Rise in New Vehicle Inventory Shifts the Automotive Landscape in Q1 2024

Many across the industry have been waiting to learn how EV activity has changed now that the EV tax credit has been eliminated. According to Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q3 2025, the EV market saw a sharp uptick in transactions as many locked in these benefits before they disappeared, though it remains to be seen what the market will look like in the fourth quarter. With the EV market expanding and more models entering the lineup, shoppers also benefited from various options across a wider range of price points within their budget. Even so, many opted to lease a new EV rather than purchase it. More than 56% of consumers leased an EV in Q3 2025, up from 46.43% last year. The gap between the number of EV leases and purchases reflects several underlying factors, one of them being this option likely offered lower upfront costs and monthly payments. For instance, the average monthly payment for a lease was $172 lower than a loan for an EV in Q3 2025. Where EV performance stands in the broader market When looking at the data from a larger perspective, EVs made up 25.31% of the total new lease market, compared to 17.69% a year ago. The alternative fuel type also comprised four of the top ten leased models, with Tesla Model Y (4.35%) and Tesla Model 3 (2.58%) as the top two. They were followed by the Honda Prologue (1.78%) as the fifth most leased model and the Hyundai IONIQ 5 (1.49%) as the ninth. EVs making up nearly half of the top ten leased models in the overall market underscores how quickly consumer preferences can shift and how incentives play a role in purchasing behavior. Consumers’ comfort with EV technology continuing to grow paired with the steady expansion of compelling models across segments also highlights the momentum that is being brought to the overall automotive industry. As the market continues to move forward, the interplay of expiring incentives, more model availability, and a strong desire for leasing shows how EVs have steadily become a more prominent consideration. Leveraging these insights will help automotive professionals best position themselves to support consumers navigating an increasingly dynamic landscape. To learn more about EVs and other automotive finance trends, view the full State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q3 2025 presentation on demand.

In an ever-evolving automotive landscape, where shifting consumer behavior meets fluctuating market dynamics, Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q2 2025 delivers key insights into how both consumers and professionals are adapting to the changes. This quarter’s report revealed a sharp increase in vehicle refinancing—up nearly 70% from Q2 2024—as consumers capitalized on the more stable rate environment. In fact, after refinancing, the average interest rate went from 10.45% to 8.45%. That shift resulted in their monthly payment dropping by an average of $71. Interestingly, credit unions played a significant role in the refinance surge, increasing their market share from 63.22% last year to 68.33% this quarter, and borrowers who refinanced through credit unions saw their monthly payments decrease by $87 on average. Banks saw a slight dip in their share of the refinancing market year-over-year, going from 22.71% to 21.45%, and borrowers who refinanced through them saved an average of $46 a month. New leaders emerge as the lender market share continues to evolve Taking a deeper dive into the automotive finance market share, banks reclaimed their leading position for total vehicle financing, rising to 27.50% in Q2 2025, from 24.50% in Q2 2024. Meanwhile, captives declined from 30.17% to 26.63% year-over-year, and credit unions slightly increased from 20.35% to 21.04% during the same period. For new vehicles, captives continued to lead at 52.39% this quarter, though it was a drop from 60.74% last year. On the other hand, banks grew from 21.12% to 25.91% and credit unions went from 9.99% to 12.24% in the same time frame. On the used side, banks edged ahead, increasing their share to 28.59% in Q2 2025, from 26.80% last year. Credit unions saw slight growth from 27.59% to 27.63%, while captives declined from 7.83% to 6.40% year-over-year. As affordability remains a key priority, consumers seem to be exploring financing options that offer more favorable terms. While Experian Automotive’s report continues to illustrate the evolving dynamics, these data-driven insights can empower both consumers and industry professionals to make smarter financial decisions. To learn more about automotive finance trends, view the full State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q2 2025 presentation on demand.

Mid-sized banks should take a data-driven approach to implementing credit risk strategies if they want to expand their loan portfolios.