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The surge in digital demand over the past year reinforced the deep connection between recognition, fraud prevention, and the online customer experience. As businesses transformed their operations to accommodate the rapidly growing volume of digital transactions, consumer expectations for easy, secure interactions increased at an even faster pace. And that meant less tolerance for the interruptions caused by security and risk controls. Our 5th Annual Global Identity and Fraud Report highlights these shifts and more, drawing on three waves of data collected throughout the pandemic. The business and consumer surveys took place in waves from June 2020 to January 2021 across 10 countries spanning North America, Latin America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. The breadth of data reveals notable changes in consumer and business behavior and priorities as each navigated the crisis. One of the many heartening discoveries included the fact that 8 in 10 businesses said that they now have a customer recognition strategy in place, up 26% since the start of the pandemic. Many companies also developed digital strategies as they strove to improve their online experience and provide security and fraud prevention measures when customers needed it most. When it comes to fraud prevention, companies are continuing to invest in securing online experiences. This is an encouraging trend, especially given that we anticipate fraud attacks will increase significantly in the near term. Here are some key consumer trends from the 5th Annual Global Identity & Fraud Report: Consumer digital trends and behaviors As of January 2021, 43% of consumers plan to increase their banking and shopping transactions in the next 12 months 60% of consumers globally have used a universal mobile wallet, a +7%-pts increase since the pandemic began and highest (66%) among under 40s 55% of consumers say security is their top priority online. This has been the case for the past 5 years of our study, with privacy (23%) second. Consumer concerns for fraud 44% of consumers globally said they were most concerned about protecting credit cards and bank account details 1 in 4 consumers (only 23%) were concerned about protecting personal data e.g. date of birth, address, and SSN or equivalent 33% of consumers are worried about identity theft compared to 28% of consumers who were worried about it before the pandemic Consumer preferences are shifting towards invisible security 74% of consumers prefer the security of physical biometrics, which is most applicable to mobile devices and include facial recognition and fingerprints 72% of consumers prefer the security of PIN codes, requiring the use of two devices, each connected to the users’ account 66% of consumers prefer the security of behavioral biometrics, which is passively observed signals across browsers/ devices requiring no effort from the consumer Even as businesses prioritize the customer experience and support, our research found that they’re still sustaining pre-pandemic levels of investment in security and fraud management. Access the report here to get more consumer trends and find out what businesses are focusing their investments to improve their customer’s digital experience, including fraud prevention.  

Artificial Intelligence (AI) offers people and companies many advantages, and we interact with it every day. From the technology we use to do simple things like heating and cooling our homes, to more advanced tools that map potential disease outbreaks across the globe. AI is also being used more and more in the financial services sector – from matching new customers with the right loan and terms to assisting with transactions in real-time online. In a recent study, we found two-thirds of businesses surveyed globally are using AI to help manage their businesses today. More businesses are keen to use AI but are challenged to fulfill requirements for decision explainability – a must-do for ensuring consumers are treated fairly. The history of AI AI stems from the realization of the potential of computation. The father of theoretical computer science and AI, Alan Turing, introduced a theoretical mathematical model of computation – aptly named the Turing Machine – in 1936. He described this machine as being capable of computing anything computable. By 1950, his work posed the question “Can machines think?” He introduced the Turing Test, still in use today to subjectively evaluate whether a machine is intelligent based on its ability to have a conversation. Six years later, in 1956, prominent computer scientists proposed the famous Dartmouth Summer Project. Advanced concepts were introduced and discussed and the term "artificial intelligence" was first coined. Over the following two decades, AI flourished. Computers became not only faster, cheaper, and more accessible, but they were progressively able to store more information. Meanwhile, machine learning algorithms continued to improve, getting the interest of experts in different fields and industries and taking the realm of artificial intelligence to a tipping point in the early ’80s. Back then, John Hopfield and David Rumelhart popularized “deep learning” techniques which allowed computers to learn from experience. Meanwhile, Edward Feigenbaum introduced expert systems which mimicked the decision-making process of a human expert, allowing the program to ask an expert in a field how to respond in a given situation and to learn from it. How can AI benefit both businesses and consumers? Following these early milestones, the advanced analytics sector has experienced explosive growth – with AI impacting many aspects of our lives today. While most people have come to realize that AI can be beneficial, even since the early days, there have been many different views on how those involved in programming the algorithms must take the necessary steps to prevent AI from reinforcing stereotypes, widening wealth and educational gaps, or providing incorrect answers at critical junctures such as in a medical setting. As an example of what not to do: a famous language model was trained using 8 million pages sourced directly from the web. So, implicit in this model are the preconceptions and biases included in its training data. In this case, it led to a model with a trend towards greater male bias in more senior, higher-paying jobs. How to determine fairness in AI models So how can we ensure that the use of AI does not reinforce societal racism, sexism, or other stereotypes? That leads us to define fairness. It’s the impartial and just treatment of people without favoritism or discrimination; when no unjustified distinctions occur based on groups, classes, or other categories to which they are perceived to belong. But, within the world of AI, there are varying approaches to fairness associated with different metrics to evaluate and adopt this sought-after algorithmic fairness. Any solution requires defining dimensions of fairness, but realistically, it’s extremely hard to capture all these very sensitive variables and risky to store and process them. To truly determine if an AI system is fair requires an enormous amount of data and expertise. Additionally, promoting fairness requires an approach across the entire data science life cycle and modeling life cycle. All areas must be considered from the approach to data collection to ongoing evaluation of decisions. And, while fairness in AI is not ‘once and done’ or easily solved, the good news is that it is an area of great focus for regulators, academics, and data and analytics industry experts, like our peers at Experian. The growing importance of transparency and explainability Models generally compute calculations that are complex and involve more dimensions than we can directly comprehend. Given this processing step from model-input-to-model-output is unclear, it leads to questions around how a model has come to a decision. Importantly, how can one be sure that the model is behaving as expected? There are different ways to address explainability. One includes an understanding of how different inputs of a model affect its outputs. Shapley values, introduced by Nobel prize winner Lloyd Shapely, consider an aggregate of marginal contributions for all possible combinations. Another technique involves explaining the behavior of a decision by identifying model constants verse variables to extract what drove a decision and how. Yet another method uses counterfactual explanations, identifying the precise boundary where a decision changes. This method is easy to communicate since it involves statements such as if X had not occurred, Y would not have happened. As in the case of fairness, there’s an on-going dialogue around explainability, underpinned by current and yet to emerge new techniques that maintain model accuracy and improve explainability. Artificial intelligence is past its infancy stage. It’s already had an impact on our daily lives and is becoming increasingly ubiquitous. Fairness, along with a transparent and explainable approach are key ingredients to help this field continue its transition to maturity.

The concept of digital identity and the ways it can be applied has been discussed for many years. While this has traditionally been more of a philosophical discussion, this notion has beginning to shape over the past twelve months, making waves across markets and driving, making many in the industry wonder what has changed to prompt that shift. In a recent episode of the Insights in Action series, Nick Maynard from Juniper Research and David Britton from Experian Decision Analytics explored the pandemic’s transformative effect on the prospects of digital identity. Over the past year, reliance on e-commerce has increased significantly increased globally, boosted by new consumer and business needs and efforts to observe social distancing and cope with the side-effects of lockdowns. Nick and David review Juniper Research’s Digital Identity 2020-2025 Report’s findings and explain how, since the pandemic started, people have needed to remotely use those services that they'd normally use in person. Access to banking, buying groceries, or ordering food, for example. In such a context, defined by tight restrictions imposed to curb the advance of coronavirus, being able to represent your identity and verify that you are who you say you are so you can access certain digital activities safely has become absolutely critical. Indeed, it has become the way people can participate in society now, digitally. Defining digital identity in the covid era But, how to define digital identity these days? Against an ever-changing environment, identity must now be more than just traditional personally identifiable data like a name or an address. It must incorporate other components such as device identifiers, device intelligence, network information, the way you hold your phone, or even the speed you type at. All in all, digital identity is about emulating what we have all done naturally in the physical world for so long; that’s it bringing together a series of distinctive attributes that make each individual unique. In terms of how the industry is looking at this evolving concept of digital identity, Nick and David point out that a growing number of regulators are engaged with the concept of digital identity, addressing the need for modern, adaptative frameworks, guardrails, and protocols. Identity industry players have realized that identity works best when there's a network. Identity networks or systems bring together all those different stakeholders who hold identity details and have the ability to verify or use those identity details to provide greater benefit for consumers. Listen to the full podcast Access all episodes of Insights in Action on Soundcloud, Spotify, Google Podcasts

As the world witnessed, the Covid-19 pandemic led to a swift and dramatic digital explosion. As lockdowns began, our day-to-day quickly shifted to a virtual environment. Now, on the back of this widespread response, businesses are forced to rethink their customer engagement model. And, with new digital-first customer journeys, there must be a shift to recognize customers in a predominantly digital way as well. The concept of identity – even digital identity – must evolve. Digitally observable information Recently, I spoke with Juniper Research about this imperative. After analyzing the global digital identity market, they’ve offered insights on current dynamics and trends shaping its future in their Digital Identity Report 2020-2025. Importantly, as we progress digital identities, we must consider more than what a user might typically provide about themselves. We must include digitally observable information, which forms part of a consumer's digital identity. This data includes their device (what they use), and behavioral insights (how they use the device or interact with an app or website). It even includes the specific context of their efforts (what they are doing), such as signing up for an account, moving money, making a payment, virtual window shopping, etc. Related story: View digital identity market trends infographic Intelligent data processing Of course, pulling these kinds of observations together in a meaningful and useful way requires intelligent data processing. This need leads to the use of technologies such as advanced analytics and machine learning to help make sense of the broad streams of data. The double benefit of understanding how to use this aggregated data is that, given the transparent and passive nature of observing data of this nature, it can be used without requiring the consumer to "do" anything other than going about their business. So, businesses can achieve multiple benefits by adopting a forward-looking stance to identity, including reduced risk of fraud, improved customer experience, and stronger consumer/business relationships, which ultimately leads to increased top-line growth. Consumer privacy preferences Finally, to maintain consumer trust as we progress, it's important to acknowledge consumer privacy preferences. Given consumers' concerns around privacy and security, this is an important element within the path forward. Businesses that are transparent around the use of data have been shown to garner greater consumer trust than those that don't offer that transparency. So, any reimagining of digital identity must also have "privacy by design" as a foundation to the approach – not only to meet growing regulatory demands – but, more importantly, to manage consumer expectations. “[It’s] estimated that in 2024 over $43 billion will be lost due to online payment fraud. As we carry on into an unknown future, disrupted by the pandemic, this interwoven nature of identity-security-privacy will play a vital part in making sure our internet, workplace, government services, and banking are safe havens.” -Digital Identity Report 2020-2025, Juniper Research Learn more about: Importance of the evolution of digital identities, including the ability to manage and access the growing volume of online accounts. Advancement of the identity space occurring through the simplified transmission of information via APIs, but the challenge remaining to ensure data is valid, authentic, and from an authorized person. Government attempts at digital identities have faced many challenges, but these use cases continue to progress the development of the digital identity landscape. Benefits to fraud management through the adoption of digital identities can be tremendous – decreasing risk by decoupling identities from transactions, making them more secure from both ends. Usability is king – a good customer experience underlying the use of digital identities will be critical to adoption, and therefore success. Maturation of identity offerings is currently occurring and what’s likely to be successful includes solutions that simplify identity services and those that rely on broader ecosystems. Remote working changes the enterprise approach, with the adoption of Zero Trust Architectures and relevant supporting technologies continuing to emerge to create a safe, yet flexible working environment. The digital identity competitive landscape is evaluated, including vendor analysis and Juniper’s leaderboard. Related stories: Fraud trends during a very pandemic holiday Digital Identity and Blockchain: What lenders need to know Why consumer trust in the digital experience is so important in a pandemic era

Fraud rates have held steady throughout the year despite the move to digital, but a few factors could change that this holiday season bringing greater losses than those of Christmas past. Globally, we’ve seen a spike in digital traffic as a result of Covid-19 the past 6-9 months, with some countries like Brazil reporting a 200% increase in digital traffic to retail sites. This means some physical fraud controls, like EMV or chip-and-pin, are no longer relevant. The number of data breaches this year compromised more than 36 billion records, eclipsing history’s reported record total. This means more legitimate credentials have been stolen, sold, and/or being used to commit fraud. On top of that, many businesses may be starting to loosen their online security restrictions in order to take full advantage of the topline revenue that comes with the influx of holiday traffic. This is especially true for those who’ve struggled to stay in business during Covid-19, who will look to increased holiday spending to offset declines earlier in the year. Unfortunately, fraud at the holidays is difficult to detect and there can often be a significant lag until fraud is realized, in some cases up to 3-6-months. So how do businesses protect themselves while providing a secure place for customers to shop online this year, especially during big events like Black Friday and Cyber Monday, while still offering a convenient digital experience? Businesses will need a layered approach to fraud management, and it starts by knowing what to expect. Holiday fraud trends to watch: Payment behavior: Most consumers will do all their holiday shopping online which means card-not-present payment fraud will likely spike, as fraudsters hide in the increased volume of traffic. With the shift from physical to digital transactions, traditional fraud controls, like EMV or chip-and-pin which are effective at minimizing card-present fraud, simply are not available to protect digital transactions. Average order value also tends to increase during the holiday season, requiring retailers to establish higher value thresholds for each order, to avoid flagging legitimate orders for review. Shipping behavior: Generally shipping behavior at the holidays is different than the rest of the year. People buy gifts and ship directly to the recipient, which means fraud detection logic that matches billing and shipping addresses to the legitimate cardholder may cause more false positives than fraud detection. Chargeback fraud: Holiday gift-giving pressure or loss of household income can sometimes lead to chargeback or friendly fraud, where a person may purchase an item – typically entertainment services or devices – use it and then return it, with or without intent to pay. Or in some cases, purchase an item, then issue a chargeback claiming no knowledge of the purchase. In-account fraud: Many retailers are now requiring a customer to set-up an account when making a purchase to identify their behavior and track purchase history. Like we’ve seen in the banking industry, fraudsters will use stolen login credentials to gain access to these legitimate accounts, make purchases using a card on file, and set up a secondary shipping address to re-route the items. Mule behavior: A newer form of fraud that’s gaining traction is where a legitimate customer is recruited to use either their shipping address or in some cases, their validated account to make a transaction using stolen payment information, receive the package, and forward to the fraudster’s address. Sadly, these fraudsters are known as “mule herders” are exploiting desperate, out of work people by recruiting them to work on their behalf. In the financial services space, victims may knowingly or unknowingly use their own bank accounts, to allow fraudsters to funnel money from other stolen accounts as part of an elaborate wire transfer or P2P payments fraud schemes. Phishing: The accelerated digital traffic during the holidays presents fraudsters a great opportunity to get consumers to click on all sorts of “offers” or fake merchant websites and steal personal information. This increase in phishing can take place across all known channels – email, phone, social, text, and web – and is a trend we’ve seen attack businesses and consumers alike. Unfortunately, fraudsters are appallingly impersonating health organizations, setting up fake cleaning and healthcare supply stores, Covid-19 statistic maps, and websites, all in an attempt to lure victims into divulging sensitive data. Who does fraud hurt the most? Online fraud during the holidays hurts many players in the transactional relationship – the legitimate customer, the merchant, and the bank or payment provider – but merchants tend to bear the biggest burden. This is best illustrated by the dispute process.  When making a purchase, the main relationship is between the customer and the merchant. However, when a stolen credit card is used, or when a consumer has been a victim of account takeover fraud or some other fraudulent behavior, the person will dispute the charge directly with their bank or credit card company (card issuer). Card issuers and banks will either hold the charges back or reverse the financial transaction until a resolution can be met with the merchant. It then lies with the merchant to prove that the transaction was in fact legitimate, and to dispute that chargeback. The consequences of fraud for the merchant include multiple pain points: the cost of the stolen goods (and any shipping fees), the chargeback fee, potential fines by the merchant’s acquiring bank, and potential reputational challenges. Fraud prevention during the holidays The pandemic has already put an incredible amount of pressure on businesses and the rise in sophisticated fraud attacks may seem insurmountable.  Creating a secure and convenient experience for your customers is possible and there are strategies and tools that can be implemented. Tools to layer into your fraud strategy: Require (and check) signatures upon postal delivery Offer immediate email confirmation and tracking number information Use a wide variety of digital and transactional data to make optimal risk/trust decisions Adopt dynamic risk strategies where controls can be adjusted to match the threat level Leverage machine learning models to access a variety of niche solutions or data sources for accuracy If 2020 taught us anything, it’s flexibility and resilience – two words that should describe your approach to fraud management this holiday season. The holidays can be a time of great joy, and this year most people are hoping the holidays will lift their spirits. Don’t let fraudsters dampen those holiday spirits! Related stories: New research available: The continued impact of Covid-19 on consumer behaviors and business strategies  Better identifying your customers leads to greater trust How to get more from your existing credit risk and fraud risk technology

Public and private organizations worldwide are embarking on ambitious digital identity initiatives, from the tiny country of Estonia to efforts that encompass much of Africa and India. At the core, the broad goal is often the same: Use blockchain or equivalent technology to provide individuals with a unique digital identifier. That digital identity then enables seamless, secure access to services—governmental, financial, or otherwise. However, as you delve into the details of each program, there remain more differences than similarities. Organizations may have different drivers for pursuing digital identities and varied approaches. And in these early days of digital identity development, there’s not yet a single plan for aligning initiatives across the public and private sector or even within the financial services industry. So how do organizations evaluate where to invest and when to act, when efforts are progressing and changing in real-time? The impetus now is to understand the fundamentals of digital identity programs and then evaluate what your organization stands to gain—or potentially lose. Get that sorted, and you’ll be ready to make smart digital identity decisions at the right time for your company and customers. The fundamentals of blockchain Much of the digital identity conversation centers around the notion of blockchain-based digital identity programs and their benefits to consumers or citizens. Broadly, these programs enable individuals to have a digital identity profile, which is tied to a basket of attributes and stored on a blockchain. Those attributes are verified when the identity is established. Consumers then use their digital ID, for example, to access their financial applications. And organizations can verify the person via their digital identity token. Such programs provide privacy for consumers; they also promise to accelerate and secure all sorts of processes from applying for loans to paying taxes. That’s because, with a digital identity, consumers don’t need to re-submit documents or provide personal information to various businesses and entities. Instead, they can allow institutions to access their digital identity for proof of who they are. The potential for such programs is already exciting, and we’ve likely just scratched the surface of what’s possible. Still, most of the discussions leave out a critical component. That is: how will programs establish a digital identity in the first place? As financial institutions assess the digital identity landscape, digging into how programs ensure that the right information makes it into the system is paramount. As the saying goes, it’s garbage in, garbage out. Regardless of how innovative the technology is, a consumer’s digital identity is only as ​trustworthy as the information that created it. The digital identity trade-offs The security of digital identities is very compelling—especially as cybercriminals become increasingly sophisticated. Businesses can easily authenticate customers, and consumers have more control over their information, which is an issue of growing importance. A recently released Experian study shows that consumers are most concerned about protecting their financial data over other types of information. As privacy and security assurances become part of the financial service value proposition, digital identity programs will likely be a differentiator for companies. That said, doubling down on digital identity can initially seem at odds with another dual technology priority: Taking advantage of data to provide hyper-personalized financial products and services. By tokenizing identity information, organizations may need to forgo some of the data that enables that personal, customized approach. In the long run, I believe companies will find creative ways to balance privacy with personalization needs. For instance, customers may rely on digital identities to navigate their financial networks and then opt to provide additional information about themselves in return for better, more personalized service. Financial institutions will need to weigh some similar factors when leveraging digital identity programs to improve customer experience. Digital identity programs promise to remove the friction caused by customer recognition and authentication. Again, the organization may give up some data collection to enable that seamless experience. But in the long run, companies will likely find that the related improvements and revenue opportunities gained more than makeup for any sacrificed information. ​At the same time, against a backdrop of an increasing number of stolen identity records, the idea that a digital identity program can help reduce the excessive proliferation of sensitive personal data is a significant benefit. The road ahead Financial institutions should prepare for the pending digital identity journey—even if they haven’t yet embarked. There are still multiple issues that the industry, consumers, and regulators will have to settle. For instance, there’s the question of adoption and how long it will take for businesses and consumers to use digital identity programs regularly. As we’ve discussed before, consumer trust ​and availability will remain a considerable component in driving that adoption. What’s more, we’ll likely see regulations follow digital identity efforts as specific initiatives gain steam and popularity. The rules may accelerate adoption or, conversely, increase the investment expense on behalf of financial service firms. For these reasons, financial institutions need to be involved early and voice their concerns often to ensure that regulations serve consumers without adversely affecting the business. In the meantime, businesses should remain aware that digital identity is a fragmented market, which may ultimately settle into an “ecosystem of ecosystems” across programs. It will be critical for enterprises to plan accordingly if they want to become early adopters. Or, at the very least, companies with a more moderate strategy should wait until a leading program emerges before making a significant investment. Digital identities represent a dramatic shift in how consumers navigate their online world and how companies continue to meet their online expectations and needs. Keep these developments on your radar, and you’ll be prepared to make smart digital identity decisions and investments. Related stories: Infographic: Global Identity & Fraud Trends, February 2020 The impact of Covid-19 on Consumers and Businesses, July 2020 The impact of Covid-19 on Consumers and Businesses, Oct 2020

For executives and teams across the financial services sector, the question isn't should we digitally transform—but how. That's where things get tricky. According to the Financial Brand’s Digital Banking Report, when asked about the progress of their digital transformation journey, only 17% of organizations reported that their transformation was deployed “at scale” — and a scant 7% said their transformation was deployed at scale and working. Tackling an enterprise-wide transformation effort is no small feat; it requires significant investment and time. Still, many organizations become understandably discouraged when transformation efforts don't yield the anticipated results. And experts contend that transformation initiatives fail not because of products but because organizations need wholesale culture changes to sustain innovation. All that may be true. However, a boil the ocean approach can dramatically increase the timeline of an already lengthy process. By building a strategy based on small iterative wins, businesses can break down the process and deliver interim tangible successes. In doing so, organizations sustain momentum for the broader digital transformation vision and benefit from feedback along the way. Your north star In concept, digital transformation suggests that we are in a finite time and place going from point A to point B. At some point, every financial institution will be digitally transformed. Manual processes, on-premise software, and siloed data will start to disappear. And conversations about transformation will give way to discussions of how to sustain and further advance the bank's digital capabilities. There actually isn’t a “finished state”, but a continuous progress towards a better customer experience. But establishing a long-term objective for transformation initiatives is critical. The leadership team needs to have a vision, and relay the overall goal to the rest of the organization. For instance, in the Financial Brand survey, banks and credit unions noted that improving risk management and security, improving the customer experience, and reducing costs were their top areas of focus. (Unfortunately, the same study revealed that less than half of the organizations surveyed reported high success levels in transforming these areas). In establishing a digital transformation north star, you ensure that smaller projects align with the broader vision. The path there may not be perfectly straight, but leaders can prioritize initiatives that point in the same direction. Small wins, big results As noted, it's challenging to complete a digital transformation journey in one fell swoop. Most organizations can't change technologically and culturally at a rapid pace. Yet, there's a pressing need for innovation. Creating a roadmap of incremental projects and wins can ensure your organization is making steady progress toward that north star goal. I often advise digital transformation teams to start with a small project that seems achievable. That may be transitioning a non-cloud offering to the cloud or introducing an existing interface to a new geography. You solve that problem, and then you evangelize the success; even if it's a small win, you want to shout about it. It's not about nourishing your ego. Instead, the celebration helps build momentum with your frontline staff and clients. It also provides proof points for executive stakeholders. The latter makes it easier to continue funding projects once your leadership sees that the initiative produces results. Then you can begin to expand your transformation perimeter, building on each win with another digital project. Dialing in your customer recognition and improving authentication, for instance, offers areas that are ripe for innovation—especially at a time when online transactions are on the rise and customer expectations are high. The right team for the job Successful digital transformation initiatives require leadership by a core team that's well-networked across the organization. They need to be highly visible to other teams and committed to promoting the cause and selling the vision, and making noise about any success because that's a core part of their job. Leveraging data and analytics along the way is also essential. Data can help you determine which problems to prioritize. And advanced analytics offers critical insights into what's working for customers and the areas that merit attention sooner rather than later. The process of digital transformation is an evolution. Organizations that view it as such should strive for strategies that deliver wins early. That way, they can build momentum, align near-term projects around long-term goals, and reap the rewards of digital transformation throughout the entire journey. Related stories: Impact of technology on changing business operations New global research: The impact of Covid-19 on consumer behaviors and business strategies Digital transformation through cloud-first decisioning

We may not always get what we want, but in many cases, if we feel that we were treated fairly, we’re satisfied. Our July 2020 global research reveals as much—in the survey, 52% of U.S. consumers that believed that organizations treated them fairly during the Covid-19 crisis said they’d give the company more of their business. Conversely, 76% of consumers who thought businesses treated them unfairly reported that they wouldn’t be returning customers. As we progress through the pandemic, fairness will become a critical component of the customer experience. Government support for workers and businesses in many countries is ending, and we’re likely only beginning to feel the real economic impacts. Financial institutions that prioritize fairness in their customer engagements—and leverage advanced analytics and automation to help—will likely retain more customers in the near-term and build relationships that last into the future. We’ve only just begun  For most of the West, the pandemic began in earnest in March. The economic consequences were quick to follow. In our global survey conducted in July, two times as many consumers reported that they were having difficulty paying their bills compared to before the Covid-19 crisis. As a response, 20% of consumers said they were cutting back their discretionary spending, and another 13% reported that they’d dipped into their savings to make ends meet. Around the world, those who were struggling reached out to financial institutions for help. A full 5% of global consumers enrolled in some form of financial assistance, including from savings and loan institutions, retail banks, insurance companies, and government programs. Hearteningly, more than half of these consumers said they’d had a positive experience. And as previously noted, a similar percentage felt they were treated fairly. That’s the silver lining of an exceptionally challenging year. However, for consumers, the struggle will likely continue. Much of the support that financial institutions have provided came via government aid or mandates that are close to expiring. For instance, in the U.S., the CARES act required lenders to offer homeowners six months of fee-free forbearance on loan payments. With that grace period coming to an end, one lender reports that only 10% of borrowers have exited forbearance into a modified payment plan. Government assistance is running out, but the fact that entire sectors such as travel and hospitality remain incapacitated should still cause concern. Over the next year, consumers will likely continue to face financial obstacles, but with a shrinking safety net. Streamlining fairness Amidst the continued uncertainty, organizations should continue to prioritize fairness. Advanced data analytics can help with that task, and the technology also promises to make it easier and faster. Consider that in the 2008-2009 financial crisis, assessing a customer’s ability to afford a loan or credit product was primarily a manual process. Organizations faced backlogs of customers needing help and were unable to respond in a timely manner. Today, financial institutions can use advanced analytics and machine learning to leverage data, with the specific aim of assisting customers in financial straits. For instance, it may not be feasible for banks to permit customers to remain forbearance for another six months. However, they can use data to quickly and accurately determine what payments customers can afford. The technology enables organizations to scale their financial workout or accommodation efforts, reducing the manual workload. Just as importantly, the analytics also provides data to back decisions, making the process more transparent. There’s a big difference between thinking you’re being fair and being able to prove it. With an analytics program, organizations can inform customers exactly what they’re being offered and why. Understanding the data empowers customers to make better decisions about whether they accept any aid. In some parts of the world, regulators are also requesting similar assurance that the banks have provided options in the customers’ best interest. A challenge—and opportunity Fairness and trust are closely connected. And when it comes to the customer experience, incorporating both yields happier, more loyal customers. I often think back to work I did with a banking organization earlier in my career. Our NPS scores regarding our collections, recovery, and fraud team were quite good. It’s easy to assume that customers in financial distress may be less than pleased to be dealing with creditors or lenders. But the dynamic shifts when you’re able to help them at the time they need it most. Now, thanks to data and advanced analytics, financial institutions can implement fairness at every turn—limiting the economic damage to customers, reducing their own risk, and enhancing their relationships along the way. Related articles: Global research study: The impact of Covid-19 on consumer behaviors and business strategies The role of the virtual assistant: Meet consumer demand for digital experience Digitally managing your at-risk customers most impacted by Covid-19

The Covid-19 crisis has been a bit like existing inside a shaken snow globe—it disrupted everything, and a lot remains up in the air. However, amidst the uncertainty of the pandemic, one thing has become evident: Cultivating customer trust is more critical than ever. Trust naturally generates loyalty. This is especially true during and after a crisis. For example, Experian's latest global research from July 2020 shows 52% of customers who felt that businesses treated them fairly during the pandemic plan to give those companies more of their business. That fairness bred trust and that trust will undoubtedly lead to more business. As consumers continue to increase their digital transactions, companies need to work hard to enhance customer trust. Improved identity authentication and recognition, for example, will play a key role. As everything begins to settle, those that succeed will find their business on far more steady ground. Does trust even matter? It's a good question—and the answer may be evolving in real-time. Consider that in 2019, Experian's global identity & fraud study showed that digital adoption did not indicate consumer trust of the business. "Consumers still adopt digital channels despite being highly skeptical of the businesses," the study noted. Social media provides an excellent example. Overall, most consumers distrust many of the popular social media platforms, yet they continue to use them regularly. Interestingly, widespread adoption is linked more to convenience than trust. However, this comes with a real caveat: Customers are less concerned about trust when the product is more frivolous. For instance, not trusting a media outlet or social media platform is very different from not trusting a financial institution. Also, a lack of adoption doesn't always mean that customers don't trust the business. In the financial service and payments realm, low adoption may simply reflect that customers use the platforms less regularly. Now, as consumers increase their reliance on online services, maintaining trust will be paramount. For instance, since Coronavirus began, consumers have increased their use and awareness of mobile wallets by 8%, and their use of retail payment apps by 6%. Balancing the convenience that people have needed with the necessary trust will go a long way towards keeping usage high once the crisis subsides. A virtuous cycle Within any digital experience, several components inform customer trust. You want to ensure accurate customer recognition, as well as transparency with your authentication. Robust fraud protection and positive digital experiences also play essential roles. These form the Cycle of Trust, a virtuous circle that ultimately encourages customers to share more information with your company and pursue more transactions. Our 2019 study reveals the importance of each part of this cycle, and we see it playing out now. For example, 90% of consumers are willing to participate in a more thorough identity verification process early on to have easier account access in the future. The ability to routinely and accurately recognize your customers helps build their trust in your technology and products. Also, 76% of customers have more confidence in companies that use biometrics over passwords to protect their information. That means that you can use advanced authentication strategies to enhance trust even more. Transparency also comes into play. Letting people know how you're using their information and whom you're sharing it with makes them more apt to trust your organization—and continue to share their data. The future of trust This cycle represents the goal. In practice, though, there are still quite a few challenges that prevent organizations from getting that wheel spinning. For instance, many have separated the risk assessment processes of verifying customers at signup, logging in, and transacting, so there's no seamless experience. Instead, customers navigate different solutions to onboard, authenticate their identity, and complete transactions. A company may recognize a customer at one point in the process, but not all the way through. What's more, organizations often still place the onus on the consumer for how they represent themselves in the digital world. Authentication processes require them to remember passwords or retrieve codes from their phone. But as noted, the pandemic has opened an opportunity for dramatic improvement. Consumers are at a rare moment in which they're open to change—and they're even looking for it. For example, since the beginning of the pandemic, 60% of customers say they have higher expectations for online experiences. More than half of customers are also more willing to provide organizations they trust with personal information and financial data. Finally, 44% of customers note that since Covid, they are more trusting of companies that demonstrate security. So how can you increase trust while also meeting evolving customer expectations? Organizations that pave the way will likely assume more responsibility for recognizing and authenticating customers. This starts with becoming more creative in using the data they already have access to recognize and authenticate customers. Extending this passive and continuous recognition across channels will also be necessary. Doing so connects the disparate processes and creates a more seamless digital experience. Such initiatives also remove the identity burden from the customer and kickstart that virtuous cycle. No one anticipated the Covid-19 crisis. But it's opened up the chance to create fairer, more trusting, more transparent digital experiences for everyone—and companies shouldn't pass that up. Related stories: Latest global research: The impact of Covid-19 on consumer behaviors and business strategies Better identifying your customers leads to greater trust Covid-19 as a Gateway to Fraud: Top 5 Global Fraud Trends to Watch Out for in 2020 Podcast: Securing online identity

The first of a two-part series on our Insights in Action podcast, Nick Maynard, Juniper Research, and David Britton, our VP of Industry Solutions for Global Decision Analytics, discuss the latest developments around online payment fraud, and what the implications look like for consumers and businesses. Following the publication of the latest report on online payment fraud from Juniper Research, this episode takes a closer look at how the mobile revolution has created both opportunities and risks when it comes to online payment. "We're seeing a massive digitalization of existing payment methods and retail, which is being driven for a number of reasons. Convenience is a massive driver, and mobile wallets in particular offer a very convenient solution for payments, and they're being used very widely around the world. Other drivers include the ongoing Coronavirus pandemic, which is having a role in driving the increased usage of the online channel."Nick Maynard, Juniper Research Topics covered in part 1 include: The online payment revolution has been led by mobile, with half of the world’s population estimated to use mobile wallets in the next four years. How this transformation is shaping the new online payment experience. ​ Covid-19 has pushed organizations to prioritize their digital transformation. We look at what the implications will be as a result of the rush to digital. With higher convenience, normally comes a higher risk of fraud – what we can expect to see as a part of this shift to mobile. ​ What businesses can do in the short term to mitigate those rising types of fraud, and what their key operational and strategic considerations should be for the future. ​ Listen to the full podcast here, and look out for what’s new in online payment fraud Part 2: How AI and evolving regulation are driving change

In a recent piece for the Forbes Technology Council, Businesses Need to Modernize Their Approach For Delivering Digital Experiences, I shared how the current rapidly changing environment has greatly accelerated the shift from offline to digital interactions. As businesses experience a need for heightened governance and controls, they must look towards technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning, coupled with access to data in real-time, to move forward. According to the report Experian commissioned Forrester Consulting to conduct, 53% of businesses struggle to make consistent customer decisions. Additionally, only 29% of businesses believe they do a good job of connecting analytics to action. When applying AI and machine learning to customer experiences, there are some concerns that businesses must keep in mind. The first is legal implications and privacy protections, which must always be a priority. The second is to combine analytics models with real-time decisions so that predictions can be harnessed and put into action in real-time. As more and more businesses shift to fully digital experiences, they must learn how to apply their vast amounts of data to models that can help inform the newly remote customer experience. If interested in the topic of businesses’ modernized approach to digital experiences, you can find the full article here.