Small Businesses remain resilient amid rate uncertainty and signs of job market weakness May 2025 Index Value (Apr): 45.2 Previous Month: 43.2 MoM: +2.0 YoY: -9.8 (May 2024 = 55.0) Last month’s dip was short-lived as May's economic figures remained strong, showcasing the continued resilience of the U.S. economy. Reduced tariffs, especially on China, eased market concerns amid ongoing trade talks. The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2% and wages continued to rise. New business starts remained stable at 447K in May, close to the monthly average of 441K since July 2020, and still well above pre-pandemic levels. Consumer sentiment and small business optimism increased after recent declines, though uncertainty still affects these surveys. Consumer sentiment was 98.8 in May, a 3-point increase over April, but 11% lower than a year ago. Inflation news was mixed: overall and food inflation saw slight upticks, while core inflation stayed flat and rent inflation dropped to its lowest since November 2021. The Fed's cautious approach persists, but predictions of a rate cut in the coming months are growing as inflation remains relatively steady and potential signs of job market weakness emerge. Explore Experian Small Business Index

While the small business index experienced a decline in April, the decrease was modest due to the continued resilience of the U.S. economy.

Small Business Resilience Being Tested in Changing Tariff Conditions The Experian Small Business Index™ rose by 1.8 points in March, reaching 47.2, marking the third month of modest gains. Index is down 9.3 from the same period one year ago. March 2025 Index Value (Mar): 47.2 Previous Month: 45.4 MoM: +1.8 YoY: -9.3 (Mar 2024 = 56.5) March reading points to continued resilience in economy Positive indicators for the overall economy persist: unemployment remained low at 4.2% in March, core inflation decreased to 2.8%, rent inflation dropped to 4.0%, and March retail sales were up 1.4% from February. Consumer and business owner optimism continues to decline, signaling uncertainty about the economy's sustained strength. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has highlighted the country’s solid economic position while also expressing concerns about the effects of tariffs, suggesting they will proceed with caution when determining changes to rates for now. Despite some economic headwinds and uncertainty among consumers and small business owners, small business owner optimism remains above the historical average. The rate of new business starts has remained very high since the pandemic, and in March the 452,255 new business starts represents a 6.4% increase from February. The three-month increase in the index suggests that the environment for small business owners is strong, indicating their likely continued investment in their companies. Explore Experian Small Business Index

The Experian Small Business Index™ rose by 3.9 points in February, reaching 45.4, marking the second consecutive month of modest gains.

The Experian Small Business Index increased by 1.0 pt in January signaling a modest improvement after December’s decline.

The Experian Small Business Index (SBI) declined two points in December to 40.6, following an uptick in November 2025. Follow for updates.