All posts by Guest Contributor

With the rapid growth in the number of online marketplace lenders , and projections the field will continue to grow in 2016, winning the race to greater revenue and profitability is key to survival. In 2014, online marketplace lenders issued loans totaling around $12 billion in the United States. In a recent report, Morgan Stanley said it expects the U.S. number to grow to $122 billion by 2020, and the global number will surpass $280 billion in the same time period. Investors fear growth in acquisition costs will erode profitability as more online marketplace lenders enter the market. And as portfolios grow, there will be a need for greater sophistication as it pertains to managing accounts. Online marketplace lenders use a variety of different models to generate revenue including charging interest, loan origination and other service fees. However, regardless of the model, there are typically three key levers all should monitor in order to increase their odds for a profitable and sustainable future. 1. Cost per Account (CPA) CPA is more than a simple calculation spreading marketing cost across new account volume. Rather, it is a methodical evaluation of individual drivers such as channel lead cost, success rates, identity verification and cost of marketing collateral. When measured and evaluated at the granular lever, it is possible to make the most informed strategic decisions possible. Marketplace lenders will have to go much deeper than simply evaluating lead costs, clicks, completed and accepted applications, and funding/activation including whether customers take the loan proceeds or use a revolving product. Don’t forget ID verification and the costs associated with risk mitigation and determining if the low-risk customers are deciding to apply elsewhere. In addition, take into account marketing costs including collateral and channel strategies including any broadcast media, direct mail, web and social media expenses. Evaluate results across various product types – and don’t forget to take into account web content and layout, which can impact all metrics. 2. First Pay Default (FPD) FPD is not a long-term loan performance measure, but it is a strong indicator of lead source and vintage quality. It will most closely correlate to long-term loan performance in short-term loans and non-prime asset classes. It is also a strong indicator of fraud. The high value of online loans, combined with the difficulty of verifying online applicants, is making online lenders a prime target for fraud, so it is essential to closely monitor FPD. Online lenders’ largest single cost category is losses from unpaid loans with fraud serving as a primary driver of that number. It is important to evaluate FPD using many of the same segments as CPA. Online lenders must ask themselves the tough questions. Is a low-cost lead source worthwhile? Did operational enhancements really improve the customer experience and credit quality? 3. Servicing Online account servicing is generally the least costly means of servicing customers, an obvious advantage for online marketplace lenders. However, a variety of factors must be considered when determining the servicing channels to use. These include avoidance of customer backlash and regulatory scrutiny, servicing channel effectiveness in providing feedback regarding product design and administration, servicing policies and marketing collateral. Already, we know the legal and regulatory landscape will evolve as policy makers assess the role of marketplace lending in the financial system, while a recent federal appeals court ruling increases the risk that courts could deem some loans void or unenforceable, or lower the interest rates on them. An effective customer complaint escalation policy and process must also be created and allow for situations when the customer is not “right.” Voice of the customer (VOC) surveys are an effective method of learning from the customer and making all levels of staff know the customer better, leading to more effective marketing and account servicing. Lastly, online lenders can’t ignore social media. They should be prepared for customers, especially millennials, to use it as a means to loudly complain when dissatisfied. But also remember that the same media can be an excellent medium for two-way engagement and result in creating raving fans. A Final Consideration As online marketplace lenders continue to come of age, they are likely to find themselves facing increased competition from incumbent consumer lenders, so optimizing for profitability will be essential. Assessing these three key areas regularly will help in that quest and establish their business for a sustainable future. For more information, visit www.experian.com/marketplacelending.

For marketers, the start of a new year is an opportunity to look ahead.

Attract and retain high-value demand deposit accounts The excitement of the new year has ended, and now the big question remains: What will 2016 hold for our market and the economy? So far, we’ve seen this election year bring a volatile financial market: The Federal Reserve increased short-term interest rates by 25 basis in December, and there is uncertainty if and when future increases will come China’s gross domestic product is forecasted at 6.5 percent, the lowest in a quarter century The Dow Jones industrial average is down 10 percent to start the year, signaling a lot of uncertainty for banks and consumers It’s hard to find answers in a shifting financial landscape with a long list of mixed signals. The average consumer is looking on and wondering if we face another Great Recession or if the current economy is spiking a fever just before it is completely cured. The reality, for those of us in the banking industry, is that the modest economic recovery is likely to continue as part of a new normal pattern. In 2016, banks that remain competitive in a more digital world will be those that have frictionless products and processes to attract and retain high-value, highly sought-after consumer deposits and loans. Banks should expect the competition for deposits to intensify, and they will need to ensure that new deposit customers are on boarded effectively and cross-sold loan products quickly to reduce first-year attrition. Cross-selling at the point of origination for the demand deposit account (DDA) customers is the best way to ensure that new customers keep the institution as their primary bank. Financial institutions can exceed consumer expectations and ensure a competitive business model by leveraging modernized technology capabilities fully in combination with making relevant decisions to deliver consumer-friendly experiences. First-year DDA attrition rates will demonstrate how the consumer’s expectations were met and if the new bank got the account-opening process right or wrong. Experian® suggests three capabilities clients should consider: A deposits technology platform that offers frictionless change to data, origination strategies and instant cross-sell to loan products that yield sticky customers Strategies that comply with current and evolving regulatory demands, such as those being sought by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) Business planning to identify execution gaps and a road map to ensure that gaps are addressed, confirming continued competitive ability to attract high-value deposit and loan customers DDA-account opening effectiveness can be achieved by using a consumer’s life stage, affordability considerations, unique risk profile and financial needs to on board optimally and grow those high-value consumers effectively and efficiently. Financial institutions that are nimble and fast adopters of these critical capabilities will reduce operating expenses for their organizations, grow sustainable revenue from new prospects and customers, and delight those new customers along the way. This is a win-win for banks and consumers. Join me next week as we discuss best practices across the entire demand deposit account life cycle.

As millennials continue to experience challenges in obtaining credit, Experian’s latest research finds that this population is very receptive to nonbank lenders for the ease, speed and accessibility they provide.

It may seem like April is far away, but tax season in fact launches next Tuesday, January 19. And whether you’re a business or an individual, you’ll want to know if you’re eligible for any tax benefits. Thanks to a recent announcement from the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), identity theft protection will now be considered a non-taxable benefit – a nod to the rising importance of the service for all consumers in today’s security landscape. The IRS will treat identity theft protection as a non-taxable, non-reportable benefit—for any employee or company, regardless of whether they’ve experienced a data breach, or whether the identity theft protection is provided by an employer to employees or by a business to its customers. Previously, only employees or customers who were in the aftermath of a data breach could treat identity theft monitoring as a non-taxable event. But after that announcement just four months ago, several businesses suggested a data breach was not a remote risk, but rather, “inevitable.” What does this mean for companies? They can now deduct any cost of offering identity theft protection to their employees or customers. The IRS defines identity theft protection services as: Credit report and monitoring services Identity theft insurance policies Identity restoration services Other similar services It’s important to note that these don’t need to be reported on either W-2 or 1099-MISC forms. However, this new policy won’t apply to cash given to employees or customers in place of identity protection services. Perhaps the change in defining what qualifies was spurred by the IRS’s need to provide identity theft protection last summer, as its online database of past-filed returns and other documents was hacked. That breach affected over 300,000 individuals. Whatever the reason, the announcement means this is a perfect time to sign up for identity theft monitoring services. You can do so through an employer or directly with a retailer. Particularly for individuals, the ability to receive tax benefits while knowing your personally identifiable information is safe and secure is a great feeling. For existing subscribers, upgrading to premium services may now be a more viable option. Does your company offer identity theft protection and monitoring as an employee benefit? If not, would this announcement change their minds? Visit our website for more information on identity protection products you can offer your customers. Learn more

The new year has started, the champagne bottles recycled. Bye-bye holidays, hello tax season. In fact, many individuals who are expecting tax refunds are filing early to capture those refunds as soon as possible. After all, a refund equates to so many possibilities – paying down debt, starting a much-needed home improvement project or perhaps trading up for a new vehicle. So what does that mean for lenders?  As consumers pocket tax refunds, the likelihood of their ability to make payments increases. By the end of February 2014, more than 48 million tax refunds had been issued according to the IRS – an increase of 5.6 percent compared to the same time the previous year. As of Feb. 28, the average refund in 2014 was $3,034, up 3 percent compared to the average refund amount for the same time in 2013. To capitalize on this time period, introducing collection triggers can assist lenders with how to manage and collect within their portfolios. Aggressively paying down a bankcard, doubling down on a mortgage payment or wiping out a HELOC signal to the lender a change in positive behavior, but without a trigger attached, it can be hard to pinpoint which customers are shifting from their status quo payments. Experian actually offers around 100 collection triggers, but lenders do not need all to seek out the predictive insights they require. A “top 20” list has been created, featuring the highest percentages in lift rates, and population hit rates. Experian has done extensive analysis to determine the top-performing collection triggers. Among the top 15 to 20 triggers, the trigger hit rate ranged from 2 to 8 percent on an average client’s total portfolio, taking into consideration liquidation rates, average percent of payment lifts, lift in liquidation rates over the baseline liquidation, percent of overall portfolio that triggered, percent of overall portfolio that triggered only on the top-selected triggers, and percent of volume by trigger on the total customers that had a trigger hit. With that said, it is essential to implement the right strategy that includes a good mixture of the top-performing triggers. The key is diversifying and balancing trigger selection and setting triggers up during opportune times. Tax season is one of those times. Some of the top-ranked triggers include: Closed-Zero Balance Triggers: This is when a consumer’s account is reported as closed after being delinquent for a certain number of days. Specifically, the closed-zero balance trigger after being delinquent for 120 days has the highest percent of payment lift over an average payment that you would receive from a customer (at a 710 percent lift rate). These triggers are good indicators the consumer is showing positive improvement, thus having a higher likelihood for collections. Paid Triggers: This is when a consumer’s account is reported as paid after being delinquent, in collections, etc. Five of the top 20 triggers are paid triggers. These triggers have good coverage and a good balance between high lift rates (100 percent to 500 percent) and percent of the triggered population. These triggers are also good indicators the consumer is showing positive improvement, thus having a higher likelihood for collections. Inquiry Triggers: This is when a consumer is applying for an auto loan, mortgage loan, etc. The lift rates for these triggers are lowest within the Top 20, but on the other hand, these triggers have the highest hit rates (up to a 33 percent hit rate). These triggers are good indicators consumers are seeking to open additional lines of credit. Home Equity Loan Triggers: These triggers indicate the credit available on a consumer’s home equity loan. They are specifically enticing to collectors due to the fact that home equity lines of credit are usually larger than your average credit on your bank card. The larger the line of credit, the more you are able to potentially collect. To learn more about collection triggers, visit https://www.experian.com/consumer-information/debt-collection.html

Looking at true fraud rate I’ve talked with many companies over the years about their fraud problems. Most have a genuine desire to operate under the fraud prevention model and eliminate all possible fraud from their systems. The impact on profit is often the primary motivation for implementing solutions, but in reality most companies employ a fraud management schema, offsetting the cost of fraud with the cost of managing it. There are numerous write-ups and studies on the true cost of fraud. What most people don’t realize is that, for each item lost to fraud, a business operating on 10 percent net profit margins will need to sell 10 times the amount of product in order to recover the expense associated with the loss. These hard costs don’t include the soft dollar costs, such as increased call center expenses to handle customer calls. Recently, some organizations have started to add reputational risk into their cost-of-fraud equation. With the proliferation of social media, a few unhappy customers who have been victims of fraud easily can impact an organization’s reputation. This is an emerging fuzzy cost that eventually can be tied back to lost revenue or a drop in share price. Most companies say with pride that their acceptable fraud rate is zero. But when it comes time to choose a partner in fraud detection, it almost always comes down to return on investment. How much fraud can be stopped — and at what price? More informed organizations take all operational expenses and metrics into consideration, but many look at vendor price as the only cost. It’s at this point that they start to increase their acceptable fraud rate. In other words, if — hypothetically — Vendor A can stop only 80 percent of the fraud compared with Vendor B, but Vendor A costs less than 80 percent of what Vendor B costs, they’ll choose Vendor A. All of a sudden, their acceptable fraud rate is no longer zero. This method of decision making is like saying we’ll turn off the security cameras for 20 percent of the day because we can save money on electricity. On the surface, I understand. You have to be accountable to the shareholders. You have to spend and invest responsibly. Everyone is under pressure to perform financially. How many executives, however, take the time to see where those lost dollars end up? If they knew where the money went, would they change their view? We must be vigilant and keep our acceptable fraud rate at zero.

Consumer credit card debt reached $650 billion in Q3 2015 — the highest level since Q4 2009.

As 2016 approaches, many people have identified their New Year’s resolutions, but the majority fail to stick to these resolutions.  While 45% of people make resolutions, only 8% are successful in achieving their goals. The most common resolution types:* To increase the likelihood of keeping resolutions, experts recommend setting small, attainable goals and regularly tracking progress. *Total is higher than 100% because of multiple resolutions >> New Year's Resolution Statistics

According to PlayNetwork.com, for the first time in two decades Mariah Carey’s “All I Want For Christmas Is You” is no longer the most-played holiday song in retail stores. The list of top songs includes: Rank Artist Title 1 The Shins Wonderful Christmastime 2 Mariah Carey All I Want For Christmas Is You 3 Christina Aguilera Christmas Time 4 Waitresses Christmas Wrapping 5 Jack Johnson Someday At Christmas 6 Kelly Clarkson Underneath the Tree 7 Michael Buble A Holly Jolly Christmas 8 Bing Crosby White Chistmas 9 Train What Christmas Means To Me 10 Ella Fitzgerald Have Yourself A Merry Little Christmas >> Top 20 Songs Heard by Holiday Shoppers

Millennials, now the largest generation in the United States, are taking longer to establish credit than earlier generations of young people.

Experian data shows consumers are more confident managing their credit since the recession. The Q3 2015 Experian Market Intelligence Brief was released today featuring data that highlights consumer credit card debt has now reached its highest level since Q4 2009. Credit card debt levels reached $650 billion in Q3 2015, the highest it has been since Q4 2009 when it was $667 billion. Credit card delinquency rates on outstanding balances 60 or more days past due have decreased 71 percent during the same time period. Combining those indicators with the national unemployment rate dropping 50 percent during the same span illustrates a positive economic outlook on credit card trends among lenders and consumers. “Overall credit card limits have increased 102 percent since Q4 2009 with $82 billion originated in Q3 2015,” said Kelly Kent, vice president of Experian Decision Analytics. “The increase in limits from lenders and the steady climb in credit card debt combined with exceptional delinquency rates signals greater confidence among consumers as they are showing more assurance in managing their credit since the recession. We expect to see credit card debt increase in Q4 based on historical seasonal trends driven by the holiday shopping season especially with the early positive holiday sales as a sign.” The Q3 2015 Experian Market Intelligence Brief report is now available.

According to the latest Experian State of the Automotive Finance Market report, leases accounted for nearly 27% of all new vehicle transactions in Q3 2015, up from 24.7% the previous year and the highest percentage on record.

Customer Experience during the holiday shopping season During the holidays, consumers transact at a much greater rate than any other time of the year. Many risk-management departments respond by loosening the reins on their decision engines to improve the customer experience — and to ensure that this spike does not trigger a response that would impede a holiday shopper’s desire to grab one more stocking stuffer or a gift for a last-minute guest. As a result, it also is the busy season for fraudsters, and they use this act of goodwill toward your customers to improve their criminal enterprise. Ultimately, you are tasked with providing a great customer experience to your real customers while eliminating any synthetic ones. Recent data breaches resulted in large quantities of personally identifiable information that thieves can use to create synthetic identities being published on the Dark Web. As this data is related to real consumers, it can be difficult for your identity-authentication solution to determine that these identities have been compromised or fabricated, enabling fraudsters to open accounts with your organization. Experian’s Identity Element Network™ can help you determine when synthetic identities are at work within your business. It evaluates nearly 300 data-element combinations to determine if certain elements appear in cyberspace frequently or are being used in combination with data not consistent with your customer’s identity. This proven resource helps you manage fraud across the Customer Life Cycle and hinder the damage that identity thieves cause. Identity Element Network examines a vast attribute repository that grows by more than 2 million transactions each day, revealing up-to-date fraud threats associated with inconsistent or high-risk use of personal identity elements. Our goal is to provide the comfort of knowing that you are transacting with your real customers. Don’t get left in the cold this holiday season — fraudsters are looking for opportunities to take advantage of you and your customers. Contact your Experian account executive to learn how Identity Element Network can help make sure you are not letting fraudsters exploit the customer experience intended for your real customers. Learn more about the delicate balance between customer and criminal by viewing our fraud e-book.

Electronic signatures and their emerging presence in our Internet-connected world I had the opportunity to represent Experian at the eSignRecords 2015 conference in New York City last week. The concept of electronic signature, while not new, certainly has an emerging presence in the Internet-connected world — as evidenced by the various attendee companies that were represented, everything from home mortgages to automobiles. Much of the discussion focused on the legal aspects of accepting an electronic signature in lieu of an in-person physical signature. The implications of accepting this virtual stamp of approval were discussed, as well as the various cases that already have been tried in court. Of course, the outcome of those cases shapes the future of how to properly integrate this new form of authorization into existing business processes. Attendees discussed the basic concept of simply accepting a signature on an electronic pad as opposed to one written on a piece of paper. That act alone has many legal challenges even though it provides the luxury of in-person authentication through a face-to-face meeting. The complexities and risk increase exponentially when these services are extended over the Internet. The ability to sign documents virtually opens up a whole new world of business opportunities, and the concept certainly caters to the consumer’s need for convenience. However, the anonymity of the Internet presents the everyday challenge of balancing consumer expectations of greater ease of use with necessary fraud prevention measures. Ultimately, it always comes back to understanding who is actually signing that document. All of this highlights the need for robust authentication and security measures. As more and more legal documents and contracts are passed around virtually, the opportunity to properly screen and verify who has access to the documents gets more critical. Many organizations still rely on the tried-and-true method of knowledge-based authentication (KBA), while many others have called for its end. KBA continues to soldier on as an effective way to ensure that people on the other end of the wire are who they say they are by asking questions that — presumably — only they know the answers to. In most cases, KBA is viewed as a “check the box” step in the process to satisfy the lawyers. In certain cases, that’s all you need to do to ensure compliance with legal policy or regulatory requirements. It starts to get tricky is when there’s more on the line than just “check the box” actions. When the liability of first- or third-party fraud, becomes greater than simple compliance, it’s time to implement tighter security, while at the same time limiting the amount of friction caused by the process. Many in attendance discussed the need for layers of authentication based on the type of documents that are being processed and handled. This speaks directly to the point that one size does not fit all. As the industry matures and acceptance of e-signatures increases, so too does the need for more robust, flexible options in authentication. Another topic — that was quite frankly foreign to everyone we talked to — was the need for security around the concept of account takeover. When discussing this type of fraud, most attendees did not even consider this to be a hole in their strategy. Consider this fictional scenario. I’m responsible for mergers and acquisitions for my publicly traded company. I often share confidential information via electronic means, leveraging one of the many electronic signature solutions on the market. I become a victim of a phishing attack and unknowingly provide my login credentials to the fraudster. The fraudster now has access to every electronic document that I have shared with various organizations — most of which have been targets for mergers and acquisitions. Fraudsters are creative. They exploit new technologies — not because they’re trendsetters, but because oftentimes these new technologies fail to consider how fraudsters can benefit from the system. If you are considering adopting e-signature as a formal process, please consider implementing: Flexible levels of authentication based on the risk and liability of the documents that are being presented and what they are protecting FraudNet for Account Takeover, which enhances security around access to these critical documents to protect against data breaches Not only the needs and experiences of your own business, but customer needs as well to enable to the best possible customer interactions If you haven’t considered implementing e-signature technology into your business process, you should — but be sure to have your fraud team present when considering the implementation.