As last year’s high-volume mortgage environment wanes, lenders are shifting focus to address another set of challenges. Continued economic uncertainty lingers as consumers navigate towards recovery. As such, mortgage lenders have less clarity than normal to assess risk and measure performance in their servicing portfolios. On top of that, more lenders are struggling with customer retention than ever before, due to a historically low rate environment in 2020. These combined factors create a new set of challenges servicers will face in the coming months. We explore a few of these challenges below. An incomplete picture of risk The CARES Act accommodation reporting structure has made it challenging for servicing teams to fully understand the impact of forbearance in their portfolios. If looking only at a CARES Act accommodated borrower’s credit profile, there is no indication whether that consumer would otherwise be delinquent or headed towards default. In turn, lenders cannot model out risk based on this information alone. Borrowers’ financial situations can still change rapidly, and some are still struggling to regain their financial footing. Property data also plays a part in a holistic view of risk. Partly due to lack of housing inventory, home equity continues to rise in many areas of the country, yet there is still uncertainty around whether prices are overinflated, whether the market will correct itself and by how much, and the impact the foreclosure moratorium may have on one’s portfolio. And property dynamics continue to change due to consumer migration stemming from the onset of virtual or hybrid work environments, where homeowners are less bound geographically to a place of work. Being able to have insight into a holistic view of risk is critical to navigating the upcoming months in mortgage servicing. Low borrower retention 2020’s prevailing low-rate environment continues to persist well into 2021 creating a big challenge for mortgage servicers in terms of borrower retention. Borrowers continue to be incentivized to refinance, and in some instances multiple times, to capture the savings throughout the life of their mortgage. Every time a borrower refinances, the lender who’s servicing the loan risks losing the borrower to another lender. This portfolio runoff can create losses for the lender; high portfolio run off rates have shown to negatively impact portfolio performance and investor credibility while increasing marketing cost for new customer acquisition. In our Mortgage in 2021 webinar, we point to the sheer magnitude of this – at the end of 2020, a whopping 33% of first mortgages were less than a year old. Additionally, with the uptick in the number of fintech mortgage lenders and aggregation websites, it has become increasingly easy for consumers to shop for alternative options. Being able to predict the consumers likely to refinance can help servicers retain existing customers and reduce losses. Lack of operational efficiency Lenders and servicers had to increase the capacity of their systems, oftentimes at the turn of a dime, due to last year’s record-breaking origination volumes. This led to massive growing pains while simultaneously stress-testing a company’s systems and processes. As a result, the overall cost to produce a mortgage has risen. Borrower data hygiene poses a challenge for many servicers as well. There was a lot of movement in 2020 in terms of mergers and acquisitions which may also affect servicers’ operational efficiency. Marrying several disparate data points during such events can lead to borrower data inconsistencies and duplicates across loan origination systems. And as consumers come out of forbearance or deferral status, servicers are managing more calls to their inbound call centers, increasing the scope of the problem.  Having tools to ensure data accuracy and correct consumer contact information can help reduce operating cost. Conclusion There certainly is a lot of pressure on servicers to optimize and be in a position to efficiently help homeowners in need as forbearance and foreclosure moratoriums end. But with the right data, insights and partners, mortgage servicers can navigate these challenges all while managing risk and enabling the business to grow safely. In our next blog, we highlight what forward-thinking lenders and servicers are focusing on now to navigate the upcoming months in mortgage servicing. Learn more

COVID-19 is not only shifting the way we work, live and think, but it is also reframing the conversation behind which metrics successful companies focus on. Having worked in marketing for various lenders, origination and funding milestones were prevalent in their marketing. However, during this unique time in mortgage when most lenders are shattering previous origination records, focus is now drawn to new performance indicators. Providing a seamless digital process A recent McKinsey survey determined that consumer and business digital adoption vaulted five years forward in a matter of eight weeks at the beginning of the pandemic. And while this is generally true for business, many mortgage lenders may not have had the time or resources to update and modernize their processes due to massive origination volumes. When volume is good, companies wait to update their technology – either due to an “if it isn’t breaking why fix it” mentality, or, in the case of unmanageable volume, lenders can’t fathom disrupting their processes. Lenders that proactively streamlined technology and focused on digital adoption before the pandemic are leveraging and benefitting from the current mortgage environment. For lenders that did not digitize in time, the high-volume environment highlights their inefficiencies and unscalable processes. Providing meaningful customer experiences Forward-thinking, resilient mortgage lenders are also tracking how effectively they can provide meaningful customer experiences, for both their borrowers as well as their internal customers – their employees. For borrowers, it could come in the form of enjoying a seamless mortgage experience, being proactively kept abreast of their loan status, and the ability to interact and communicate with the lender in a manner that works best for their style. For employees of the company, this can come from feeling valued and listened to, with relevant and useful communications and resources to rely on during these uncertain times. It also comes in the form of providing the right resources for employees to perform at a high level during these times when it matters the most and working efficiently without sacrificing quality. Investing in technology and your greatest asset, your employees, is the answer to how mortgage lenders can achieve these metrics which will help them stand out among their competition. As the refi heyday starts to show signs of impermanence, these differentiators will become more important than ever – and all lenders should be taking a proactive look now at how they can bridge their digital gaps. Mortgage lenders are coming out of 2020 with strong earnings and should look to allocate a part of these earnings towards ‘future-proofing’ through scalable technology that will ultimately reduce costs and continue to bring in qualified volume. Join Experian Mortgage in accelerating the mortgage evolution and learn how we can help bridge your technology gaps. Learn More

No one can deny that the mortgage and real estate industries have been uniquely affected by COVID-19. Social distancing mandates have hindered open house formats and schedules. Meanwhile, historically low-interest rates, pent-up demand and low housing inventory created a frenzied sellers’ market with multiple offers, usually over-asking. Added to this are the increased scrutiny of how much borrowers will qualify and get approved for with tightened investor guidelines, and the need to verify continued employment to ensure a buyer maintains qualifying status through closing. As someone who’s spent more than 15 years in the industry and worked on all sides of the transaction (as a realtor and for direct lenders), I’ve lived through the efforts to revamp and digitize the process. However, it wasn’t until recently that I purchased my first home and experienced the mortgage process as a consumer. And it was clear that, for most lenders, the pandemic has only served to shine a light on a still somewhat fragmented mortgage process and clunky consumer experience. Here are three key components missing from a truly modernized mortgage experience: Operational efficiency Knowing that the industry had made moves toward a digital mortgage process, I hoped for a more streamlined and seamless flow of documents, loan deliverables and communication with the lender. However, the process I experienced was more manual than expected and disjointed at times. Looking at a purchase transaction from end to end, there are at least nine parties involved: buyer, seller, realtors, lender, home inspectors/inspection vendors, appraiser, escrow company and notary. With all those touchpoints in play, it takes a concerted effort between all parties and no unforeseen issues for a loan to be originated faster than 30 days. Meanwhile, the opposite has been happening, with the average time to close a loan increasing to 49 days since the beginning of the pandemic, per Ellie Mae’s Origination Insights Report. Faster access to fresher data can reduce the time to originate a mortgage. This saves resource hours for the lender, which equates to savings that can ultimately be passed down to the borrower. Digital adoption There are parts of the mortgage process that have been digitized, yes. However, the mortgage process still has points void of digital connectivity for it to truly be called an end-to-end digital process. The borrower is still required to track down various documents from different sources and the paperwork process still feels very “manual.” Printing, signing and scanning documents back to the lender to underwrite the loan add to the manual nature of the process. Unless the borrower always has all documents digitally organized, requirements like obtaining your W-2’s and paystubs, and continuously providing bank and brokerage statements to the lender, make for an awkward process. Modernizing the mortgage end-to-end with the right kind of data and technology reduces the number of manual processes and translates into lower costs to produce a mortgage. Turn times are being pushed out when the opposite could be happening. A streamlined, modernized approach between the lender and consumer not only saves time and money for both parties, it ultimately enables the lender to add value by providing a better consumer experience. Transparency Digital adoption and better digital end-to-end process are not the only keys to a better consumer experience; transparency is another integral part of modernizing the mortgage process. More transparency for the borrower starts with a true understanding of the amount for which one can qualify. This means when the loan is in underwriting, there needs to be a better understanding of the loan status and the ability to better anticipate and be proactive about loan conditions. Additionally, the lender can profit from gaining more transparency and visibility into a borrower’s income streams and assets for a more efficient and holistic picture of their ability to pay upfront. This allows for a more streamlined process and enables the lender to close efficiently without sacrificing quality underwriting. A multitude of factors have come into play since the beginning of the pandemic – social distancing mandates have led to breakdowns in a traditionally face-to-face process of obtaining a mortgage, highlighting areas for improvement. Can it be done faster, more seamlessly? Absolutely. In ideal situations, mortgage originators can consistently close in 30 days or less. Creating operational efficiencies through faster, fresher data can be the key for a lender to more accurately assess a borrower’s ability to pay upfront. At the same time, a digital-first approach enhances the consumer experience so they can have a frictionless, transparent mortgage process. With technology, better data, and the right kind of innovation, there can be a truly end-to-end digital process and a more informed consumer. Learn more

  The journey to a mortgage is complex and expensive, so of course the transaction will require more than a few swipes on a smartphone. The U.S. existing home median sales price in October was $274,000 – not cheap. Still, with advancements in digital verification, lenders can dramatically accelerate the process, providing benefits to both their own operations and the consumer mortgage experience. Underwriting a sizeable loan can take weeks with the task of collecting income and asset documents to analyze and verify. In fact, one source from the Mortgage Bankers Association says the average mortgage application has ballooned to 500 pages. The consumer is typically asked to find, print and scan papers revealing insights around employment status and wages, bank and retirement accounts, debts and beyond. The good news is that this process can be handled digitally, and I’m not talking about simply scanning and emailing. Verification solutions exist to enable consumers to grant limited and secure access to digitally verify assets and income. As lenders evaluate verification solutions, one of the key differentiators to seek is Fannie Mae Day 1 Certainty, which claims to slash the average cycle time for income validation by 8.1 days, employment validation by 11.9 days, and asset validation by 6.1 days. * Fannie Mae features a list of approved vendors who provide Fannie Mae-approved verification reports. This group of authorized suppliers receive freedom from representations and warranties for more efficient risk management, and additionally receive the benefit of a more streamlined process through Fannie Mae’s Desktop Underwriter® (DU®). DU’s latest enhancement leverages a verification of asset report derived from aggregated bank account data, something Finicity (an Experian partner) is approved to utilize. Building on Day 1 Certainty, Finicity is participating in a new single source pilot with Fannie Mae to validate income, assets and employment. While it will take time for lenders to embrace this new technology – and consumers will need to feel comfortable granting the digital access and understanding how the process works – the thought is the mortgage journey will become faster and offer an optimized borrower experience. Like so many other aspects in our lives, mortgage is bound to go digital. *Average days saved reflects data captured between January 2017 and June 2017.

It was two years ago when I found myself sitting cross-legged on my home office floor, papers strewn about as I organized piles of tax returns, W-2s, pay stubs, 401k and bank statements, and previous escrow docs. My task? Sort through it all, scan them (if I couldn’t access them digitally) and then upload/email them to a site for my mortgage broker to print and package for my refinance application. For a girl accustomed to Amazon Prime, mobile banking, social media and smart TVs, this monumental financial task seemed utterly archaic – even in 2015. Fast forward two years later, and the mortgage space has failed to make much progress. Clearly, the financial meltdown and Great Recession placed more regulation and compliance stresses on financial institutions. Verification steps and requirements needed to be strengthened – and that made sense. We want to make sure people are capable of paying for those sizable mortgage payments, right? Even now, I get flashbacks to scenes from The Big Short. Still, the hunt for paper, the endless scanning, the emailing, the document uploads required? In an era where the smartphone rules, how has the mortgage industry failed to evolve in the digital age? It’s no secret the financial services industry is typically slow to adopt the latest in technology advancements, but consumers are pushing. A 2016 Accenture survey reveals online banking is now the top choice of consumers at 28%, followed by branch banking at 24%. In the mobile banking space, there has additionally been a significant increase. From 2011 to 2015, mobile banking doubled (22% to 43%) and rose from 43% to 53% for smartphone users in particular. But what about mortgage? Finally, it seems, shifts are underway. In a recent Oliver Wyman paper titled Digital Mortgage Nirvana, the authors state, “Gone are the days when the only way to properly underwrite a mortgage was with long application forms and tall stacks of documents.” Once easy to carry in one hand, the average mortgage application file has ballooned to 500 pages, according to David Stevens, CEO of the Mortgage Bankers Association. And while the application may not shrink, portions of the application process can be digitized and automated. Today, lenders have the ability to partner with data aggregators to verify a consumer’s assets and income with online solutions. In fact, lenders can take this a step further, feeding the data into their automated decision engines, providing the consumer with an approval, decline or conditions that must be met in order to clear the loan process. Nonbanks have been picking off business and disrupting the onerous mortgage process for the past several years. Think Quicken, LoanDepot and GuaranteedRate. But all mortgage lenders have the ability to speed up consumer verification and decisioning by partnering with data aggregators and leveraging solutions like Experian’s digital verification suite. Are we talking a one-click shopping experience? No. This is a mortgage after all, not your average online purchase. But banks now have the opportunity to dramatically enhance the mortgage experience for consumers. The question is whether they are ready to finally embrace a digital journey in the mortgage space in 2017, or will they let another year pass them by?

Much has been written about Millennials over the past few years, and many continue to speculate on how this now largest living generation will live, age and ultimately change the world. Will they still aspire to achieve the “American Dream” of education, home and raising a family? Do they wish for something different? Or has the “Dream” simply been delayed with so many individuals saddled with record-high student loan debt? According to a recent study by Pew, for the first time in more than 130 years, adults ages 18 to 34 were slightly more likely to be living in their parents’ home than they were to be living with a spouse or partner in their own household. It’s no secret the median age of first marriage has risen steadily for decades. In fact, a growing share of young adults may be eschewing marriage altogether. Layer on the story that about half of young college graduates between the ages of 22 and 27 are said to be “underemployed”—working in a job that hasn’t historically required a college degree – and it’s clear if nothing else that the “American Dream” for many Millennials has been delayed. So what does this all mean for the world of homeownership? While some experts warn the homeownership rate will continue to decrease, others – like Freddie Mac – believe that sentiment is overly pessimistic. Freddie Mac Chief Economist Sean Becketti says, “The income and education gaps that are responsible for some of the differences may be narrowed or eliminated as the U.S. becomes a 'majority minority' country.” Mortgage interest rates are still near historic lows, but home prices are rising far faster than incomes, negating much of the savings from these low rates. Experian has taken the question a step further, diving into not just “Do Millennials want to buy homes” but “Can Millennials buy homes?” Using mortgage readiness underwriting criteria, the bureau took a large consumer sample and assessed Millennial mortgage readiness. Experian then worked with Freddie Mac to identify where these “ready” individuals had the best chance of finding homes. The two factors that had the strongest correlation on homeownership were income and being married. From a credit perspective, 33 percent of the sample had strong or moderate credit, while 50 percent had weak credit. While the 50 percent figure is startling, it is important to note 40 percent of that grouping consisted of individuals aged 18 to 26. They simply haven’t had enough time to build up their credit. Second, of the weak group, 31 percent were “near-moderate,” meaning their VantageScore® credit score is 601 to 660, so they are close to reaching a “ready” status. Overall, student debt and home price had a negative correlation on homeownership. In regards to regions, Millennials are most likely to live in places where they can make money, so urban hubs like Los Angeles, San Francisco, Chicago, Dallas, Houston, Boston, New York and DC currently serve as basecamp for this group. Still, when you factor in affordability, findings revealed the Greater New York, Houston and Miami areas would be good areas for sourcing Millennials who are mortgage ready and matching them to affordable inventory. Complete research findings can be accessed in the Experian-Freddie Mac co-hosted webinar, but overall signs indicate Millennials are increasingly becoming “mortgage ready” as they age, and will soon want to own their slice of the “American Dream.” Expect the Millennial homeownership rate of 34 percent to creep higher in the years to come. Brokers, lenders and realtors get ready.

According to the latest Experian-Oliver Wyman Market Intelligence Report, mortgage originations for Q2 2015 increased 56% over Q2 2014 — $547 billion versus $350 billion.

According to the latest Experian-Oliver Wyman Market Intelligence Report, mortgage originations increased 25% year over year in Q1 2015 to $316 billion.