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An Economic Look at the State of Credit

In 2017, a meaningful jump in consumer sentiment bolstered spending, and caused the spread between disposable personal income and consumer spending to reach an all-time high. This increase in spread was mostly financed through consumer debt, which according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has brought total consumer debt to a new peak of $12.8 Trillion surpassing the prior peak in 2008. The Experian eighth annual State of Credit report greatly supported the consumer behavior trends observed for the past year. Spanning the generations  It is no surprise that generation Z (the “Great Recession Generation”) is conservative and prudent in their approach to credit because they are the most familiar with the post financial crisis economy. Results showed Millennials experienced a drop in overall debt, and an increase in mortgage debt reflects the national homeownership affordability challenge facing this generation. As first time homebuyers, millennials have to relatively tighten their spending as they dedicate an ever-growing portion of their income to housing. On the other end of the spectrum, the results of the study showed that Baby Boomers’ had sizable debt (including mortgage debt), which reflects the generation’s intent to stay active in their communities and in their homes much longer than prior generations have done. A recent Harvard study reported that by 2035, one out of three American households will be headed by an individual 65 years of age or older, compared to current ratio of one out of five households. What’s on the horizon? It is reasonable to assume that these trends may continue into 2018, as the underlying conditions continue to persist. A closer eye should be kept on student and auto loans due to the significant increase in portfolio size and increasing default rates compare to other debt.   Editor’s note: This post was written by Fadel N. Lawandy, Director of the C. Larry Hoag Center for Real Estate and Finance and the Janes Financial Center at the George L. Argyros School of Business and Economics, Chapman University. Fadel joined the George L. Argyors School of Business and Economics, Chapman University after retiring as a Portfolio Manager from Morgan Stanly Smith Barney in 2009. He has two decades of experience in the financial industry with banking, credit management, commercial/residential real estate acquisition and financing, corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions, quantitative and qualitative analysis and research, and portfolio management. Fadel currently serves as the Chairman of the Board and President of CFA Society Orange County, and is an active member of the CFA Institute.

Published: March 7, 2018 by
When It Comes To Cybersecurity, Don’t Forget The Basics

Cybersecurity basics include having a well-defined data breach response plan process that should never be overlooked.

Published: March 7, 2018 by Michael Bruemmer
Women of Experian: Monica Peace

As the world celebrates International Women's Day on March 8, we want to shine a light on a few of the female leaders who shape, inspire and grow Experian.

Published: March 7, 2018 by
Improving the Debt Collection Process for Consumers

Current debt collection process is outdated. The process is driven by the measurement of delinquency and loss and doesn't consider the customer.

Published: March 6, 2018 by Guest Contributor
Women of Experian: Jennifer Schulz

As the world celebrates International Women's Day on March 8, we want to shine a light on a few of the female leaders who shape, inspire and grow Experian.

Published: March 6, 2018 by
Women in Experian: Getting to Know Kathleen Peters

Kathleen Peters, SVP of Product Management for Global Fraud and Identity, and recently included in the Top 100 influencers in Identity.

Published: March 5, 2018 by
Women of Experian: Shannon Lois

As the world celebrates International Women's Day on March 8, we want to shine a light on a few of the female leaders who shape, inspire and grow Experian.

Published: March 5, 2018 by
States with the Highest and Lowest Amount of Retail Debt

The average number of retail trades per consumer has been trending down since 2007. But the average consumer retail debt is trending up, roughly $73 year-over-year. When analyzing single-store credit card debt by state in 2017, we found these states had the highest retail debt

Published: March 1, 2018 by
Digital Collections: The Results Are In

Change has certainly changed the consumer, and everyone seems to recognize this but collections professionals. See how digital collections is catching up and getting results.

Published: March 1, 2018 by
New Trended Attributes to Help Lenders Better Serve Consumers

Experian introduces new trended attributes to help lenders better serve consumers across the credit life cycle

Published: February 28, 2018 by
Dispute Rates Rising? Five Ways to Uncover Data Inaccuracies

Consumer disputes aren’t going away, but understanding the reported data and metrics behind disputes can help data furnishers minimize them and improve processes.

Published: February 27, 2018 by
Credit Card Balances Continue Steady Growth

Credit card balances grew to $786.6 billion at the end of 2017, a 6.7% increase to the previous year and the largest outstanding balance in over a decade. And while the delinquency rate increased slightly to 2.26%, it is significantly lower than the 4.73% delinquency rate in 2008 when outstanding balances were $737 billion.

Published: February 23, 2018 by
Big Data: Accessing and Utilizing the Insights on 220 Million Credit Consumers

There are more than 220 million credit-active consumers. Hear from a data expert on ways analysts can explore these files and dig into big data with ease.

Published: February 21, 2018 by
Trended Attributes: Key to Segmentation Strategy Development

Trended attributes can provide significant lift in the development of segmentation strategies and custom models are used effectively across the life cycle.

Published: February 19, 2018 by Guest Contributor
2018 Global Data Management Benchmark Report

Most C-level executives (87%) believe data has greatly disrupted their organization’s operations over the past 12 months.

Published: February 15, 2018 by

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