With steady sales growth the past several years, the auto industry has had a great run since the trough of the Great Recession in 2009. Based on the latest data published in the State of the Automotive Finance Market report, the auto industry’s robust sales totaled more than 17 million vehicles in 2016, pushing the total open auto loan balances to a record high of $1.072 trillion, up from $987 billion in Q4 2015. Despite the current boom, new vehicle affordability is becoming more challenging. The average monthly payment for a new vehicle loan jumped from $493 in Q4 2015 to $506 in Q4 2016, while the average new vehicle loan reached an all-time high in Q4 2016, at $30,621. In addition, the chasm between new vehicle loan and used vehicle loan average amounts is wider than ever at $11,292. This trend appears to be pushing more credit-worthy customers into the used vehicle market. In Q4 2016, the percentage of used vehicle loans going to prime and super prime customers was up from 45.49 percent in Q4 2015 to 47.76 percent in Q4 2016. In addition, the average credit score for used vehicle loans is up from 649 in Q4 2015 to 654 in Q4 2016. Consumers also appear to be combating the vehicle affordability issue by shifting into leases or longer-term loans to keep their monthly payments low. Leasing was up from 28.87 percent of all new vehicle financing in Q4 2015 to 28.94 percent in Q4 2016. Loan terms of 73 to 84 months now account for 32.1 percent of all new vehicle loans, up from 29 percent in Q4 2015. Keeping payments manageable will help keep people out of delinquencies, which is good for consumers and their lenders. Data shows that 30-day delinquencies were relatively flat, moving from 2.42 percent in Q4 2015 to 2.44 percent in Q4 2016, while 60-day delinquencies are growing, moving from 0.71 percent to 0.78 percent. It seems that as long as new vehicle costs rise, it is likely that more people will move toward leasing, longer term loans and used vehicles. While none of these trends are inherently bad, they could re-shape dealer strategy moving forward. Many analysts predict flat new vehicle sales in 2017, making used vehicle, F&I and service business more important to overall dealership growth this year.

The auto industry has had an impressive recovery from the Great Recession and has enjoyed steady growth for the past seven years. After bottoming out in 2009 at 10.5 million new vehicle registrations, the industry has grown each year since, culminating in 17.3 million new vehicle registrations in 2016. However, the rate of growth has been slowing over the past several years, increasing just 1.03 percent from 2015 to 2016. While retail registrations were nearly flat, the growth came from fleet, with a 13.69 percent spike in registrations by government entities and a 5.59 percent increase in commercial/taxi registrations. When automotive sales growth begins to taper, hanging onto existing customers becomes more important than ever. Fortunately, customer loyalty in the auto industry is rising for manufacturers, dealers and lenders. The manufacturer loyalty rate through November 2016 was 62.8 percent, up from 59 percent in 2010. At the make level, the loyalty rate went from 50.6 percent in 2010 to 54.5 percent through November 2016.  Loyalty to a specific dealer is significantly lower but still on the rise, moving from 19.5 percent in 2010 to 23 percent through November 2016. Interestingly, 61.3 percent of all new vehicle registrations in 2016 were to customers 45 years old and older. Manufacturers and dealers who can keep these customers in the fold in the next several years are likely to maintain and grow their overall share. Our recent analysis also looked as how age impacts vehicle purchasing loyalty. In general, older customers tend to be more loyal than younger customers. Manufacturer loyalty rates by age include: 18-24 years old – 58.3 percent 25-34 years old – 55.4 percent 35-44 years old – 59.9 percent 45-54 years old – 64.4 percent 55-64 years old – 68.2 percent 65+ years old – 70.4 percent General Motors market share still number one For manufacturer market share in 2016, General Motors led the way at 16.91 percent. However, this is a significant drop from the 24 percent share of total vehicles in operation (VIO) enjoyed by GM. Toyota was second in manufacturer market share at 15.46 percent, followed by Ford Motor Co. at 12.59 percent and FCA US at 11.77 percent. Honda rounded out the top five manufacturers at 11.19 percent. For manufacturer customer loyalty, however, Tesla came out on top at 73.6 percent, followed by Toyota at 68.7 percent and Subaru at 66.8 percent. Ford and GM round out the top five at 65.7 percent and 64.7 percent respectively. Pickup trucks claim top model share, loyalty rankings Pickup trucks again held the top two positions among the most popular vehicles, with the Ford F-150 at 3.06 percent and the Chevy Silverado at 2.61 percent. Honda claimed the next three spots with the Honda Civic (2.53 percent), the Honda CR-V (2.46 percent) and the Honda Accord (2.37 percent). While the F-150 and Silverado were the most popular models, their competition led the way in customer loyalty. The Ram 1500 full-size pickup truck had a customer loyalty rate of 50.9 percent, followed by the F-150 at 46.3 percent and the Lincoln MKZ at 43.9 percent. In other trends: Non-luxury small CUV/SUVs were tops in segment market at 17.81 percent, followed by non-luxury mid-size sedans (13.89 percent) and non-luxury mid-size SUVs (13.22 percent). Tesla led the industry with a Conquest/Defection ratio of 13.77 to 1. 4-cylinder engines overtook 6-cylinder engines as the top engine type, 38 percent to 37.4 percent Vehicles in Operation are expected to reach 292 million by 2020 For more information on how to drive customer loyalty rates, visit Experian Automotive.

If you listen to some of the latest auto industry analysis, you might get the impression that the industry is doomed because younger consumers aren’t interested in buying cars. It is true the vast majority – 61.3 percent – of new vehicle registrations in 2016 were from customers 45 years old and older, but is that really a cause for concern? Or are automotive marketers simply doing a better job of identifying customers with the means to buy their product? Remember Willie Sutton’s response when asked why he robbed banks? “Because that’s where the money is.” Maybe, just maybe, automotive marketers are getting better at market segmentation and finding the right customers for their vehicles. Maybe, they’re simply going to “where the money is” like Willie Sutton. How do auto marketers know where to look? Experian’s Mosaic® USA consumer lifestyle segmentation is a good place to start. It is made up of 71 different consumer groupings from the most affluent suburbanites to the most economically challenged. Understanding who and where these customers are and knowing which vehicles fit their current lifestyles and economic standing can help automakers and retailers boost sales. Take luxury vehicles, for example. In Q4 2016, the top three Mosaic® consumer segments in the luxury vehicle category included: American Royalty – 12.67 percent Silver Sophisticates – 7.69 percent Aging in Aquarius – 5.01 percent Who are these folks? Individuals and households in the: American Royalty include wealthy, empty nest Baby Boomers with million dollar homes; Silver Sophisticates include a mix of older and retired couples and singles living in suburban comfort; and Aging in Aquarius include empty-nesting couples between 50 and 65 years old with no children at home who are finally enjoying the kick-back-and-relax stage of their lives. What do each of these segments have in common? Their members have the disposable income to pamper themselves a bit, and a luxury vehicle might just be the way to do it. But, what if you sell minivans? The Mosaic consumer segment Babies and Bliss is one target audience to consider targeting.  These large families with multiple children live in homes valued over $250,000 and should be at the top of your prospecting list. How about those younger customers who seem so anti-auto? Fast Track Couples -- families on the road to upward mobility, under the age of 35, with good jobs and own their homes are ripe for a CUV. Or perhaps Status Seeking Singles -- younger, middle-class singles preoccupied with balancing work and leisure lifestyles? There’s got to be a hybrid vehicles waiting for them, right? Just because younger customers are still in the minority of auto buyers, it doesn’t mean the industry is in crisis. The right customer segment for the right vehicle is out there – even in the younger demographics. And besides…younger customers get older so now is the time to win their hearts and minds and begin building a long-term relationship with them. But, if you’re not the patient type and you’ve got a vehicle to sell, you can find your next best customer by using Mosaic USA to create cross-channel messaging that connects with the lifestyle and values of your audience. For more information on automotive target marketing, visit Experian Automotive.

Data is the cornerstone of retail success today. Your organization can start depending on your data & gain actionable insights w/these data management tips:

It should come as no surprise that reaching consumers on past-due accounts by traditional dialing methods is increasingly ineffective.  The new alternative, of course, is to leverage digital channels to reach and collect on debts. The Past: Dialing for dollars. Let’s take a walk down memory lane, shall we? The collection approach used for many years was to initially send the consumer a collection letter recapping the obligation and requesting payment, usually when an account was 30 days late. If the consumer failed to respond, a series of dialing attempts were then made, trying to reach the consumer and resolve the debt. Unfortunately, this approach has become less effective through the years due to several reasons: The use of traditional landlines continues to drop as consumers shift to cell and Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) services. The cost of reaching consumers by cell is more costly since predictive dialers can’t be used without prior consent, and the obtaining and maintaining consent presents its own set of tricky challenges. Consumers simply aren’t answering their phones. If they think a bill collector is calling, they don’t pick up. It’s that simple. In fact, here is a breakdown by age group that Gallup published in 2015, highlighting the weakness of traditional phone-dialing. The Present:  Hello payment portal. With the ability to get the consumer on the phone to negotiate a payment on the wane, the logical next step is to go digital and use the Internet or text messaging to reach the consumer. With 71 percent of consumers now using smartphones and virtually everyone having an Internet connection, this can be a cost-effective approach. Some companies have already implemented an electronic payment portal whereby a consumer can make a payment using his or her PC or smartphone.  Usually this is prompted by a collection letter, or if permitted by consumer consent, a text message to their smartphone. The Future: Virtual negotiation. But what if the consumer wants to negotiate different terms or payment plans? What if they want to try and settle for less than the full amount?  In the past – and for most companies operating today – this translates into a series of emails or letters being exchanged, or the consumer must actually speak to a debt collector on the phone. And let’s be honest, the consumer generally does not want to speak to a collector on the phone. Fortunately, there is a new technology involving a virtual negotiator approach coming into the market now.  It works like this: The credit grantor or agency contacts the consumer by letter, email, or text reminding them of their debt and offering them a link to visit a website to negotiate their debt without a human being involved. The consumer logs onto the site, negotiates with the site and hopefully comes to terms with what is an acceptable payment plan and amount. In advance, the site would have been fed the terms by which the virtual negotiator would have been allowed to use. Finally, the consumer provides his payment information, receives back a recap of what he has agreed to and the process is complete. This is the future of collections, especially when you consider the younger generations rarely wanting to talk on the phone. They want to handle the majority of their matters digitally, on their own terms and at their own preferred times. The collections process can obviously be uncomfortable, but the thought is the virtual negotiator approach will make it less burdensome and more consumer-friendly. Learn more about virtual negotiation.

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