Tag: loan delinquency

After being in place for more than three years, the student loan payment pause is scheduled to end 60 days after June 30, with payments resuming soon after. As borrowers brace for this return, there are many things that loan servicers and lenders should take note of, including: Potential risk factors demonstrated by borrowers. About one in five student loan borrowers show risk factors that suggest they could struggle when scheduled payments resume.1 These include pre-pandemic delinquencies on student loans and new non-medical collections during the pandemic. The impact of pre-pandemic delinquencies. A delinquent status dating prior to the pandemic is a statistically significant indicator of subsequent risk. An increase in non-student loan delinquencies. As of March 2023, around 2.5 million student loan borrowers had a delinquency on a non-student loan, an increase of approximately 200,000 borrowers since September 2022.2 Transfers to new servicers. More than four in ten borrowers will return to repayment with a new student loan servicer.3 Feelings of anxiety for younger borrowers. Roughly 70% of Gen Z and millennials believe the current economic environment is hurting their ability to be financially independent adults. However, 77% are striving to be more financially literate.4 How loan servicers and lenders can prepare and navigate Considering these factors, lenders and servicers know that borrowers may face new challenges and fears once student loan payments resume. Here are a few implications and what servicers and lenders can do in response: Non-student loan delinquencies can potentially soar further. Increased delinquencies on non-student loans and larger monthly payments on all credit products can make the transition to repayment extremely challenging for borrowers. Combined with high balances and interest rates, this can lead to a sharp increase in delinquencies and heightened probability of default. By leveraging alternative data and attributes, you can gain deeper insights into your customers' financial behaviors before and during the payment holidays. This way, you can mitigate risk and improve your lending and servicing decisions. Note: While many student loan borrowers have halted their payments during forbearance, some have continued to pay anyway, demonstrating strong financial ability and willingness to pay in the future. Trended data and advanced modeling provide a clearer, up-to-date view of these payment behaviors, enabling you to identify low-risk, high-value customers. Streamlining your processes can benefit you and your customers. With some student loan borrowers switching to different servicers, creating new accounts, enrolling in autopay, and confirming payment information can be a huge hassle. For servicers that will have new loans transferred to them, the number of queries and requests from borrowers can be overwhelming, especially if resources are limited. To make transitions as smooth as possible, consider streamlining your administrative tasks and processes with automation. This way, you can provide fast and frictionless service for borrowers while focusing more of your resources on those who need one-on-one assistance. Providing credit education can help borrowers take control of their financial lives. Already troubled by higher costs and monthly payments on other credit products, student loan payments are yet another financial obligation for borrowers to worry about. Some borrowers have even stated that student loan debt has delayed or prevented them from achieving major life milestones, such as getting married, buying a home, or having children.5 By arming borrowers with credit education, tools, and resources, they can better navigate the return of student loan payments, make more informed financial decisions, and potentially turn into lifelong customers. For more information on effective portfolio management, click here. 1Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. (June 2023). Office of Research blog: Update on student loan borrowers as payment suspension set to expire. 2Ibid. 3Ibid. 4Experian. (May 2023). Take a Look: Millennial and Gen Z Personal Finance Trends 5AP News. (June 2023). The pause on student loan payment is ending. Can borrowers find room in their budgets?

Student loan forbearance, part of the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES Act) economic stimulus bill that paused student loan repayment, interest accrual, and collections, is set to expire on May 1, 2022.  Borrowers who carry  federal student loans in the United States need to anticipate the resumption of repayment and interest accrual. In this article, we’ll answer questions your borrowers will be asking about the end of the student loan pause and how they can better prepare.   Lenders and servicers should anticipate an influx of requests for modification and for private student loan lenders, a potential significant push for refinancing.   When do student loans resume and when does student loan interest start again?  Student loan repayments and resumption of interest accruals are set to resume on May 1, 2022. This means that student loans will start accruing interest again, and payments will need to resume on the existing payment date. In other words, if the due date prior to the pause was the fifth of every month, the first repayment date will be May 5, 2022.  In the weeks preceding this, borrowers can expect a billing statement from their student loan servicer outlining their debt and terms or they can reach out to their servicers directly to get more information.  Will student loan forbearance be extended again? Will the CARES Act be extended?  There is no indication that the federal government will extend student loan forbearance beyond May 1, 2022, which was already extended beyond the original deadline in February 2022. Your borrower’s best strategy is to prepare now for the resumption of repayments, interest accrual and collections. Will Biden forgive student loans?  Free community college tuition and federal student loan forgiveness up to $10,000 were a centerpiece of the Biden platform during his candidacy for president and were included in early iterations of the government's Build Back Better agenda. In February 2022, during bargaining, the administration removed the free tuition provision from the bill. The Build Back Better bill has yet to pass.  Although there remains a student loan relief provision in the draft Build Back Better agenda, there is no guarantee that it will make it into the final iteration.  What should borrowers do if they paid student loans using auto-debit?  Most borrowers will need to restart auto-debit after the student loan pause. If auto-debit or ACH was used prior to the student loan pause went into effect on March 13, 2020, borrowers can expect to receive a communication from their servicer confirming they wish to continue with auto-debit. If the borrower doesn’t respond to this notice, the servicer may cancel auto-debit. If the borrower signed up for auto-debit after the beginning of forbearance, payments should automatically begin.  How much interest will borrowers have to pay?  Unless terms have changed, such as consolidating loans, the interest rate will be the same as it was before the student loan pause went into effect.  Will balances be the same as they were before the student loan pause? Will it take the same amount of time to pay off the student loan?  For those on a traditional repayment plan, a student loan servicer might recalculate the amount based on the principal and interest and the amount of time left in the repayment period. Borrowers will still make payments for the same number of months in total, but the end date for repayment will be pushed forward to accommodate the payment pause.   In other words, if the loan terms originally stated that it would be repaid in full on January 1, 2030, the new terms will accommodate the pause and show full repayment on January 1, 2032.  For those on an Income-Driven Repayment Plan (IDRP) – such as Revised Pay as You Earn Repayment (REPAYE), Pay As You Earn Repayment (PAYE), Income-Based Repayment (IBR), or Income-Contingent Repayment (ICR) – the payment amount will resume at the same rate as before the payment pause. Student loan forbearance will not delay progress towards repayment.  What are borrower options if the student loan payment is too high?  Enroll in an IDRP program: Available plans include REPAYE, PAYE, IBR or ICR.  Student loan refinancing: When a borrower refinances, he or she can group federal and private loans and possibly negotiate a lower repayment amount. However, they will not be eligible to access federal loans protections or programs.  Loan consolidation: This process allows borrowers to combine multiple federal loans into a single loan with a single payment, which can reduce monthly payments by extending the repayment period. Note this will result in more interest being charged, as the time to repay will be extended. Will this change affect those with private student loans?  Private lenders are not covered by the CARES Act, so student loan forbearance did not apply to them. Most private lenders have continued collecting repayments throughout the COVID-19 pandemic.   Borrowers having trouble making payments to a private lender, can discuss options such as deferment, forbearance, consolidation and modified repayment terms.  What happens if a student loan payment is missed or the borrower can’t pay at all?   If a payment is missed, the account will be considered delinquent. The account becomes delinquent the first day after a missed payment and remains that way until the past-due amount is paid or other arrangements are made.   If the account remains delinquent, the loan may go into default. The amount of time between delinquency and default depends on the student loan servicer. If the loan goes into default, borrowers could face consequences including:  Immediate collections on the entire loan and interest owed Ineligibility for benefits such as deferment and forbearance,   Inability to choose a different payment plan or obtain additional federal student aid  Damage to credit score  Inability to buy or sell assets  Withholding of tax refunds or other federal benefits Wage garnishment A lawsuit Do student loans affect credit scores?  Yes, for delinquent student loans, the servicer will report the delinquency to the three major credit bureaus and the borrower’s credit score will drop.2 A poor credit score can affect a consumer’s ability to obtain credit cards or loans and may make it difficult to sign up with utilities providers, cell phone providers and insurance agencies. It can also be challenging to rent an apartment.  What are the options for those who can’t pay? Can student loans be deferred?  For those with federal student loans, now is the time to prepare for the end of student loan forbearance. Revisit budgets, make sure records are up to date and communicate with student loan servicers to make sure payments can be made in full and on time.  For those unable to pay back loans, they can consider requesting a deferment. A deferment is a temporary pause on student loan payments. Depending on the type of loan, interest may or may not continue to accrue during the deferment.  If they wish to apply for a deferment, they must meet eligibility requirements. Some common grounds for deferment are:  Economic hardship  Schooling  Military service  Cancer treatment  Loan servicers and private lenders should arm themselves for the large volume of questions  from borrowers who are not prepared to begin resuming payment. Now may the time to increase customer service or consider adding student loan consolidation products to serve the increase in demand.  For information on mitigating risk and effectively managing your portfolio, click here.  

The coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak is causing widespread concern and economic hardship for consumers and businesses across the globe – including financial institutions, who have had to refine their lending and downturn response strategies while keeping up with compliance regulations and market changes. As part of our recently launched Q&A perspective series, Shannon Lois, Experian’s Head of DA Analytics and Consulting and Bryan Collins, Senior Product Manager, tackled some of the tough questions for lenders. Here’s what they had to say: Q: What trends and triggers should lenders be prepared to react to? BC: Lenders are still trying to figure out how to assess risk between the broader, longer-term impacts of the pandemic and the near-term Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act that extends relief funds and deferment to consumers and small businesses. Traditional lending processes are not possible, lenders will have to adjust underwriting strategies and workflows as they deploy hardship programs while complying with the Act. From a utilization perspective, lenders need to look for near-term trends on payments, balances and skipped payments. From an extension standpoint, they should review limits extended or reduced by other lenders. Critical trends to look for would be missed or late auto payments, non-traditional credit shopping and rental payment delinquencies. Q: What should lenders be doing to plan for an uptick in delinquencies? SL: First, lenders should make sure they have a complete picture of how credit risk and losses are evolving, as well as any changes to their consumers’ affordability status. This will allow a pointed refinement of their customer management strategies (I.e. payment holidays, changing customer to cheaper product, offering additional services, re-pricing, term amendment and forbearance management.) Second, given the increased stress on collection processes and regulations guidelines, they should ensure proper and prepared staffing to handle increased call volumes and that agency outsourcing and automation is enabled. Additionally, lenders should migrate to self-service and interactive communication channels whenever possible while adopting new segmentation schemas/scores/attributes based on fresh data triggers to queue lower risk accounts entering collections. Q: How can lenders best help their customers? SL: Lenders should understand customers’ profiles with vulnerability and affordability metrics allowing changes in both treatment and payment. Payment Holidays are common in credit card management, consider offering payment freezes on different types of credit like mortgage and secured loans, as well as short term workout programs with lower interest rates and fee suppression. Additionally, lenders should offer self-service and FAQ portals with information about programs that can help customers in times of need. BC: Lenders can help by complying with aspects of the CARES Act guidance; they must understand how to deploy payment relief and hardship programs effectively and efficiently. Data integrity and accuracy of loan reporting will be critical. Financial institutions should adjust their collection and risk strategies and processes. Additionally, lenders must determine a way to address the unbanked population with relief checks. We understand how challenging it is to navigate the changing economic tides and will continue to offer support to both businesses and consumers alike. Our advanced data and analytics can help you refine your lending processes and better understand regulatory changes. Learn more About Our Experts: Shannon Lois, Head of DA Analytics and Consulting, Experian Data Analytics, North America Shannon and her team of analysts, scientists, credit, fraud and marketing risk management experts provide results-driven consulting services and state-of-the-art advanced analytics, science and data products to clients in a wide range of businesses, including banking, auto, credit, utility, marketing and finance. Shannon has been a presenter at many credit scoring and risk management conferences and is currently leading the Experian Decision Analytics advisory board. Bryan Collins, Senior Product Manager, Experian Consumer Information Services, North America Bryan is a member of Experian's CIS product management team, focusing on the Acquisitions suite and our evolving Ascend Identity Services Platform. With more than 20 years of experience in the financial services and credit industries, Bryan has established strong partnerships and a thorough understanding of client needs. He was instrumental in the launch of CIS's segmentation suite and led product management for lender and credit-related initiatives in Auto. Prior to joining Experian, Bryan held marketing and consumer experience roles in consumer finance, business lending and card services.

In the face of severe financial stress, such as that brought about by an economic downturn, lenders seeking to reduce their credit risk exposure often resort to tactics executed at the portfolio level, such as raising credit score cut-offs for new loans or reducing credit limits on existing accounts. What if lenders could tune their portfolio throughout economic cycles so they don’t have to rely on abrupt measures when faced with current or future economic disruptions? Now they can. The impact of economic downturns on financial institutions Historically, economic hardships have directly impacted loan performance due to differences in demand, supply or a combination of both. For example, let’s explore the Great Recession of 2008, which challenged financial institutions with credit losses, declines in the value of investments and reductions in new business revenues. Over the short term, the financial crisis of 2008 affected the lending market by causing financial institutions to lose money on mortgage defaults and credit to consumers and businesses to dry up. For the much longer term, loan growth at commercial banks decreased substantially and remained negative for almost four years after the financial crisis. Additionally, lending from banks to small businesses decreased by 18 percent between 2008-2011. And – it was no walk in the park for consumers. Already faced with a rise in unemployment and a decline in stock values, they suddenly found it harder to qualify for an extension of credit, as lenders tightened their standards for both businesses and consumers. Are you prepared to navigate and successfully respond to the current environment? Those who prove adaptable to harsh economic conditions will be the ones most poised to lead when the economy picks up again. Introducing the FICO® Resilience Index The FICO® Resilience Index provides an additional way to evaluate the quality of portfolios at any point in an economic cycle. This allows financial institutions to discover and manage potential latent risk within groups of consumers bearing similar FICO® Scores, without cutting off access to credit for resilient consumers. By incorporating the FICO® Resilience Index into your lending strategies, you can gain deeper insight into consumer sensitivity for more precise credit decisioning. What are the benefits? The FICO® Resilience Index is designed to assess consumers with respect to their resilience or sensitivity to an economic downturn and provides insight into which consumers are more likely to default during periods of economic stress. It can be used by lenders as another input in credit decisions and account strategies across the credit lifecycle and can be delivered with a credit file, along with the FICO® Score. No matter what factors lead to an economic correction, downturns can result in unexpected stressors, affecting consumers’ ability or willingness to repay. The FICO® Resilience Index can easily be added to your current FICO® Score processes to become a key part of your resilience-building strategies. Learn more

The fact that the last recession started right as smartphones were introduced to the world gives some perspective into how technology has changed over the past decade. Organizations need to leverage the same technological advancements, such as artificial intelligence and machine learning, to improve their collections strategies. These advanced analytics platforms and technologies can be used to gauge customer preferences, as well as automate the collections process. When faced with higher volumes of delinquent loans, some organizations rapidly hire inexperienced staff. With new analytical advancements, organizations can reduce overhead and maintain compliance through the collections process. Additionally, advanced analytics and technology can help manage customers throughout the customer life cycle. Let’s explore further: Why use advanced analytics in collections? Collections strategies demand diverse approaches, which is where analytics-based strategies and collections models come into play. As each customer and situation differs, machine learning techniques and constraint-based optimization can open doors for your organization. By rethinking collections outreach beyond static classifications (such as the stage of account delinquency) and instead prioritizing accounts most likely to respond to each collections treatment, you can create an improved collections experience. How does collections analytics empower your customers? Customer engagement, carefully considered, perhaps comprises the most critical aspect of a collections program—especially given historical perceptions of the collections process. Experian recently analyzed the impact of traditional collections methods and found that three percent of card portfolios closed their accounts after paying their balances in full. And 75 percent of those closures occurred shortly after the account became current. Under traditional methods, a bank may collect outstanding debt but will probably miss out on long-term customer loyalty and future revenue opportunities. Only effective technology, modeling and analytics can move us from a linear collections approach towards a more customer-focused treatment while controlling costs and meeting other business objectives. Advanced analytics and machine learning represent the most important advances in collections. Furthermore, powerful digital innovations such as better criteria for customer segmentation and more effective contact strategies can transform collections operations, while improving performance and raising customer service standards at a lower cost. Empowering consumers in a digital, safe and consumer-centric environment affects the complete collections agenda—beginning with prevention and management of bad debt and extending through internal and external account resolution. When should I get started? It’s never too early to assess and modernize technology within collections—as well as customer engagement strategies—to produce an efficient, innovative game plan. Smarter decisions lead to higher recovery rates, automation and self-service tools reduce costs and a more comprehensive customer view enhances relationships. An investment today can minimize the negative impacts of the delinquency challenges posed by a potential recession. Collections transformation has already begun, with organizations assembling data and developing algorithms to improve their existing collections processes. In advance of the next recession, two options present themselves: to scramble in a reactive manner or approach collections proactively. Which do you choose? Get started

Total balances of automotive loan portfolios rose for all types of lending organizations in Q2 2012, reaching $682 billion, compared with $646 billion in Q2 2011. Despite this strong growth, overall loan balances still lag behind prerecession levels. In Q2 2007, outstanding loan balances reached $701 billion. The average 30 and 60 day delinquency rate fell slightly year over year across all types of lending organizations, including banks, captive finance, finance companies and credit unions. Sign up for our Sept. 6th Webinar for more information on Q2 2012 automotive credit trends. Source: Experian press release dated — Aug 8, 2012: Loan delinquencies and automotive repossessions drop in Q2, according to Experian Automotive.

The economy is accelerating at a sluggish pace, and world headlines cause business leaders to swing between optimism and pessimism daily. Risk managers must look more closely and much more frequently at their customers' behavior to stay ahead of emerging credit problems. Some tips: Use all customer information when making decisions. Combining both internal and external data can paint a clearer picture of your customers. Identify the customer relationships that have value and should be retained. Apply resources accordingly. Implement daily triggers so you have the latest customer information around bankruptcy, repossession or loan delinquency, as well as positive information such as payments made to other financial institutions. Spend more time examining consumers who are delinquent on their home mortgage payments to determine their behavior on your portfolio. Use next-generation collections software to keep collectors up to date on account-level strategies. Download our white paper on how changes in the economy have impacted consumer credit behavior and what risk managers should analyze in order to determine portfolio strategies. Source: Experian News