All posts by Julie Lee

Every data-driven organization needs to turn raw data into insights and, potentially, foresight. There was a time when lack of data was a hindrance, but that's often no longer the case. Many organizations are overwhelmed with too much data and lack clarity on how to best organize or use it. Modern business intelligence platforms can help. And financial institutions can use business intelligence analytics to optimize their decisioning and uncover safe growth opportunities. What is business intelligence? Business intelligence is an overarching term for the platforms and processes that organizations use to collect, store, analyze and display data and information. The ability to go from raw data to useful insights and foresight presents organizations with a powerful advantage, and can help them greatly improve their operations and efficiencies. Let’s pause and break down the below terms before expanding on business intelligence. Data: The raw information, such as customers' credit scores. Many organizations collect so much data that keeping it all can be an expensive challenge. Access to new types of data, such as alternative credit data, can assist with decisioning — but additional data points are only helpful if you have the resources or expertise to process and analyze them.Information: Once you process and organize data points, you can display the resulting information in reports, dashboards, and other visualizations that are easier to understand. Therefore, turning raw data into information. For example, the information you acquire might dictate that customers with credit scores over 720 prefer one of your products twice as much as your other products.Insight: The information tells you what happened, but you must analyze it to find useful and actionable insights. There could be several reasons customers within a specific score band prefer one product over another, and insights offer context and help you decide what to do next. In addition, you could also see what happened to the customers who were not approved.Foresight: You can also use information and insights to make predictions about what can happen or how to act in the future given different scenarios. For example, how your customers' preferences will likely change if you offer new terms, introduce a new product or there's a large economic shift. Business intelligence isn't new — but it is changing. Traditionally, business intelligence heavily relied on IT teams to sift through the data and generate reports, dashboards and other visualizations. Business leaders could ask questions and wait for the IT team to answer the queries and present the results. Modern business intelligence platforms make that process much easier and offer analytical insights. Now even non-technical business leaders can quickly answer questions with cloud-based and self-service tools. Business intelligence vs. business intelligence analytics Business intelligence can refer to the overall systems in place that collect, store, organize and visualize your data. Business intelligence tends to focus on turning data into presentable information and descriptive analytics — telling you what happened and how it happened. Business intelligence analytics is a subset of business intelligence that focuses on diagnostics, predictive and prescriptive analytics. In other words, why something happened, what could happen in the future, and what you should do. Essentially, the insights and foresight that are listed above. How can modern business intelligence benefit lenders? A business intelligence strategy and advanced analytics and modeling can help lenders precisely target customers, improve product offerings, streamline originations, manage portfolios and increase recovery rates. More specifically, business intelligence can help lenders uncover various trends and insights, such as: Changes in consumers' financial health and credit behavior.How customers' credit scores migrate over time.The risk performance of various portfolios.How product offerings and terms compare to competitors.Which loans are they losing to peers?Which credit attributes are most predictive for their target market? Understanding what's working well today is imperative. But your competitors aren't standing still. You also need to monitor trends and forecast the impact — good or bad — of various changes. WATCH: Webinar: Using Business Intelligence to Unlock Better Lending Decisions Using business intelligence to safely grow your portfolio Let's take a deeper dive into how business intelligence could help you grow your portfolio without taking on additional risk. It's an appealing goal that could be addressed in different ways depending on the underlying issue and business objective. For example, you might be losing loans to peers because of an acquisition strategy that's resulting in declining good customers. Or, perhaps your competitors' products are more appealing to your target customers. Business intelligence can show you how many applications you received, approved, and booked — and how many approved or declined applicants accepted a competitor's offer. You can segment and analyze the results based on the applicant’s credit scores, income, debt-to-income, loan amounts, loan terms, loan performance and other metrics. An in-depth analysis might highlight meaningful insights. For example, you might find that you disproportionately lost longer-term loans to competitors. Perhaps matching your competitors' long-term loan offerings could help you book more loans. READ: White paper: Getting AI-driven decisioning right in financial services Experian's business intelligence analytics solutions Lenders can use modern business intelligence platforms to better understand their customers, products, competitors, trends, and the potential impact of shifting economic circumstances or consumer behavior. Experian's Ascend Intelligence Services™ suite of solutions can help you turn data points into actionable insights. Ascend Intelligence Services™ Acquire Model: Create custom machine learning models that can incorporate internal, bureau and alternative credit data to more accurately assess risk and increase your lending universe.Ascend Intelligence Services™ Acquire Strategy: Get a more granular view of applicants that can help you improve segmentation and increase automation.Ascend Intelligence Services™ Pulse: A model and strategy health dashboard that can help you proactively identify and remediate issues and nimbly react to market changes.Ascend Intelligence Services™ Limit: Set and manage credit limits during account opening and when managing accounts to increase revenue and mitigate risk.Ascend Intelligence Services™ Foresight: A modern business intelligence platform that offers easy-to-use tools that help business leaders make better-informed decisions. Businesses can also leverage Experian's industry-leading data assets and expertise with various types of project-based and ongoing engagements. Learn more about how you can implement or benefit from business intelligence analytics.

The science of turning historical data into actionable insights is far from magic. And while organizations have successfully used predictive analytics for years, we're in the midst of a transformation. New tools, vast amounts of data, enhanced computing power and decreasing implementation costs are making predictive analytics increasingly accessible. And business leaders from varying industries and functions can now use the outcomes to make strategic decisions and manage risk. What is predictive analytics? Predictive analytics is a type of data analytics that uses statistical modeling and machine learning techniques to make predictions based on historical data. Organizations can use predictive analytics to predict risks, needs and outcomes. You might use predictive analytics to make an immediate decision. For example, whether or not to approve a new credit application based on a credit score — the output from a predictive credit risk model. But organizations can also use predictive analytics to make long-term decisions, such as how much inventory to order or staff to hire based on expected demand. How can predictive business analytics help a business succeed? Businesses can use predictive analytics in different parts of their organizations to answer common and critical questions. These include forecasting market trends, inventory and staffing needs, sales and risk. With a wide range of potential applications, it’s no surprise that organizations across industries and functions are using predictive analytics to inform their decisions. Here are a few examples of how predictive analytics can be helpful: Financial services: Financial institutions can use predictive analytics to assess credit risk, detect fraudulent applicants or transactions, cross-sell customers and limit losses during recovery. Healthcare: Using data from health records and medical devices, predictive models can predict patient outcomes or identify patients who need critical care. Manufacturing: An organization can use models to predict when machines need to be turned off or repaired to improve their longevity and avoid accidents. Retail: Brick-and-mortar retailers might use predictive analytics when deciding where to expand, what to cross-sell loyalty program members and how to improve pricing. Hospitality: A large hospitality group might predict future reservations to help determine how much staff they need to hire or schedule. Advanced techniques in predictive modeling for financial services Emerging technologies, particularly AI and machine learning (ML), are revolutionizing predictive modeling in the financial sector by providing more accurate, faster and more nuanced insights. Taking a closer look at financial services, consider how an organization might use predictive credit analytics and credit risk scores across the customer lifecycle. Marketing: Segment consumers to run targeted marketing campaigns and send prescreened credit offers to the people who are most likely to respond. AI models can analyze customer data to offer personalized offers and product recommendations. Underwriting: AI technologies enable real-time data analysis, which is critical for underwriting. The outputs from credit risk models can help you to quickly approve, deny or send applications for manual review. Explainable machine learning models may be able to expand automation and outperform predictive models built with older techniques by 10 to 15 percent.1 Fraud detection models can also raise red flags based on suspicious information or behaviors. Account management: Manage portfolios and improve customer retention, experience and lifetime value. The outputs can help you determine when you should adjust credit lines and interest rates or extend offers to existing customers. AI can automate complex decision-making processes by learning from historical data, reducing the need for human intervention and minimizing human error. Collections: Optimize and automate collections based on models' predictions about consumers' propensity to pay and expected recovery amounts. ML models, which are capable of processing vast amounts of unstructured data, can uncover complex patterns that traditional models might miss. Although some businesses can use unsupervised or “black box" models, regulations may limit how financial institutions can use predictive analytics to make lending decisions. Fortunately, there are ways to use advanced analytics, including AI and ML, to improve performance with fully compliant and explainable credit risk models and scores. WHITE PAPER: Getting AI-driven decisioning right in financial services Developing predictive analytics models Going from historical data to actionable analytics insights can be a long journey. And if you're making major decisions based on a model's predictions, you need to be confident that there aren’t any missteps along the way. Internal and external data scientists can oversee the process of developing, testing and implementing predictive analytics models: Define your goal: Determine the predictions you want to make or problems you want to solve given the constraints you must act within. Collect data: Identify internal and external data sources that house information that could be potentially relevant to your goal. Prepare the data: Clean the data to prepare it for analysis by removing errors or outliers and determining if more data will be helpful. Develop and validate models: Create predictive models based on your data, desired outcomes and regulatory requirements. Deciding which tools and techniques to use during model development is part of the art that goes into the science of predictive analytics. You can then validate models to confirm that they accurately predict outcomes. Deploy the models: Once a model is validated, deploy it into a live environment to start making predictions. Depending on your IT environment, business leaders may be able to easily access the outputs using a dashboard, app or website. Monitor results: Test and monitor the model to ensure it's continually meeting performance expectations. You may need to regularly retrain or redevelop models using training data that better reflects current conditions. Depending on your goals and resources, you may want to start with off-the-shelf predictive models that can offer immediate insights. But if your resources and experience allow, custom models may offer more insights. CASE STUDY: Experian worked with one of the largest retail credit card issuers to develop a custom acquisition model. The client's goal was to quickly replace their outdated custom model while complying with their model governance requirements. By using proprietary attribute sets and a patented advanced model development process, Experian built a model that offered 10 percent performance improvements across segments. Predictive modeling techniques Data scientists can use different modeling techniques when building predictive models, including: Regression analysis: A traditional approach that identifies the most important relationships between two or more variables. Decision trees: Tree-like diagrams  show potential choices and their outcomes. Gradient-boosted trees: Builds on the output from individual decision trees to train more predictive trees by identifying and correcting errors. Random forest: Uses multiple decision trees that are built in parallel on slightly different subsets of the training data. Each tree will give an output, and the forest can analyze all of these outputs to determine the most likely result. Neural networks: Designed to mimic how the brain works to find underlying relationships between data points through repeated tests and pattern recognition. Support vector machines: A type of machine learning algorithm that can classify data into different groups and make predictions based on shared characteristics. Experienced data scientists may know which techniques will work well for specific business needs. However, developing and comparing several models using different techniques can help determine the best fit. Implementation challenges and solutions in predictive analytics Integrating predictive analytics into existing systems presents several challenges that range from technical hurdles to external scrutiny. Here are some common obstacles and practical solutions: Data integration and quality: Existing systems often comprise disparate data sources, including legacy systems that do not easily interact. Extracting high-quality data from these varied sources is a challenge due to inconsistent data formats and quality. Implementing robust data management practices, such as data warehousing and data governance frameworks, ensure data quality and consistency. The use  of APIs can facilitate seamless data integration. Scalability: Predictive business analytics models that perform well in a controlled test environment may not scale effectively across the entire organization. They can suffer from performance issues when deployed on a larger scale due to increased data volumes and transaction rates. Invest in scalable infrastructure, such as cloud-based platforms that can dynamically adjust resources based on demand. Regulatory compliance: Financial institutions are heavily regulated, and any analytics tool must comply with existing laws — such as the Fair Credit Reporting Act in the U.S. — which govern data privacy and model transparency. Including explainable AI capabilities helps to ensure transparency and compliance in your predictive models. Compliance protocols should be regularly reviewed to align with both internal audits and external regulations. Expertise: Predictive analytics requires specialized knowledge in data science, machine learning and analytics. Develop in-house expertise through training and development programs or consider partnerships with analytics firms to bridge the gap. By addressing these challenges with thoughtful strategies, organizations can effectively integrate predictive analytics into their systems to enhance decision-making and gain a competitive advantage. From prediction to prescription While prediction analytics focuses on predicting what may happen, prescription analytics focuses on what you should do next. When combined, you can use the results to optimize decisions throughout your organization. But it all starts with good data and prediction models. Learn more about Experian's predictive modeling solutions. 1Experian (2020). Machine Learning Decisions in Milliseconds *This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information.

From chatbots to image generators, artificial intelligence (AI) has captured consumers’ attention and spurred joy — and sometimes a little fear. It’s not too different in the business world. There are amazing opportunities and lenders are increasingly turning to AI-driven lending decision engines and processes. But there are also open questions about how AI can work within existing regulatory requirements, how new regulations will impact its use and how to implement advanced analytics in a way that increases equitable inclusion rather than further embedding disparities. How are lenders using AI today? Many financial institutions are already using AI in lending — or actively testing AI-based lending tools — across the customer lifecycle to: Target the right consumers: With tools like Ascend Intelligence ServicesTM Target (AIS Target), lenders can better identify consumers who match their credit criteria and send right-sized offers, which enables them to maximize their acceptance rates. Detect and prevent fraud: Fraud detection tools have used AI and machine learning techniques to detect and prevent fraud for years. These systems may be even more important as new fraud risks emerge, from tried-and-true methods to AI-powered fraud threats. Assess creditworthiness: ML-based models can incorporate a range of internal and external data points to more precisely evaluate creditworthiness. When combined with traditional and alternative credit data*, some lenders can even see a Gini uplift of 60 to 70 percent compared to a traditional credit risk model. Manage portfolios: Lenders can also use a more complete picture of their current customers to make better decisions. For example, AI-driven models can help lenders set initial credit limits and suggest when a change could help them increase wallet share or reduce risk. Lenders can also use AI to help determine which up- and cross-selling offers to present and when (and how) to reach out. Improve collections: Models can be built to ease debt collection processes, such as choosing where to assign accounts, which accounts to prioritize and how to contact the consumer. Additionally, businesses can implement AI-powered tools to increase their organizations’ productivity and agility. GenAI solutions like Experian Assistant accelerate the modeling lifecycle by providing immediate responses to questions, enhancing model transparency and parsing through multiple model iterations quickly, resulting in streamlined workflows, improved data visibility and reduced expenses. Watch: "The Future of Underwriting: Rethink, Rebuild, Redefine” to explore the latest trends, like agentic AI, transforming lending decisioning. The benefits of AI in lending While lenders can apply machine learning in many areas, the primary drivers for adopting AI in lending include: Improving credit risk assessment Faster development and deployment cycles for new or recalibrated models Unlocking value from large and complex datasets Staying competitive in a data-driven lending market Many AI-based lending use cases for machine learning solutions have a direct impact on the bottom line — improving credit risk assessment can decrease charge-offs.Others are less direct but still meaningful. AI for lending can increase efficiency and allow further automation. This takes the pressure off your underwriting team, even when application volume is extremely high, and results in faster decisions for applicants, which can improve your customer experience.By incorporating larger and more diverse datasets into their decisions also allows lenders to expand their lending universe without taking on additional risk. For example, they may now be able to offer risk-appropriate credit lines to consumers that traditional scoring models can’t score.When applied across the full customer lifecycle, AI can help increase customer lifetime value by: Preventing fraud Improving retention Powering up- and cross-selling Streamlining for collection strategies Hurdles to adoption of AI in lending There are clear benefits and interest in machine learning and analytics, but adoption can be difficult, especially within credit underwriting.A Forrester Consulting Study commissioned by Experian found that the top pain points for technology decision makers in financial services are automation and availability of data. These challenges often become more pronounced as lenders from experimentation to full-scale deployment.Explainability comes down to transparency and trust. Financial institutions have to trust that machine learning models will continue to outperform traditional models to make them a worthwhile investment. The models also have to be transparent and explainable for financial institutions to meet regulatory fair lending requirements. Resources, expertise, and integration A lack of internal resources and expertise can also slow adoption. Building, validating, and deploying custom AI models takes time and ongoing investment. Large lenders may have in-house analytics teams, but often face integration challenges when introducing new models into legacy systems. Small and mid-sized institutions may be more agile, but frequently lack the in-house expertise needed to develop or operationalize AI for lending on their own. Effective AI in lending depends on high-quality, well-governed data. Many organizations struggle with the time and cost required to clean, organize, and maintain internal datasets. While external data sources can enhance AI-based lending models, evaluating, integrating, and governing those datasets often requires significant effort. How Experian is shaping the future of AI in lending Lenders are finding new ways to use AI throughout the customer lifecycle and with varying types of financial products. However, while the cost to create custom machine learning models continues to decline, the complexities and unknowns are still too great for some lenders to manage. But that’s changing.Experian built the Ascend Intelligence Services™ to help smaller and mid-market lenders access the most advanced analytics tools. The managed service platform can significantly reduce the cost and deployment time for lenders who want to incorporate AI-driven strategies and machine learning models into their lending process. The end-to-end managed analytics service gives lenders access to Experian’s vast data sets and can incorporate internal data to build and seamlessly deploy custom machine learning models. The platform can also continually monitor and retrain models to increase lift, and there’s no “black box” to obscure how the model works. Everything is fully explainable, and the platform bakes regulatory constraints into the data curation and model development to ensure lenders stay compliant. Learn more * When we refer to “Alternative Credit Data," this refers to the use of alternative data and its appropriate use in consumer credit lending decisions as regulated by the Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA). Hence, the term “Expanded FCRA Data" may also apply in this instance and both can be used interchangeably. What is AI in lending? AI in lending refers to the use of artificial intelligence and machine learning technologies to support and automate decisions across the lending process. AI for lending helps financial institutions assess credit risk, detect fraud, personalize offers, manage portfolios, and improve operational efficiency. By analyzing large and complex datasets, AI-based lending models enable faster, more accurate, and more consistent decisions than traditional approaches How is AI used across the lending lifecycle? - Marketing and acquisition: Identifying and targeting the right consumers with relevant offers- Underwriting: Improving credit risk assessment and decision accuracy- Fraud prevention: Detecting suspicious activity and emerging fraud patterns- Portfolio management: Optimizing credit limits, retention strategies, and customer engagement- Collections: Prioritizing accounts and tailoring collection strategies What are the risks of using AI in lending? - Lack of explainability: AI-based lending models must be transparent to support regulatory compliance and fair lending requirements- Data quality issues: Poor or biased data can negatively affect model performance- Operational complexity: Integrating AI into legacy systems can be difficult- Governance and oversight concerns: Models require ongoing monitoring and validation What types of data are used in AI-based lending models? - Traditional credit bureau data- Alternative credit and non-traditional data sources- Transactional and behavioral data- Internal lender performance data- Macroeconomic and market indicators