Financial Services

By: Scott Rhode   This is the third and last of a three-part blog series focused on the residential solar market looking at; 1) the history of solar technology, 2) current trends and financing mechanisms, and finally 3) overcoming market and regulatory challenges with Experian’s help. As we’ve discussed in the two previous blogs, the residential solar industry in the US has experienced tremendous growth and much of that growth is attributed to financing.  As the financing offers continue to evolve and mature, there are challenges that the industry faces. The first, and most obvious challenge, is that the Solar Investment Tax Credit is set to expire on December 31st, 2016. (To be clear, the credit is not eliminated on Dec. 31, 2016, it is simply planned to be reduced to 10%) Given the state of affairs in Washington, it is unlikely that the tax credit will get extended.  This is unfortunate since this tax credit has been a catalyst for investment in this industry, greatly increasing affordability and adoption from the public.  Once this incentive expires, the solar companies will need to acquire capital from more traditional sources (Debt markets, securitization, or other third party financing) to fund their growth since the Tax Equity community may no longer be willing to invest. In addition, the expiration of the credit means that panel manufactures must find ways to reduce the cost of production and that finance and installation companies must lower their customer acquisition cost since they are unsustainable in a post-ITC world. A benefit of moving towards other means of funding is that the sophistication level of pre-screening, scoring, and portfolio management should improve dramatically.  Today, the Tax Equity community drives all of the credit strategies and those strategies are actually holding solar companies back because of their simplicity.  For example, most of the TE investors require that the customer have a 680 FICO score or better in order to get approval.  They do not require a debt to income threshold to be met, nor do they look at other attributes or data points.  This overly simplistic approach is meant to keep the TE investor out of difficult conversations of being in the “sub-prime” space; however, it greatly limits growth and it turns away good customers. Additionally, this approach does not consider the “essential use” nature of the product.  When a customer becomes seriously delinquent, their panels get disconnected and their costs for energy go up more than the cost of their monthly lease payment.  This ensures that, unlike an unsecured loan or credit card, the customer is more likely to pay this obligation since it is actually saving them money.  This does not mean that the industry can approve everyone; however, it does mean that, with the right decisioning logic and scorecards, they can go much deeper into the credit pool without taking on huge risks. Another challenge for the industry is the shear rate of growth.  There are new players in the market every day and even established firms have a hard time keeping up with the growth.  This leaves the individual organization and industry at risk for missing critical compliance steps in their operations.  Given that these financial instruments are long term in nature and more consumers are adopting this as a means to get solar, it is only a matter of time before the regulators start to look into the practices and operating processes to ensure that all of the applicable regulations are being followed.  The industry, as a whole, needs to ensure that they spend a little money now shoring up their compliance instead of paying a hefty fine later. Finally, what happens at the end of the lease?  Many of the large players have taken a conservative approach as to how they price the residual amount at the end of term; however, no one really knows what these assets will be worth in 20 years.  While many of the panel manufacturers warrant performance for 25, many panels have a shelf-life of 40 years, so how will consumers and the industry behave?  What happens if there is a technological breakthrough in 10 years and those old panels are obsolete?  At the moment, the industry’s answer to these questions is to set a very low residual which carries risk.  Being too conservative here means that your customer’s payment is higher than it needs to be, pricing yourself out of certain markets where the cost of power is less than 20 cents / kwh. As the lease product continues to mature, more focus and emphasis on residual pricing will need to take place to find the right balance for the Consumer and the finance company. It should be said that while there are risks associated with this industry, all markets and new financing products carry risks.  The goal of this particular blog is to highlight some of the larger risks that this industry faces.  As these are identified, it is incumbent on the industry and partners of the industry to mitigate these risks so that consumers can continue to realize the power of solar. To close this series, I would be remiss if I didn’t offer up Experian’s Global Consultancy solutions to help address the challenges that the industry faces.  Our knowledge of best practices in the financial services industry allows us to help those companies in the solar market grow originations responsibly, meet their regulatory requirements, and manage their long term risks with customers.  While we cannot solve the funding issues, we can work with organizations and the tax equity community to educate them on the power of decisioning beyond a simple “one-size fits all” score.  In addition, our products and data allow for flexibility and certainty, giving the industry an edge in acquiring new customers in a more efficient and less expensive manner.  Finally, we can help provide advice and best practices in decisioning, risk management, and regulatory compliance so that the industry can continue to grow and thrive.  All in all, we are advocates for the industry and can bring tremendous expertise and experience to help ensure continued success.   Solar Financing – The current and future catalyst behind the booming residential solar market (Part II) Solar Financing — The current and future catalyst behind the booming residential solar market (Part I)

The experience of being a victim of data breaches has created a shift in consumer behavior and attitude over the past year. A recent Ponemon Institute study found that more than one-third of consumers ignored data breach notification letters, taking no action to protect themselves against fraud. To combat data breach fatigue, companies should communicate with customers sincerely and avoid treating the notification process as a compliance issue. Notification letters should include an apology, a clear explanation of what happened and why, and steps consumers can take to protect themselves from fraud. 2015 Data Breach Industry Forecast

While marketers typically spend vast amounts of money to increase customer acquisitions, fraud prevention can undercut those efforts. According to a recent 41st Parameter® study, average card-not-present declines represent 15 percent of all transactions; however, one to three percent of those declined transactions turn out to be false positives, equating to 1.2 billion dollars in lost revenue annually. Marketers can avoid unnecessary declines and create a seamless customer experience by communicating campaign plans to the fraud-risk team early on and coordinating marketing and fraud-prevention efforts. Download Experian’s latest fraud prevention report. Report: Holiday Marketing & Fraud

Identity verification techniques have been evolving over the past few years to meet business priorities beyond fraud prevention

By: Scott Rhode   This is the second of a three-part blog series focused on the residential solar market looking at; 1) the history of solar technology, 2) current trends and financing mechanisms, and finally 3) overcoming market and regulatory challenges with Experian’s help. Lets discuss the current trends in solar and, more importantly, the mechanisms used to finance solar in the US residential market.  As I discussed in the last blog, the growth in this space has been astronomical.  To illustrate this growth, there was a recent article in The Washington Post by Matt McFarland, highlighting that solar-related jobs are significantly outpacing the rest of labor market in terms of year over year growth.  The article states that since 2010 the number of solar-related jobs has doubled in the US, bring the total number of jobs in this industry to 173,807.  While this is still smaller in comparison to other sectors of our economy, it underscores how much growth has occurred in a short amount of time. So what is driving this explosive growth?  There are a few factors that should be considered; however, in the residential solar market, financing, is the main catalyst.  As you might expect, there are a variety of financial products in the market giving the consumer lots of choices. First, there are traditional loans like home improvement loans, home equity loans, or energy efficiency loans offered by a bank, credit union, or specialty finance company.  For homeowners that do not choose to secure their loan against their property, there are a variety of specialty lenders that will offer long-term, unsecured loans that only file a UCC against the panels themselves.  For these types of offerings, some specialty lenders will even have special credit plans for the 30% Solar Investment Tax Credit so that the homeowner can have a deferred interest plan with the expectation that once they get the tax credit from the federal government, they will pay off the special plan and all of the deferred interest will be waived.  If the customer does not pay in full, the plan rolls to their regular loan plan and the customer has a higher cost of financing. Second, there is a lease product which offers zero to little down and a monthly payment that is less than the savings that the homeowner will experience on their utility bill.  Of all the financing options, the lease has been the biggest driver of growth since it offers an inexpensive, no-hassle way to get all the benefits of going solar without breaking the bank.  What is unusual to most people that are unfamiliar with this concept is the term of the lease, which is typically 20 years.  However, when you consider that most manufacturers warrant their panels for 25 and many have a usable life of 40 years, this term does not seem all that unusual.  The benefits of this program look something like this: The homeowner has an average electric utility bill of $350 / month A solar company quotes a customer a savings of $200 / month in the form of a net metering energy credit, so their bill after solar is now $150 / month The lease payment for the installed solar array, metering equipment, and monitoring software is $150 / month The homeowner’s net saving is an average of $50 / month with nothing out of pocket Over the life of the lease, energy prices will increase which will mean more savings over time so long as there are not escalators in the contract that exceed the increase in energy prices The lessor “owns” the equipment and is responsible for maintenance, performance, and insurance With this product comes complexity.  Many companies offering this program do not have the cash or the appetite to take on massive debt, so they partner with Tax Equity investors to make this transaction possible.  Because of the 30% ITC and accelerated depreciation, this transaction is very favorable for a Tax Equity investor like Google, US Bank, or Bank of America Merrill Lynch.  There are a number of structures they can use; however, the Sale-Leaseback structure is the easiest and most efficient way to fund the transaction.  While this is not “known” to the end customer, it is important because the Tax Equity Investor effectively owns the asset and has the final say in setting credit policy.  This transaction does require that the developer have a stake as well; however, many of the developers go to the debt market for “back leverage” on their stake so that they can reduce the impact to their balance sheet. This complexity carries a cost, as the cost of capital is higher than most traditional loan products from established financial services firms.  That said, the fact that the lease allows the customer to monetize the tax credit and accelerated depreciation in the amount financed, balances out the higher costs of capital.  In the next blog we will touch more on the challenges this product, in particular, has in the market. Last, but not least, there is another mechanism gaining popularity in the market.  This concept is known as community solar.  One of the obstacles of the lease and Tax Equity arrangement is that the lease is only available to single family residence homeowners and, if they have multiple homes, only the homeowner’s primary residence.  That means that people who rent, own a condo, own a vacation home, or own a small business do not qualify for this type of lease.  As a result, community solar has become a great option. With community solar, the panels are put in an ideal location for maximum exposure to the sun and they often produce 10-15% more power than panels on a rooftop.  Portions of this solar farm can be sold, rented, or sublet to consumers regardless of their living situation.  As the panels produce electricity, that power gets sold to the local utility and the customer gets money from that utility that shows up as a credit on their next bill.  In this structure, the customer is not required to put money down in most cases and they are signing up for a specific term. Like a rooftop lease, this structure often has a Tax Equity investor that funds the project.  Again, this allows them to take the 30% ITC and accelerated depreciation which, in turn, gets monetized and lowers the costs of construction. In the final installment of this blog series, I will discuss some of the challenges that this market faces as the ITC expiration date approaches and the market becomes more mature. Leasing is driving the market, so if the ITC does not get renewed, the market will need to have a plan in place to find other innovative ways to keep solar affordable so more consumers can realize the benefits of going solar.   Solar Financing — The current and future catalyst behind the booming residential solar market (Part 1)

Understanding the importance of customer experience to business strategy and performance

By: Mike Horrocks Managing your portfolio can be a long and arduous process that ties up your internal resources but without it, there’s an increase of additional risk and potential losses. The key is to use loan automation to pull together data in a meaningful manner and go from a reactive to proactive process that can: Address the overall risks and opportunities within your loan portfolio ​Get a complete view of the credit and operational risk associated with a credit relationship or portfolio segment Monitor and track actionable steps by leveraging both internal and external data Watch how to avoid the 5 most common mistakes in loan portfolio management to help you reduce overall risk, but also identify cross sell and upsell opportunities. With a more automated process your lending staff can focus on bringing in new business rather than reacting to delinquencies and following up on credit issues. 

This is the second post in a three-part series. Imagine the circumstances of a traveler coming to a never before visited culture. The opportunity is the new sights, cuisine and cultural experiences. Among the risks is the not before experienced pathogens and the strength of the overall health services infrastructure. In a similar vein, all too frequently we see the following conflict within our client institutions. The internal demands of an ever-increasing competitive landscape drive businesses to seek more data; improved ease of accessibility and manipulation of data; and acceleration in creating new attributes supporting more complex analytic solutions. At the same time, requirements for good governance and heightened regulatory oversight are driving for improved documentation and controlled access, all with improved monitoring and documented and tested controls. As always, the traveler/businessman must respond to the environment, and the best medicine is to be well-informed of both the perils and the opportunities. The good news is that we have seen many institutions invest significantly in their audit and compliance functions over the past several years. This has provided the lender with both better insights into its current risk ecosystem and the improved skill set to continue to refine those insights. The opportunity is for the lender to leverage this new strength. For many lenders, this investment largely has been in response to broadening regulatory oversight to ensure there are proper protocols in place to confirm adherence to relevant rules and regulations and to identify issues of disparate impact. A list of the more high-profile regulations would include: Equal Credit Opportunity Act (ECOA) — to facilitate enforcement of fair lending laws and enable communities, governmental entities and creditors to identify business and community development needs and opportunities of women-owned, minority-owned and small businesses. Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) — to require mortgage lenders to collect and report additional data fields. Truth in Lending Act (TLA) — to prohibit abusive or unfair lending practices that promote disparities among consumers of equal creditworthiness but of different race, ethnicity, gender or age. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) — evolving rules and regulations with a focus on perceptions of fairness and value through transparency and consumer education. Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act (GLBA) — requires companies to give consumers privacy notices that explain the institutions’ information-sharing practices. In turn, consumers have the right to limit some, but not all, sharing of their information. Fair Debt Collections Practices Act (FDCPA) — provides guidelines for collection agencies that are seeking to collect legitimate debts while providing protections and remedies for debtors. Recently, most lenders have focused their audit/compliance activities on the analytics, models and policies used to treat consumer/client accounts/relationships. This focus is understandable since it is these analytics and models that are central to the portfolio performance forecasts and Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR)–mandated stress-test exercises that have been of greater emphasis in responding to recent regulatory demands. Thus far at many lenders, this same rigor has not yet been applied to the data itself, which is the core component of these policies and frequently complex analytics. The strength of both the individual consumer–level treatments and the portfolio-level forecasts is negatively impacted if the data underlying these treatments is compromised. This data/attribute usage ecosystem demands clarity and consistency in attribute definition; extraction; and new attribute design, implementation to models and treatments, validation and audit. When a lender determines there is a need to enhance its data governance infrastructure, Experian® is a resource to be considered. Experian has this data governance discipline within our corporate DNA — and for good reason. Experian receives large and small files on a daily basis from tens of thousands of data providers. In order to be sure the data is of high quality so as not to contaminate the legacy data, rigorous audits of each file received are conducted and detailed reports are generated on issues of quality and exceptions. This information is shared with the data provider for a cycle of continuous improvement. To further enhance the predictive insights of the data, Experian then develops new attributes and complex analytics leveraging the base and developed attributes for analytic tools. This data and the analytic tools then are utilized by thousands of  authorized users/lenders, who manage broad-ranging relationships with millions of individuals and small businesses. These individuals and businesses then have rights to reproach Experian for error(s) both perceived and actual. This demanding cycle underscores the value of the data and the value of our rigorous data governance infrastructure. This very same process occurs at many lenders sites. Certainly, a similar level of data integrity born from a comprehensive data governance process also is warranted. In the next and final blog in this series, we will explore how a disciplined business review of an institution’s data governance process is conducted. Discover how a proven partner with rich experience in data governance, such as Experian, can provide the support your company needs to ensure a rigorous data governance ecosystem. Do more than comply. Succeed with an effective data governance program.

A new comarketing agreement for MainStreet Technologies’ (MST) Loan Loss Analyzer product with Experian Decision Analytics’ Baker Hill Advisor® product will provide the banking industry with a comprehensive, automated loan-management offering. The combined products provide banks greater confidence for loan management and loan-pricing calculations. Experian Decision Analytics Baker Hill Advisor product supports banks’ commercial and small-business loan operations comprehensively, from procuring new loans through collections. MST’s Loan Loss Analyzer streamlines the estimation and documentation of the Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses (ALLL), the bank’s most critical quarterly calculation. The MST product automates the most acute processes required of community bankers in managing their commercial and small-business loan portfolios. Both systems are data-driven, configurable and designed to accommodate existing bank processes. The products already effectively work together for community banks of varying asset sizes, adding efficiencies and accuracy while addressing today’s increasingly complex regulatory requirements. “Experian’s Baker Hill Advisor product-development priorities have always been driven by our user community. Changes in regulatory and accounting requirements have our clients looking for a sophisticated ALLL system. Working with MainStreet, we can refer our clients to an industry-leading ALLL platform,” said John Watts, Experian Decision Analytics director of product management. “The sharing of data between our organizations creates an environment where strategic ALLL calculations are more robust and tactical lending decisions can be made with more confidence. It provides clients a complete service at every point within the organization.” “Bankers, including many using our Loan Loss Analyzer, have used Experian’s Baker Hill® software to manage their commercial loan programs for more than three decades,” said Dalton T. Sirmans, CEO and MST president. “Bankers who choose to implement Experian’s Baker Hill Advisor and the MST Loan Loss Analyzer will be automating their loan management, tracking, reporting and documentation in the most comprehensive, user-friendly and feature-rich manner available.” For more information on MainStreet Technologies, please visit http://www.mainstreet-tech.com/banking For more information on Baker Hill, visit http://ex.pn/BakerHill

By: John Robertson I began this blog series asking the question “How can banks offer such low rates?” Exploring the relationship of pricing in an environment where we have a normalized. I outlined a simplistic view of loan pricing as: + Interest Income + Non-Interest Income Cost of Funds Non-Interest Expense Risk Expense = Income before Tax Along those lines, I outlined how perplexing it is to think at some of these current levels, banks could possibly make any money. I suggested these offerings must be lost leaders with the anticipation of more business in the future or possibly, additional deposits to maintain a hold on the relationship over time. Or, I shudder to think, banks could be short funding the loans with the excess cash on their balance sheets. I did stumble across another possibility while proving out an old theory which was very revealing. The old theory stated by a professor many years ago was “Margins will continue to narrow…. Forever”. We’ve certainly seen that in the consumer world. In pursuit of proof to this theory I went to the trusty UBPR and looked at the net interest margin results from 2011 until today for two peer groups (insured commercial banks from $300 million to $1 billion and insured commercial banks greater the $3 billion). What I found was, in fact, margins have narrowed anywhere from 10 to 20 basis points for those two groups during that span even though non-interest expense stayed relatively flat. Not wanting to stop there, I started looking at one of the biggest players individually and found an interesting difference in their C&I portfolio. Their non-interest expense number was comparable to the others as well as their cost of funds but the swing component was non-interest income.  One line item on the UPBR’s income statement is Overhead (i.e. non-interest expense) minus non-interest income (NII). This bank had a strategic advantage when pricing there loans due to their fee income generation capabilities. They are not just looking at spread but contribution as well to ensure they meet their stated goals. So why do banks hesitate to ask for a fee if a customer wants a certain rate? Someone seems to have figured it out. Your thoughts?

According to a recent 41st Parameter® study, 85 percent of consumers use online or mobile channels to conduct business.

I have heard from a few creditors that when it comes to allocating accounts to collection agencies for recoveries creating a rule based strategy isn’t always in the cards. When clients use multiple collection agencies their ability to allocate accounts to the different agencies based on rule based strategies isn’t always available.  Some have a single setting on a billing or assignment system that indicates the account is to be assigned to Collection Agency X versus Collection Agency Y, and there is no easy method to make that assignment based on a true strategy.  Worse yet, it is often difficult to impossible to reassign that account from Collection Agency X to Collection Agency Y if the account status or risk level changes.  This means that their use of multiple collection agencies is not as “optimized” as it could be if a scripting or rule based tool was available to the business user.   Optimizing assignments means that the account is initially as well as subsequently assigned to the right agency at the right time based on its type, risk, history, balance, status and other circumstances to maximum recoveries.   This approach can make a significant difference in the recovery of bad debt. Furthermore, test results or allocations should be displayed after a script has been entered.  This usually provides a “what if” on collection agency assignments displaying the number or dollar value assigned if the rule was implemented.  That way you know if the script is correct (ballpark allocation seems reasonable), and if the allocation to any particular agency is within policy limits by dollar amount or number of accounts. Do you believe that you are optimizating your allocations to the agencies you use?  Do you have the tools you need to effectively assign each account to the right agency? Experian can help with its agency allocation and management solutions through Tallyman Agency Allocation. Learn more about our Tallyman Agency Allocation software. 

By: Mike Horrocks A recent industry survey was published that called out the number one reason that lenders were dissatisfied or willing to go to another financial institution (and take their book of business with them) was not compensation.  While, compensation is often thought of as the number one driver for this kind of change in your bench of lenders, it had much more to do with being able to serve customers efficiently. One of the key reasons that lenders were unhappy was that they were in a workflow and decisioning process where the lender could not close loans on time, putting stress on the loan officer's relationships and destroying borrower confidence.  Thinking of my own experiences as a commercial lender, my interactions with the private bankers, branch managers, and lenders that served every kind of customer, I would absolutely have to agree with this study.  Nothing is more disheartening then working on bringing in a client, and then having the process not give me a response in the time that my clients are expecting or that the completion is achieving. Automation in the process is the key.  While lenders still will need to be engaged in the process and paying attention to the relationship, it can be significantly refocused to other parts of the business.  This leads to benefits such as: Protecting the back office and the consistence of booking and servicing loans. Ensuring that the risk appetite is consistent for the institution for every deal. Growing a portfolio of loans that can and will adhere to sound portfolio management techniques. So how is your process supporting lenders?  Are you automating to help in areas that give you a competitive advantage with robust credit scores, decision strategies or risk management solutions that are helping close deals quickly or are you requiring a process that is keeping them from bringing more customers (and profits) in the door? Henry Ford is credited to say, “Coming together is a beginning. Keeping together is progress. Working together is success.”   Take a closer look at your lending process.  Do you have the tools that help bring your lenders, your customers, and your organization together?  If you don’t you may be losing some of your best talent for loan production at a time when you can least afford it.

As data breaches continue to attract publicity, consumers are expecting more from impacted organizations.

Online crooks are getting more sophisticated by the second. Nowadays, fraudsters have the ability to conduct “clean fraud,” obtaining legitimate identities of users from the black market or data breaches to compromise a victim’s card account. Malware, too, is becoming more sophisticated both in the mobile and non-mobile space. But how can organizations fight such high-level tactics in such a broad, complex space? John Sarreal, Senior Director of Product Management at 41st Parameter, an online fraud prevention player, sat down with PYMNTS after the recent release of the white paper “Surveillance, Staging, and the Fraud Lifecycle” to reveal the inner workings of a cyber criminal’s mind, what should be done before and after data is snatched, and which aspects of account takeover are the most overlooked and dangerous. Interview excerpts Take us through the mind of a cyber-criminal. What are the most sophisticated tactics used today to capture account information from corporate systems? JS: The amount of clean fraud that we see with our customers is unprecedented. By focusing on obtaining legitimate credentials and identities, fraudsters are more easily able to bypass traditional controls. This means that fraud tools need to adapt and gather additional attributes to augment their fraud screening. Although the techniques they’re using now to obtain these credentials are increasingly sophisticated, the MOs are still rooted in basic phishing and social engineering attacks. Fraudsters will use identity information obtained from the black market or data breaches to conduct very convincing phishing attacks to reveal everything that is needed to compromise a victim’s card account. There’s also increasing sophistication in the use of malware to steal sensitive credentials in both the mobile and non-mobile arena. In Android, for example, Google recently passed a vulnerability that allows sophisticated malware to impersonate digital certificate signing authorities. This vulnerability allowed the malware to install itself on a mobile device without any user notification or intervention – obviously, a very dangerous attack. Link to the podcast and transcript here.