Anticipating and growing personal loans in 2017

Updated: June 12, 2026 by Kerry Rivera 3 min read January 26, 2017

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Personal loans have been booming for the past couple of years with double-digit growth year-over-year. But the party can’t last forever, right?

In a recent Experian webinar, experts noted they have seen originations leveling off. In fact, numbers indicate it’s gone from leveled off to a slight year-over-year decline. They projected the first quarter of calendar year 2017 may also be down, but then we’ll see a peak again in the second quarter, which is typical with the seasonality often associated with personal loans.

The landscape is changing. A recent data pull revealed a 9-point shift in the average VantageScore® credit score for originations from Q3 to Q4 of 2016. Lenders are digging deeper in order to keep their loan volumes up, and it is definitely a more competitive marketplace. The days where lenders were once able to grow their personal loan business with little effort are gone.

Kelley Motley, Experian’s director of analytics, noted some of the personal loan origination volume shifts may be due to the rebound in the housing market and increased housing values, enabling super-prime and prime consumers to now also consider home equity loans and lines of credit, in lieu of personal loans.

Still, the personal loan market is healthy. Lenders just need to be smart about their marketing efforts and utilize data to improve their response rates, expand their risk criteria to identify consumers trending upward in the credit ranks, and then retain them as their cash-flow and financial situations evolve.

In the presentation, experts revealed a few interesting stats:

  • 67% of those that open a personal installment loan had a revolving trade with a balance >$0
  • 5% of consumer that close a personal loan reopen another within a few months of the original loan closure
  • 68% of consumers that re-open a new personal loan within a short timeframe of closing another personal loan do so with the same company

Together, these stats illustrate that individuals are largely leveraging personal loans to consolidate debt or perhaps fund an expense like a vacation or an unexpected event. Once the consumer comes into cash, they’ll pay off the loan, but consider revisiting a personal loan again if their financial situation warrants it.

The calendar year Q2 peak has been consistent since the Great Recession. For many consumers, after racking up holiday debt and end-of-year expenses, the bills start coming in during the first quarter. With the high APRs often attached to revolving cards, there is a sense of urgency to consolidate and lock in a more reasonable rate. Others utilize the personal loan to fund weddings, vacations and home improvement projects.

 Kyle Matthies, a senior product manager for Experian, reminded participants that most people don’t need your product, so it’s essential to leverage data find those that do. Utilizing propensity score and attributes, as well as tools to dig into ability-to-pay metrics and offer alignment can really fine-tune both an organization’s marketing and retention strategies.

To learn more about the current state of personal loans, access our free webinar How lenders can capitalize on the growth in personal loans.

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Mortgage Underwriting Moves from Modernization Talk to Action 

Mortgage underwriting is entering a new phase. In a recent conversation with HousingWire’s Allison LaForgia, Michele Bodda, Group President of Experian Housing, Verification Solutions, and Employer Services, discussed how modern credit scores, alternative data and verification tools are changing how lenders evaluate borrowers.  Lenders can now judge modernization by its results, Bodda said. “Now we’re actually letting more modern scores get into underwriting to help price loans and go all the way through to securitization,” she told HousingWire. “We’re letting the scores and the data actually speak for itself instead of just talking about it.”  The Right Data at the Right Time  Modernizing underwriting means providing useful information at the right stage, rather than giving lenders everything at once. “You don’t need everything all at once. You don’t need everything on initial pull,” Bodda said.  Alternative data, such as rental payments and buy now, pay later activity, can help show how consumers manage obligations, especially those with thinner credit files. A thin credit file does not necessarily mean someone has a thin financial life.  “It’s our responsibility as one of the primary data providers to make sure we can make all of that available, so that we’re best representing the consumer,” Bodda said. A fuller view of data may help lenders identify creditworthy applicants who might otherwise be difficult to assess.  Simplifying Verification and Reducing Friction  Bodda also shared how Experian is making credit information more easily accessible and reducing unnecessary costs during the originations process, explaining that new enhancements to Experian’s Power Profile Plus allow lenders to pull credit data at the start of underwriting and request another score later without repurchasing the data.  “You can pull it later and not pay for the credit data again,” Bodda said.   Experian is also investing in income and employment verification, including through a new partnership with Workday. Bodda explained that Experian will continue to focus on process improvement, competition and innovation across the mortgage ecosystem.  A Broader Path to Homeownership  As consumer expectations and underwriting capabilities evolve, borrowers want a process that reflects their financial lives, while lenders seek greater efficiency. Modern scores, relevant data, and streamlined verification can help lenders assess applications with more context—and may help more people pursue homeownership.  “If we as an industry can open this up and bring more people into the process, then we’re going to thrive,” Bodda said in the interview.   Watch the interview and hear all of Michele’s insights, and more here.  

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