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Millennial Myth Busted: Young Consumers Really Do Like New Vehicles

Published: July 18, 2018 by Guest Contributor

Trivia question:

Millennials don’t purchase new vehicles. True or False?

If you’ve paid attention to conventional wisdom over the past decade, you are likely to say true. The pundits say millennials are headed for an urban lifestyle where mobility depends on a tapestry of trains, buses and ride-share options.

Vehicle ownership? Too expensive and in some cases, too conventional, the pundits say. And, many believe the perceived millennial mindset will cast a death sentence over individual vehicle ownership and change the entire auto industry right before our eyes.

But, if you listened to the pundits and said true, you’d be incorrect.

Real-world vehicle registration data tells a vastly different story. In fact, millennials accounted for all new vehicle sales growth in the North American auto industry during the first quarter of 2018. Millennial vehicle market share jumped from 27.9 percent in Q1 2017 to 29.7 percent in Q1 2018, generation X was flat at 27.2 percent, while the “mature market” and baby boomers each lost share. The “mature market” share fell from 9.6 percent to 9 percent, while baby boomers’ share fell from 35.2 percent to 34.1 percent.

Millennials had all but been written off as a serious customer group in the auto industry. But data tells a much different story. The demographic is maturing and is now poised to be a driving force in automotive marketing. But, what’s behind millennials’ apparent change of heart toward vehicle ownership? In short, they are growing up.

In 2008 when millennials first became a market force, the auto industry and the entire economy hit rock bottom. Millennials were often woefully under employed (and in many cases unemployed), making a new vehicle out of reach financially. With an improved economy and several years in the workforce under their belts, more millennials can afford a new vehicle. Additionally, almost half live in the suburbs.

What can lenders, dealers and retailers take from the data? That they cannot ignore the millennial population. But, it’s critical for these stakeholders to analyze their local markets and make sure they’re making the best decisions and connecting with prospective millennial car buyers.

For example, in Alpena, Michigan, millennials account for just 16.5 percent of the market, while in Amarillo, Texas, millennials command 34.4 percent of the market.

While a lot can be said for gut instincts, lenders, dealers and retailers need to also leverage data and insights; it can be the key to unlocking tremendous opportunity in the sales funnel. A whole generation that may have been perceived as a segment without potential, could make or break sales goals. Making informed decisions is the basis of every business activity, and data can help the automotive industry continue to thrive.

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Amid interest rates leveling out and some lenders reassessing go-to-market strategies, the automotive finance landscape is experiencing notable shifts in market share. According to Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q1 2025, banks recouped some of their total finance market share for the first time in several years, reaching 26.6% during the quarter, up from 24.8% a year ago. On the other hand, captives’ total market share declined from 31.3% to 29.8% year-over-year and credit unions experienced a modest increase from 20.2% to 20.6%. Despite the overall market share shifts, captives continue to lead in new vehicle financing at 57.1% in Q1 2025, although down from 62.1% the year prior. Meanwhile, banks increased to 24.1% this quarter, from 20.4% in Q1 2024 and credit unions went from 9.6% to 10.9% during the same period. On the used side, banks and credit unions were grouped much closer together. Banks led the way with 28.4% of the used finance market in Q1 2025, up from 27.9% last year, while credit unions went from 27.7% to 28.2% year-over-year and captives declined from 8.5% to 7.4%. As market share movement continues to be a valuable indicator of shifting strategies and consumer behavior, it’s important for automotive professionals to keep a close eye on these shifts to uncover new opportunities while looking for ways to stay ahead of the rapidly evolving industry. Breaking down the latest finance trends Data in the first quarter of 2025 shows the automotive finance market continues to stabilize as automotive professionals gain clearer visibility into lender behavior and consumer demand. For example, the average loan amount for a new vehicle increased $1,110 year-over-year to $41,720 in Q1 2025. However, the average interest rate dropped from 6.9% to 6.7%, and the average monthly payment went from $737 last year to $745 this quarter. For used vehicles, the average loan amount saw a slight uptick of $90 year-over-year, reaching $26,144 this quarter. Meanwhile, the average interest rate declined from 12.4% last year to 11.9% this quarter and the average monthly payment trended lower at $521, from $524 in Q1 2024. Monitoring and leveraging market share shifts and financing trends can support strategic planning while empowering automotive professionals to anticipate consumer purchasing patterns and tailor conversations more effectively to meet buyers where they are during their car buying journey. To learn more about automotive finance trends, view the full State of the Automotive Finance Market: Q1 2025 presentation on demand.

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