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What bubble?

by Traci Krepper 1 min read June 15, 2017


Subprime vehicle loans

When discussing automotive lending, it seems like one term is on everyone’s lips: “subprime auto loan bubble.” But what is the data telling us?

  • Subprime auto lending reached a 10-year record low for Q1.
  • The 30-day delinquency rate dropped 0.5% from Q1 2016 to Q1 2017.
  • Super-prime share of new vehicle loans increased from 27.4% in Q1 2016 to 29.12% in Q1 2017.

The truth is, lenders are making rational decisions based on shifts in the market. When delinquencies started going up, the lending industry shifted to more creditworthy customers — average credit scores for both new and used vehicle loans are on the rise.

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  As vehicle prices and interest rates continue to evolve, both consumers and lenders are recalibrating their approaches to affordability and long-term sustainability. This shift has resulted in the subprime segment growing to its largest share of total finance market for subprime in the fourth quarter since 2021. According to Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q4 2025, subprime borrowers accounted for 15.31% of total vehicle financing, an increase from 14.54% in Q4 2024. To understand why the subprime space is evolving, we took a deeper dive into the affordability picture and how changes in pricing and interest rates are influencing both consumer decisions and lender strategies. In Q4 2025, the average loan amount for a new vehicle increased $1,882 from the prior year to $43,582, and the average interest rate for a new vehicle went from 6.34% last year to 6.37% this quarter. As a result, the average monthly payment increased from $746 to $767 in the same time frame. On the used side, the average loan amount increased $872 year-over-year, reaching $27,528 in Q4 2025. However, despite the average interest rate declining from 11.63% to 11.26% during the same time, the average monthly payment grew $9 from last year to $537 this quarter. These changes are prompting thoughtful adjustments across the automotive ecosystem. Consumers are comparing financing options more carefully and adjusting loan terms when necessary to prioritize the cost of ownership. Lenders are also focusing more on payment flexibility and how long-term borrowers are performing as they leverage it for central pillars of strategies to stay ahead of the ever-evolving market. To learn more about automotive finance trends, view the full State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q4 2025 presentation on demand.

by Melinda Zabritski 1 min read March 5, 2026

Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q3 2022 found that consumers with credit scores between 300 and 660—also considered as the nonprime segments—are continuing to opt for used vehicles rather than new.

by Melinda Zabritski 1 min read December 6, 2022

According to Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q2 2022, the average new vehicle interest loan rate for consumers with a credit score between 501 and 600, also referred to as subprime, was 9.75%—compared to prime consumers with a credit score between 661 and 780, who had an average new vehicle interest loan rate of 4.03% this quarter.

by Melinda Zabritski 1 min read September 20, 2022

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