Rise in New Vehicle Inventory Shifts the Automotive Landscape in Q1 2024

In an ever-evolving automotive landscape, where shifting consumer behavior meets fluctuating market dynamics, Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q2 2025 delivers key insights into how both consumers and professionals are adapting to the changes. This quarter’s report revealed a sharp increase in vehicle refinancing—up nearly 70% from Q2 2024—as consumers capitalized on the more stable rate environment. In fact, after refinancing, the average interest rate went from 10.45% to 8.45%. That shift resulted in their monthly payment dropping by an average of $71. Interestingly, credit unions played a significant role in the refinance surge, increasing their market share from 63.22% last year to 68.33% this quarter, and borrowers who refinanced through credit unions saw their monthly payments decrease by $87 on average. Banks saw a slight dip in their share of the refinancing market year-over-year, going from 22.71% to 21.45%, and borrowers who refinanced through them saved an average of $46 a month. New leaders emerge as the lender market share continues to evolve Taking a deeper dive into the automotive finance market share, banks reclaimed their leading position for total vehicle financing, rising to 27.50% in Q2 2025, from 24.50% in Q2 2024. Meanwhile, captives declined from 30.17% to 26.63% year-over-year, and credit unions slightly increased from 20.35% to 21.04% during the same period. For new vehicles, captives continued to lead at 52.39% this quarter, though it was a drop from 60.74% last year. On the other hand, banks grew from 21.12% to 25.91% and credit unions went from 9.99% to 12.24% in the same time frame. On the used side, banks edged ahead, increasing their share to 28.59% in Q2 2025, from 26.80% last year. Credit unions saw slight growth from 27.59% to 27.63%, while captives declined from 7.83% to 6.40% year-over-year. As affordability remains a key priority, consumers seem to be exploring financing options that offer more favorable terms. While Experian Automotive’s report continues to illustrate the evolving dynamics, these data-driven insights can empower both consumers and industry professionals to make smarter financial decisions. To learn more about automotive finance trends, view the full State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q2 2025 presentation on demand.

Mid-sized banks should take a data-driven approach to implementing credit risk strategies if they want to expand their loan portfolios.

While many view Experian as a credit bureau, we have a rich history in identifying and analyzing emerging market shifts and consumer behaviors across industries, particularly automotive. In fact, Experian’s Automotive Consumer Trends Report: Q1 2025 is one of our many reports that provide essential intel for automotive professionals navigating today’s competitive landscape. And this quarter’s report sheds light on SUVs (including SUVs and CUVs)—a segment that continues to pique consumers’ interest. Data in the first quarter of this year found 62.8% of new retail registrations were SUVs, accounting for the largest portion of market share over the last 12 months—compared to sedans (18.4%), pickup trucks (16.6%), and vans (2.2%). While overall SUV registrations highlight the growing dominance in this sector, a closer look at the data revealed that electric SUVs are emerging as a contributor to this momentum. In Q1 2025, electric SUVs accounted for 10.5% of new retail SUV registrations—and within that group, 30.7% were registered in the state of California. It’s crucial for automotive professionals to monitor these trends and prepare accordingly as the fuel type continues to grow. Which electric SUV models are catching buyers’ attention? Knowing which types of electric SUVs are attracting consumer interest can enable professionals to align their offerings with market demand. The Tesla Model Y made up nearly half of the new retail SUV registrations for exotic and luxury in the last 12 months, coming in at 40.5%. Interestingly, the next closest model, Ford Mustang Mach-E, trailed behind at 5.8%. Rounding out the top five were the Hyundai IONIQ 5 (5.5%), Honda Prologue (4.9%), and Chevrolet Equinox EV (4.3%). Understanding SUV registrations goes beyond data—it’s about spotting the shift in consumer behavior as this segment as well as the EV fuel type continues to break ground in the automotive landscape. This insight gives professionals the leverage they need to adapt and refine their strategies in the next era of mobility. To learn more about SUV insights, view the full Automotive Consumer Trends Report: Q1 2025 presentation.