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Personal loans have been booming for the past couple of years with double-digit growth year-over-year. But the party can’t last forever, right? In a recent Experian webinar, experts noted they have seen originations leveling off. In fact, numbers indicate it’s gone from leveled off to a slight year-over-year decline. They projected the first quarter of calendar year 2017 may also be down, but then we’ll see a peak again in the second quarter, which is typical with the seasonality often associated with personal loans. The landscape is changing. A recent data pull revealed a 9-point shift in the average VantageScore® credit score for originations from Q3 to Q4 of 2016. Lenders are digging deeper in order to keep their loan volumes up, and it is definitely a more competitive marketplace. The days where lenders were once able to grow their personal loan business with little effort are gone. Kelley Motley, Experian’s director of analytics, noted some of the personal loan origination volume shifts may be due to the rebound in the housing market and increased housing values, enabling super-prime and prime consumers to now also consider home equity loans and lines of credit, in lieu of personal loans. Still, the personal loan market is healthy. Lenders just need to be smart about their marketing efforts and utilize data to improve their response rates, expand their risk criteria to identify consumers trending upward in the credit ranks, and then retain them as their cash-flow and financial situations evolve. In the presentation, experts revealed a few interesting stats: 67% of those that open a personal installment loan had a revolving trade with a balance >$0 5% of consumer that close a personal loan reopen another within a few months of the original loan closure 68% of consumers that re-open a new personal loan within a short timeframe of closing another personal loan do so with the same company Together, these stats illustrate that individuals are largely leveraging personal loans to consolidate debt or perhaps fund an expense like a vacation or an unexpected event. Once the consumer comes into cash, they’ll pay off the loan, but consider revisiting a personal loan again if their financial situation warrants it. The calendar year Q2 peak has been consistent since the Great Recession. For many consumers, after racking up holiday debt and end-of-year expenses, the bills start coming in during the first quarter. With the high APRs often attached to revolving cards, there is a sense of urgency to consolidate and lock in a more reasonable rate. Others utilize the personal loan to fund weddings, vacations and home improvement projects.  Kyle Matthies, a senior product manager for Experian, reminded participants that most people don’t need your product, so it’s essential to leverage data find those that do. Utilizing propensity score and attributes, as well as tools to dig into ability-to-pay metrics and offer alignment can really fine-tune both an organization’s marketing and retention strategies. To learn more about the current state of personal loans, access our free webinar How lenders can capitalize on the growth in personal loans.

The market is inevitably changing, and while batch and daily alerts are still effective in tackling client and consumer challenges, you are probably seeing more real-time alerts. Perhaps you were at the auto dealership applying for a car loan and you got an instant alert on your mobile app revealing there was an inquiry pulled on your credit report.  Or maybe you applied for a credit card online and instead of waiting for weeks to see if you got approved, you receive notification on the spot. It’s official. We live in a world where we want immediate and instant feedback, communication, and decisions. From a client’s perspective, this means getting a credit-event alert on a customer now vs. 24 hours later. Delays can sometimes mean the difference of losing or retaining a customer. In a recent Experian survey, findings revealed consumers expect to be notified of changes to their credit profile as they occur in real time. In fact, 90 percent of Experian Members said they place a “high value on real-time alerts.” To meet these consumer expectations, clients can consider implementing a trigger solution to offer real-time notifications on inquiries, security alerts and consumer disputes. These triggering events are pushed in real-time as opposed to a 24- to 48-hour turnaround when using standard daily triggers. What are inquiry and security alert triggers? Inquiry triggers cover 13 different industries and also fraud, theft, and active-duty military alerts. They are designed specifically for financial institutions that wish to monitor their existing customer base for account management, and for consumers wanting immediate awareness, education, and protection of their credit. How do real-time triggers work in the consumer dispute process? Dispute updates can be pushed out to the consumer in real-time as opposed to the standard dispute process that takes up to 30 days to receive an update. These triggers also include freeze, thaw and lift alerts pushed in real-time as opposed to the typical 24- to 48-hour turnaround when using standard daily triggers. These alerts are designed specifically for consumers wanting immediate awareness, education, and protection of their credit. Other than the speed of delivery, are there any other differences between daily vs. real-time triggers? Instead of having the files run nightly with the trigger report being sent to the client every morning through a STS delivery method, the real-time events are pushed via Cloud or STS delivery method.  Clients can retrieve these events at their own pace. Implementation time takes around two weeks. Are there additional opportunities to utilize real-time triggers? In addition to real-time inquiry alerts designed for companies to monitor their existing customer base for retention purposes, Experian also offers real-time inquiry alerts for prospecting and marketing purposes. This means financial institutions can identify which consumers are shopping for new credit in real-time.  As a result, immediate firm offers of credit or cross-sell offers could be sent to consumers before it’s too late.

When you think of criteria for prescreen credit marketing, what comes to mind? Most people will immediately discuss the risk criteria used to ensure consumers receiving the mailing will qualify for the product offered. Others mention targeting criteria to increase response rates and ROI. But if this is all you’re looking at, chances are you’re not seeing the whole picture. When it comes to building campaigns, marketers should consider the entire customer lifecycle, not just response rates. Yes, response rates drive ROI and can usually be measured within a couple months of the campaign drop. But what happens after the accounts get booked? Traditionally, marketers view what happens after origination as the responsibility of other teams. Managing delinquencies, attrition, and loyalty are fringe issues for the marketing manager, not the main focus. But more and more, marketers must expand their role in the organization by taking a comprehensive approach to credit marketing. In fact, truly successful campaigns will target consumers that build lasting relationships with the institution by using the three pillars of comprehensive credit marketing. Pillar #1: Maximize Response Rates At any point in time, most consumers have no interest in your products. You don’t have to look far to prove this out. Many marketing campaigns are lucky to achieve greater than a 1% response rate. As a result, marketers frequently leverage propensity to open models to improve results. These scores are highly effective at identifying consumers who are most likely to be receptive to your offer, while saving those that are not for future efforts. However, many stop with this single dimension. The fact is no propensity tool can pick out 100% of responders. Layering just a couple credit attributes to a propensity score allows you to swap in new consumers. Simultaneously, credit attributes can identify consumers with high propensity scores that are actually unlikely to open a new account. The net effect is even higher response rates than can be achieved by using a propensity score alone. Pillar #2: Risk Expansion Credit criteria are usually set using a risk score with some additional attributes. For example, a lender may target consumers with a credit score greater than 700 and no derogatory or delinquent accounts reported in the past 12 months. But, most of this data is based on a “snapshot” of the credit profile and ignores trends in the consumer’s use of credit. Consider a consumer who currently has a 690 credit score and has spent the past six months paying down debt. During that time, utilization has dropped from 66% to 41%, they’ve paid off and closed two trades, and balances have reduced from $21,000 to $13,000. However, if you only target consumers with a score greater than 700, this consumer would never appear on your prescreen list. Trended data helps spot how consumers use data over time. Using swap set analysis, you can expand your approval criteria without taking on the incremental risk. Being there when a consumer needs you is the first step in building long-term relationships. Pillar #3: Customer profitability and early attrition There’s more to profitability than just originating loans. What happens to your profitability assumptions when a consumer opens a loan and closes it within a few months? According to recent research by Experian, as many as 26% of prime and super-prime consumers, and 38% of near-prime consumers had closed a personal loan trade within nine months of opening. Further, nearly 32% of consumers who closed a loan early opened a new personal loan trade within a few months. Segmentation can help identify consumers who are likely to close a personal loan early, giving account management teams a head start to try and retain them. As it turns out, many consumers use personal loans as a form of revolving debt. These consumers occasionally close existing trades and open new trades to get access to more cash. Anticipating who is likely to close a loan early allows your retention team to focus on understanding their needs. If you don’t, you’re competition will take advantage through their marketing efforts. Building the strategy Building a comprehensive strategy is an iterative process. It’s critical for organizations to understand each campaign is an opportunity to learn and refine the methodology. Consistently leveraging control and test groups and new data assets will allow the process to become more efficient over time. Importantly, marketers should work closely across the organization to understand broader objectives and pain points. Credit data can be used to predict a range of future behaviors. As such, marketing managers should play a greater role as the gatekeepers to the organization’s growth.

When it comes to credit marketing, there's no magic bullet. Still, consumers have changed, so lenders should mix it up. It's time to evolve beyond direct mail.

The holidays are behind us, the presents are unwrapped, resolutions have been made and may already be broken. For many, it’s the most depressing time of the year as the reality of holiday spending settles in. According to the American Consumer Credit Council the average American spends $935 on gifts each holiday season. A recent report by Mintel showed the average consumer held $16,000 in debt at the end of 2015. Now is the time to reach out to consumers who may be suffering from a financial hangover; an Experian study revealed consumers typically look to personal loans for help with credit card debt in the second quarter of each year. What’s the best way to reach these consumers? Direct mail is still one of the most successful paths. Here are four keys to securing new personal loan customers via direct mail marketing: Focus on education: Some of the most successful direct mail campaigns for personal loans in 2015 focused on educating consumers about personal loans first, and then showing options for debt consolidation. Consumers are weary of trusting new lenders, according to Mintel, with 50% viewing them as riskier than banks and credit unions. Marketplace and online lenders should take the extra step of introducing their brand and showing their product as a safe option. Highlight the use of the loan: Consumers generally have a negative attitude toward debt, with 72% feeling uncomfortable holding any type of debt. Stressing that personal loans are a responsible tool for consolidating debt is critical. Some effective campaigns listed the top three reasons to choose a personal loan, while others used customer testimonials to show how a personal loan was used and how they benefited. Provide a competitive comparison: Another way to highlight the benefits of personal loans is by comparing the fixed rates and payments of a personal loan to credit cards. Many consumers consolidate credit card debt to one card immediately after the holidays, according to the Experian study. Simply showing the long-term benefit of a personal loan versus credit card is often enough to trigger action. Personalize the offer: Lenders are delivering more personal, relevant offers that are tailored to the interests of each recipient through the use of the latest personalization technology. For example, highlight the recipient’s specific qualifying loan amount or the qualifying loan rate for which they are eligible. Unsecured loans have experienced growing popularity in the last several years, and originations are poised for a seasonal peak in the coming months. Are you ready?

Experian shares five trends and twists coming over the next 12 months, that could push new boundaries and in many cases improve the customer experience as it pertains to the world of credit and finance.

As 2016 comes to a close, many in the financial services industry are trying to assess the impact the Trump administration and Republican controlled Congress will have on regulatory issues. Answers to these questions may be clearer after President-elect Trump is inaugurated on Jan. 20. However, those in the federal regulatory environment are already exploring oversight and regulation of the FinTech and marketplace lending sector. Warning on alternative credit risk models Inquiries by federal and state policymakers over the past year have centered on how FinTech and marketplace lenders are assessing credit risk. In particular, regulators have asked about how credit models different from traditional credit scoring models and what, if any, new attributes or data are being incorporated into credit risk models for consumers and small businesses. On Dec. 2, Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard signaled that policymakers continue to be interested in this area during a wide-ranging speech on the potential opportunities and risks associated with FinTech. In particular, Brainard warned that “While nontraditional data may have the potential to help evaluate consumers who lack credit histories, some data may raise consumer protection concerns” and that nontraditional data “… may not necessarily have a broadly agreed upon or empirically established nexus with creditworthiness and may be correlated with characteristics protected by fair lending laws.” Brainard also suggested that there are transparency concerns with alternative scoring models, saying that “alternative credit scoring methods present new challenges that could raise questions of fairness and transparency” given that consumers may not always understand what data is used utilized and how it impacts a consumer’s ability to access credit at an affordable price. Look for regulators and Congress to continue to focus on the fairness and accuracy of new credit risk models and the data underpinning those models in debates surrounding FinTech and Marketplace lending in 2017. A national charter for FinTech? Earlier this month, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) announced that it was considering the creation of a national charter for FinTech lenders. There has long been speculation that the OCC would offer a national charter for FinTech. Analysts have suggested that the creation of a charter could help increase regulatory oversight of the growing market and also provide additional regulatory certainty for the emerging FinTech industry. The OCC’s proposal would create a special purpose national bank charter for FinTech businesses that are engaged in at least one of three core banking activities: receiving deposits; paying checks; or lending money. The OCC will be developing a formal agency policy for evaluating special purpose bank charters for Fintech companies that will designate the specific criteria that companies applying for a charter will have to meet for approval. OCC has suggested that this will likely focus on safety and soundness; financial inclusion; consumer protection; and community reinvestment. The OCC is collecting comments on the proposed policy through Jan. 15, 2017.  

Will 2017 finally be the year that lenders embrace digital credit marketing? Here are three reasons they should, if they haven't taken the plunge.

The holidays can be a stressful time of year for consumers, and also an important time for lenders to anticipate the aftermath of big credit card spend.

It's the holiday season - you've been breached. Fraudsters and other criminals can make one of the busiest shopping times of the year, a miserable one.

Which part of the country has bragging rights when it comes to sporting the best consumer credit scores? Drum roll please … Honors go to the Midwest. In fact, eight of the 10 cities with the highest consumer credit scores heralded from Minnesota and Wisconsin. Mankato, Minn., earned the highest ranking with an average credit score of 708 and Greenwood, Miss., placed last with an average credit score of 622. Even better news is that the nation’s average credit score is up four points; 669 to 673 from last year and is only six points away from the 2007 average of 679, which is a promising sign as the economy continues to rebound. Experian’s annual study ranks American cities by credit score and reveals which cities are the best and worst at managing their credit, along with a glimpse at how the nation and each generation is faring. “All credit indicators suggest consumers are not as ‘credit stressed’ — credit card balances and average debt are up while utilization rates remained consistent at 30 percent,” said Michele Raneri, vice president of analytics and new business development at Experian. As for the generational victors, the Silents have an average 730, Boomers come in with 700, Gen X with 655 and Gen Y with 634. We’re also starting to see Gen Z emerge for the first time in the credit ranks with an average score of 631. Couple this news with other favorable economic indicators and it appears the country is humming along in a positive direction. The stock market reached record highs post-election. Bankcard originations and balances continue to grow, dominated by the prime borrower. And the housing market is healthy with boomerang borrowers re-emerging. An estimated 2.5 million Americans will see a foreclosure fall of their credit report between June 2016 and June 2017, creating a new pool of potential buyers with improved credit profiles. More than 12 percent who foreclosed back in the Great Recession have already boomeranged to become homeowners again, while 29 percent who experienced a short sale during that same time have also recently taken on a mortgage. “We are seeing the positive effects of economic recovery with the rise in income and low unemployment reflected in how Americans are managing their credit,” said Raneri. Which means all is good in the world of credit. Of course there is always room for improvement, but this year’s 7th annual state of credit reveals there is much to be thankful for in 2016.

For members of the U.S. military, relocating often, returning home following a lengthy deployment and living with uncertainty isn’t easy. It can take an emotional and financial toll, and many are unprepared for their economic reality after they separate from the military. As we honor those who have served our country this Veterans Day, we are highlighting some of the special financial benefits and safeguards available to help veterans. Housing Help One of the best benefits offered to service members is the Veteran’s Administration (VA) home-loan program. Loan rates are competitive, and the VA guarantees up to 25 percent of the payment on the loan, making it one of the only ways available to buy a home with no down payment and no private mortgage insurance. Debt Relief Having a VA loan qualifies military members for a Military Debt Consolidation Loan (MDCL) that can help with overcoming financial difficulties. The MDCL is similar to a debt consolidation loan: take out one loan to pay off all unsecured debts, such as credit cards, medical bills and payday loans, and make a single payment to one lender. The advantage of a MDCL? Paying a lower interest rate and closing costs than civilians and far less interest than paying the same bills with credit cards. These refinancing loans can be spread out over 10, 15 and sometimes 30 years. Education Benefits The GI Bill is arguably the best benefit for veterans and members of the armed forces. It helps service members pay for higher education for themselves and their dependents, and is one of the top reasons people enlist. Eligible service members receive up to 36 months of education benefits, based on the type of training, length of service, college fund availability and whether he or she contributed to a buy-up program while on active duty. Benefits last up to 10 years, but the time limit may be extended. Saving & Investing Money According to the Department of Defense’s annual Demographics Report, 87 percent of military families contribute to a retirement account. Service members who participated in the Thrift Savings Plan, however, are often unaware of their options after they separate from service, and many don’t realize the advantages of rolling their plans into an IRA or retirement plan of a new employer. Safeguarding Identity Everyone is a potential identity theft target, but military personnel and veterans are particularly vulnerable. Routinely reviewing a credit report is one way to detect a breach. The Attorney General's Office provides general information about what steps to take to recover from identify theft or fraud. Today is a great time to consider ways to support your veteran and active military consumers. They are deserving of our support and recognition not just today but continuously. Learn more about services for veterans and active military to understand the varying protections, and how financial institutions can best support military credit consumers and their families.

The mortgage meltdown and Great Recession have translated into big shifts as it relates to financial services regulations. What's to come with a new administration coming soon?

$1.3 trillion. 41.1 million Americans. $31,590. These are the growing numbers associated with student loan debt in the United States: $1.3 trillion in outstanding student loans, spread across 41.1 million people, who are leaving college with an average balance of $31,590. The numbers are staggering, and for the first time student loan debt is playing a prominent role in a presidential election. For all of their differences, presidential nominees Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump seem to agree on one thing: student loan debt is a crushing burden. Both candidates have proposed solutions for student lending. Clinton’s “New College Compact” would allow borrowers to refinance their student loans at current rates available to students taking out new loans. She also wants to reduce interest rates on new student loans, and make it easier for borrowers to enroll in income-driven repayment programs that would cap monthly payments at 10 percent of discretionary income. Trump proposes giving more oversight to colleges to decide whether to grant loans to students based on their prospective major. The plan would also give private banks oversight over government-backed student loans—reversing a 2010 decision under President Obama to make the federal government the lender. Neither candidate, however, has outlined a solution for taming growing tuition costs. Tuition expenses are up 1,225 percent over the past 36 years, outpacing medical costs (634 percent rise) and the consumer price index (279 percent) over the same period, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. So it’s not surprising an Experian study shows the student loan rate has grown five percent in the past three years. What is surprising is the number of people and the average age of those people holding student loans. Experian found: 20 percent of people with a credit file hold a student loan that is being repaid or deferred. The average age of a consumer with a student loan is 37, with an average income of $47,200 compared to 53.8 and an average income is $44,500 for consumers without a student loan. The average age of a consumer with at least one deferred student loan is 32.7 with an average income of $32,900 compared to 38.7 and an average income of $53,200 for consumers with at least one non-deferred student loan. Candidate proposals aside, one thing is certain: student loan debt has a very real impact on the daily lives of people, many of whom have delayed buying homes, starting families, and saving for retirement. Until policymakers find a way to address bloated tuitions and student debt, it will take many longer to realize their dreams.

Since 1948, International Credit Union Day – a time to recognize the credit union movement – has been celebrated the third Thursday of October. The day is the perfect time to remind your members and consumers about all of the services and benefits your credit union offers. This year’s theme, “The Authentic Difference,” celebrates what makes credit unions stand out. Here are 10 reasons CUs deserve a spotlight: Credit unions are non-profit cooperatives, owned and operated by its members. That means they emphasize consumer value to more than 217 million members worldwide. Profits go back to members in the form of reduced fees, higher savings rates and lower loan rates. Personal relationships are key. Credit unions pride themselves on developing relationships with their members, and CUs are typically staffed by friendly reps who know customers by name. Checking accounts are free. Roughly 80 percent of credit unions offer free checking accounts, compared to less than 50 percent of banks, according to economic research firm Moebs Services. Few ATM fees. Many credit union customers are able to avoid ATM fees because CUs typically give them access to a large network of ATMs by sharing branches and other resources. Savings rates are above average. Because credit unions don't have to pay dividends to shareholders and are exempt from federal taxes they can offer high rates on saving accounts. The average credit union offers CD, money market, and savings rates well above the national banking rates average. Lower interest rates. Credit unions offer lower interest rates on some loans. The difference between banks and credit unions was greatest in car-loan interest rates, according to a September report by SNL Financial. The average 36-month used-car loan interest rate offered by CUs was 2.67 percent compared to 4.45 percent for banks. For new-car loans, CUs offered an average interest rate for 48 months of 2.60 percent compared to 3.94 percent for banks. Invested in the community. A credit union’s core values are focused on its members and the communities where they live and work. Many provide financial education and outreach to consumers. It’s easier to get credit. CUs don’t have to abide by loan restrictions and qualifications mandated by a corporate office, so they have more flexibility to make loans when possible. Small-business support: CUs may know borrowers and are able to take into account intangibles like community reputation and accountability. Also, they understand the value to the community of a small business, its market and credit needs. Joining is easy. Many credit unions base eligibility simply on where you live, instead of restricting membership to a particular employer. Since expanding eligibility, credit union membership has grown by about two percent a year for the past decade.