All posts by Laura Burrows
What is CECL? CECL (Current Expected Credit Loss) is a new credit loss model, to be leveraged by financial institutions, that estimates the expected loss over the life of a loan by using historical information, current conditions and reasonable forecasts. According to AccountingToday, CECL is considered one of the most significant accounting changes in decades to affect entities that borrow and lend money. To comply with CECL by the assigned deadline, financial institutions will need to access much more data than they’re currently using to calculate their reserves under the incurred loss model, Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses (ALLL). How does it impact your business? CECL introduces uncertainty into accounting and growth calculations, as it represents a significant change in the way credit losses are currently estimated. The new standard allows financial institutions to calculate allowances in a variety of ways, including discounted cash flow, loss rates, roll-rates and probability of default analyses. “Large banks with historically good loss performance are projecting increased reserve requirements in the billions of dollars,” says Experian Advisory Services Senior Business Consultant, Gavin Harding. Here are a few changes that you should expect: Larger allowances will be required for most products As allowances will increase, pricing of the products will change to reflect higher capital cost Losses modeling will change, impacting both data collection and modeling methodology There will be a lower return on equity, especially in products with a longer life expectancy How can you prepare? “CECL compliance is a journey, rather than a destination,” says Gavin. “The key is to develop a thoughtful, data-driven approach that is tested and refined over time.” Financial institutions who start preparing for CECL now will ultimately set their organizations up for success. Here are a few ways to begin to assess your readiness: Create a roadmap and initiative prioritization plan Calculate the impact of CECL on your bottom line Run altered scenarios based on new lending policy and credit decision rules Understand the impact CECL will have on your profitability Evaluate current portfolios based on CECL methodology Run different loss methods and compare results Additionally, there is required data to capture, including quarterly or monthly loan-level account performance metrics, multiple year data based on loan product type and historical data for the life of the loan. How much time do you have? Like most accounting standards, CECL has different effective dates based on the type of reporting entity. Public business entities that file financial statements with the Security and Exchange Commission will have to comply by 2020, non-public entity banks must comply by 2022 and non-SEC registered companies have until 2023 to adopt the new standard. How can we help: Complying with CECL may require you to gather, store and calculate more data than before. Experian can help you comply with CECL guidelines including data needs, consulting and loan loss calculation. Experian industry experts will help update your current strategies and establish an appropriate timeline to meet compliance dates. Leveraging our best-in-class industry data, we will help you gain CECL compliance quickly and effectively, understand the impacts to your business and use these findings to improve overall profitability. Learn more
Consumer credit trends are continuously changing, making it imperative to keep up with the latest developments in originations, delinquencies on mortgages, credit cards and auto loans. By monitoring consumer behavior and market trends over time, you can predict and prepare for potential issues within each market. In this 30-minute webinar, our featured speakers, Gavin Harding, Experian Senior Business Consultant, and Alan Ikemura, Experian Data Analytics Senior Product Manager, reveal Q1 2019 market intelligence data and explore recent advances in consumer credit trends. Watch our on-demand webinar
Millions of consumers lack credit history and/or have difficulty obtaining credit from mainstream financial institutions. To ease access to credit for “invisible” and below prime consumers, financial institutions have sought ways to both extend and improve the methods by which they evaluate borrowers’ risk. This initiative to effectively score more consumers has involved the use of alternative credit data.1 Alternative credit data is FCRA-compliant data that is typically not included in a traditional credit report and is used to deliver a more complete view into a consumer’s creditworthiness. “Alternative credit data helps us paint a fuller picture of a consumer so they can get better access to the financial services they need and deserve,” said Alpa Lally, Vice President of Data Business at Experian. Experian recently sponsored the FinovateSpring conference in San Francisco, where Alpa had a chance to sit down with Jacob Gaffney, Editor-in-Chief of the HousingWire News Podcast, to discuss ways consumers can improve their credit scores. As an immigrant, Alpa spoke personally about the impact of having a limited credit history and how alternative credit data can help drive greater access to credit for consumers and profitable growth for lenders through more informed lending decisions. Highlights include: How alternative and traditional credit data differ Types of alternative credit data being used by lenders How “credit-invisibles” can best leverage alternative credit data Alternative credit data product solutions, including Experian BoostTM Listen now 1When we refer to “Alternative Credit Data,” this refers to the use of alternative data and its appropriate use in consumer credit lending decisions, as regulated by the Fair Credit Reporting Act. Hence, the term “Expanded FCRA Data” may also apply in this instance and both can be used interchangeably.
Consumer credit trends and markets are constantly evolving, particularly when it comes to originations and delinquencies on mortgages, credit cards and auto loans. According to Experian research, over 2.7 million out of 89 million active automotive loans and leases are either 30 or 60 days delinquent. Triggers that signal a greater likelihood of consumers falling delinquent on loans, mortgages and credit card payments, include high-interest rates, a high utilization rate and recent derogatory trades. By tracking and forecasting consumer trends over time, you can more easily predict consumer behavior and better prepare for potential issues within each market. Join Gavin Harding, Experian Senior Business Consultant, and Alan Ikemura, Experian Data Analytics Senior Product Manager, during our live Quarterly Credit Trends webinar on May 30 at 2:00 p.m. ET. Our expert speakers will provide a view of the real estate market and share insights on the latest consumer credit trends. Highlights include: 2019 economic drivers Q1 2019 origination and delinquency trends Mortgage Home equity Bankcard Auto Register now
We’ve rounded up what it takes for consumers to have a good credit score, in addition to some alternative considerations. Read more!
To create a socially credible environment, China has developed a mobile app to alerts users when they are within a 500-meter radius of someone in debt.
The shift from banking to digital is apparent. Here are a few ways that financial services can adjust to changing consumer behavior. Read more!
Learn four ways fintech has changed the lending process and how traditional financial institutions and lenders can keep up. Read more!
