New Vehicle Registrations up as Market Begins to Stabilize in Q3

While many view Experian as a credit bureau, we have a rich history in identifying and analyzing emerging market shifts and consumer behaviors across industries, particularly automotive. In fact, Experian’s Automotive Consumer Trends Report: Q1 2025 is one of our many reports that provide essential intel for automotive professionals navigating today’s competitive landscape. And this quarter’s report sheds light on SUVs (including SUVs and CUVs)—a segment that continues to pique consumers’ interest. Data in the first quarter of this year found 62.8% of new retail registrations were SUVs, accounting for the largest portion of market share over the last 12 months—compared to sedans (18.4%), pickup trucks (16.6%), and vans (2.2%). While overall SUV registrations highlight the growing dominance in this sector, a closer look at the data revealed that electric SUVs are emerging as a contributor to this momentum. In Q1 2025, electric SUVs accounted for 10.5% of new retail SUV registrations—and within that group, 30.7% were registered in the state of California. It’s crucial for automotive professionals to monitor these trends and prepare accordingly as the fuel type continues to grow. Which electric SUV models are catching buyers’ attention? Knowing which types of electric SUVs are attracting consumer interest can enable professionals to align their offerings with market demand. The Tesla Model Y made up nearly half of the new retail SUV registrations for exotic and luxury in the last 12 months, coming in at 40.5%. Interestingly, the next closest model, Ford Mustang Mach-E, trailed behind at 5.8%. Rounding out the top five were the Hyundai IONIQ 5 (5.5%), Honda Prologue (4.9%), and Chevrolet Equinox EV (4.3%). Understanding SUV registrations goes beyond data—it’s about spotting the shift in consumer behavior as this segment as well as the EV fuel type continues to break ground in the automotive landscape. This insight gives professionals the leverage they need to adapt and refine their strategies in the next era of mobility. To learn more about SUV insights, view the full Automotive Consumer Trends Report: Q1 2025 presentation.

Without data, anticipating buyer behavior in the months ahead can be challenging. While some OEMs had record sales¹ this spring, it remains critical to identify who’s in the market—whether to purchase or service their vehicle. With tax refund season in the rearview mirror and summer promotions approaching, consumers may be weighing their next move. Some could have “one foot in the showroom door” while others are waiting to see which dealer delivers the most compelling offer. Meanwhile, 41% of drivers choosing to keep their vehicles longer² are likely focused on maintaining them. So how can you best position yourself?  Explore These 3 Strategic Moves to Navigate This Summer:  Firm up your Service Marketing Plan: With summer road trips on the horizon, your customers may be in the market for services like A/C repair, wheel alignment, tire rotation, engine cooling, oil changes, multi-point inspections, and more. Discover who’s most likely to need service in the next 30–60 days with Experian Automotive’s AutoAudiences. Understand Customers’ Communication Preference: To effectively target your audience, start by understanding how they would prefer to communicate. As Car Dealership Guy puts it, “The shift in consumer preferences is undeniable and generational.”³ Experian Automotive’s Product Management Director, Kirsten Von Busch echoes this, adding, “Understanding generational differences is crucial to developing effective marketing strategies that resonate with each group’s unique preferences”. Experian’s Automotive Consumer Insights support this approach with data-driven messaging and communication channel recommendations.  Focus on Growing Market Share with Mid-Year Auto Trends: Two purchase types that are trending in the beginning half of the year include Leasing⁴ and Trade-In. Whether you have EVs or AWD vehicles on your lot, consider (A)ll (W)eather (D)eals that can (1) Supersede those in your backyard as part of your Conquest strategy and (2) Build upon your “Why Buy” dealer loyalty.  Experian Marketing Engine powers automotive marketing by helping automotive marketers identify the right audience, uncover the most appropriate communication channels, develop messages that resonate and measure the effectiveness of their marketing activities. Timing is everything, so start Targeting and Conquesting in your Market today!  Sources:  http://www.autonews.com/retail/sales/an-april-us-sales-2025-0501/  https://news.dealershipguy.com/p/3-real-time-shifts-in-car-buying-behavior-post-tariff-announcements-2025-05-01  https://news.dealershipguy.com/p/dealers-are-saving-thousands-in-labor-in-fixed-ops-2025-05-30 https://www.experian.com/blogs/insights/auto-the-current-state-of-ev-financing-why-more-consumers-are-choosing-leasing/

Amid interest rates leveling out and some lenders reassessing go-to-market strategies, the automotive finance landscape is experiencing notable shifts in market share. According to Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q1 2025, banks recouped some of their total finance market share for the first time in several years, reaching 26.6% during the quarter, up from 24.8% a year ago. On the other hand, captives’ total market share declined from 31.3% to 29.8% year-over-year and credit unions experienced a modest increase from 20.2% to 20.6%. Despite the overall market share shifts, captives continue to lead in new vehicle financing at 57.1% in Q1 2025, although down from 62.1% the year prior. Meanwhile, banks increased to 24.1% this quarter, from 20.4% in Q1 2024 and credit unions went from 9.6% to 10.9% during the same period. On the used side, banks and credit unions were grouped much closer together. Banks led the way with 28.4% of the used finance market in Q1 2025, up from 27.9% last year, while credit unions went from 27.7% to 28.2% year-over-year and captives declined from 8.5% to 7.4%. As market share movement continues to be a valuable indicator of shifting strategies and consumer behavior, it’s important for automotive professionals to keep a close eye on these shifts to uncover new opportunities while looking for ways to stay ahead of the rapidly evolving industry. Breaking down the latest finance trends Data in the first quarter of 2025 shows the automotive finance market continues to stabilize as automotive professionals gain clearer visibility into lender behavior and consumer demand. For example, the average loan amount for a new vehicle increased $1,110 year-over-year to $41,720 in Q1 2025. However, the average interest rate dropped from 6.9% to 6.7%, and the average monthly payment went from $737 last year to $745 this quarter. For used vehicles, the average loan amount saw a slight uptick of $90 year-over-year, reaching $26,144 this quarter. Meanwhile, the average interest rate declined from 12.4% last year to 11.9% this quarter and the average monthly payment trended lower at $521, from $524 in Q1 2024. Monitoring and leveraging market share shifts and financing trends can support strategic planning while empowering automotive professionals to anticipate consumer purchasing patterns and tailor conversations more effectively to meet buyers where they are during their car buying journey. To learn more about automotive finance trends, view the full State of the Automotive Finance Market: Q1 2025 presentation on demand.