optimized strategies in marketing, account opening, and servicing. Consider using machine learning to make more accurate predictions. Those strategies should reflect trends in payments, balances, and utilization; older credit scores look at a single point in time. Continually refresh data about your customers—including their credit scores and important attributes related to payments, balances, and utilization patterns. Look for alternative data that will give you a leg up on the competition. In the coming weeks and months, Experian’s data scientists will monitor measures of performance of the scores and attributes that you depend on in your data-driven strategies — particularly focusing on the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) statistics that will show changes in the predictive power of each score and attribute. (If you are a data-driven business, your data science team or a trusted partner should be doing the same thing with a more specific look at your customer base and business strategies.) In future reports and blog posts, we’ll shed light on the impact student loans are having on your customers and on your business. In the meantime, for more information about how to use data and advanced analytics to grow while controlling costs and risks, all while staying in compliance and providing a good customer experience, visit our website.

With great risk comes great reward, as the saying goes. But when it comes to business, there's huge value in reducing and managing that risk as much as possible to maximize benefits — and profits. In today's high-tech strategic landscape, financial institutions and other organizations are increasingly using risk modeling to map out potential scenarios and gain a clearer understanding of where various paths may lead. What is a risk model? A risk model is a representation of a particular situation that's created specifically for the purpose of assessing risk. That risk model is then used to evaluate the potential impacts of different decisions, paths and events. From assigning interest rates and amortization terms to deciding whether to begin operating in a new market, risk models are a safe way to analyze data, test assumptions and visualize potential scenarios. Risk models are particularly valuable in the credit industry. Credit risk models and credit risk analytics allow lenders to evaluate the pluses and minuses of lending to clients in specific ways. They are able to consider the larger economic environment, as well as relevant factors on a micro level. By integrating risk models into their decision-making process, lenders can refine credit offerings to fit the assessed risk of a particular situation. It goes like this: a team of risk management experts builds a model that brings together comprehensive datasets and risk modeling tools that incorporate mathematics, statistics and machine learning. This predictive modeling tool uses advanced algorithmic techniques to analyze data, identify patterns and make forecasts about future outcomes. Think of it as a crystal ball, but with science behind it. Your team can then use this risk model for a wide range of applications: refining marketing targets, reworking product offerings or reshaping business strategies. How can risk models be implemented? Risk models consolidate and utilize a wide variety of data sets, historical benchmarks and qualitative inputs to model risk and allow business leaders to test assumptions and visualize the potential results of various decisions and events. Implementing risk modeling means creating models of systems that allow you to adjust variables to imitate real-world situations and see what the results might be. A mortgage lender, for example, needs to be able to predict the effects of external and internal policies and decisions. By creating a risk model, they can test how scenarios such as falling interest rates, rising unemployment or a shift in loan acceptance rates might affect their business, and make moves to adjust their strategies accordingly. One aspect of risk modeling that can't be underestimated is the importance of good data, both quantitative and qualitative. Efforts to implement or expand risk modeling should begin with refining your data governance strategy. Maximizing the full potential of your data also requires integrating data quality solutions into your operations in order to ensure that the building blocks of your risk model are as accurate and thorough as possible. It's also important to ensure your organization has sufficient model risk governance in place. No model is perfect, and each comes with its own risks. But these risks can be mitigated with the right set of policies and procedures, some of which are part of regulatory compliance. With a comprehensive model risk management strategy, including processes like back testing, benchmarking, sensitivity analysis and stress testing, you can ensure your risk models are working for your organization — not opening you up to more risk. How can risk modeling be used in the credit industry? Risk modeling isn't just for making credit decisions. For instance, you might model the risk of opening or expanding operations in an underserved country or the costs and benefits of an existing one that is underperforming. In information technology, a critical branch of virtually every modern organization, risk modeling helps security teams evaluate the risk of malicious attacks.Banking and financial services is one industry for which understanding and planning for risk is key, not only for business reasons but to align with relevant regulations. The mortgage lender mentioned above, for example, might use credit risk models to better predict risk, enhance the customer journey and ensure transparency and compliance.It's important to highlight that risk modeling is a guide, not a prophecy. Datasets can contain flaws or gaps, and human error can happen at any stage. It's also possible to rely too heavily on historical information, and while they say history repeats itself, they don't mean it repeats exactly. That's especially true in the face of novel challenges, such as the rise of artificial intelligence. Making the best use of risk modeling tools involves not just optimizing software and data but using expert insight to interpret predictions and recommendations so that decision-making comes from a place of breadth and depth. Why are risk models important for banks and financial institutions? In the world of credit, optimizing risk assessment has clear ramifications when meeting overall business objectives. By using risk modeling to better understand your current and potential clients, you are positioned to offer the right credit products to the right audience and take action to mitigate risk. When it comes to portfolio risk management, having adequate risk models in place is paramount to meet targets. And not only does implementing quality portfolio risk analytics help maximize sales opportunities, but it can also help you identify risk proactively to avoid costly mistakes down the road. Risk mitigation tools are a key component of any risk modeling strategy and can help you maintain compliance, expose potential fraud, maximize the value of your portfolio and create a better overall customer experience. Advanced risk modeling techniques In the realm of risk modeling, the integration of advanced techniques like machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) is revolutionizing how financial institutions assess and manage risk. These technologies enhance the predictive power of risk models by allowing for more complex data processing and pattern recognition than traditional statistical methods.Machine learning in risk modeling: ML algorithms can process vast amounts of unstructured data – such as market trends, consumer behavior and economic indicators — to identify patterns that may not be visible to human analysts. For instance, ML can be used to model credit risk by analyzing a borrower’s transaction history, social media activities and other digital footprints to predict their likelihood of default beyond traditional credit scoring methods.Artificial intelligence in decisioning: AI can automate the decisioning process in risk management by providing real-time predictions and risk assessments. AI systems can be trained to make decisions based on historical data and adjust them as they learn from new data. This capability is particularly useful in credit underwriting where AI algorithms can make rapid decisions based on market conditions.Financial institutions looking to leverage these advanced techniques must invest in robust data infrastructure, skilled personnel who can bridge the gap between data science and financial expertise, and continuous monitoring systems to ensure the models perform as expected while adhering to regulatory standards. Challenges in risk model validation Validating risk models is crucial for ensuring they function appropriately and comply with regulatory standards. Validation involves verifying both the theoretical foundations of a model and its practical implementation. Key challenges in model validation Model complexity: As risk models become more complex, incorporating elements like ML and AI, they become harder to validate. Complex models can behave in unpredictable ways, making it difficult to understand why they are making certain decisions (the so-called "black box" issue).Data quality and availability: Effective validation requires high-quality, relevant data. Issues with data completeness, accuracy or relevance can lead to incorrect model validations. Best practices in model validation Regulatory compliance: With regulations continually evolving, maintaining compliance with risk models can be challenging. Different jurisdictions may have varying requirements, further complicating validation processes.Regular reviews: Continuous monitoring and periodic reviews help ensure that models remain accurate over time and adapt to changing market conditions.Third-party audits: Independent reviews by external experts can provide an unbiased assessment of the risk model’s performance and compliance.These practices help institutions maintain the reliability and integrity of their risk models, ensuring that they continue to function as intended and comply with regulatory requirements. How Experian can help Risk is inherent to business, and there's no avoiding it entirely. But integrating credit risk modeling into your operations can ensure stability and profitability in a rapidly evolving business landscape. Start with Experian's credit modeling services, which use expansive data, analytical expertise and the latest credit risk modeling methodologies to better predict risk and accelerate growth. 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For companies that regularly engage in financial transactions, having a customer identification program (CIP) is mandatory to comply with the regulations around identity verification requirements across the customer lifecycle. In this blog post, we will delve into the essentials of a customer identification program, what it entails, and why it is important for businesses to implement one. What is a customer identification program? A CIP is a set of procedures implemented by financial institutions to verify the identity of their customers. The purpose of a CIP is to be a part of a financial institution’s fraud management solutions, with similar goals as to detect and prevent fraud like money laundering, identity theft, and other fraudulent activities. The program enables financial institutions to assess the risk level associated with a particular customer and determine whether their business dealings are legitimate. An effective CIP program should check the following boxes: Confidently verify customer identities Seamless authentication Understand and anticipate customer activities Where does Know Your Customer (KYC) fit in? KYC policies must include a robust CIP across the customer lifecycle from initial onboarding through portfolio management. KYC solutions encompass the financial institution’s customer identification program, customer due diligence and ongoing monitoring. What are the requirements for a CIP? Customer identification program requirements vary depending on the type of financial institution, the type of account opened, and other factors. However, the essential components of a CIP include verifying the customer's identity using government-issued identification, obtaining and verifying the customer's address, and checking the customer against a list of known criminals, terrorists, or suspicious individuals. These measures  help detect and prevent financial crimes. Why is a CIP important for businesses? CIP helps businesses mitigate risk by ensuring they have accurate and up-to-date information about their customers. This also helps financial institutions comply with laws and regulations that require them to monitor financial transactions for any suspicious activities. By having a robust CIP in place, businesses can establish trust and rapport with their customers. According to Experian’s 2024 U.S. Identity and Fraud Report, 63% of consumers say it's extremely or very important for businesses to recognize them online. Having an effective CIP in place is part of financial institutions showing their consumers that they have their best interests top of mind. Finding the right partner It’s important to find a partner you trust when working to establish processes and procedures for verifying customer identity, address, and other relevant information. Companies can also utilize specialized software that can help streamline the CIP process and ensure that it is being carried out accurately and consistently. Experian’s proprietary and partner data sources and flexible monitoring and segmentation tools allow you to resolve CIP discrepancies and fraud risk in a single step, all while keeping pace with emerging fraud threats with effective customer identification software. Putting consumers first is paramount. The security of their identity is priority one, but financial institutions must pay equal attention to their consumers’ preferences and experiences. It is not just enough to verify customer identities. Leading financial institutions will automate customer identification to reduce manual intervention and verify with a reasonable belief that the identity is valid and eligible to use the services you provide. Seamless experiences with the right amount of friction (I.e., multi-factor authentication) should also be pursued to preserve the quality of the customer experience. Putting it all together As cybersecurity threats are becoming more sophisticated, it is essential for financial institutions to protect their customerinformation and level up their fraud prevention solutions. Implementing a customer identification program is an essential component in achieving that objective. A robust CIP helps organizations detect, prevent, and deter fraudulent activities while ensuring compliance with regulatory requirements. While implementing a CIP can be complex, having a solid plan and establishing clear guidelines is the best way for companies to safeguard customer information and maintain their reputation. CIPs are an integral part of financial institutions security infrastructures and must be a business priority. By ensuring that they have accurate and up-to-date data on their customers, they can mitigate risk, establish trust, and comply with regulatory requirements. A sound CIP program can help financial institutions detect and prevent financial crimes and cyber threats while ensuring that legitimate business transactions are not disrupted, therefore safeguarding their customers' information and protecting their own reputation. Learn more