Tag: propensity models

At Experian, we know that fintechs don’t just need big data – they need the best data, and they need that data as quickly as possible. Successfully delivering on this need is one of the many reasons we’re proud to be selected as a Fintech Breakthrough Award winner for the second consecutive year. The Fintech Breakthrough Awards is the premier awards program founded to recognize fintech innovators, leaders and visionaries from around the world. The 2019 Fintech Breakthrough Award program received more than 3,500 nominations from across the globe. Last year, Experian took home the Consumer Lending Innovation Award for our Text for Credit Solution – a powerful tool for providing consumers the convenience to securely bypass the standard-length ‘pen & paper’ or keystroke intensive credit application process while helping lenders make smart, fraud protected lending decisions. This year, we are excited to announce that Experian’s Ascend Analytical Sandbox™ has been selected as winner in the Best Overall Analytics Platform category. “We are thrilled to be recognized by Fintech Breakthrough for the second year in a row and that our Ascend Analytical Sandbox has been recognized as the best overall analytics platform in 2019,” said Vijay Mehta, Experian’s Chief Innovation Officer. “We understand the challenges fintechs face - to stay ahead of constantly changing market conditions and customer demands,” said Mehta. “The Ascend Analytical Sandbox is the answer, giving financial institutions the fastest access to the freshest data so they can leverage the most out of their analytics and engage their customers with the best decisions.” Debuting in 2018, Experian’s Ascend Analytical Sandbox is a first-to-market analytics environment that moved companies beyond just business intelligence and data visualization to data insights and answers they could actually use. In addition to thousands of scores and attributes, the Ascend Analytical Sandbox offers users industry-standard analytics and data visualization tools like SAS, R Studio, Python, Hue and Tableau, all backed by a network of industry and support experts to drive the most answers and value out of their data and analytics. Less than a year post-launch, the groundbreaking solution is being used by 15 of the top financial institutions globally. Early Access Program Experian is committed to developing leading-edge solutions to power fintechs, knowing they are some of the best innovators in the marketplace. Fintechs are changing the industry, empowering consumers and driving customer engagement like never before. To connect fintechs with the competitive edge,  Experian launched an Early Access Program, which fast-tracks onboarding to an exclusive market test of the Ascend Analytical Sandbox. In less than 10 days, our fintech partners can leverage the power, breadth and depth of Experian’s data, attributes and models. With endless use cases and easy delivery of portfolio monitoring, benchmarking, wallet share analysis, model development, and market entry, the Ascend Analytical Sandbox gives fintechs the fastest access to the freshest data so they can leverage the most out of their analytics and engage their customers with the best decisions. A Game Changer for the Industry In a recent IDC customer spotlight, OneMain Financial reported the Ascend Analytical Sandbox had helped them reduce their archive process from a few months to 1-2 weeks, a nearly 75% time savings. “Imagine having the ability to have access to every single tradeline for every single person in the United States for the past almost 20 years and have your own tradelines be identified among them. Imagine what that can do,” said OneMain Financial’s senior managing director and head of model development. For more information, download the Ascend Analytical Sandbox™ Early Access Program product sheet here, or visit Experian.com/Sandbox.

For an industry that has grown accustomed to sustained year-over-year growth, recent trends are concerning. The automotive industry continued to make progress in the fourth quarter of 2016 as total automotive loan balances grew 8.6% over the previous year and exceeded $1 trillion. However, the positive trend is slowing and 2017 may be the first year since 2009 to see a market contraction. With interest rates on the rise and demand peaking, automotive lending will continue to become more competitive. Lenders can be successful in this environment, but must implement data-driven targeting strategies. Credit Unions Triumph Credit unions experienced the largest year-over-year growth in the fourth quarter of 2016, increasing 15% over the previous period. As lending faces increasing headwinds amid rising rates, credit unions can continue to play a greater role by offering members more competitive rates. For many consumers, a casual weekend trip to the auto mall turns into a big new purchase. Unfortunately, many get caught up in researching the vehicle and don’t think to shop for financing options until they’re in the F&I office. With approximately 25% share of total auto loan balances, credit unions have significant potential to recapture loans of existing members. Successful targeting starts with a review of your portfolio for opportunities with current members who have off-book loans that could be refinanced at a lower rate. After developing a strategy, many credit unions find success targeting these members with refinance offers. Helping members reduce monthly payments and interest expense provides an unexpected service that can deepen loyalty and engagement. But what criteria should you use to identify prospects? Target Receptive Consumers As originations continue to slow, marketing response rates will as well, leading to reduced marketing ROI. Maintaining performance is possible, but requires a proactive approach. Propensity models can help identify consumers who are more likely to respond, while estimated interest rates can provide insight on who is likely to benefit from refinance offers. Propensity models identify who is most likely to open a new trade. By focusing on these populations, you can cut a mail list in half or more while still focusing on the most viable prospects. It may be okay in a booming economy to send as many offers as possible, but as things slow down, getting more targeted can maintain campaign performance while saving resources for other projects. When it comes to recapture, consumers refinance to reduce their payment, interest rate, or both. Payments can often be reduced simply by ‘resetting’ the clock on a loan, or taking the remaining balance and resetting the term. Many consumers, however, will be aware of their current interest rate and only consider offers that reduce the rate as well. Estimated interest rates can provide valuable insight into a consumer’s current terms. By targeting those with high rates, you are more likely to make an offer that will be accepted. Successful targeting means getting the right message to the right consumers. Propensity models help identify “who” to target while estimated interest rates determine “what” to offer. Combining these two strategies will maximize results in even the most challenging markets. Lend Deeper with Trended Data Much of the growth in the auto market has been driven by relatively low-risk consumers, with more than 60% of outstanding balances rated prime and above. This means hypercompetition and great rates for the best consumers, while those in lower risk tiers are underserved. Many lenders are reluctant to compete for these consumers and avoid taking on additional risk for the portfolio. But trended data holds the key to finding consumers who are currently in a lower risk tier but carry significantly less risk than their current score suggests. In fact, historical data can provide much deeper insight on a consumer’s past use of credit. As an example, consider two consumers with the same risk score at a point in time. While they may be judged as carrying similar risk, trended data shows one has taken out two new trades in the past 6 months and has increasing utilization, while the other is consolidating and paying down balances. They may have the same risk score today, but what will the impact be on your future profitability? Most risk scores take a snapshot approach to gauging risk. While effective in general, it misses out on the nuance of consumers who are trending up or down based on recent behavior. Trended data attributes tell a deeper story and allow lenders to find underserved consumers who carry less risk than their current score suggests. Making timely offers to underserved consumers is a great way to grow your portfolio while managing risk. Uncertain Future The automotive industry has been a bright spot for the US economy for several years. It’s difficult to say what will happen in 2017, but there will likely be a continued slowing in originations. When markets get more competitive, data-driven targeting becomes even more important. Propensity models, estimated interest rates, and trended data should be part of every prescreen campaign. Those that integrate them now will likely shrug off any downturn and continue growing their portfolio by providing valuable and timely offers to their members.