In 2023, mobile fraud attacks surged by over 50%.1 With people relying more on mobile devices for day-to-day activities, like banking, shopping and healthcare, fraudsters have found new ways to exploit mobile security. With phones housing such sensitive data, how can businesses ensure that the person on the other end of a mobile device is who they claim to be? Enter mobile identity verification, a process designed to protect consumers and businesses in today’s mobile-driven world. Understanding mobile identity Mobile identity refers to the digital identity associated with a mobile device. This includes information like phone numbers, SIM cards, device IDs and user credentials that uniquely identify a person or device. Verifying that the mobile identity belongs to the correct individual is crucial for secure digital transactions. What is mobile identity verification? Mobile identity verification confirms the legitimacy of users accessing services via their mobile device. This process uses personal data, biometrics and mobile network information to authenticate identity, ensuring businesses interact with real customers without unnecessary friction. Why is mobile identity verification important? The rise of mobile banking, mobile payments and other mobile-based services has increased the need for robust security measures. Cybercriminals have found ways to exploit the mobile ecosystem through SIM swapping, phishing and other fraud tactics. This makes mobile identity verification critical for businesses looking to protect sensitive customer data and prevent unauthorized access. Here are some of the key reasons why mobile identity verification is essential: Preventing fraud: Identity theft and fraud are major concerns for businesses and consumers alike. Mobile identity verification helps to reduce the risk of fraud by ensuring that the user is who they say they are. Enhancing user trust: Customers are more likely to trust a service that prioritizes their security. Businesses that implement mobile identity verification solutions provide an extra layer of protection, which can help build customer confidence. Regulatory compliance: Many industries, including finance and healthcare, are subject to strict regulations concerning data privacy and security. Mobile identity verification helps businesses meet these regulatory requirements by offering a secure way to verify customer identities. Improving user experience: While security is essential, businesses must also ensure that they do not create a cumbersome user experience. Mobile identity verification solutions offer a quick and seamless way for users to verify their identities without sacrificing security. This is especially important for onboarding new users or completing transactions quickly. How does mobile identity verification work? Mobile identity verification involves a combination of different techniques and technologies, depending on the service provider and the level of security required. Some common methods include: Biometric authentication: Biometrics like fingerprint scans, facial recognition and voice recognition are becoming increasingly popular for verifying identities. These methods are secure and convenient for users since they don't require remembering passwords or PINs. SMS-based verification: One-time passwords (OTPs) sent via SMS to a user's mobile phone are still widely used. This method links the verification process directly to the user's mobile device, ensuring that they have possession of their registered phone number. Device-based verification: By analyzing the unique identifiers of a mobile device, such as IMEI numbers, businesses can confirm that the device is registered to the user attempting to access services. This helps prevent fraud attempts from unregistered or stolen devices. Mobile network data: Mobile network operators have access to valuable information, such as the user’s location, SIM card status and network activity. By leveraging this data, businesses can further verify that the user is legitimate and actively using their mobile network as expected. Behavioral analytics: By analyzing patterns in user behavior — such as typing speed, navigation habits, and interactions with apps — mobile identity verification solutions can detect anomalies that might indicate fraudulent activity. For instance, if a user’s behavior demonstrates low-to-no familiarity with the PII they provide, it can trigger an additional layer of verification to ensure security. The role of identity solutions in mobile identity verification Mobile identity verification is just one part of a broader range of identity solutions that help businesses authenticate users and protect sensitive data. These solutions not only cover mobile devices but extend to other digital touchpoints, ensuring that organizations have a holistic, multilayered approach to identity verification across all channels. Companies that provide comprehensive identity verification solutions can help organizations build robust security infrastructures while offering seamless customer experiences. For instance, Experian offers cutting-edge solutions designed to meet the growing demand for secure and efficient identity verification and authentication. These solutions can significantly reduce fraud and improve customer satisfaction. The growing importance of digital identity In the digital age, managing and verifying identities extends beyond traditional physical credentials like driver’s licenses or social security numbers. Digital identity plays an essential role in enabling secure online transactions, personalizing user experiences and protecting individuals' privacy. However, with great convenience comes great responsibility. Businesses need to strike a balance between security and personalization to ensure they protect user data while still offering a smooth customer experience. As mobile identity verification becomes more widespread, it’s clear that safeguarding digital identity is more important than ever. To learn more about the importance of digital identity and how businesses can find the right balance between security and personalization, check out this article: Digital identity: finding the balance between personalization and security. How Experian can help Experian is at the forefront of providing innovative identity verification solutions that empower businesses to protect their customers and prevent fraud. With solutions tailored for mobile identity verification, businesses can seamlessly authenticate users while minimizing friction. Experian’s technology integrates behavioral analytics, device intelligence and mobile network data to create a comprehensive and secure identity verification process. Whether you’re looking for a complete identity verification solution or need specialized mobile identity verification services, Experian’s identity verification and authentication solutions offer the solutions and expertise your organization needs to stay secure in the evolving digital landscape. Learn More 1 Kapersky This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information.    

This series will explore our monthly State of the Economy report, which provides a snapshot of the top monthly economic and credit data for financial service professionals to proactively shape their business strategies. After the Federal Reserve announced its first cut since 2020 in September, several pieces of economic data have surpassed expectations. Job creation was almost double economists’ estimates, unemployment ticked down, and personal incomes were revised up. Alongside these areas of strength, inflation continued to prove stubborn. The October State of the Economy report fills in the rest of the developing macroeconomic story. This month’s highlights include:  Unemployment decreased for the second month in a row, down to 4.1%. Core inflation increased from 3.2% to 3.3%, driven by shelter and service costs. Negative rental payment activity has declined 1.9% over the past year. Check out our report for a detailed analysis of the rest of this month’s data, including the latest trends in originations, retail sales, and consumer sentiment. Download October's report As our economy continues to fluctuate, it's critical to stay updated on the latest developments. Subscribe to our new series, The Macro Moment, for economic commentary from Experian NA’s Chief Economist, Joseph Mayans, with additional economic resources, including our new Lending Conditions Chartbook and our new Labor Market Monitor. For more economic trends and market insights, visit Experian Edge.

U.S. federal prosecutors have indicted Michael Smith of North Carolina for allegedly orchestrating a $10 million fraud scheme involving AI-generated music. Smith is accused of creating fake bands and using AI tools to produce hundreds of tracks, which were streamed by fake listeners on platforms like Spotify, Apple Music, and Amazon Music. Despite the artificial engagement, the scheme generated real royalty payments, defrauding these streaming services. This case marks the first prosecution of its kind and highlights a growing financial risk: the potential for rapid, large-scale fraud in digital platforms when content and engagement can be easily fabricated. A new report from Imperva Inc. highlights the growing financial burden of unsecure APIs and bot attacks on businesses, costing up to $186 billion annually. Key findings highlight the heavy economic burden on large companies due to their complex and extensive API ecosystems, often unsecured. Last year, enterprises managed about 613 API endpoints on average, a number expected to grow, increasing associated risks. APIs exposure to bot attacks Bot attacks, similar to those seen in streaming fraud, are also plaguing financial institutions. The risks are significant, weakening both security and financial stability. 1. Fraudulent transactions and account takeover Automated fraudulent transactions: Bots can perform high volumes of small, fraudulent transactions across multiple accounts, causing financial loss and overwhelming fraud detection systems. Account takeover: Bots can attempt credential stuffing, using compromised login data to access user accounts. Once inside, attackers could steal funds or sensitive information, leading to significant financial and reputational damage. 2. Synthetic identity fraud Creating fake accounts: Bots can be used to generate large numbers of synthetic identities, which are then used to open fake accounts for money laundering, credit fraud, or other illicit activities. Loan or credit card fraud: Using fake identities, bots can apply for loans or credit cards, withdrawing funds without intent to repay, resulting in significant losses for financial institutions. 3. Exploiting API vulnerabilities API abuse: Just as bots exploit API endpoints in streaming services, they can also target vulnerable APIs in financial platforms to extract sensitive data or initiate unauthorized transactions, leading to significant data breaches. Data exfiltration: Bots can use APIs to extract financial data, customer details, and transaction records, potentially leading to identity theft or data sold on the dark web. Bot attacks targeting financial institutions can result in extensive fraud, data breaches, regulatory fines, and loss of customer trust, causing significant financial and operational consequences. Safeguarding financial integrity To safeguard your business from these attacks, particularly via unsupervised APIs, a multi-layered defense strategy is essential. Here’s how you can protect your business and ensure its financial integrity: 1. Monitor and analyze data patterns Real-time analytics: Implement sophisticated monitoring systems to track user behavior continuously. By analyzing user patterns, you can detect irregular spikes in activity that may indicate bot-driven attacks. These anomalies should trigger alerts for immediate investigation. AI, machine learning, and geo-analysis: Leverage AI and machine learning models to spot unusual behaviors that can signal fraudulent activity. Geo-analysis tools help identify traffic originating from regions known for bot farms, allowing you to take preventive action before damage occurs. 2. Strengthen API access controls Limit access with token-based authentication: Implement token-based authentication to limit API access to verified applications and users. This reduces the chances of unauthorized or bot-driven API abuse. Control third-party integrations: Restrict API access to only trusted and vetted third-party services. Ensure that each external service is thoroughly reviewed to prevent malicious actors from exploiting your platform. 3. Implement robust account creation procedures PII identity verification solutions: Protect personal or sensitive data through authenticating someone`s identity and helping to prevent fraud and identity theft. Email and phone verification: Requiring email or phone verification during account creation can minimize the risk of mass fake account generation, a common tactic used by bots for fraudulent activities. Combating Bots as a Service: Focusing on intent-based deep behavioral analysis (IDBA), even the most sophisticated bots can be spotted, without adding friction. 4. Establish strong anti-fraud alliances Collaborate with industry networks: Join industry alliances or working groups that focus on API security and fraud prevention. Staying informed about emerging threats and sharing best practices with peers will allow you to anticipate new attack strategies. 5. Continuous customer and account monitoring Behavior analysis for repeat offenders: Monitor for repeat fraudulent behavior from the same accounts or users. If certain users or transactions display consistent signs of manipulation, flag them for detailed investigation and potential restrictions. User feedback loops: Encourage users to report any suspicious activity. This crowd-sourced intelligence can be invaluable in identifying bot activity quickly and reducing the scope of damage. 6. Maintain transparency and accountability Audit and report regularly: Offer regular, transparent reports on API usage and your anti-fraud measures. This builds trust with stakeholders and customers, as they see your proactive steps toward securing the platform. Real-time dashboards: Provide users with real-time visibility into their data streams or account activities. Unexplained spikes or dips can be flagged and investigated immediately, providing greater transparency and control. Conclusion Safeguarding your business from bot attacks and API abuse requires a comprehensive, multi-layered approach. By investing in advanced monitoring tools, enforcing strict API access controls, and fostering collaboration with anti-fraud networks, your organization can mitigate the risks posed by bots while maintaining credibility and trust. The right strategy will not only protect your business but also preserve the integrity of your platform. Learn more

The Fed finally made their long-awaited rate cut. Hooray! The industry is saved! Brush off the dust everyone, it’s time to start originating mortgages like it’s 2006 again! Not so fast. While it's true that there are opportunities to take advantage of now that rates have declined, there remain open questions: How much further will rates decline? So far, only this single drop has been signaled. How many customers will realize benefit from a rate & term refinance offer given the rate drop(s)? What does this rate drop mean for the purchase market given that home prices remain at all-time highs? To put it simply, there are lending opportunities for home lenders (mortgage and home equity), but only for those with the ability to effectively leverage data and analytical strategies to identify and execute on the pockets of opportunity. By “pockets of opportunity,” we mean the following categories of consumers will benefit from specific mortgage or home equity offers. Rate & term refi: According to Experian research, over 83% of mortgages have an interest rate below 6.5%. This means that only the loans originated in the past couple of years (including one held by your author) will be eligible for a rate & term refi. The dollar amount on these loans will be high along with the interest rates, so even a minor savings on the interest rate will translate to potentially hundreds of thousands of dollars in lifetime interest savings for the borrowers. Being able to accurately identify which borrowers have an interest rate that is higher than the rate you can offer them is key to efficiently targeting and originating rate & term refinances. Cashout refi: Equity levels exploded over the past several years for homeowners. Home prices show no sign of slowing down and home equity continues to be a significant, and in many cases untapped, financial resource for borrowers. A cashout refi is an excellent option for those consumers with high amounts of available equity in their homes. Some borrowers may choose to originate a cashout refinance loan even if the interest rate is similar to their existing rate, such is the value of partially liquidating their equity position. Having the consumer-level data to identify what equity positions are and the current interest rate is crucial to crafting personalized, effective marketing offers. The ability to target qualified customers with a personalized offer is critical given that in August 2024, over 2.9 million cashout direct mail offers were mailed to consumers.1 Streamlined refi: The VA and FHA have streamlined refinance programs that minimize the consumer lift to refinance their loan. Additionally, there are also non-VA and FHA loans that could benefit from what is called an “Express Title,” which removes the need for a full title workup and expedites the originations process. Borrowers that meet the criteria for these streamlined refinance offers can be identified using credit data. Since these refinances are easier for consumers, they will be more likely to respond and book a refinance offer, which means more ROI for your marketing spend. Home equity lines/loans: Similar to cashout refi, home equity products are an option for consumers to access the equity they have in their price-appreciated homes. Although this is no mystery to most lenders, many lenders do not leverage adequate data or analytics to identify the needle in the haystack of customers that still remain to be targeted. Experian data shows over $25B in monthly HELOC originations as of August 2024. Understanding which consumers have a second lien position available, how much equity they have by leveraging trade-level mortgage data and Automated Valuation Model (AVM) data, and other methods can help your home equity products stand out from the sea of offers in the mail and online. At Experian, we help our clients target and originate all four categories of borrowers: rate & term refinancers, cashout refinancers, streamlined refinancers, and home equity borrowers. Crafting a marketing strategy with the accurate data to precisely identify which consumers qualify for which product is crucial to making the most of your marketing spend. Without the guidance of such data and the personalized offers they enable, your marketing message is liable to be lost among all of the other direct mail and email blasts. Market with confidence Crafting an effective holistic marketing strategy across these segments is crucial to campaign success. Consider these borrower situations and prepare to respond with confidence: Does the consumer have a high interest rate? Would the consumer benefit from a quick rate & term refi? If yes, ship the offer out. Does the consumer have a significant equity position and outstanding revolving debt balances, but not qualify for a rate & term due to a relatively low rate? If yes, ship them a cashout refi offer with language about using their equity to pay off revolving debt. Does the consumer meet the criteria for a streamlined refi, and would they benefit financially from such an offer? If yes, ship them a VA IRRRL (Interest Rate Reduction Refinance Loan), FHA streamline, or an offer to cover their refi title expenses if they qualify for an express title. Does the consumer have an open second lien on their primary residence, but not qualify for either kind of refi? If yes, ship them a home equity offer. By creating this kind of specialized marketing waterfall, lenders can ensure they have valuable offers for all borrowers, not just for a specialized market. Such strategies allow you to target your existing portfolio or a prospect population to facilitate portfolio growth and prevent portfolio attrition. Be sure to join our upcoming webinar, "Return of the Refi: Top Lending Strategies for Becoming a Refi Master." Register now and learn more about how Experian can help you win more mortgage and home equity customers in this declining rate environment. Register now Learn more 1 Mintel data

In this article...Understanding the scope of fintech fraudThe importance of fintech fraud preventionSynthetic identity (ID) fraud: A growing threatHow fintech fraud detection and prevention are evolvingGet started today The integration of technology with traditional financial services has unlocked unprecedented convenience and opportunities for consumers and businesses alike. However, this digital shift has opened the door for more sophisticated fraud tactics. With fraudsters continuously refining their methods, fintech companies must invest in advanced fintech fraud detection and prevention solutions. Understanding the scope of fintech fraud As fintech platforms expand, they also attract the attention of cybercriminals. The accessibility of digital financial services can create vulnerabilities that fraudsters exploit, executing everything from personal account takeovers to larger-scale breaches involving synthetic identities.  Source: Experian’s 2024 U.S. Identity & Fraud Report To counter these threats, fintech companies must deploy innovative fraud management solutions powered by artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), and advanced analytics. Unlike traditional methods that often rely on static rules and manual reviews, these solutions can process vast amounts of data, learn from historical patterns, and detect anomalies in real-time. This allows organizations to identify suspicious activities before they lead to significant losses. The importance of fintech fraud prevention While detecting fraud is crucial, preventing it from occurring in the first place is even more important. Fraud prevention solutions aim to create robust systems that stop fraudsters in their tracks before they can cause damage. With the rise of digital financial services, the need for proactive fraud prevention measures has never been greater. These solutions protect both consumers and businesses from financial harm, reducing the risk of financial loss and reputational damage. Advanced fraud prevention solutions employ multi-layered strategies, combining AI-driven fraud detection tools with methods such as multifactor authentication and biometric identity verification. These tools create an extra layer of security, making it difficult for fraudsters to access sensitive data or execute fraudulent transactions. Experian’s fraud prevention solutions offer businesses a comprehensive suite of tools designed to prevent various types of fraud. From real-time transaction monitoring to sophisticated user authentication methods, these solutions provide the protection businesses need to stay ahead of evolving fraud tactics. Synthetic identity (ID) fraud: A growing threat One of the most concerning forms of fraud that fintech companies face is synthetic ID fraud. This type of fraud involves the creation of a fake identity using a combination of real and fabricated information. Fraudsters often steal pieces of personal data—such as Social Security numbers or addresses—and then combine them with fictional information to create a new, synthetic identity. These synthetic identities can be used to open bank accounts, apply for credit cards, or take out loans, leaving businesses and consumers vulnerable to significant financial losses. Synthetic ID fraud is particularly difficult to detect because the synthetic identity often looks legitimate to traditional verification systems. As a result, fintech companies must deploy sophisticated fraud detection systems that can identify synthetic identities before they’re used to commit fraud. Machine learning algorithms, for instance, can analyze behavioral data, detecting discrepancies that may indicate a synthetic identity. Experian is ranked #1 by the Center for Financial Professionals (CeFPro®) for Identity and Fraud. The ranking appeared in CeFPro’s Fintech Leaders Report, a comprehensive annual study of the fintech industry. How fintech fraud detection and prevention are evolving As fraudsters continue to evolve their tactics, fintech companies must remain one step ahead by investing in cutting-edge fraud detection and prevention technologies. Real-time monitoring, predictive analytics, and biometrics are just a few of the technologies shaping the future of fraud detection. By integrating these technologies into their fraud management processes, fintech companies can offer a more secure and seamless experience for their users. With the acquisition of NeuroID, an industry leader in behavioral analytics, Experian has amplified its fraud risk suite by providing a new layer of insight into digital behavioral signals and analytics. Available through our fraud solutions on the Experian Ascend Technology PlatformTM, clients can proactively monitor and analyze a user’s real-time digital behavior, allowing them to confidently navigate the online landscape and provide frictionless customer experiences. Get started today As the fraud landscape continues to evolve, fintech companies must adopt comprehensive solutions to stay ahead of emerging threats. By doing so, they can protect themselves and their customers, ensuring the continued success of digital financial services in the years to come. To learn more, check out our fraud management and fintech solutions. Fraud management solutions Fintech solutions This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information. In this article...

Online fraud has increased exponentially over the past few years, with the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) data showing that consumers reported losing more than $10 billion to fraud in 2023. This marks the first time that fraud losses have reached that benchmark, and it’s a 14% increase over reported losses in 2022. As a result, e-commerce merchants and retailers have reacted by adding friction to e-commerce interactions.   The risk is that a legitimate user may be denied a purchase because they have incorrectly been labeled a fraudster — a “false decline.” Now, as the holiday shopping season approaches, e-commerce merchants expect a surge in online spending and transactions, which in turn creates concern for an uptick in false declines.   In a recent webinar, Experian experts Senior Vice President of Business Development and eCommerce Dave Tiezzi and Senior Director of Product Management Jose Pallares explored strategies for how e-commerce merchants can determine the risk level of a transaction and ensure that they do not miss out on genuine purchases and good customers. Below are a few key perspectives from our speakers:  What are the biggest challenges posed by online card transactions?  DT: One of the biggest issues merchants face is false declines. In the report, The E-Commerce Fraud Enigma: The Quest to Maximize Revenue While Minimizing Fraud Experian and Aite-Novarica Group (now Datos Insights) found that 1.16% of all sales are unnecessarily rejected by merchants. While this percentage may seem small, it represents significant revenue loss during the high-volume holiday shopping season. The report also highlights that 16% of all attempted online transactions encounter some form of friction due to suspected fraud. Alarmingly, 70% of that friction is unnecessary, meaning it’s not preventing fraud but instead disrupting the purchasing process for legitimate customers. This friction translates into a poor online shopping experience, often resulting in cart abandonment, lost sales and a decline in customer loyalty.  What are the key consumer trends and expectations for the upcoming holiday season?  DT: Experian's 2024 Holiday Spending Trends and Insights Report reveals that while 35% of holiday shopping in 2023 occurred in December, peaking at 9% the week before Christmas, Cyber Week in November also represented 8% of total holiday sales. This highlights the importance for merchants to be prepared well before the holiday rush begins in November and extends through December. As they gear up for this high-volume season, merchants must also prioritize meeting consumer expectations for speed, ease and security—which are top-of-mind for consumers. According to our 2024 U.S. Identity & Fraud Report, 63% of consumers consider it extremely or very important for businesses to recognize them online, while 81% say they’re more trusting of businesses that can accomplish easy and accurate identification. They’re also wary of fraud, ranking identity theft (84%) and stolen credit card information (80%) as their top online security concerns. Considering these trends, it’s important for merchants to ensure seamless and secure transactions this holiday season.   False declines are a persistent problem for e-commerce merchants, especially during the holidays. How can merchants minimize these declines while protecting consumers from fraud? What best practices can merchants adopt to address these risks?  JP: False declines often result from overly cautious fraud detection systems that flag legitimate transactions as suspicious. While it’s essential to prevent fraud, turning away legitimate customers can severely impact both revenue and customer satisfaction. To minimize false declines, merchants should leverage advanced fraud prevention tools that combine multiple data points and behavioral insights. This approach goes beyond basic fraud detection by using attributes such as customer behavior, transaction patterns and real-time data analysis. Solutions incorporating NeuroID’s behavioral analytics and signals can also better assess whether a transaction is genuine based on the user’s interaction patterns, helping merchants filter out bad actors and make more informed decisions without disrupting the customer experience. What actionable strategies should e-commerce brands or merchants implement now to reduce cart abandonment and ensure a successful holiday season?  JP: One of the most effective tools we offer is Experian Link™, a credit card owner verification solution designed to reduce false declines while protecting against fraud. Experian Link helps e-commerce merchants and additional retailers accurately assess transaction risk by answering a key question: Does this consumer own the credit card they presented for payment? This ensures that legitimate customers aren’t mistakenly turned away while suspicious transactions are properly flagged for further review. By adopting a multilayered identity and fraud prevention strategy, merchants can significantly reduce false declines, offer a frictionless checkout experience and maintain robust fraud defenses—all of which are essential for a successful holiday shopping season.   Are there any examples of a retailer successfully leveraging credit card owner verification solutions? What were the results?  JP: Yes. We recently partnered with a leading U.S. retailer with a significant online presence. Their primary goals were to reduce customer friction, increase conversion and identify their customers accurately. By leveraging Experian Link and its positive signals, the retailer could refine, test and optimize their auto-approval strategies. As a result, the retailer saw an additional $8 million in monthly revenue from transactions that would have otherwise been declined. They also achieved a 10% increase in auto-approvals, reducing operating expenses and customer friction. By streamlining backend processes, they delivered a more seamless shopping experience for their customers.   Stay ahead this holiday season  For more expert insights on boosting conversions and enhancing customer loyalty, watch our on-demand webinar, Friction-Free Festivities: Strategies to Maximize Conversion and Reduce False Declines, hosted by the Merchant Risk Council (MRC). Additionally, visit us online to learn more about how Experian Link can transform your business strategy. Watch on-demand webinar Visit us The webinar is available to MRC members. If you’re already a member, you can access this resource here. Not a member? Our team would be happy to schedule a demo on Experian Link and discuss strategies to help your business grow. Get in touch today. 

As the desire for flexibility and affordability continues to grow across the overall vehicle market, it seems the trend is carrying over into the electric vehicle (EV) space—resulting in more manufacturers rolling out new models as the number of consumers opting for the electric fuel type rises. According to Experian’s Automotive Consumer Trends Report: Q2 2024, non-luxury EV registrations grew to 26.6%, from 22.7% last year, while exotic and luxury declined from 77.3% to 73.4% year-over-year. Furthermore, of the 291.1 million vehicles on the road in Q2 2024, EVs accounted for over 3.5 million, an increase from more than 2.7 million last year. Historically, EVs were often viewed as luxury vehicles that offered limited model availability to choose from. Though, it’s notable that as more non-luxury models are introduced, the EV market share is witnessing a shift in consumer preference. For instance, Ford led the new retail non-luxury EV market at 21.9% in Q2 2024, from 24.0% last year. Hyundai increased from 15.2% to 19.3% year-over-year, Chevrolet decreased from 24.2% to 13.2%, Kia went from 9.2% to 12.5%, and Volkswagen declined to 11.2% this quarter, from 15.8% in Q2 2023. Consumers continue to embrace EVs While understanding the current EV market share allows automotive professionals to assist in-market shoppers more effectively, leveraging multiple data points allows for a more nuanced perspective while helping them prepare for the future as the market continues to evolve. It’s notable that 77.4% of EV owners replaced their current EV with another one in the last 12 months. Meanwhile, 16.2% transitioned to a gasoline fuel type and 3.2% switched to a hybrid. With the EV model lineup expanding, consumers are potentially intrigued by the new options or holding steadfast to a manufacturer. Regardless, the majority of current EV owners are remaining loyal to the fuel type. However, data found that 81% of households with at least one EV also own a gasoline-powered vehicle, 14% also own a hybrid, and 12% own an additional EV. There are a number of factors that can play a role in owning another vehicle alongside an EV—such as range anxiety or tasks that require a larger and more versatile vehicle—so having a secondary option allows consumers to maintain the flexibility to meet diverse transportation needs. To learn more about EV insights, view the full Automotive Consumer Trends Report: Q2 2024 presentation.

Colorado has a great deal to offer first-time homebuyers (FTHBs). While the Denver area attracts many people with its combination of outdoor recreation, culture, and economic opportunities, other parts of Colorado are worthy of attention as well. Take Colorado Springs for example – it ranks third among best places to live in the U.S. when considering lifestyle, the job market, and overall popularity.1 Overview of the Colorado FTHB market Colorado accounts for 2.15% of all U.S. first-time homebuyers, according to Experian Housing’s recent first-time homebuyer report. This figure puts Colorado in the top 20 of all states across the country. Colorado's charm holds a special appeal for younger generations. Known for its wealth of enriching experiences, Colorado naturally attracts adventure-seekers. With an array of outdoor activities like hiking and skiing, it's no wonder that Generation Y and Generation Z make up 75% of all first-time homebuyers in the state, surpassing the national average of ~70%. Affordability With three-quarters of all FTHBs in the younger market segments, affordability is a key consideration in buying a home as housing costs are a significant part of an individual or family’s overall cost of living.2 What determines affordability? Affordability can be assessed through various metrics. For the purposes of this study, Experian Housing defined affordability by calculating the rent-to-mortgage ratio (RTM). This involves comparing monthly rent payments to monthly mortgage payments. A higher rent-to-mortgage ratio suggests renters may find mortgage payments more feasible, potentially making home buying a more appealing option. Comparison of rent costs to mortgage costs What we observed: Based on the RTM ratio, home buying is most affordable in Colorado Springs, Pueblo, and Castle Rock, while renting may look more attractive in Lakewood, Fort Collins, and Arvada. Additional measures to consider: Other realities play a key role in determining what is affordable. A prospective homebuyer’s income, monthly expenses, downpayment funds available, and the cost of the rent or mortgage payment as an added expense against income, factor heavily in final decision-making. In this regard, Experian Housing examined other metrics for assessing affordability. Debt-to-income What we observed: Down payments Sample of CO data observations: (High, mid, low down payments) Sale prices and income What we observed: Experian Housing examined the median sales prices and median incomes across the U.S. This metric is useful to see how much of one’s income typically is going to housing costs in a given area, which again, impacts overall cost of living. Comparison is essential because while sales prices may be higher in a given area, correlation with income helps determine affordability. A closer look at Colorado Springs Colorado Springs ranks #1 in affordability based on Experian’s research, and its status of best affordable place to live considering overall living costs, jobs, and livability is solid.4 The younger generation is the fastest growing population in Colorado Springs. Colorado Springs is expected to be the largest city in the state by 2050 given its current rate of growth and expansion.5 In addition to its five military installations, with a huge U.S. Air Force presence, key job sectors include the larger defense industry, education, technology, and manufacturing. Affordability coupled with opportunity and lifestyle suggest Colorado Springs deserves a closer look and area mortgage lenders have a lot to tout. Experian’s data system offers unique value to lenders given the ability to take a more comprehensive look at a borrower’s financial behavior. Experian uses credit, property, rental, and other alternative data sources to capture the borrower profile. Access to such data also gives Experian a unique ability to conduct research for reports like this one, and the recent reports on Texas and Florida. For more information about the lending possibilities for first-time homebuyers, download our white paper and visit us online. Download white paper Learn more 1 US News & World Report: Best Places to Live in the US 2024-2025 https://realestate.usnews.com/places/rankings/best-places-to-live 2 https://www.experian.com/blogs/insights/top-destinations-for-first-time-homebuyers/ 3 Arvada, Lakewood and Castle Rock, part of the Denver Metro Area and what is popularly known as the Front Range Urban Corridor, also have price to income ratios of 2.8%. 4 https://www.sofi.com/best-affordable-places-to-live-in-colorado/ 5 Colorado Springs Chamber & EDC, coloradospringschamberedc

In today’s digital age, call center fraud is a growing threat that businesses can no longer afford to ignore. As fraudsters become increasingly sophisticated, it’s crucial for companies to implement robust security measures to protect both their operations and their consumers. Various forms of call center fraud can have a significant impact on businesses. To prevent this, companies can use effective strategies including multifactor authentication solutions and account takeover prevention techniques. But first, what is call center fraud? Understanding call center fraud Call center fraud occurs when fraudsters exploit vulnerabilities in customer service operations to gain unauthorized access to sensitive information and commit identity theft. This type of fraud can take many forms, including social engineering, which occurs when a fraudster manipulates a call center agent into providing information or access, and phishing, which occurs when fraudsters use deceptive tactics to obtain confidential details from unsuspecting individuals. One of the most concerning tactics used by fraudsters is impersonation, or pretending to be legitimate consumers to gain access to accounts. Once they have access, they can make unauthorized transactions, change account details, or even take over the account entirely—a scenario known as an account takeover. The impact of these fraudulent activities can be devastating, leading to significant financial losses, damage to brand reputation, and a loss of consumer trust. Key strategies for preventing call center fraud According to recent research, account takeover fraud has increased by 330% in the past two years, projecting to cost $6.24 billion globally.[1] In addition, the number of U.S. consumers who have experienced account takeover has increased from 22% in 2021 to 29% in 2023.[2] To effectively combat call center fraud, businesses must adopt a multi-layered approach that includes advanced technological solutions, comprehensive employee training, and real-time monitoring. Here are some of the most effective strategies: 1. Implementing multifactor authentication (MFA) solutions One of the most effective ways to secure consumer interactions is by implementing multifactor authentication (MFA) solutions. MFA requires users to provide two or more verification factors to gain access to an account or complete a transaction. This adds an extra layer of security, making it significantly more difficult for fraudsters to succeed even if they have obtained some of the consumer’s information. MFA can be integrated into call center operations in several ways. For example, businesses can use voice recognition as a biometric factor, requiring consumers to verify their identity through a unique voiceprint. Other methods include sending a one-time code via text message, which the consumer must provide during the call, or using mobile app verification, where consumers approve transactions directly through their smartphones. 2. Account takeover prevention Account takeover is one of the most serious threats to call centers, as they involve fraudsters gaining control of a consumer’s account, often with disastrous consequences. To prevent account takeover, businesses can employ a combination of technological solutions and best practices. First, understanding what account takeover entails is crucial. It typically begins when a fraudster obtains some of the consumer’s personal information—often through phishing, social engineering, or a data breach. They then use this information to impersonate the consumer and convince call center agents to provide them with access to the account. To combat this, businesses can employ several account takeover prevention techniques. Anomaly detection systems can flag unusual activities, such as login attempts from unfamiliar locations or devices, prompting additional verification steps. Behavioral biometrics is another powerful tool, analyzing patterns in how users interact with their devices to detect inconsistencies that may indicate fraud. Continuous authentication, where the system continuously verifies the user’s identity throughout the session, is also effective in catching fraudsters in the act. 3. Training and awareness Technology alone may not be enough to entirely prevent call center fraud—human factors are equally important. Regular training for call center staff is essential to ensure team members can recognize and respond to potential fraud attempts. Employees should be trained to identify common tactics used by fraudsters, such as social engineering, and to follow strict verification procedures before providing any sensitive information. Awareness campaigns can also play a significant role in preventing fraud. Internally, companies should run regular campaigns to remind employees of the importance of adhering to security protocols. Externally, educating consumers about the risks of fraud and encouraging them to use security features like MFA can help reduce the likelihood of successful attacks. 4. Real-time monitoring and analytics Real-time monitoring is a critical component of an effective fraud prevention strategy. By continuously monitoring calls and transactions, businesses can quickly identify and respond to suspicious activities before they escalate. Advanced analytics tools, including voice analytics and behavior analysis, can provide valuable insights into potential fraud, allowing companies to take proactive measures. Voice analytics, for instance, can detect stress or hesitation in a caller’s voice, which may indicate that they are not who they claim to be. Behavior analysis can track how consumers typically interact with their accounts, flagging deviations from the norm as potential fraud. Continuous improvement is key here—regularly reviewing and updating monitoring protocols ensures that businesses stay ahead of evolving threats. Preventing call center fraud in your business By using a multi-layered fraud approach through a variety of authentication solutions, your business can quickly detect call center fraud without disrupting your consumers’ experience. Identify the risk Identity-based risk detection can pinpoint when a specific identity may be in the hands of fraudsters. Device intelligence solutions can recognize the risk associated with a specific device used to attempt online access. Address the risk Knowledge-based authentication (KBA) can quickly authenticate users by asking questions only they can answer, which can deter fraudsters. MFA services can generate and deliver a one-time password to a consumer’s mobile device to verify their identity in real time. Document verification allows your business to collect and verify images of identity documents uploaded from a consumer’s mobile device. Protect your business and your consumers from call center fraud Call center fraud is a significant threat that requires a proactive and comprehensive approach to prevention. By implementing strategies such as multifactor authentication solutions, account takeover prevention techniques, and robust employee training, businesses can significantly reduce their risk of falling victim to fraud. In today’s fast-paced digital world, staying vigilant and proactive is the key to safeguarding your call center against fraud. Act now to protect your business and maintain the trust of your consumers. Enable your call center to detect risk quickly and effectively with our robust fraud prevention solutions. Get started Download our identity and fraud report This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information. [1] Worldmetrics.org, Account Takeover Statistics: Losses to Reach $6.24 Billion Globally, 2024. [2] Security.org, Account Takeover Incidents are Rising: How to Protect Yourself in 2024.

This series will explore our monthly State of the Economy report, which provides a snapshot of the top monthly economic and credit data for financial service professionals to proactively shape their business strategies. During their September meeting, the Federal Reserve made a highly-anticipated announcement to cut rates for the first time since 2020. Fed officials cut rates by 50bps, while also penciling in an additional 50bps of cuts for 2024 and 100bps of cuts in 2025 in their Summary of Economic Projections. While rates are coming down and inflation continues to cool, there were downward revisions to job creation made in August and declining job openings in July. Data highlights from this month’s report include: The Federal Reserve announced a 50bps rate cut during the September meeting. Annual headline inflation cooled from 2.9% to 2.5%, getting closer to the Fed’s 2% goal. Mortgage originations increased 7.0% in August. Check out our report for a deep dive into the rest of this month’s data, including the latest trends in job creation, retail sales, and consumer sentiment. Download September's report As our economy continues to fluctuate, it's critical to stay updated on the latest developments. Subscribe to our new series, The Macro Moment, for economic commentary from Experian North America's Chief Economist, Joseph Mayans, and download our new Lending Conditions Chartbook for additional insights. For more economic trends and market insights, visit Experian Edge.

As a mortgage lender, understanding the intricacies of the New York housing market is crucial, especially when dealing with first-time homebuyers (FTHBs). While the housing market fluctuates nationwide, New York presents unique challenges and opportunities that require a nuanced approach. Distinguishing NYC from the rest of New York New York City's housing market, along with its suburbs, stands distinct from the rest of the state. With a high cost of living and unique lifestyle, NYC demands a tailored mortgage marketing strategy. This article will highlight key factors affecting affordability in New York, providing valuable insights for mortgage lenders working in this market. Overview of the New York FTHB market According to Experian Housing’s recent report on first-time homebuyers, the state of New York accounts for nearly 4.9% of all first-time homebuyers nationwide.1 More than half of first-time homebuyers are from Generation Y. When combined with Gen Z, these younger buyers make up just over 67% of the state's FTHBs, a figure slightly below the national average of 69%. Affordability metrics: The rent-to-mortgage ratio For many Americans, homeownership represents stability, security, and the future for family, community, and life. However, the decision to buy versus rent often hinges on affordability. Mortgage lenders must understand this dynamic to better assist their clients. Affordability can be defined in various ways. For the purposes of this study, Experian Housing defined affordability by comparing rental and mortgage payments, known as the rent-to-mortgage ratio (RTM ratio). A higher ratio indicates that buying a home is more economically attractive. Again, this metric does not consider incomes and debt levels, but simply housing rental prices and mortgage costs. Based solely on the RTM ratio, the transition from renting to homeownership may be more attractive in New York City, Syracuse, and Oyster Bay, while the transition may be more difficult in Cheektowaga, Amherst, and Hempstead. For mortgage lenders, understanding local markets and buyer profiles is essential. Building trust through personalized service, such as educating buyers on relevant loan programs and showcasing geographic expertise, can set you apart. With this knowledge, you can help buyers make informed decisions about affordability, whether they prefer living in the city or the suburbs. In some areas, the suburbs may offer more affordable options, while in others, the city center might be more cost-effective. Additional factors: Income, debt, and down payments Affordability extends beyond just rent and mortgage payments. Prospective homebuyers must consider their income, monthly expenses, and access to funds for a down payment. Mortgage lenders need to account for these factors when advising first-time homebuyers. Debt-to-income Average DTI across the 14 cities observed was 25.6%. The chart below highlights those at the higher and lower end of the spectrum. Down payments Down payments varied greatly, but the median across the cities observed was 16.5%. The chart below highlights an example at the high, mid, and low point. Sale prices and income Experian Housing analyzed median sales prices and incomes across the U.S., with New York serving as a prime example of the importance of this comparison in assessing affordability. This correlation is crucial; while sales prices may be high, understanding how they align with local incomes helps lenders accurately gauge market dynamics and guide buyers more effectively. In conclusion, having a deep understanding of the New York housing market is invaluable for mortgage lenders aiming to support first-time homebuyers. By leveraging insights into market dynamics, affordability metrics, and borrower profiles, lenders can offer tailored advice that meets the specific needs of their clients. This not only helps buyers navigate the complexities of homeownership but also builds lasting trust and loyalty. Equipped with these insights, you, as a lender, can play a pivotal role in making the dream of homeownership a reality for first-time buyers in New York. Let's continue to empower our clients with the knowledge and guidance they need to make informed and confident decisions in their homebuying journey. For more insights, check out our recent studies on the Florida and Texas markets and download our first-time homebuyer whitepaper. Download white paper Learn more

Effective collection strategies are critical for the financial health of credit unions. Unlike traditional banks, credit unions often emphasize member relationships and community values, making the collection process more tactful. Crafting a strategy that balances the need for financial stability with member-centric values is essential.  Here’s a step-by-step guide on how to create an effective credit union collection strategy. 1. Understand your members The foundation of an effective credit union collection strategy is understanding your members. Credit unions often serve specific communities or groups, and members may face unique financial challenges. By analyzing member demographics, financial behavior, and common reasons for delinquency, you can tailor your approach to be more vigilant and effective. Segment members: Group members based on factors like loan type, payment history, and financial behavior. This allows for targeted communications and outreach strategies. Member communication preferences: Determine how your members prefer to be contacted—whether by phone, email, or in person. This can increase engagement and responsiveness. 2. Prioritize compliance Compliance with regulations is non-negotiable in the collections process. Ensure that your strategy adheres to all relevant laws and guidelines. Fair Debt Collection Practices Act (FDCPA): Ensure that your team is fully trained on the FDCPA and that your practices comply with its requirements. State and local regulations: Be aware of any state or local regulations that may impact your collections process. This could include restrictions on contact methods or times. Internal audits: Regularly conduct internal audits to ensure compliance and identify any areas of risk. 3. Leverage technology for efficiency Technology can streamline the collection process, making it more efficient and a better member experience. Automated reminders: Use automated systems to send reminders before and after payment due dates. This reduces the likelihood of missed payments due to forgetfulness. Data analytics: Use data analytics to identify trends in member behavior, establish a collections prioritization strategy, and predict potential delinquencies. This allows your team to be proactive rather than reactive. Digital communication channels: Implement digital communication options, such as text messages or chatbots to make it easier for members to interact with the credit union. 4. Establish clear communication protocols Early and frequent communication is key to preventing delinquency and managing it when it occurs. Create clear protocols for member communication that prioritize empathy and treatment plans over demands. Early intervention: Reach out to members as soon as they miss a payment. Early intervention can prevent minor issues from escalating. Consistent communication: Ensure that your communication is consistent across all channels. Whether a member receives a call, an email, or a letter, the message should be clear and aligned with the credit union’s values. Human understanding: Train your collections team to use a compassionate tone. Members are more likely to respond positively when they feel understood and respected. 5. Offer flexible payment solutions Flexibility is crucial when working with members who are struggling financially. Offering a range of payment solutions can help members stay on track and reduce the likelihood of default. Customized treatment plans: Offer customizable payment plans that fit the member’s financial situation. This could include lower payments over a longer term or temporary payment deferrals. Loan modifications: In some cases, modifying the terms of the loan—such as extending the repayment period or lowering the interest rate—may be necessary to help the member succeed. Debt consolidation options: If a member has multiple loans, consider offering debt consolidation to simplify their payments and reduce their overall financial burden. 6. Train your collection team Your collection team is the frontline of your strategy. Providing them with the right training and tools is essential for success. Ongoing training: Regularly update your team on the latest regulations, best practices, and communication techniques. This keeps them informed and prepared to handle various situations. Better decision making: Empower your team to make decisions that align with the credit union’s values. This could include offering payment extensions or waiving late fees in certain situations. Regular support: Working in collections can be complex. Provide resources and support to help your team manage stress and maintain a positive attitude. 7. Monitor and adjust your strategy A successful credit union collection strategy is dynamic. Regularly monitor its performance and adjust as needed. Key performance indicators (KPIs): Track KPIs such as delinquency rates, recovery rates, roll-rates and member satisfaction to gauge the effectiveness of your strategy. Member feedback: Survey members who have gone through the collections process. Their insights can help you identify areas for improvement. Continuous improvement: Use data and feedback to continuously refine your strategy. What worked last year may not be as effective today, so staying adaptable is key. Creating an effective credit union collections strategy requires a balance of empathy, effective communication, and compliance. By understanding your members, communicating clearly, offering flexible solutions, leveraging technology, and continuously improving your approach, you can develop a strategy that not only reduces delinquency but also strengthens member relationships. In today’s fiercely competitive landscape, where efficiency and efficacy stand paramount, working with the right partner equipped with innovative credit union solutions can dramatically transform your outcomes. Choosing us for your debt collection needs signifies an investment in premier analytics, advanced debt recovery tools, and unmatched support.  Learn more Watch credit union collection chat This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information.

Fraud-as-a-Service (FaaS) represents an emerging and increasingly sophisticated business model within cybercrime. In this model, malicious actors commercialize their expertise, tools, and infrastructure, enabling others to perpetrate fraud more easily and efficiently. These FaaS offerings are often accessible via dark web marketplaces or underground forums, streamlining and automating fraud processes, such as large-scale phishing campaigns. This enables the creation of convincing counterfeit websites and the distribution of bulk emails, allowing cybercriminals to harvest credentials and personal information en masse.   Organized cybercrime syndicates leverage account creation bots to establish hundreds of fraudulent accounts across various platforms, bypassing standard security protocols and scaling their illicit activities seamlessly. A fraudster no longer requires deep technical skills or detailed knowledge of complex verification techniques, such as liveness detection. Instead, they can acquire turnkey FaaS solutions that, for instance, inject pre-recorded video footage to spoof verification processes, enabling the rapid creation of thousands of fraudulent accounts.  The commoditization of fraud has effectively democratized it, lowering the barriers to entry. Previously accessible to a select few, FaaS has developed sophisticated techniques and is now available to a broader and less technically adept audience. Now, even individuals with basic computer skills can access these services and initiate fraudulent schemes with minimal effort.   Key tools in the FaaS arsenal  Central to the success of fraud-as-a-service is the ability to create fraudulent accounts while evading detection. This process can be alarmingly straightforward, even for companies adhering to industry-recognized best practices. Widely available programs, such as app cloners, enable fraudsters to generate multiple instances of the same application on a single device, modifying its source code to bypass security measures to detect such activities. The generalization of artifical intelligence (AI) and increased access to technology have provided cybercriminals with new tools to launch sophisticated scams, such as Pig Butchering and Authorized Push Payment (APP) scams.   Similarly, image injection tools facilitate the insertion of manipulated images to deceive verification systems, while emulators simulate legitimate device activity at scale, making detection more challenging. Techniques such as location spoofing allow fraudsters to alter the perceived geographical location of a device, thereby evading location-based security checks and allowing their scams to remain undetected.  Once fraudulent accounts are established, cybercriminals focus on monetizing their efforts. Industries like food delivery and ride-hailing are particularly vulnerable to promotional abuse. Fraudsters exploit promotional offers intended for new customers by using cloned apps, injected images, and emulators to create multiple fake accounts, redeem discounts, and resell them for profit. AI-driven automation and advanced communication technologies lower the barriers for these scams, enabling criminals to operate at a larger scale and with greater efficiency. This has made scams more pervasive and difficult for individuals and institutions to detect.  In the ride-hailing industry, these tactics are used to manipulate fare structures and incentives. Fraudsters operate multiple driver or rider accounts on the same device to earn referral bonuses and other promotional rewards. Emulators can simulate rides with fabricated start and end points, while location spoofing tools manipulate GPS data, inflating fares, and earnings. Such fraudulent activities result in significant financial losses for companies and degrade service quality for legitimate users, as resources are diverted from genuine transactions and logistical algorithms are disrupted.  The implications of FaaS for businesses  The commercialization of fraud poses a substantial threat to businesses, not only by democratizing fraud but also by enabling it to rapidly scale. . Fraudsters can experiment with multiple schemes simultaneously, sharing feedback and accelerating their learning curve. A single tool developed by one individual can be deployed by numerous bad actors to perpetrate fraud on a large scale, with remarkable speed. This ease of execution allows fraudsters to overwhelm companies with a barrage of attacks, maximizing their financial gains while exacerbating the challenges of fraud prevention for targeted organizations.  Developing a FaaS-Resilient fraud prevention strategy  To effectively combat fraud-as-a-service, businesses must adopt AI fraud strategies that mirror the operational sophistication of fraudsters. These cybercriminals treat their activities as profitable enterprises, continually optimizing their return on investment through scalable and adaptable tactics. By deeply understanding the methodologies employed by fraudsters, companies can develop more effective fraud prevention measures that disrupt fraudulent operations without inconveniencing legitimate users.  Proactive fraud prevention strategies are essential in countering FaaS tactics. Effective measures rely on robust data collection and analysis. Regular reviews of key performance indicators (KPIs) and velocity checks, which monitor the rate at which users complete transactions, can help identify irregular behaviors.  Passive signals, such as device fingerprinting and location intelligence, are also invaluable in detecting suspicious activities. By scrutinizing data related to app tampering or device emulation, businesses can more accurately determine whether a genuine user is accessing their platform or if a fraudster is attempting to bypass detection.  Given the dynamic nature of FaaS, adaptation is crucial. Fraud prevention strategies must evolve continually to keep pace with emerging threats. Advanced technologies offer nuanced insights into user behavior, enabling businesses to identify and thwart fraud attempts with greater precision. Moreover, cutting-edge risk monitoring tools can help avoid false positives, ensuring that legitimate users are not unduly impacted.  As fraudsters persist in innovating and refining their tactics, organizations must remain vigilant, stay informed about emerging trends, invest in advanced fraud prevention and detection technologies, and cultivate a culture of security and awareness. While it may be tempting to underestimate fraudsters due to the illicit nature of their activities, it is important to recognize that many approach their work with a level of professionalism comparable to legitimate businesses. Understanding this reality offers valuable insights into how companies can effectively counteract fraud and protect their monetary interests.  Learn more This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information.

In this article...What is reject inference? How can reject inference enhance underwriting? Techniques in reject inference Enhancing reject inference design for better classification How Experian can assist with reject inference  In the lending world, making precise underwriting decisions is key to minimizing risks and optimizing returns. One valuable yet often overlooked technique that can significantly enhance your credit underwriting process is reject inferencing. This blog post offers insights into what reject inference is, how it can improve underwriting, and various reject inference methods.  What is reject inference?  Reject inference is a statistical method used to predict the potential performance of applicants who were rejected for a loan or credit — or approved but did not book. In essence, it helps lenders and financial institutions gauge how rejected or non-booked applicants might have performed had they been accepted or booked. By incorporating reject inference, you gain a more comprehensive view of the applicant pool, which leads to more informed underwriting decisions.  Utilizing reject inference helps reduce biases in your models, as decisions are based on a complete set of data, including those who were initially rejected. This technique is crucial for refining credit risk models, leading to more accurate predictions and improved financial outcomes.  How can reject inference enhance underwriting?  Incorporating reject inference into your underwriting process offers several advantages:  Identifying high-potential customers: By understanding the potential behavior of rejected applicants, you can uncover high-potential customers who might have been overlooked before.  Improved risk assessment: Considering the full spectrum of applicants provides a clearer picture of the overall risk landscape, allowing for more informed lending decisions. This can help reduce default rates and enhance portfolio performance.  Optimizing credit decisioning models: Including inferred data from rejected and non-booked applicants makes your credit scoring models more representative of the entire applicant population. This results in more robust and reliable predictions.  Techniques in reject inference  Several techniques are employed in reject inference, each with unique strengths and applications. Understanding these techniques is crucial for effectively implementing reject inference in your underwriting process. Let's discuss three commonly used techniques:  Parceling: This technique involves segmenting rejected applicants based on their characteristics and behaviors, creating a more detailed view of the applicant pool for more precise predictions.  Augmentation: This method adds inferred data to the dataset of approved applicants, producing a more comprehensive model that includes both approved and inferred rejected applicants, leading to better predictions.  Reweighting: This technique adjusts the weights of approved applicants to reflect the characteristics of rejected applicants, minimizing bias towards the approved applicants and improving prediction accuracy.  Pre-diction method  The pre-diction method is a common approach in reject inference that uses data collected at the time of application to predict the performance of rejected applicants. The advantage of this method is its reliance on real-time data, making it highly relevant and current.  For example, pre-diction data can include credit bureau attributes from the time of application. This method helps develop a model that predicts the outcomes of rejected applicants based on performance data from approved applicants. However, it may not capture long-term trends and could be less effective for applicants with unique characteristics.  Post-diction method  The post-diction method uses data collected after the performance window to predict the performance of rejected applicants. Leveraging historical data, this method is ideal for capturing long-term trends and behaviors.  Post-diction data may include credit bureau attributes from the end of the performance window. This method helps develop a model based on historical performance data, which is beneficial for applicants with unique characteristics and can lead to higher performance metrics. However, it may be less timely and require more complex data processing compared to pre-diction.  Enhancing reject inference design for better classification  To optimize your reject inference design, focus on creating a model that accurately classifies the performance of rejected and non-booked applicants. Utilize a combination of pre-diction and post-diction data to capture both real-time and historical trends.  Start by developing a parceling model using pre-diction data, such as credit bureau attributes from the time of application, to predict rejected applicants' outcomes. Regularly update your model with the latest data to maintain its relevance.  Next, incorporate post-diction data, including attributes from the end of the performance window, to capture long-term trends. Combining both data types will result in a more comprehensive model.  Consider leveraging advanced analytics techniques like machine learning and artificial intelligence to refine your model further, identifying hidden patterns and relationships for more accurate predictions. How Experian can assist with reject inference  Reject inference is a powerful tool for enhancing your underwriting process. By predicting the potential performance of rejected and non-booked applicants, you can make more inclusive and accurate decisions, leading to improved risk assessment and optimized credit scoring models.  Experian offers various services and solutions to help financial institutions and lenders effectively implement reject inference into their decisioning strategy. Our solutions include comprehensive and high-quality datasets, which empower you to build models that are more representative of the entire applicant population. Additionally, our advanced analytics tools simplify data analysis and model development, enabling you to implement reject inference efficiently without extensive technical expertise.  Ready to elevate your underwriting process? Contact us today to learn more about our suite of advanced analytics solutions or hear what our experts have to say in this webinar.  Watch Webinar Learn More This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information. 

Quick Answer: A new consumer survey reveals that 90% of survey respondents would like to have more than one Vehicle History Report when shopping for a used car. Offering an Experian AutoCheck® VHR as a second Vehicle History Report is a smart, simple strategy to help you close more deals.   In today’s used car market, standing out from the crowd is more important than ever. As buyers become savvier and more informed, dealerships need to find new ways to build trust and close sales. One simple yet effective strategy? Offering a second Vehicle History Report (VHR) to your customers. Why VHRs Matter So Much Let’s face it—buying a car is a big deal. Most people don’t just walk onto a lot and pick the first car they see. They do their homework, and a big part of that research involves Vehicle History Reports. In fact, a recent survey found that 70% of people used a VHR the last time they bought a car. And it’s not just a one-time thing—83% of buyers say they’ll use a VHR for their next purchase too. Why? Because these reports provide crucial details like accident history, mileage accuracy, and service records that give buyers confidence in their decisions. The Case for Offering Multiple VHRs Here’s something that might surprise you: 90% of surveyed car buyers said they’d like to see more than one VHR when shopping for a used car. Think about that for a second. People want that extra layer of reassurance that only comes from cross-checking information. This is especially true for those who prefer buying from dealerships—these customers expect comprehensive, reliable data before they make a decision. How Multiple VHRs Can Give Your Dealership an Edge So, what’s the big deal about offering more than one VHR? It’s all about trust and transparency. Just like banks look at multiple credit reports before approving a loan, offering multiple VHRs can help you provide a fuller, more accurate picture of a vehicle’s history. This can reduce your liability and protect your dealership’s reputation. We have done some digging into this, and the results are eye-opening. For instance, in one case study, a dealership found additional damage events through an Experian AutoCheck® VHR that weren’t picked up by other VHRs. This kind of discrepancy shows just how valuable it can be to provide that second report—it helps ensure that all the facts are on the table, which protects both you and your customers. Meeting and Exceeding Customer Expectations Here’s something else to keep in mind: people expect dealerships to go the extra mile. The survey found that 86% of used car buyers believe VHRs should be provided for free by the dealership. By offering multiple reports at no additional cost, you’re not just meeting their expectations—you’re exceeding them. And that’s a surefire way to boost customer confidence, satisfaction, and, ultimately, your sales. What You Can Do Today Offering a second Vehicle History Report is a smart, simple strategy to help you close more deals. It shows your customers that you’re committed to transparency and that you care about providing them with all the information they need to make a confident decision. In a competitive market, it’s the little things like this that can make a big difference. Your customers—and your bottom line—will thank you. Experian Automotive is here to help you with your vehicle history data needs.  If you’d like to learn more about our AutoCheck solution and how we can support you, click below to have someone from our team contact you.